Microsoft, Meta Post Big Gains; President Trump Announces Tariff Deals
On today's podcast:
1) Tech stocks surge after blowout quarters by Microsoft and Meta, and more Mag 7 earnings on tap as Apple and Amazon report today. Microsoft shares gained more than 8% in after-hours trading while Meta jumped more than 11% after both pledged to spend lavishly on artificial intelligence. Stocks rose in early trading as upbeat earnings helped drive optimism over resilient corporate profits.
2) Fed Chair Jay Powell bucks pressure from the White House and two dissenters to leave rates unchanged. The dollar dropped, sliding from its highest level since May after Fed Chair Jay Powell Wednesday said no decision had been made about easing policy in September.
3) President Trump unleashes a flurry of trade surprises ahead of tomorrow's deadline. The president announced tariffs of 15% on imports from South Korea and 25% on imports from India, accompanied by criticism of India's purchases of Russian energy and weapons. Deals are being drafted or have been agreed upon with several countries, including Thailand, Cambodia, and Taiwan, as Trump attempts to create a new global trade order.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Well, Karen, let's begin with blowout earnings from a pair of tech heavyweights, Microsoft and Meta Platforms. Let's begin with Microsoft. Those shares are trading it at all time high and if that holds, the tech giant would become the second company in the world to reach a four. Trillion dollar valuation. Microsoft's latest results confirm it is leading in artificial intelligence with a thirty nine percent rise in sales for its cloud business. Dan Ives is Global head of Tech Research at Webbush Securities. Massive beat on cloud. You see more and more of these use cases, these hyperscalers, those are the best indicators. That just shows where the next spending in AI is gone. And that's why right now, if you're a tech. Bear, you're in hibernation mode. In that cave and you can't find AI in the spreadsheet. Dan Ives, a Webbush has raised his twelve month price target on Microsoft to six hundred and twenty five dollars. Right now, the shares are up more than eight percent in the pre market trading around five hundred and fifty six dollars a share. Well, Nathan Shares a Meta they're also a surging They're up almost twelve percent in early trading. The Facebook parent reporter results at beat estimates. Metta is also taking advantage of strong advertising and stepping up spending next year, executives saying now is the time to seize on investment opportunities in AI. Man Deep Singh is senior Tech analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. There is a sequential acceleration in ad impressions as well as at pricing growth, and to my mind, that is a sign of them applying AI to boost engagement. Obviously, the user growth has been almost the same every quarter, you know, four to five percent, So the fact that impressions grew eleven percent is a sign that people are spending more time on their family of apps. Man Deep Singh at Bloomberg Intelligences Meta is also forecasting third order revenue that beat Wall Street estimates. Well. Karen, One big tech stock is not participating in the rally. This morning, Shares of Qualcomm are down more than five percent in the pre market. The biggest maker of chips that run smartphones, reported at lackluster growth. That's feeling concerns that tariffs will take a toll on Qualcomm and the broader chip industry. Well up next, Nathan, we get more earnings from big tech after the bell results come in from Apple and Amazon. Bloomberg's Time Busby tells us what to expect from the iPhone maker. Despite this period traditionally being one of the slowest of the year before it releases new products for the holidays. The iPhone maker is projected to report modest sales growth after adjusting some of its manufacturing to allset the impact of the Trump tariffs. But Wallstreet is expecting continued sluggish demand for gadgets like its TV set top boxes and the Vision Pro mixed reality headset, and investors will want to hear more about its AI strategy after more of its AI talent was recently poached by Meta. Bloomberg consensus calls for revenue of eighty nine point three billion on Ernix per share of a dollar forty three Tom buzzby Bloomberg Radio. Okay, Tom, thank you know. When it comes to auto earnings, shares of Ford are down more than one percent in early training. The automaker's warning profit. We'll see a sharp drop on the fallout from President Trump's tariffs. We spoke with Ford Motor CEO Jim Farley. Well, we're working with the administration is to take that. Layered tariff use. The authors have their own tear. Plus or subject to all these other tariffs. We're working with Commerce and the Trump administration to minimize our tariff expense so that we can get more competitive. Ford's CEO, Jim Farley says adjusted earnings could fall as much as thirty six percent. That's due in part to a net tariff impact of two billion dollars. That's about five hundred million more than the company previously expected. Well, Nathan, let's turn to the economy. Now, the Federal Reserve to be specific, Despite pressure from the White House, the Fed kept its key interest rate unchanged yesterday. Is Central Banks said growth moderated early this year and that uncertainty remains elevated. Here's how Vecher J. Powell put it. Changes to government policies continue to evolve and their effects on the economy remain uncertain. Higher tariffs have begun to show through more clearly to prices of some goods, but their overall effects on economic activity and inflation remain to be seen. Vetcher J. Powell also answered questions about two members of the Monetary Policy Committee dissenting. It's the first time that's happened in over thirty years. Governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller both voted for a quarter point rate cut. Well Now, Karen details on a hot and cold relationship between wall Street and the White House. JP Morgan Chase CEO, Jamie Diamond and President Trump are talking again. Bloomberg's John Tucker joins us in New York with the details. It's been a while, John, Good morning. Yeah, it's kind of warming up once again. We're now learning that Diamond met with President Trump at the Oval Office last week to talk about the economy, trade, and financial regulation. Mister Trump picked Diamonds bring on the prospect of lowering interest rates, and they also touched on the administration's pushed to impose tariffs. The renewed dialogue Ashley began in June after years of tension. You'll recall back in twenty twenty three, Trump called Diamond highly overrated. If the Diamond urged business leaders to back Nikki Haley in the Republican primary, he also accused JP Morgan of discriminating against conservatives. When the President's April tariff announcements sent markets plunging, Diamond set a trade war risk plunging the economy into recession. Well, the President did take notice. He reportedly cited Diamond's comments as reason for pausing the tariffs. In New York Ime, John Tucker Bloomberg. Radio, All right, John, thank you now to the latest on trade. With one day to go until his tariff deadline, President Trump has made a flurry of deals and demands. Last night, he announced a fifteen percent tariff on South Korean imports, including cars, that matches the rate Japan agreed to last week, and beget more with Bloomberg's Denny Thomas and Seoul. Seul has been bagging behind in all these street talks because of the political chaos had here, and as we were hitting up to this August to US deadline, it was it was pretty uncertain whether we would reach it data not. And Bloomberg's Denny Thomas reports the agreement also includes a three hundred and fifty billion dollar fund for South Korea to invest in the US. And the South Korea Deal. Karen comes after news on India, President Trump says he'll impost twenty five percent tariffs on that country's exports, even though that country was one of the first to engage in trade talks of the US. Nisa Biswal is a partner at the Asia Group. For the President to come in with a very hardball tactic of announcing twenty five percent tariffs as well as penalties for you know, Russian oil and gas and sports, et cetera, I think is a little bit surprising, and certainly to our Indian friends, they're kind of shocked because they thought that they were working in good faith and we're. Close to having a deal. Nisha biswell with the Asia Group. President Trump says India's tariffs are among the highest in the world, but his team is still conducting talks, so there could be more to come on that front. Meantime, Nathan Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnek says the US has made deals with Thailand and Cambodia. Those details came in an interview with Fox News. He didn't elaborate on those agreements. President Trump had used trade talks to urge both countries to agree to a ceasefire. In recent days, the US has also signed a trade deal with Pakistan. And here's Pakistan's finance minister. I think we have a come long way for way we were and where we are today. In terms of our overall strategic partnership between Pakistan and the United. States, and Pakistan's finance minister says it's trade deal with the US will boost Pakistan's oil reserves. Still caring, a deal with Mexico and Canada remains elusive. Today, President Trump plans to speak with Mexico's President Claudia Shinbaum as she looks to avoid a thirty percent tariff. Shinbaum met yesterday with Republican Congressman Don Bacon and Democrat Rokana. They came away optimistic about the two countries expanding trade and security cooperation. At the same time, President Trump is warning it's getting harder to make a deal with Canada. He posted as much on social media after Canadian Prime Minister Markcarney announced that he'll recognize a Palestinian state at the UN Summit in September. Well, Nathan back here in the US, Dangerous weather is in focus again today. The Northeast heat wave is receding, but a new weather threat is on the way heavy rain and flash flooding in Bloomberg meteor relogist Craig Allen has the details. There is a category three out of four threat for excessive rainfall running right up from Washington, d c. Up ninety five through Baltimore, Philadelphia to about the New York City area and the worst of the rain will be falling during the late Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening commute, and possibly even into Friday morning. This threat, if it materializes, will impact eighteen thousand square miles and the possibility of over twenty two million people impacted by this rainfall for the late afternoon and next twenty four hours. And that's Bloomberg meteorologist Craig Allen, who says thunderstorms could accompany the rain, resulting in as much as two two inches of rainfall per hour. And a political story to end this one, Karen former Vice President Kamala Harris says she will not run for California governor next year. There had been speculations she would. Analys say it leaves open the possibility Harris mounts a third run for the White House in twenty twenty eight. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good Morning, Good morning, Karen. Authorities say the man who killed four people at a Manhattan office building bought the rifle he used in the attack and the car he drove across the country from his supervisor at a Las Vegas casino. Police say Shane Tomorrow fatally shot four people on Monday before killing himself. New York Governor Kathy. Hokle there's nothing that can justify, you know, the intentionality behind someone who travels across many states, you know, loads up his vehicle with a weapon of mass destruction, intent on slaughtering people. Also, he knew exactly what he was doing. And the first of victims was laid to rest yesterday. Julia Hyman, who worked for Roudent Management, was twenty seven years old. Today, funeral services will take place for the NYPD officer killed in the attack, Didero Islam. About two dozen people were taken to the hospital after a Delta Airlines flight encountered severe turbulence that forced it to make an emergency landing in Minneapolis. The airline says Delta Flight fifty six was heading from Salt Lake City to Amsterdam. Russia attack Key with a barrage of drones and missiles overnight, in defiance of President Donald Trump's calls for the Kremlin to reach a truce with the Ukraine. The bombardment killed at least six people, including a child, and injured more than fifty. Pressure is increasing globally to end the war in Gaza. More than twenty Arab and Muslim countries have issued a joint call condemning Hamas for the October seventh terror attacks on Israel and calling for the group to disarm. Meanwhile, you and officials say the worst case scenario of starvation in Gaza is taking place. Scott Paul is the director of Peace and Security at Oxfam America. These Billie authorities need to unlock this in every step of the way if they want. To prevent this this famine from being formally declared and this crisis from deepening to unfathomable levels. Scott Paul with the global confederation ox FAM that works to end poverty and injustice. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg. Karen. All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Flushing Bank. Can here, Sean Stanshower, John can Learning. Good morning. There the baseball trade deadline six o'clock today. The Mets just traded for two relief pitchers and the Yankees out of the reserve outfield. Y'reing the Yanks then host of the rais. There was one run scored in the first seven and a half it is, and then eight runs were. Scored in the next three and a half. Three times. The Yankees tied the game with a Trent Christiaan momron of the eighth and Anthony Volpi homer with one out of the ninth, and a Cody Bellinger RBI triple in the tenth. The game went to the eleventh inning. At Sampa Bay. Bach put the winning run a third in the new Yankee Ryan McMahon was at the plee. Now now they don't have the butt and that forces the Rays to bring the infield in all one this year too. It five by Kaluka hellt it go over his. Head and the Yankees win. Chess Chiz will score. McMahon with the walk off signal had the Yankees and a lil Game win just one of eleven in his boss score. Five to four. Means network Yankees four games behind Toronto, who won nine to eight in Baltimore. The Red Sox game behind the Yanks a thirteen to one route in Minnesota. The Mets in San Diego had just three heads lost five nothings of the road trips, so the Mets sweep the Giants and then get swept by the Padres. Mets stage just ahead. The Phillies lost biggest trade of the day Arizona, since slugging third basement Uhennio Suarez to Seattle, where he played before. Asuarez has thirty six home runs. The Mets got submariner Tyler Rogers from the Giants. His identical twin brother was also dealt by the Reds to the Pirates, and the Mets also acquired another reliever, Ryan Helsley from Minnesota. Mets said that he's still looking for a center fielder. The Yankees, with the pickup of Austin Slater from the White Sox, have now added three position. Players but no pitchers. They could also use help in. Their Bullpen at WNBA rematch of last year's finals in Minnesota. The Lakes beat the Liberty one hundred to ninety three Minnesota a league best twenty three and five. John Stashawa, Bloomberg Sports Karen Tacle. All right, John, thank you. On Bloomberg Daybreak is brought to you by Flushing Bank. Life's more rewarding with Flushing Banks complete cash rewards program for personal and business accounts so twenty nine in New York metro locations. There's nothing more rewarding visiting Flushingbank dot com member fdice. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager on a really good morning for big tech. Following big results and the latest earnings reports. Both Microsoft and Meta platforms are surging pre market after results suggesting the arms race and artificial intelligence spending maybe starting to pay off. Joining us now as someone who's been sounding the drumbeat on the promise of Ai Dan Ives, Global head of Tech Research at Webbush Securities, you must be feeling really good this morning, Dan, and I want to start right off with your latest note on Microsoft. You're raising your price target on the stock to six twenty five. Microsoft's already poised to become another four trillion dollar company this morning. What gets Microsoft to five trillion in your view? Good morning? Yeah, good morning. Look me, I mean me and you have to us for years. I think this is a watershed moment, not just some Microsoft for Meta and what it means for big tech when it comes to the AI revolution hitting its next stiege or growth. Look, Microsoft, I believe Microsoft and Nvidia will be five trillion dollars mark caps in twenty twenty six. We are just starting this next stage of the AI revolution. We saw thirty nine percent sales jump, in particular for Azure Cloud. A big piece of this as well, is that kind of growth sustainable, those kinds of solid double digit sales returns. Look, these are jaw dropping numbers. I mean when you think about Cloud and even some of the strength that we are expecting coming in, it's one where enterprises are lining up with Microsoft given what we're seeing in AI now, Look, will that eventually moderate? Of course, what this essentially means is Microsoft is was creating another company within Microsoft in terms of AI that I believe right now, you know they're kind of leading the race when it comes to cloud, ahead of Amazon of course, you know Google. In terms of what enterprise customers are getting out of that race. Of course, we've seen the strides they've made with Microsoft Copilot. What other use cases do you see Microsoft putting out there for a broader market? Look, I think it's across verticals. I mean that's why you're seeing customers line up and look at Microsoft there now for cap backs. Originally you're an eighty billion, now you're one hundred and twenty million. So as they're expanding, as you saw Alphabet do the same saying this arms race is just starting. But I said, like, look, this is a Scottish shoff for a quarter from Microsoft, but it's not the end. It's actually the beginning of the second, third, fourth derivatives playing out for AI and then bullish for tech. So do you see Microsoft sort of building a moat around what it's doing with AI or could some of its competitors chip away at what they're doing? Yeah, we don't use as. A zero some game, and that's why we're bullish on Amazon and Google, and of course you're in New acad Oracle as well. But on the enterprise that's their backyard, that's where they dominate. And I think the Della and Microsoft they're playing almost another game now than everyone else. And that's what you're seeing in these numbers, execution flawless. They obviously will get wet in the velvet ropes to the Fortune Mark op cloud with the media, but it's just the beginning in terms of the next stage of cloud and AI growth. In terms of what we're seeing out of meta platforms as well, Dan, I wonder what you make of this personal intelligence or personal super intelligence strategy that Mark Zuckerberg's putting out there with his AI vision. I mean, that's how you're going to get to a four digit stock because I think Zuckerberg right now Wartimes CEO focused on really going to full sort of end to end when it comes to the consumer AI revolution. What's amazing about these numbers is just the advertising growth, even the lack of spend there. I mean, this is a company that's transforming right in front of us, and they are going to be front and center as a modernization when it comes to the consumer piece of AI. I love that you call it a lack of spend. I mean, we've seen him putting out, you know, one hundred plus million dollars pay packages for some of these people that he's poached from other companies to join a super intelligence team. He's talking about sixty six to seventy two billion dollars in AI spend. Is that the kind of level that investors can stomach. Look, eventually it will moderate, okay, But but if you look at even just from an investment perspective, in advertising, you just forget about some of those pay packages. I mean, what they're what you're seeing on the advertising growth is is really impressed and in terms of like what they're spending there in capax, and they're different we're seeing in big tech. Look, this is an arms race, and no tech company wants to be on the outside looking in. And that's what's so impressive about what Mett is doing. When Microsoft's doing solid alphabet and I think you'll see what Amazon as well. I mean that this is but it's not just about Max seven. It will spread to the rest of tech. Well. In our last minute or so, let's get to the companies that we are going to be hearing from after the bell today. You mentioned Amazon, We're going to hear from Apple as well. It seems like Apple has been kind of falling behind in terms of where they're going with AI. Yeah. Man, I think that's been the frustration. Right, you have the biggest install based in the world. They need you know, I continue to bleed Perplexity is the accusdition they need to meet. Is not going to happen internally. But I think when it choose to look at Amazon, you can say Amazon a year ago is nowhere now aggressively focused on the AWS and mod tide and when it comes to asapoun cloud because we're talking about what's going to be a tech bullmarker for the next few years, biggest techt theme we've seen in the last forty to fifty years to fourth Industrial Revolution. Apple can't be on the outside looking in. Just quickly you've called for Apple to buy Perplexity and take its AI out from in house. Do you see Tim Cook leaning that way toward an acquis acquisitive stance. Look, you've never done acquisitions really before outside beets, but times are changing. You can't be on a park bench drinking lemonade, while the AI Revolution. Passing you Bay. This is Bloombergy day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray