Global Stocks Hit All-Time Highs; Broadcom Slides as Investors Seek AI Payoff
On today's podcast:
1) Global stock gauges have record highs in their sights after a week in which affirmation that the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate easing cycle remains intact helped clear the way for a year-end rally. Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose as much as 0.5% to a fresh peak. A measure for Asia advanced to less than 2% from its all-time high. S&P 500 futures were slightly lower after the benchmark posted a new closing milestone in the previous session, when gauges for blue-chip and small-cap US stocks also pushed into record territory.
2) Broadcom Inc., a chip company vying with Nvidia Corp. for AI computing revenue, slumped after its sales outlook for the red-hot market failed to meet investors’ lofty expectations. The shares fell about 5% in premarket trading on Friday, following unsettling commentary from Chief Executive Officer Hock Tan on a conference call with analysts. He said the company has a backlog of $73 billion in AI product orders that will be shipped over the next six quarters — a number that disappointed some investors. But Tan sought to clarify that the figure was a “minimum.”
3) President Trump said the US would be willing to contribute assistance to Ukraine as part of a security agreement to end the war with Russia, but continued to express frustration with the pace of talks. Still, he expressed disappointment that Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy had not more readily signed off on an American peace plan, adding to pressure on officials in Kyiv who pushed back on an earlier US proposal seen as too accommodating to Moscow.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today, Karen. Global stocks are trading at a record as we close out the trading week in the US. The S and P five hundred enterst today's session at an all time high, posting its first record close since late October. Bloomberg Markets reporter Valerie Titel has more and what's leading the gains. The equity market rally has been not really about the tech trade, but more about value stocks over growth stocks. Now, this has been a theme of the last month. If we look over the last thirty trading days, the Russell two thousand is up some six percent. Meanwhile the SP five hundred and the Nasdaq are just up around half of one percent. Yes, we did notch those record highs. The new fresh record high the first one for the SP five hundred since October. But it's it's really been led by the. Value stocks, and you have to start wondering whether this is a trend that's going to start continuing into next year. Do we continue to see some of the froth come out of these AI valuations. Bloomberg Markets reporter Valerie Titel notes the Russell two thousand index of the smallest US stocks jumped one point two percent yesterday to close it its own record high. Well, Nathan, we're seeing weakness once again in an AI related stock. A day after Oracle. Plunged almost eleven percent, shares a broadcommer down almost five percent in early trading. The chipmaker's sales outlook for the AI market failed to meet investors' lofty expectations. CEO howk Ton said the company, which competes with Nvidia, has a backlog of seventy three billion dollars in AI product orders, disappointing some investors. He later clarified that figure as a minimum. Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst Kunjen Sabani says the market reaction is surprising. There seems to be an oral fatigue coming into the AI space, but fundamentally, even we just look at Broadcom, this was one of the most strongest AI semis report this quarter. I mean, they beat the AI revenue numbers for next quarter their fiscal one queue by almost one point four billion, which is a twenty percent upside to what the. Street was Bloomberg Intelligences co John Sabani says Broadcom held off on giving an annual AI revenue forecast. Now, Karen, let's turn to the latest on the war in Ukraine. President Trump says the US would be willing to contribute assistance to Ukraine as part of a security agreement to end the conflict. This comes as President Vladimir Zelenski is proposing a referendum that would let Ukrainians vote on whether to hand the Donbass region to Russia. We get more from Bloomberg Senior europe correspondent Oliver Kruk. This is a really interesting approach by Zelenski. I think that it's sort of rooted in the fundamental idea that Zelensky has adopted ever since that terrible meeting in the White House back in February, which is basically, there are no bad ideas out of Washington, DC. So something that even appears intensely confrontational and something that could be collision between the Ukrainians and the Americans, basically Zelenski tries to use the momentum of that idea and put it in a channel that is actually favorable and useful to him. You saw that happen actually twice this week, once on the question of holding elections within Ukraine, now talking about the issue of Dombas. This is clever for two reasons for Zelenski. The first, basically, it would prove that if the Ukrainian people vote against it, and they say listen, we are willing to endure this war, that Zelenski is not the impediment to peace. It is the Ukrainian people who have decided it. But also it puts on full display that this is a democratic nation and that they are going to the people to make the most difficult decisions. Bloomberg's Oliver Crook says the US has dramatically scaled back direct military aid for Ukraine under President Trump. Well, the contingents between the US and Venezuela have hit a new level this week, but the seizure of a massive oil supertanker maybe just the beginning of a new phase of pressure against Venezuelan and President Nicholas Maduro. President Trump says the military campaign against alleged drug trafficking votes from Venezuela has already been working. If you look at the drug traffic. Drug traffic by sea is down ninety two percent and nobody can figure out who the eight percent is, because. I have no idea. Anybody getting involved in that right now is not doing well. And we'll start that on land too. It's going to be starting on land pretty soon. President Trump spoke from the Oval Office. Sources down Bloomberg News. The capture of the sanctioned oil vessel is meant to deny Maduro an economic lifeline and force him to give up power. The Treasury Department has. Already followed up the seizure with sanctions on six crude oil tankers and for of Aduro's so called narco nephews. Well, President Trump's warning to Venezuela came karen as he handed a big win to the tech industry. The President signed an executive order to go after state level regulation of artificial intelligence. President Trump says the industry shouldn't have to navigate a patchwork of AI rules. You have to have a central source of approval when they need approval, So things have to come to one source. They can't go to California, New York, and various other places. President Trump's order directs the Attorney General to set up an AI Litigation Tax Force to sue states if they have laws that are inconsistent with White House policy. It also orders the Commerce Department to publish an evaluation of onerous state laws within ninety days. Let's turn to the economy now, Nathan. The Federal Reserve Board of Governors has unanimously reappointed eleven of the Central banks regional presidents to new five year terms. The reappointments resolve for now a key question surrounding the future makeup of the Central Banks policy making committee. In Europe, Care and the UK economy disappointed again, contracting in October for the fourth straight month without growth growth domestic product fell one tenth of one percent. The UK's GDP has only grown in one of the last seven months. Well. Staying in Europe, Nathan shares a UBS trading at a seventeen year high. A group of influential lawmakers proposed watering down the capital demands that Switzerland wants to impose on the bank and shares of UBS They're up more than four percent. And shares of Lululemon back here in the US, Karen are up more than nine and a half percent. The pricey yoga wear brand raised its full year outlook. Lululemon also says CEO Calvin McDonald is stepping down as the company looks to reignite growth amid pressure from competition and Lululemon's founder. Shares of Costco Nathan They rose more than one percent in late trading. The country's biggest warehouse club operator posted profit that beat analyst estimates. Analysts say it's a sign that price sensitive shoppers are continuing to search for value and. One more company to keep an eye on Karen. That would be Uber. The ride share giant, says it expects to offer Robotaxi in more than ten markets by the end of the year. Uber is looking to become a dominant force in an industry that it estimates will eventually be worth at least one trillion dollars. We spoke with Uber CEO Derek Kasershahi. The technology is absolutely getting there. These are the robot driver doesn't get tired, doesn't get distracted, and we very much look forward to working with various authorities to introduce raw chair into the markets. We're now live in four markets now as we speak, in the US and in the Middle East. Ouber CEO Derek Kasershah. He says possible new. Locations for Arlbo taxi services include Hong Kong and Japan. For the full conversation, head to the Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube. And it's time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good Morning, Good morning, Karen. Senators rejected a Democratic bill to extend the Affordable Care Act subsidies for three years and a Republican alternative that would have created new health savings accounts. Millions of Americans will likely see a steep rise in costs. At the beginning of the year, Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer. Senate Republicans just shove the American people off the side of a cliff with no parachute and with an anchor tied to their feet. President Trump struck a bipartisan tone and teased a plan to work on healthcare with subsidies set to expire on January first. I look forward to working with each and every one of you in the coming year to make our nation stronger, safer, wealthier, healthier, and I really believe we can work on healthcare. Together and come up with something that's going to. Be much better, much less expensive for the people, less expensive. For our nation. President Trump made his comments while hosting lawmakers at the White House for the annual congressional ball ahead of Christmas. Indiana Republican senators voted down a new congressional map created to give the GOP and advantage in the upcoming twenty twenty sixth election. Twenty one GOP senators joined ten Democrats in voting against the map Thursday. Senate President pro Tem Roderick Bray says while he wants a Republican majority in Congress, this is not the way to do. It, friends of opinion on how we get there, as I have explained before, because there are some concerns that going this route is not the best way to get more conservative representation in Washington, d C. From the state of Indiana. President Trump has been urging Republicans to redraw their maps to help the GOP maintain control of the House. The Utah man charged with killing conservative activist Charlie Kirk has made his first in person court appearance. Tyler Robinson's attorneys are pushing to further limit media access, saying it could interfere with his right to a fair trial. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now Michael barn this is Bloomberg camt. Thanks Michael all time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thank Darren good One. On Thursday night football in the NFC South Tampa Bay and needing the wind to stay in first place on the Bucks led the Falcons by two touchdowns on the fourth quarter, back came Atlanta on a Zane Gonzalez forty three yard field goal. At the end, the Falcons won twenty nine to twenty eight. The Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts had one hundred and sixty six yards and three touchdowns. DJ Watt the Steelers pass rusher hospitalized during this week. He has long discomfort, but they say he still may play with a Monday night game against Miami. That's your Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Day Break coming up after. This Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Stocks look set to end the week near record territory, but the AI trade may still be looking a bit shaky after the latest results from Broadcom. The chip maker came out with pretty strong earnings, but CEO hawk Ton says it's tough to know what the future holds. It's hard for me to pinpoint one twenty six is going to look like precisely, so I'd rather not give you guys any guidance. And that's why we don't give you guys it, but. We do give it. Pull to one. That was Broadcom CEO Hocton on the earnings call following the third quarter results, and we're joined now by Bloomberg Markets reporter Valerie Titel. And Valerie, it seems like the AI order backlog in particular seemed to be a big disappointment in particular for investors this morning. Yeah, good morning, Nathan. In broadcoms in case, it was an order backlog that did disappoint investors as well as what you mentioned that they failed to give a revenue forecast for twenty twenty six when it comes to their revenue, sorry, their order backlog. They said they only had seventy three billion in backlog over the next six quarters. The CEO on the conference call went to clarify later that that is a minimum that they see, but still it's highlighting concerns, especially around Broadcom about tightening profit margins, which has been a key concern for this AI chip maker. Broadcom competes with the likes of Nvidia for selling the most advanced AI chips in that space. So again, some jitters in the tech trade today, and we did see. It yesterday as well. Yeah, I mean, but this stock has rallied one hundred and seventy percent this year. Is this a situation where this might have been kind of priced to perfection when it comes to Broadcom, You. Know, that can be the case, But I think you can argue that for a lot of these AI tech stocks who are trying to guide the market on what twenty twenty six could look like, there has been a lot priced into many of these names, and generally there's been a lot priced in to. The tech sector. You could see that as one of the reasons why we've seen this last leg of the rally really not be led by these megacap tech names. You know, Previously, when we were notching all these record highs in the S and P five hundred, tech was the main reason behind it, and it seems like in the month of November we've been able to notch a fresh record high now without big tech behind it. Yesterday, take a look at the Russell two thousand was up one point two percent by the end of Wall Street closed, the NASDAC was down around four tenths of one percent, and we still notched a record high in the broad S and P five hundred. This rotation has really been a key art of December's price action. Nathan, take a look over the last thirty trading days. The Russell two thousand is up close to six percent NASDAC and the S and P are up around five tenths of one percent, So the sector rocitation is still continuing even in the futures trade this morning. What does it seem like is driving this rotation? Is it skepticism around artificial intelligence or is it some other f factor at play here? Well, I just I want to add in it is December. December is a weird month when it comes to positioning and those wanting to cut losses or sorry, cut their winners as soon as they start to see losses in them. So perhaps this is just a reallocation going on in December, and it's maybe caused a lot of those portfolio managers to be in some pain on their calls on these sectors. And so when people take profit, sometimes you see this kind of price action headed into your end. But the thing that makes me nervous, Nathan, is that next week is a unusual third week of December because we have so much data and three big central banks also making decisions. We have the delayed non farm payroll release and the delayed CPI which essentially are going to be treated by the market as double reports. So we have a heck of a lot of data before we close up twenty twenty five. And perhaps you have portfolio managers out there wanting to take profit on some of their winning trades, and that would have been some of these big megacap tech stocks of recent weeks. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. Get to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news, whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day. Ray