Trump Presses Senators to Embrace House Tax Bill; OECD Warns on Tariffs
On today's podcast:
1) President Donald Trump worked the phones Monday and took to social media to try to sway Republican holdouts on his multi-trillion dollar tax bill, encountering conflicting demands from GOP senators even as he urged them to move swiftly.
2) Donald Trump’s combative trade policies have tipped the world economy into a downturn, with the US among the hardest hit, the OECD said.
3) Far-right lawmaker Geert Wilders pulled his Freedom Party out of the Netherlands’ ruling coalition, collapsing the government and likely triggering a snap election.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin in Washington, where President Donald Trump has been working the phones and social media trying to get Republicans in the Senate behind his multi trillion dollar tax and spending cut bill. The legislation passed the House by just one vote last month. The President can afford to lose no more than three votes in the Senate. Republican leaders plan to make many of the temporary tax cuts in the House bill permanent. North Dakota Republican Kevin Kramer says that will be key. The biggest piece of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act from twenty seventeen that we need to fix is to make those tax cuts permanent. Those are pro growth tax cuts, and if we want to make a dynamic economy even more dynamic, I think that's got to be the that's got to be sort of the foundation of it all. Republican Senator Kevin Kramer spoke on Blue Brigs balance of power, but extending those tax cuts could put fiscal hawks ad odds with moderate Republicans who are concerned about the bill's cuts to Medicaid, which could encoverage for about seven point seven million Americans. President Trump is pushing for the bill to reach his desk by the fourth of July, but any changes in the Senate would mean the House would have to take up the bill again. Nathan, we may soon see the impact of President Trump's trade war on the global economy, and we give the details with Bloomberg, John Tucker, John good Mardy. Morning Karen. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development has slashed its annual global growth forecast and it says the United States will be especially hard hit. It places the blame squarely on US tariffs. The OECD downgraded it's twenty twenty five growth forecast for the US from two point two percent to one point six percent, and they say the world's biggest economy is expected to slow further next year to one and a half percent. This is a club of thirty eight rich nations. It says the combination of trade barriers and uncertainty or hitting confidence holding back the investment will also warning that protectionism is adding to inflationary pressures for the US. The oec D sis curbs on immigration and a sizeable reduction of the federal workforce add to the trade related drag in the economy. It also cautioned that the budget deficit will expand further as the impact of weaker economic activity will more than offset spending cuts and any revenues from tariffs. In New Yorkome, John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, thanks, so you do have some developments on the trade wars this morning. The White House says President Trump and Chinese President Si Jinping are likely to speak this week, and Beijing has not commented on the prospect of a direct conversation. But we get more from Bloomberg News Senior editor Bill Ferries. It's not clear to me who's going to blink first here in this battle when you talk about the trade side. Countries now know that there's a chance that some of Trump's tariffs aren't even legal. The courts have ruled against it. We'll wait and see how that plays out. But the president's leverage I think has shrunk over the last week or two weeks or so, and I think a lot of his adversaries and friends who are negotiating over tariffs know that. When Bloomberg's Bill Ferry says Washington and Beijing I have traded accusations they violated the terms of last month's broad agreement that saw both sides reduce tariffs from astronomical highs. Well Nathan, a former White House official, says any potential trade deal between the world's top two economies hinges on Donald Trump and Chi Jinping overcoming core differences in their negotiation styles. We caught up with former acting White House Chief of Staff McK mulvaney. Trump wants to talk at the very highest levels. That's not always how the Chinese want to do business, and it'd be curious to see if they're able to make any headway. Trump doesn't want to go through the back channels. They just don't want to go through the ordinary course of business. That's never been his style as a leader, being in business or in his first term in office. He wants to talk to the principal. He wants to talk to President She himself. And former Acting White House Chief of Staff McK mulvaney also served as President Trump's budget director during his first term. Well All deals with China and the European Union provolusive Karen Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnix says he expects the US and India to strike a trade agreement before higher tariffs kick in. On July ninth, Lutnik spoke at the US India Strategic Partnership Forum in Washington. Earlier countries get a better deal, That's the way it is. So those who come in, you know, July fourth to July ninth is just going to be a pile, right, right, But those who are earlier, and I think India is trying hard to be one of the earlier countries, which I appreciate. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnix says both countries are discussing bringing their tariff rates down to a reasonable level. He says President Trump's strong personal relationship with Indian Prime Minister Narendramodi has made an easier path to trade negotiations. Now Nathan to the latest on efforts to end the war in Ukraine. Russia and Ukraine held the second round of talks in Istanbul, but failed to reach a peace agreement. The two sides did lay the roundwork for a new prisoner swamp begin More from Bloomberg Russian Economics and Government editor Greg Sullivan. The Prisoner Exchange was the biggest element that came out of this. Obviously, there was some talk about a ceasefire, and both sides did exchange what they called memorandums outlining what they need to reach either a temporary ceasefire or a full peace, but that was not met at this meeting. They instead exchanged these proposals, agreed to study them, and the big thing that came out was an agreement to prepare the groundwork for a prisoner exchange. Now the prisoners that they agreed to exchange are the heavily wounded, those that are young under the age of twenty five, as well as some war did. And Bloomberg's Greg Sullivan says Russia presented peace proposals that include Ukraine's surrendering control of territory and four partially occupied regions, while Ukraine demanded an unconditional truce and proposed another meeting later this month. Now to a developing story in Europe, Karen, the government in the Netherlands has collapsed. Far right lawmaker Garrett Wilders announced on social media that he's pulling his Freedom part already out of the country's ruling coalition because the three other main parties refuse to agree to his plans to curb migration. We get more from Bloomberg's Oliver Crook. Last week here Bilders put forward a ten point plan on immigration. These points included using the military basically to guard the land borders of the Netherlands, turning away all asylum seekers, temporarily halting family reunification, also sending Syrians back to Syria, which he considers now a safe place for refugees and other migrants to be sent back. He said that if the majority of these ten points are not agreed to by the government, yesterday he threatened to pull out of the government, and today on x we have him saying no signature for our asylum plans, no changes to the main outline agreement. And Bloomberg's Oliver Quik reports this move now forces the Netherlands into a snap election. The next vote wasn't scheduled for another two years. Well, we turned to the Marcus now Nathan, where futures are lower following yesterday's gains on Wall Street. In company news, there's more job cuts in Microsoft. The tech giant is cutting hundreds of jobs in Microsoft spokesperson sent the latest head count reduction is in addition to the six thousand job cuts that were announced last month, and Microsoft's trying to trim costs even as it plows billions of dollars into artificial intelligence. And Disney's cutting jobs as well, Karen, that company's laying off several hundred employees across its film and TV divisions. Disney's latest reductions follow roughly two hundred job cuts across the ABC and Entertainment TV networks from March. In all, Disney's eliminated more than eight thousand positions in recent years as it seeks to improve profitability. Time now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberry's Michael Barr. Michael, good Morning, Good morning, Karen. Criminal charges have been unveiled against the suspect and the Boulder, Colorado flamethrower attack. Forty five year old Mohammed Soliman now faces a federal hate crime charge and sixteen counts of attempted murder in the first degree from the state in Sunday's attack. Boulder District Attorney Michael Doherty. Boulder is a beautiful and special place, but when not immune from mass violence or hate crimes, including violent acts of anti Semitism that impact far too many communities across this country. Officials saying the suspect yelled free Palestine as he launched the attack. A former personal assistant to Sean Diddy Combs, who says he raped her, defended the text messages she sent to him for years after her job ended in twenty seventeen, saying she was brainwashed. The testimony at the Music Moguls sex trafficking and racketeering trial came Monday, as a woman testifying under the pseudonym Mia, spent a third day on the witness stand. The trial entered its fourth week of witness testimony. The fifty five year old Combs as pleaded not guilty to charges. Good news for New Jersey's Newark Airport. A newly constructed runway is open and more planes will soon be cleared for takeoff and landing. This comes after recent headaches at Newark at delayed passengers for hours and led to widespread cancelations. A telecommunications outage, which led to air traffic controllers taking leave, also contributed to the delays. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy was there for Monday's unveiling. It can't be fixed overnight. It takes time to train up on this airspace. But we've addressed the problem by bringing more controllers to train up in the Philly Tree con That again controls Newark. Here Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg. Karen. All right, Michael Barry, thank you time now for our Bloomberg Scores update, brought to you by Flushing Bank. And here's John stash Hour, John, good morning. Good morning, Karen. The Metz road triple end in Denver against the halfless Rockies, but it began with a four game series in Los Angeles against the world champion Dodgers at the site where last season ended for the Mets in the NLCS. The series and road trip could not have had a better start. And he gets this one of the year in a deep right field. Teoscarnis goes back, takes a look at it's out of here from a sixth ton. This year, Francisco Lindor has let off a game with a home run number fourteen for Lindor, six leadoff home mons times and with Otani for the most in baseball, and just like that, the Mets jump in front on Sny showey Otani later homer for La his twenty third. Dodgers tied the game bottom of the ninth first blown save of the year for Edwin Diaz. He had been thirteen for thirteen. Mets scored twice to the tenth Inny. Dodgers got one back Mets one, four to three. They've won twenty seven games in a row when Lindor has homered. At Fenway, the Angels hit three home runs and a six to one first inning, then held on beat the Red Sox seven to six. Saturday. When the Yankees lost that game to the Dodgers eighteen to two, they wanted to give their closer, Luke Weavers some he heard his hamstring. Weavers going to be out for four to six weeks. He's been sensational out of the bullpen, pitching to an era just over one. Quarterfinals begin this morning at the French Open up first the women's top seed Arena Sablenka, yet to lose the set, and today trying to reach a Grand Slam semifinal for the ninth time in her last ten Slams. Two Americans are still in the men's singles. Francis Tiafo plays today, and then Tommy Paul takes on defending Champ Carlos Alcareza. Blow to the. Detroit Lions, who went fifteen to two last season. There. Four time Pro Bowl center Frank ragnow citing health concerns, retiring at age twenty nine after only seven seasons. A new GM for the Utah Jazz a familiar last name, Austin Ainge. His father Danny hired him. He's the team CEO. Austin Ainge had been the Celtics assistant GM. John Staneshawer Bloomberg Sports, Ken. Nacom Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. President Donald Trump's putting pressure on Senate Republicans to pass the Houses so called one big, beautiful bill of tax and spending cuts and get it to his desk by the fourth of July. But that deadline's just thirty one days away, and fiscal hawks like Kentucky Republican Rand Paul are saying they won't be swayed unless they see even bigger spending cuts. It's just not a conservative thing to do. And I told him I can't support the building. I was Kentucky Senator Ran Paul joining us now is Bloomberg new senior editor Bill Ferries. And Bill. It sounds like as this debate shifts to the Senate, a lot of the same dynamics that we're in play at the House are still in play, the fight between getting bigger tax cuts and bigger spending cuts. Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. Yeah. I mean when this bill and it was a you know, it was a dogfight to get it through the House. When it went over to the Senate, there were already Republicans speaking out about a number of different provisions in the legislation you mentioned and the tax cuts. There's a concern about the Medicare Medicaid impacts from this. There's estimates that maybe seven to seven and a half million people might find themselves without Medicaid coverage if this legislation passes as it is. That's something that some Republican senators are saying is going too far, and then on the other hand, you have people who are you know, you have Tom Tillis or I'm sorry, Kevin Kramer from North Carolina who's looking at the salt deductions that passed the House, that's the state and local tax deductions and saying, you know, it was at ten thousand dollars, it's now in the House bill forty thousand. Maybe there's some room for negotiation in between there. That's going to be really alarming news to a lot of Republicans in the Northeast who really fought for much more than forty thousand dollars. So quite a bit of horse trading that's going to probably go on here. The Senate Republicans can really only afford to lose I think three votes for the legislation to pass. If they change it, it goes back to the House. And I don't want to say we're at square one, but it's going to drag things out past the president's deadline. So how important is it for the president to get this legislation done by the fourth of July. How much sway does he have on these lawmakers when there really is such a thin margin for error. You know, President Trump has always shown an ability to really twist arms when it comes down to crunch time. So I think he will give the Senate time to come up with a draft bill. I think we even heard that. I think Tom Tillis was talking about having some kind of a draft out there by this weekend. So you'll start to get feedback on that. They'll start to work it. But you know, I think as we creep up on July fourth, if it doesn't look like something has gotten the consensus from both sides of Capitol Hill, I think the President's going to have to really weigh in hard. And even then, July fourth is going to be a tight deadline. On the subject of twisting arms. It sounds like that's what the President's try to do as well, with Chinese President Xi Jinping talking about getting on the phone with him as soon as this week, Is there any evidence though that these two leaders could get to talking with both sides still pretty far apart on the trade front. Yeah, So, first of all, the Chinese never talk about this stuff. They never preview calls or anything like that more than maybe a few hours in advance. But I was looking back through our coverage, this is the third time in recent months that the President of the White House has said they want to have or they expect to have a call with Shi Jinping soon or eminently. It hasn't happened yet. And really US China ties have actually been kind of worsening over the past couple of weeks. We saw the US restricting sales of jet parts to China, the software used to design chips, and we've seen them canceling student visas the Chinese. The Chinese on the other side, are you know, they've looked at restraint or slowing down the sale of rare earth minerals to the US. Both sides have complaints. I don't know if that means a talk call is more likely or less likely. We'll have to see how this plays out. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or manywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg de Break