US and EU Reach Tariff Deal; US and China Hold Trade Talks On today's podcast:
On today's podcast:
1) The US and European Union agreed on a hard-fought deal that will see the bloc face 15% tariffs on most of its exports, including automobiles, staving off a trade war that could have delivered a hammer blow to the global economy.
2) US and Chinese officials are meeting Monday to extend their tariff detente beyond a mid-August deadline, and haggle over other ways to further defuse trade tensions.
3) Wall Street pros are staring down a pivotal week that will likely set the tone for the rest of the year in markets and the economy.First and foremost is the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday, and although it isn’t expected to cut interest rates, traders and investors will be poring over commentary for clues about the path ahead. Then there’s a string of Big Tech earnings with Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc., Meta Platforms Inc. and Microsoft Corp. all reporting. And sprinkled throughout are some key indicators on the state of the economy, from gross domestic product to nonfarm payrolls.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today, Karen. The jump in futures comes as the US and the European Union have agreed to a deal that will see fifteen percent tariffs on most EU imports into the US. The deal staves off an escalation and hostilities in the world's biggest trading relationship, but many details still need to be ironed out. President Trump announced the deal alongside European Commissioned President Ursula Vonderline during his trip to Scotland. We've reached a deal. It's a good deal for everybody, I believe, and I think you were saying this is. Probably the biggest deal ever. Reached in any capacity trade or beyond true it is. That's it's a giant deal with lots of countries. And Bloomberg's Lizzie Burden is covering the president's trip. She has more from Hernbury, Scotland. We await the details, but what we know is that fifteen percent is all inclusive, so Trump can't be stacking extra levies on specific industries like drugs and chips and cars, and without a deal, Boombog Economics had estimated that the US average effective tariff rate in the EU would have been eighteen percent from Friday from the August the first deadline. Now that's about sixteen percent, and Vonderlyon admits that this is the best she could get. Now, how did they get it over the line. Well, as a sweetener a bit like Japan had to offer, there was an agreement to buy seven hundred and fifty billion dollars of American energy products, to invest six hundred billion dollars in the US on top of existing expenditures, and to buy vast amounts of military equipment. And as film versus. Lizzie Burden reporting from Scotland, where President Trump will meet with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer later today. The British leader will be looking to finalize his trade with the US and push for a lasting ceasefire in Gaza. On top of all that, Karen US and Chinese officials are meeting in Sweden today to extend their trade truce beyond it's August twelfth deadline. It'll be the third meeting in less than three months for Treasury Secretary Scott Besant and Chinese Vice Premier Huh Lee Fang. Bloomberg's Oliver Crook is in Stockholm covering that meeting. The expectations will. Be somewhat more muted than what we got in Scotland with the EU, which was amounted to the beginning of the framework of a comprehensive deal between the EU and the United States. This is really just an ability, an endeavor to kick the can a little bit further down the road, because if just to remind everybody where we are on the US China tariffs, they were at one hundred and twenty five percent. They were then reduced now to the level that they rest at, which is thirty percent. But that trade truce was basically set to run out on August the twelfth, which is, as we know, just about a week and a half away from here. This is an. Opportunity for them to begin to discuss some of the main sort of issues to get a full deal, but really also to extend that truce for another likely ninety data. Bloomberg Zoali Crook says any breakthrough today could help set the stage for President Trump to meet with his Chinese counterpart, She Jinping later this year. Nathan questions about the Jeffrey Epstein case are following President Trump. On his trip, the President was asked whether he rushed to deal with the EU to draw attention away from the matter. Oh, you got to be kidding with it. No, I had nothing to do with it. Only you would think that. But back in Washington, a pair of lawmakers have come together on a bill that would force the House to vote on releasing more documents about the pedophile financeer Republican Thomas Massey. It would force a full release of the files. It has the force of law. It's not a subpoena, it's not a pretty please would you release the files. It's the force of law, and it's got protections to redact victims' names and to prevent release of child pornography. And Democrat Rocana. Pam Bondi says there's a client list that she says, no, it's just a file. She's going to release them. I didn't criticize them at all those first few months. But when they refuse to release the files, when they said there's nothing more to say, that's when we said transparency demands the full release of the files. Congress Members Rocanna and Thomas Massey appeared on ABC's This Week, which can be heard every Sunday on Bloomberg Radio. Turning to the economy, Now, Karen, we have two key events awaiting investors this week. On Wednesday, the Fed makes a rate decision that'll be followed two days later by the July jobs report. We get a preview from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. It's a little like having dessert first. The Fed meets on interest rates Wednesday, not expected to change anything. Inflation is rising a little, but Trump's import tax increases haven't really hit the economy yet. Investors are hoping the Central Bank will hint at a move in September. That will depend on the data. Of course, if job growth weekends further or unemployment rises further, that could prompt a rate cut. Economists are forecasting both happened during July, but July's jobs report isn't due until Friday, after the Fed meets. Michael McKee Bloomberg Radio. All right, Mike, thank you. It's also a busy week on the earnings front. Four tech giants will lead the way, and we get a preview with Bloomberg's Charlie. Pellin Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and METAP platforms will be among this week's most closely watched, with AI and tariff some major focus. John Stoltzfus's chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer. So, you know, we think this is so far, so good. That's the remarkable thing, and we like our call where it is in terms of being bullish, but at the same time recognizing that there's still some risk within this tariff regime and where it arrives at. Also this week, United Health, Boeing, Visa, along with eBay, Cloud Flare, Starbucks, ups, Exon Mobile, and Chevron. In New York Charlie Pellett's Bloomberg Radio, all right, Charlie, thank you. And in more company news, Samsung will produce semiconductors for Tesla. It's a sixteen and a half billion dollar deal lasting until twenty twenty three, twenty thirty three. I should say the contract is a win for or, South Korea's largest company. It's steadily been losing ground in chip manufacturing. Bloomberg Intelligence says the agreement could boost Samsung's foundry sales by up to ten percent a year. In a social media post, Tesla CEO Elon Musk said the strategic importance of the deal was hard to overstate. Time now for a look at some of the o their stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good morning, Good morning, Karen. It is another hot and humid day in the Northeast. Bloomberg Mediing religist Craig Allen has the latest. Over two dozen states with heat alerts in effect for today right on through the mid portion of the week, over one hundred million people with some kind of an alert. There will be about twenty million people across the southeast and East central States in an extreme heat risk right on through Thursday. Bloomberg Meeting religist Craig Allen. Temperatures are expected to reach close to the mid nineties for the next several days. Israel's military has begun a limited pause in fighting in three populated areas of Gaza for ten hours a day as part of humanitarian measures, including air drops for food and medical supplies as concerns grow over hunger. Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin et Yahoo blamed Hamas for stealing aid and called on the United nations to distribute it more effectively. Stop lying, stop finding excuses, do what you have to do, and stop accusing Israel deliberately of this egregious falsehood. Several international organizations and doctors volunteering at hospitals in Gaza reports starvation deaths among Palestinians there. Doctor Nick Maynard, a surgeon based in the United Kingdom, volunteers in Gaza every time. It's much worse than I expected. And the conditions that I witnessed with my own eyes over the four weeks I was there until just a few days ago, the human mianitarian conditions are unfathomable. Doctor Maynard said. Other doctors have brought in baby formula, only to have it confiscated by IDF soldiers. Prosecutors say they plan to file terrorism and assault with intent to murder charges against the suspect. And a weekend NiFe attack at a Walmart store in Michigan, eleven people were stabbed over the weekend at the store in Traverse City. All are expected to survive. Authorities say forty two year old Bradford Gilly is in custody. Police say a group of bystanders intervened and detained the suspect in the parking lot. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg. Karen. All right, Michael, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Flushing Bank. Here's Dan Schwartzman. Dan, good morning, Good morning, Kroon and Nathan. Five new members are welcomed into the National Baseball Hall of Fame, each ro Suzuki becoming the first Japanese born player enshrined each row, joined by CC Sabathia, Billy Wagner, and both Dick Allen and Dave Parker, posthumously one of the best potential trade candidates leading up to Baseball's trade deadline this Thursday, will be off the market as last season's al Cian Award runner up Seth Lugo and the Royals are finalizing a two year, forty six million dollar contract. The Yankee snapping the three game losing streak of the four to three winner of the Phillies in the Bronx ground. It tap back down the right beild line that'll. Go over the car. Standing scores Chishom scores. Domingos will stop at third. It's a two run. Double for McMahon and the Yankees of todde the score. That's Kurzy the Yes Network. Ry McMahon going two for three while driving in two runs. Metts winners a seven trade after sweeping the Giants in San Francisco five to three, Mets getting homers from both Juan Soto and Ronnie Maurizio. Elsewhere, Red Sox outlasting the Dodgers four to three, Orioles knocking off the Rockies five to one, while the Nationals beat the Twins seven to two. Meanwhile, baseball's home run leader Cal Rawley hitting his forty first of the season and a Mariners lost to the Angels, while Mike Trout reaches a milestone to. Centerfield rod Dy guys, rock Chap. That's lay Wow. That's courtesy of Roku Sports Channel. Trout driving in his one thousandth runner with a home run in the win. Bubba Wallace becoming the first black driver to win a major race on Indianapolis Motor Speedway, winning the Breakyard four hundred, holding off defending champion Kyle Larson for the win. The Atcher Bloomberg Sports Update pom, Dan Schwartzman, Karen and. Nathan coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius Exam and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business Appum. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. After months of hard fought negotiations, President Trump and European Commissioned President Ursula Vonderliners celebrating their trade deal days before the US President's tariff deadline this Friday. It's a very powerful deal. It's a very big deal. It's the biggest of all the deals. It will be the biggest of all the deals. It will bring stability, it will bring predictability that's very important for our businesses on both sides of the Atlantic. President's Vonderline and Trump announced the agreement at President Trump's golf course in Turnbury, Scotland. Joining us with the details is Bloomberg News Global Trade Editor Brendan Murray. And of course, Brendan, the devil always is in the details. So what's the devil we know? Good morning morning. Yeah, So, the as one former trade negotiator told us, the EU played a bad hand about as well as it could have no country likes to see it. It's tariff from another country go up to even fifteen percent, but still that was half of what the EU was facing from President Trump. So there's a sense that they got about as good as a deal as any other country they could have gotten. Their auto tariffs. The European cars now face of fifteen percent tariff where before it was twenty seven point five, so they can point to a bit of relief there, But the European auto industry is still says this is still going to put some strains on them and their ability to sell cars into the US. So there was a little bit of a little bit of concessions on both sides. Both leaders walked away saying this is a win for both of us. But as you said, the devil is in the details, and there are a lot of details to sort out here just exactly how the breakdown of the European purchases is going to is going to show us. President Trump said this was going to lead to seven hundred and fifty billion dollars worth of energy exports from the US to Europe and six hundred billion dollars worth of investments that they weren't already going to make so we need to know what the timetable is on those and the breakdown of energy products and what kinds of investments we're talking about. So it sounds like a lot of similar questions to what's being asked about the five hundred and fifty billion dollar investment agreement that we heard about with Japan as well. So walk us through what we are looking for from these details. Well, the two sides. I mean, the main thing that they did was that things are not going to escalate on August first, and so that means that the tariff of thirty percent is not going to take effect. They will spend the coming weeks going through the fine print and carrying out the sort of broad outlines of this preliminary deal that they've announced. So obviously things can change and people can misunderstand what their intentions are. But if they keep working at the negotiating table, they can iron out this deal that President Trump says is the biggest of all of them. But once you add it all up, we'll want to take a look under the microscope at what exactly the fine princess. I guess there's still a question as well, isn't there about some of the other sectoral tariffs besides automobiles, particularly around pharmaceuticals and stealing aluminum. Yeah, exactly, So the pharmaceuticals, stealing aluminum, cars, semiconductors, those are all being dealt with under a separate authority. The President has to impose tariffs. So they've dealt with the cars at fifteen percent. There's also a pledge in yesterday's agreement to keep pharmaceuticals at fifteen percent. But the other question is now what happens with semiconductors. There is a you know, there are some there's a large Dutch semiconductor maker that would you know, have a lot at stake in in what that tariff rate would be. There's also copper tariffs coming and those you know, we don't know how broad those are going to be, but there was Europe is a big supplier of machinery and chemicals and industrial supplies to the US, so copper tariffs are also going to be factored in here in the overall tariff burden that European exports are going to face trying to get into the US market. In our last minute, Brendan, we're waiting for a third round of talks between the US and China. What should we be expecting there? Yeah, those are getting up underway in a few hours. We wouldn't did, and they last through tomorrow. This is basically the first in what the US hopes will be a regular conversation with their counterparts in China to make sure that the relationship, the rivalry stays stable and that neither side starts escalating things or limiting the exports of certain things that the other party needs. And so we would expect this to be a dialogue that produces an extension of the truth that they already have. So we're looking at maybe another ninety days into what would be no November of both sides saying we're not going to raise tariffs on each other, and that will provide some stability as the two largest economies try to sort their problems out. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager joined us at and tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg day Break. H