US Debt Concern After Tax Bill's Passage; President Trump's Harvard Fight
On today's podcast:
1) President Trump's tax cut bill heads to the Senate, but it may have to satisfy bond markets first. Bonds and the dollar rose, with 30-year yields falling after approaching levels last seen in 2007, as investors worried about the US's surging debt load and fiscal concerns.
2) The White House ramps up its fight with Harvard, blocking foreign students from enrolling. The Trump administration has revoked Harvard University's ability to enroll international students, making up about 27% of the student body, citing the university's failure to condemn antisemitism. The move is seen as a direct attack on Harvard's revenue source, tuition, and may prompt the university to seek a temporary restraining order to block the ban.
3) A new survey says U-S businesses will be hardest hit by President Trump's tariffs. US businesses are the most worried about the impact of President Donald Trump’s shifting tariff policies on their revenues, with more than half projecting a hit of at least 25% to their revenue, according to a survey by HSBC Holdings Plc.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Lisa Matteo. Here are the top stories we're following today. Lisa, we begin in Washington, d C. Where President Trump's massive tax and spending cut bill has taken its first big stamp on Capitol Hill. It is moving on to the Senate. After the mix of tax breaks and cuts to social programs past the House by the thinnest of margins. House Speaker Mike Johnson says he's confident it's going to get done. We stand ready to continue our work together to deliver on the one big, beautiful Bill, as President Trump named it himself. We're going to send that to his desk. We're going to get there by Independence Day on July fourth, and we are going to celebrate a new golden age in America. But before that happens, for House Speaker Mike Johnson, lawmakers may have to satisfy bond investors. The yield on thirty year treasuries is back above five percent on concerns the bill will add to the nations already ballooning deficit. Sima Shaw is Chief Global Strategistic Principal asset management. Increasingly, it feels like this administration is going to have to confront the problems because the bond market has lost patients, and it's really going to force the issue through to make sure that there is some realization that continuing to expand its deficit its debt numbers indefinitely is simply not something which can continue. Seemashaw with principal asset Now. The Trump administration argues the bill will boost business sentiment and unleash economic growth, but higher treasury yields could make it more expensive to. Borrow and pile on even more to the government's stat. Nathan Now the latest on another major story in the nation's capital, the killing of two Israeli em Bessy staffers at a Jewish museum. The suspect, thirty one year old Elias Rodriguez, made his first court appearance on two counts of murder, murder of foreign officials, and firearms charges. He didn't enter a plea, but interim US attorney for DC, Janine Piro, says the case is being investigated as a hate crime and an act of terrorism. This is the kind of case that picts at old sores and old scars because these kinds of cases remind us of what has happened in the past that we can never and must never forget. Interim US attorney Janine Piro says the case is eligible for the death penalty, but prosecutors haven't said whether they'll pursue it it. Surreal's ambassador says victims Iran Lishinsky and Sarah Milgrim were about to be engaged in Jerusalem next week. Charging documents say the suspect told police he did it for Palestine. He's been ordered to remain in custody until next hearing on June eighteenth. And Lisa. The Trump administration is making another big move against Harvard, revoking the university's ability to enroll international students. It says thousands of current students now to transfer to other schools or leave the country. The Department of Homeland Security says Harvard has created an unsafe campus environment by allowing anti American pro terrorist agitators to assault Jewish students on campus. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers is Harvard's president. Emeridith this is. Vicious, it is illegal, it is unwise, and it is very damaging. Why does it make any sense at all? To stop six thousand enormously talented young people who want to come to the United States to study from having that opportunity. Former Harvard president Larry Summers told Bloomberg, quote, this is the stuff of tyranny. The Homeland Security Department also accuses the university of coordinating with the Chinese Communist Party, saying it hosted and trained members of a Chinese paramilitary group as recently his last year. Well. Meanwhile, Columbia University also under continued scrutiny by the Trump administration. A government inquiry, it's found the Ivy League school violated federal civil rights law by acting with quote deliberate indifference toward the harassment of its Jewish students. Columbia has stated that it is quote deeply committed to combating anti Semitism and all forms of harassment and discrimination on our campus. All right, let's turn to markets now. Lisa stocks are on track for their worst week and more than a month, and bond markets, as we said, are reflecting investor concerns about ballooning US debt and deficits. Kathy Jones is chief fixed income strategist at Schwab Center for Financial Research. The initial catalyst, or the immediate catalyst, was the budget bill, which was kind of a final straw for the market saying Okay, there's really no meaningful progress going to be made anytime soon on reducing the deficit. Kathy Jones of Schwab notes thirty year bond yields this week reached a peak of five point one five percent, that approach levels last scene in two thousand and seven. This morning, the long bond is yielding five point zero two percent. Well. Worldwide survey of businesses shows those most worried about tariffs are in the US. Bloomberg's John Tucker following that story Good morning, ed. Good morning to Lisa. Fifty one hundred international firms in thirteen countries were surveyed by HSBC. About a quarter of US companies say they're forecasting their revenues will be cut by more than half over the next couple of years because of the impact of the Trump tariffs on their supply chains. By contrast, Chinese businesses they appear to be more optimistic, with only a quarter projecting an impact of twenty five percent or more on revenues. Overall, HSBC found widespread concern about the tariffs Vivic Ramachandra and has head of Global Trade Solutions at HSBC. Everyone we've spoken to is planning to reshape the supply chains, look at new markets, or change the business model. Well, two thirds of the respondents say they had already experienced cost increases due to the tariffs and the trade uncertainty in New York. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, thank you, speaking of tariff stick with Bloomberg and have a conversation with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessett. He'll be sitting down with Bloomberg's David Weston at our global headquarters in New York City. You can catch that conversation at eleven thirty am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and the Bloomberg podcast page on YouTube. Well, Nathan, President Trump has initiated a phone call with the Prime Minister of Japan. This is just as Tokyo's top negotiator left for the US for another round of trade talks. Prime Minister Shigiro Ishabaz, speaking through a translator, says the two had a forty five minute conversation. Dai Malutek. We didn't discuss any details about tariffs. Japan's stance of seeking the removal of additional tariffs remains unchanged. On the other side, also made no specific mention of this matter. The phone call between the two leaders was the first since early April, when the US ramped up its tariff against nations around the world, including Japan. Well Lisa Top holders of President Trump's meme coin, and other guests were greeted by protesters as they arrived for a dinner with the President at his golf club outside Washington last night. Gathering has faced criticism from Democrats, who cited conflicts of interests and the potential of selling access to the president, particularly to people from foreign countries. Here's White House Press Secretary Caroline Lovett. The President is attending it in his personal time. It is not a White House dinner. It's not taking place here at the White House. This White House spokes coming Caroline Levin. And at the dinner, President Trump gave a speech reiterating his pledge to make the US the world scrypto capital. Hard It's time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael bar Good morning, Michael. Good morning Lisa. Millions of people are planning to travel by either planes, trains, or automobiles as we start the Memorial Day travel rush. How is the weather looking for holiday travel? Bloomberg Media religious Craig Allen has the latest. There will be gradual improvement with each passing day as we go into the holiday weekend, especially in and around New York City and points south. It'll take longer for some of the northern areas, like upstate New York or into New England from Boston on north for it to gradually clear out and get a little bit better. But the trend is a better one overall, and we can expect temperatures to moderate two. By the time we get to Memorial Day itself, it should be back into the upper sixties to mid seventies. Bloomberg Media relogist Craig Allen. The Sean Didtycomb sex trafficking and racketeering trial were resumed next Tuesday. Yesterday, fellow rapper and actor Kid Cutty, whose real name is Scott Muscudy, took the witness stand. He testified about his relationship with Diddy's ex Cassie Ventura and violence that he says he was the victim of about fourteen years ago. Cutty testified shortly after comb Has found out he had been dating Ventur. Someone set his car on fire. Combs is pleaded not guilty to all charges. The music agency Sound Talent Group says three of its employees died on the private plane that crashed into a San Diego neighborhood on Thursday, and that includes Dave Shapiro, the agency's co founder. Shapiro is listed as the owner of the plane and has a pilot's license. Six people were on that SESSMA. It originated out of New Jersey's Teeterborough Airport. The jet crashed into a neighborhood of US Navy owned housing in San Diego during foggy weather, igniting several homes and numerous vehicles parked on the street. This woman who lives there says the crash spilled jet fuel down the street. And I wrought fire all in front of my house. I didn't know. I just incurious explosions here and the fire was up to like right in front of my front door. So I'm trying to figure out how to escape with my cakes. Despite the destruction officials say no one on the ground was killed. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg Lisa. Thank you, Michael. All Right, it's time now for our Bloomberg Sports update. For that we bring in John Stash. Said. When we last saw the next they were suffering through the worst blown lead in an NBA playoff game in at least twenty seven years. There was a point in Game one with Indiana, the Knicks win probability was said to be ninety nine point seven percent, but it's the Pacers who won, bringing one nothing lead to Game two tonight at the Garden. Here's the next, Michel Bridges. So it was just like the last five minutes, you know, and learning from it and just own up to it and know what we gotta do better. So don't really crazy nothing to you know, obviously want that game back, but you know it's a set of game series. So it's just come, I'll be better, you know, play hope forty eight minutes next game. Game two. In the West, they gave Oklahoma City stars Shay Gilles Alexander his MVP Award. Then he scored thirty eight points led the Thunder to a one eighteen to one oh three win over Minnesota for a two to nothing series lead. Florida Panthers appear on their way to a third straight Stanley Cup Final with a chance to repeat as Cup champions. The Panthers won five nothing at Carolina. Now go home up to zem Yankee. He's in Rangers Stadium, Mattine with the Yankee rookie infielder your bit Vivas at the plate fifteen eight. Big Boss has run deep to white Field, though all is gone. See yah his first big league Who gives the Yankees on you nothing league? Guess that work only run of the game. The Yanks thirtieth win, eleventh in the last fourteen, and now they get to play the Colorado Rockies, who are eight and forty two, worst fifty games starts from a season since eighteen ninety five the Louisville Colonels. The Rockies are on pace to lose one hundred and. Thirty six games, which would shatter the modern records that by the White Sox last year they only lost one hundred and twenty one. Metts and Dodgers started a serious tonight in city Field, Red Sox and Orioles a day night doubleheader at Fenway after last night's raining at the Nationals won their fifth in a row eight seven ten in means over Atlanta. John Stashan of Bloomberg Sports, Lisa and Nathan. Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Serious XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business Appum. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I am Nathan Hager, and President Donald Trump's one big, beautiful tax and Spending Cut bill maybe making progress on Capitol Hill, but it may have to run through the gauntlet of a bond market that's raising a lot more alarm bells about what the legislation could mean for the country's already big deficit. Elojosa has had a fixed income at Newton Investment Management. The danger for now is that this fiscal phenomenon feeds on itself. If it's a global phenomenon and you're seeing yielded along end go up, that should be some multiple concern, certainly for risky assets and certainly for policy makers as well. As I have to finance at much higher interest rates. That's Ellejoja of Newton Investment Management. For more, We're joined by Bloomberg News Global Business editor Joshua Galoo and josh we do still have a thirty year yield above five percent. Had been at high as five point one point five before backing off. It gets your attention, but you got to wonder whether it gets Washington's attention. Good morning, Good morning. Yes, I think that the bond markets have been really clear about how they feel about this tax bill. You know, you saw the Moody's downgrade last week, and the markets have responded as one would expect. Frankly, this bill adds anywhere from you know, estimates range from about two and a half trillion to more than five trillion dollars to the deficit over the over the ten year, over the ten year horizon that it's that it legislates for. So the markets aren't happy and this, you know, honestly, it creates big problems for the economy when the when the country has to borrow at these high costs, it's a compounding problem. So we'll have to see what happens is the bill now moves to the Senate. The Senate wants even more tax breaks, and they're going to push for some some of the business tax breaks that are set to phase out over the course of the bill's life to make those instead permanent, which would actually put more pressure on the borrowing. So we'll have to see what happens there. They're rushing it through as well, and this could result in more cuts to programs like Medicaid Snap, the nutritional program for kids of low income households, and some of the other provisions that could come up, like the state and local tax deduction that was so hardly fought in the House. So we'll have to see what comes out of there. But they're really trying to push it through to get it to Trump's desk by July fourth, which is an ambitious timeline. Yeah, less than two months from now. And while the bond market may be trying to put pressure on senators, President Trump and the administration are putting even more pressure on Harvard University now to pretty unprecedented levels in terms of their enrollment. Josh. Indeed, this is a massive escalation of their policy towards higher education that they've been They've been running towards deleted schools for the past couple months so yesterday Homeland Security revoked Harvard's ability to enroll international students, and it also said that current students who are internationals would have to either transfer to a new school or lose their status. And it of course that's about a quarter of Harvard's population. This all stems from, you know, the administration's desire to crack down on what it's calling sort of lack of control to police anti Semitism and also other, you know, diversity, equity, inclusion policies. That it's point that it's pointed to over the course of the last few months. It's a very. Aggressive policy, something that is unprecedented, as you said, and Harvard of course is challenging them in court and we'll have to see how that goes. This is Bloomberg Day, your morning podcast on the story's making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two to nine in Boston and nationwide on Sirius XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Auto Winterfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform. To stay informed all day long. I'm Nathan Hager and. I'm Lisa Matteo. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak