Middle East Braces For Iran's Next Move; Countdown to VP Debate

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

On today's podcast:

1) Middle East Braces for Iran’s Next Move After Nasrallah Killing

2) Vance, Walz Set to Spar in VP Debate

3) US Eastern Ports Prepare to Close With Labor Talks Stalled 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

2024-09-30 16 min Transcript

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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan 0:00:10.840 --> 0:00:13.800 Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're 0:00:13.840 --> 0:00:14.640 following today. 0:00:15.000 --> 0:00:16.959 Karen, we begin with an update on the fighting in 0:00:17.000 --> 0:00:20.000 the Middle East. Israel has carried out its first airstrike 0:00:20.079 --> 0:00:23.440 on Central Bay Route in the nearly year long conflict, 0:00:23.640 --> 0:00:27.840 coming days after Israel's military killed the longtime leader of Hezbola, 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:31.560 Hassan Nasrala. David Wood is a senior Lebanon analyst at 0:00:31.560 --> 0:00:32.920 the International Crisis Group. 0:00:33.200 --> 0:00:36.600 There's been an increasing sense in Lebanon that this is 0:00:36.680 --> 0:00:40.159 becoming not just a war between Israel and Hezbalalah, but 0:00:40.280 --> 0:00:43.559 a war between Israel and Lebanon. And there was an 0:00:43.560 --> 0:00:46.479 attack at a place called a Cola intersection, which is 0:00:46.520 --> 0:00:49.240 not in the southern suburbs of Bedutz, which are considered 0:00:49.320 --> 0:00:53.000 largely a stronghold, shall we say, Hesbala and its supporters, 0:00:53.520 --> 0:00:56.920 so quite seriously, Lebanese from all different communities and political 0:00:56.920 --> 0:01:02.120 persuasions used this intersection free in normal times. So it's 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:05.640 really another really scary escalation in the conflict and makes 0:01:06.560 --> 0:01:09.479 people feel that there's increasingly nowhere left that's safe in Lebanon. 0:01:09.560 --> 0:01:10.119 During this war. 0:01:10.440 --> 0:01:13.400 That was David Wood's senior Lebanon analyst at the International 0:01:13.440 --> 0:01:16.760 Crisis Group. In just over a week, intensified Israeli strikes 0:01:16.760 --> 0:01:20.080 in Lebanon have killed seven high ranking commanders and officials 0:01:20.080 --> 0:01:22.080 from Hesbalat well Nathan. 0:01:22.120 --> 0:01:25.480 On the campaign trail, both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump 0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:28.520 have been putting a focus on immigration. The Vice president 0:01:28.520 --> 0:01:30.560 held a rally in Las Vegas last night. 0:01:30.760 --> 0:01:34.800 Earlier this year, we had a chance to pass the 0:01:34.920 --> 0:01:39.840 toughest bipartisan border security bill in decades, and Donald Trump 0:01:40.000 --> 0:01:43.800 takes the bill because he thought that that bill it 0:01:44.040 --> 0:01:46.600 passed would hurt him and he'd prefer to run on 0:01:46.680 --> 0:01:48.760 a problem instead of fixing a problem. 0:01:48.960 --> 0:01:52.320 Kamala Harris also told the Vegas crowd she's all in 0:01:52.400 --> 0:01:54.880 for another debate with Donald Trump, and now the former 0:01:54.920 --> 0:01:57.880 president says the border is a problem because of Harris. 0:01:58.280 --> 0:02:01.880 What she's done is a total disqualifier. 0:02:02.400 --> 0:02:03.880 She should be disqualified. 0:02:04.320 --> 0:02:07.920 She should resign the vice presidency and go home to California. 0:02:08.080 --> 0:02:11.160 She is by you know, she's really destroyed it. 0:02:11.440 --> 0:02:14.200 At a rally in Pennsylvania, Donald Trump also slammed the 0:02:14.240 --> 0:02:17.760 Vice president for holding fundraisers in California. Over the weekend, 0:02:17.880 --> 0:02:20.600 Harris raised about fifty five million dollars at events in 0:02:20.639 --> 0:02:24.160 Los Angeles and San Francisco. Trump attended his own Silicon 0:02:24.240 --> 0:02:26.640 Valley fundraiser earlier this month and Karen. 0:02:26.680 --> 0:02:29.720 The vice presidential candidates get the spotlight tomorrow night, when 0:02:29.760 --> 0:02:32.679 Republican JD. Vance and Democrat Tim Walls meet for their 0:02:32.680 --> 0:02:36.920 debate hosted by CBS News in New York. Republican Congressman 0:02:37.000 --> 0:02:39.720 Tom Emmer of Minnesota has been helping Vance prepare to 0:02:39.760 --> 0:02:41.359 face his home States governor. 0:02:41.680 --> 0:02:44.919 I've known Tim oh probably since he was first elected 0:02:44.919 --> 0:02:48.000 almost twenty years ago, and I worked with him directly 0:02:48.080 --> 0:02:51.520 for four years. I spent the last month just going 0:02:51.600 --> 0:02:55.080 back all of his old stuff to get his phrases down, 0:02:55.160 --> 0:02:57.360 his mannerisms, that sort of thing. My job was to 0:02:57.400 --> 0:03:00.960 be able to play Tim Walls eight evans knows what 0:03:01.000 --> 0:03:01.840 he's going to see. 0:03:01.960 --> 0:03:04.760 Minnesota Congressman Tom Emmer was a guest on ABC's This 0:03:04.800 --> 0:03:07.840 Week Heard Sundays on Bloomberg Radio. For full coverage of 0:03:07.880 --> 0:03:11.080 the CBS News vice presidential debate, catch the simulcast on 0:03:11.160 --> 0:03:14.120 a special edition of Bloomberg's Balance of Power that starts 0:03:14.120 --> 0:03:17.200 tomorrow night at eight pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg 0:03:17.280 --> 0:03:18.400 Radio and television. 0:03:18.760 --> 0:03:21.919 Well Nathan Key, Industry and government officials are urging US 0:03:22.080 --> 0:03:25.240 DOC workers and their employers to avoid a strike at 0:03:25.280 --> 0:03:28.519 East and Gulf Coast ports. The US Maritime Alliance, a 0:03:28.560 --> 0:03:32.200 group representing ocean carriers and poor and terminal operators, and 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:36.920 the International Longshoreman's Association have no talks planned before their 0:03:36.920 --> 0:03:40.320 contract expires at the end of today. President Joe Biden 0:03:40.360 --> 0:03:43.320 said he would not intervene in any dock workers' strike, 0:03:43.520 --> 0:03:46.080 he told reporters, resolving the dispute as a matter for 0:03:46.200 --> 0:03:47.120 collective bargaining. 0:03:47.320 --> 0:03:49.640 Turning the markets this morning, Karen, it is a huge 0:03:49.720 --> 0:03:52.720 rally to start the week in Asia. Stocks in China 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:57.120 surged eight and a half percent. Three of China's largest 0:03:57.160 --> 0:04:00.120 cities relaxed rules for home buyers, while the central Bank 0:04:00.160 --> 0:04:01.960 also moved to lower mortgage rates. 0:04:02.320 --> 0:04:05.040 Well Nathan, Today marks the final trading session of the 0:04:05.080 --> 0:04:09.200 third quarter, with equities surviving was traditionally their toughest stretch 0:04:09.200 --> 0:04:11.960 of the year. We get details from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. 0:04:12.200 --> 0:04:15.880 Investors expect the rally to keep running in October despite 0:04:15.880 --> 0:04:20.800 a contentious presidential election campaign, shifting federal reserve policy, and 0:04:20.880 --> 0:04:23.719 fears of a pending recession. The S and P five 0:04:23.760 --> 0:04:26.600 hundred index had its third straight winning week and is 0:04:26.720 --> 0:04:29.960 up five point one percent in the third quarter, putting 0:04:30.000 --> 0:04:32.040 it on track for its best start to a year 0:04:32.240 --> 0:04:36.040 since nineteen ninety seven, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. 0:04:36.360 --> 0:04:40.320 It has also pushed the benchmark's market cap above fifty 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:43.919 trillion dollars for the first time. And it all happened 0:04:43.960 --> 0:04:47.679 in September, which historically is the stock market's worst month. 0:04:48.240 --> 0:04:49.000 In New York. 0:04:49.120 --> 0:04:52.680 Charlie Bloomberg Radio, Okay, Charlie, thank you. In Europe, it's 0:04:52.720 --> 0:04:55.640 a tough day for Stillantis. Those shares are down more 0:04:55.680 --> 0:04:59.520 than twelve percent. The jeep maker has slashed its profit 0:04:59.560 --> 0:05:02.680 margin forecast for the year and Stillantis plans to dial 0:05:02.720 --> 0:05:06.200 back production and spend more on promotional incentives in a 0:05:06.240 --> 0:05:08.880 slowing and more competitive automotive market. 0:05:09.279 --> 0:05:12.359 And Nathan Ashton Martin shares are down more than twenty 0:05:12.440 --> 0:05:15.920 two percent. The luxury car maker is lowering its guidance 0:05:15.920 --> 0:05:18.520 for the year at blame supply chain disruption and we 0:05:18.720 --> 0:05:19.599 demand in China. 0:05:20.040 --> 0:05:22.760 Karen, let's turn our attention now to space. 0:05:25.520 --> 0:05:25.880 Freedom. 0:05:25.880 --> 0:05:27.760 SpaceX on a big group, so I'll capture. 0:05:27.440 --> 0:05:32.200 Confirmed Crew nine now board the International Space Station and 0:05:32.279 --> 0:05:34.760 joining Expedition seventy. 0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:37.960 Two, SpaceX launched a two person crew to the International 0:05:38.000 --> 0:05:40.320 Space Station, the start of a mission to bring home 0:05:40.360 --> 0:05:44.799 two NASA astronauts have been stuck in orbit after flying 0:05:44.839 --> 0:05:49.039 to the space station on Boeing Starliner spacecraft. NASA astronaut 0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:53.640 Nick Hag and Russian cosmonaut Alexander Gorbanoff entered the ISS 0:05:53.720 --> 0:05:56.880 late yesterday, and Hague thanked the team for getting them 0:05:56.880 --> 0:05:58.920 to the station safely, coming. 0:05:58.720 --> 0:06:01.440 Through the hatch and seeing all the smiles, and as 0:06:01.560 --> 0:06:04.760 much as I've laughed and cried in the last ten minutes, 0:06:05.040 --> 0:06:08.320 I know it's going to be an amazing expedition, so 0:06:08.360 --> 0:06:10.200 I'm really looking forward to get him to work up here. 0:06:10.400 --> 0:06:11.560 That was NASA's Nick Haig. 0:06:11.640 --> 0:06:13.720 The pair had two empty seats next to them that 0:06:13.880 --> 0:06:16.920 astronauts Butch Wilmore and Sonny Williams are going to fill 0:06:16.960 --> 0:06:19.960 when the spacecraft returns to Earth next year. The Crew 0:06:20.080 --> 0:06:22.600 nine flight was meant to have a four person crow, 0:06:22.920 --> 0:06:25.680 but NASA removed two crew members to make room for 0:06:25.800 --> 0:06:30.520 the Starliner duo after technical failures with Boeing's spacecraft. 0:06:34.279 --> 0:06:34.440 Good. 0:06:34.440 --> 0:06:35.719 It's time now for a look at some of the 0:06:35.720 --> 0:06:38.040 other stories making news in New York and around the world, 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:40.799 and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael 0:06:40.800 --> 0:06:41.880 good Morning, Good. 0:06:41.640 --> 0:06:45.080 Morning, Caaren. North Carolina officials are pledging to get more 0:06:45.160 --> 0:06:49.200 water and other supplies to storm damaged areas after Hurricane 0:06:49.279 --> 0:06:53.520 Aleen left a trail of destruction across the US Southeast. 0:06:54.000 --> 0:06:57.640 Authorities have struggle to get supplies to isolated areas, including 0:06:57.680 --> 0:07:02.160 the city of Ashville. Massive rains brought by Helene left 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:05.200 many people stranded or homeless around the region. The death 0:07:05.240 --> 0:07:08.599 toll from the storm topped ninety people across several states. 0:07:09.080 --> 0:07:13.400 Many local officials, like Buncombe County Manager Avril Pinder, say 0:07:13.400 --> 0:07:15.880 that they're doing what they can to get help where 0:07:16.000 --> 0:07:18.000 it's needed in their community. 0:07:18.400 --> 0:07:20.120 We need food and we need water. 0:07:20.800 --> 0:07:24.160 My staff has been making every request possible to the 0:07:24.200 --> 0:07:27.440 state for support, and we've been working with every single 0:07:27.560 --> 0:07:29.240 organization that has reached out. 0:07:30.000 --> 0:07:34.400 Millions remain without lights from Florida to Indiana. Duke Energy 0:07:34.400 --> 0:07:37.960 spokesman Bill Norton says restoring power will be a multi 0:07:38.080 --> 0:07:38.840 day project. 0:07:39.080 --> 0:07:43.320 We're going to have entire substations that were underwater need 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:46.680 to be repaired, some cases fully rebuilt. 0:07:46.800 --> 0:07:50.120 Mean while forecasters say a new tropical depression in the 0:07:50.160 --> 0:07:54.400 Eastern Atlantic Ocean could become a hurricane by midweek. New 0:07:54.520 --> 0:07:57.640 York City Mayor Eric Adams spent the weekend visiting churches 0:07:57.680 --> 0:08:02.040 as the ongoing criminal case against them canes. Adams received 0:08:02.040 --> 0:08:05.600 a standing ovation and a bronx church Sunday. However, calls 0:08:05.640 --> 0:08:09.320 for Adams to resign grow louder. On Friday, he surrendered 0:08:09.360 --> 0:08:12.280 to authorities and was slapped with a five count indictment. 0:08:12.640 --> 0:08:16.320 He stands accused of bribery, wire fraud, and accepting the 0:08:16.400 --> 0:08:20.600 legal campaign donations. However, Adams told ABC seventh Sunday he 0:08:20.720 --> 0:08:21.440 is not resigning. 0:08:21.960 --> 0:08:24.680 While the attorney's handed the due process, I'm going to 0:08:24.760 --> 0:08:27.000 handle the management of this city. 0:08:27.480 --> 0:08:31.680 The mayor's enter circle is employing his police commissioner, health commissioner, 0:08:31.680 --> 0:08:35.160 and school's chancellor have all stepped down or will soon. 0:08:36.000 --> 0:08:39.480 He was a Rhodes scholar who became a superstar. Songwriter, singer, 0:08:39.520 --> 0:08:44.840 and actor. Chris Christopherson has died. Christofferson has a gritty 0:08:45.120 --> 0:08:50.360 realism to country music with compositions like Sunday Morning, Come 0:08:50.520 --> 0:08:53.680 Down and Me and Bobby McGee and this one help 0:08:53.760 --> 0:08:54.760 me make it through the night. 0:08:55.040 --> 0:08:58.000 Taper ribbon from your hair. 0:09:00.600 --> 0:09:03.320 As in Actually he was a leading man opposite Barbara 0:09:03.320 --> 0:09:06.839 streisand and a star is born. A family spokeswoman says 0:09:07.160 --> 0:09:10.280 Christofferson died at his home in Hawaii at age eight eight. 0:09:10.640 --> 0:09:13.000 Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:14.520 want it with the Bloomberg News. 0:09:14.520 --> 0:09:14.679 Now. 0:09:14.720 --> 0:09:16.880 I'm Michael Barr. This is Bloomberg. Karen. 0:09:17.120 --> 0:09:24.040 All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the 0:09:24.040 --> 0:09:27.280 Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Tri State Audie. 0:09:27.360 --> 0:09:29.240 And for that we bring in John stash Hour. 0:09:29.320 --> 0:09:30.640 John, good morning, Good morning, Karen. 0:09:30.679 --> 0:09:34.520 Aaron Rodgers, approaching his forty first birthday, worked his way 0:09:34.559 --> 0:09:36.600 back to the torn Achilles. Yesterday may have been a 0:09:36.640 --> 0:09:39.040 day where he was thinking the retirement would have been 0:09:39.080 --> 0:09:40.760 a good option. Had to play in the rain, got 0:09:40.800 --> 0:09:44.840 sacked five times, hit fourteen times. Rogers couldn't get his 0:09:44.920 --> 0:09:47.000 jets into the end zonly had thirteen penalties. 0:09:47.280 --> 0:09:49.240 They lost to Denver ten to nine. 0:09:49.320 --> 0:09:51.439 The game end with a missed fifty yard field goal 0:09:51.440 --> 0:09:52.400 by Greg Zerwine. 0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:55.480 The Jets coach Robert Sala sloppy, a. 0:09:55.480 --> 0:10:00.440 Lot of preestut penalties. You know, they're already a good defense, 0:10:00.480 --> 0:10:02.319 and we made it. We made it easier for him 0:10:02.320 --> 0:10:06.520 with just a lack of execution. We had opportunities for 0:10:06.640 --> 0:10:07.959 some goal from the one. We've got to be able 0:10:07.960 --> 0:10:11.480 to put it in. Didn't. Had the ball twice with 0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:13.440 a chance to win, didn't. 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:14.680 Jets now two and two. 0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:17.880 They played next Sunday in London against Minnesota, who's four 0:10:17.920 --> 0:10:20.760 and OH, led by the ex Jet Sam Darnold. Vikings 0:10:20.760 --> 0:10:22.440 had a four touchdown lead at green Bay ended up 0:10:22.440 --> 0:10:25.000 winning by two points. Buffalo last night was looking to 0:10:25.000 --> 0:10:27.400 go to four and OH lost in Baltimore thirty five 0:10:27.480 --> 0:10:30.800 to ten. The Patriots lost thirty to thirteen at San Francisco. 0:10:30.880 --> 0:10:34.920 The Commanders impressive winning at Arizona forty two to fourteen. 0:10:34.960 --> 0:10:37.400 The Mets are in Atlanta, but this afternoons regular season 0:10:37.480 --> 0:10:40.840 ending doublehead are both teams in the same situation. Win 0:10:40.960 --> 0:10:43.840 one game today and they're in the playoffs if a 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:47.320 team loses, both Arizona gets in. Mets won five nothing 0:10:47.360 --> 0:10:50.360 in Milwaukee behind David Peterson. The Yankees finished with a 0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:52.400 six to four win over Pittsburgh. The Yanks of the 0:10:52.440 --> 0:10:55.640 ALS one seed. They'll start the postseason Saturday in the 0:10:55.679 --> 0:10:59.000 Bronx against either Baltimore or Kansas City. There hasn't been 0:10:59.000 --> 0:11:01.640 a triple crown winner. In the Ash Relations nineteen thirty 0:11:01.679 --> 0:11:05.000 seven show, Hey Otani came closed, so Toani ended up 0:11:05.040 --> 0:11:08.840 with fifty four home runs fifty nine stolen bases. In Brooklyn, 0:11:08.880 --> 0:11:10.800 the Liberty won Game one of their playoff series with 0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:14.239 Las Vegas. Breonna Stewart scored thirty four points. In Montreal, 0:11:14.760 --> 0:11:17.199 the US won the President's Cup Golf with a tenth 0:11:17.240 --> 0:11:17.920 time in a row. 0:11:18.160 --> 0:11:20.200 Johns stash Allurer Bloomberg Sports, Karen. 0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:20.600 And Nathan. 0:11:22.760 --> 0:11:26.920 Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 0:11:26.960 --> 0:11:29.840 and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 0:11:29.920 --> 0:11:31.120 Bloomberg Business app. 0:11:31.360 --> 0:11:35.199 This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. 0:11:35.320 --> 0:11:37.880 Investors are getting ready to close out the third quarter 0:11:38.000 --> 0:11:41.000 with tensions in the Middle East and along Eastern Gulf 0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:44.160 Coast ports top of mind. So what should be top 0:11:44.200 --> 0:11:46.760 of mind for you as we get set for the 0:11:46.800 --> 0:11:49.719 final quarter of twenty twenty four. Let's bring in Lori 0:11:49.880 --> 0:11:52.480 Calvcina for a look at this market, Head of US 0:11:52.480 --> 0:11:55.840 Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets with us in our 0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:58.360 Bloomberg Interactive Brookers Studios this. 0:11:58.440 --> 0:11:59.679 Morning, LORI, good morning. 0:12:00.160 --> 0:12:00.280 Uh. 0:12:00.559 --> 0:12:02.959 We look at futures giving back just a little bit 0:12:02.960 --> 0:12:05.320 this morning, but despite all the risks, I just pointed 0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:07.880 out S and P five hundreds poist to end this 0:12:07.960 --> 0:12:11.840 quarter up five percent, but this headline risk cloud the outlook. 0:12:12.400 --> 0:12:14.520 Well, thanks for having me as always, Nathan. Look, I 0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:17.559 think if you look at you know, indicators like the VIX, 0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:19.560 like the t DEX, they are starting to creep up 0:12:19.600 --> 0:12:21.640 a little bit. So we don't think the market is 0:12:21.640 --> 0:12:24.440 being too complacent about the risks that are growing. But 0:12:24.480 --> 0:12:27.680 one of the things I find myself saying to investors 0:12:27.720 --> 0:12:29.920 recently is we can't live in the tails when we're 0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:33.480 thinking about our equity market outlook going forward. And I 0:12:33.480 --> 0:12:35.440 think that's a lesson we've all had to really learn 0:12:35.480 --> 0:12:37.839 in recent years that the market does look at these things. 0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:39.960 They do, you know, price them in in their own ways, 0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:43.000 often with positioning trades underneath the surface. But if you 0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:47.480 put those sort of tail risks aside, the reasonably you know, 0:12:47.520 --> 0:12:50.480 sort of thinking about a good economy next year, inflation 0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:54.040 continuing to moderate, earning's growth continuing to be strong. That's 0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:56.880 supportive of all PE multiples, and additional you know, gains 0:12:56.880 --> 0:12:58.839 in the equity market next year. So I think it's 0:12:58.920 --> 0:13:01.679 right for markets to be watching these things out of 0:13:01.720 --> 0:13:04.200 the side of its eyes, but not overly reacting in 0:13:04.240 --> 0:13:04.640 the moment. 0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:08.720 So what should investors be focusing on most as we 0:13:08.880 --> 0:13:10.400 head into this fourth quarter? 0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:12.880 So I think earning season is going to be pivotal, 0:13:12.920 --> 0:13:15.600 and it's interesting we've already started to get some questions there. 0:13:16.240 --> 0:13:18.280 I really think that investors are going to be looking 0:13:18.320 --> 0:13:20.920 for companies to get a sense of where corporate confidence 0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:24.000 levels are and the feedback loop into the labor market. 0:13:24.000 --> 0:13:27.640 I think that we're still, unfortunately just debating whether or 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.480 not the economy is going to sort of tip into 0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:33.160 something more difficult. There's still a lot of concerns about 0:13:33.160 --> 0:13:36.240 the labor market. I think that the FED cuts, it's 0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:40.360 really important to have those underway. But at the same time, 0:13:40.360 --> 0:13:43.240 people are continuing to talk about the long and variable lags. 0:13:43.240 --> 0:13:45.120 So I think that companies are really going to be 0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:48.480 in focus and what they're saying about their own confidence levels, 0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.440 what they're doing on Capex and what they're doing in 0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:52.200 regards to the labor market. I think that's going to 0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:53.800 be crucial in coming weeks. 0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:56.400 In terms of what you're hearing from corporate so far. 0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:59.240 What do they want to see from the FED? Are 0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:02.200 they looking for low and steady? Are they looking for 0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:04.600 the FED to deliver something bigger? 0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:07.199 I don't know that I'm getting a clear sense of, 0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:09.600 you know, companies wanting big cuts. I think it was 0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:12.439 important just to get the cuts started and to understand 0:14:12.440 --> 0:14:14.839 what the direction of travel is. I think there is 0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:17.720 a sense that it's going to take some time to 0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:20.680 really see the cuts work their way into the system. 0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:23.680 So obviously, you know, I think maybe bigger cuts, you know, 0:14:23.720 --> 0:14:26.560 maybe you reduce the amount of time that's needed. But 0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:28.920 it's funny because I have actually, you know, sort of 0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:32.960 been poking, you know, with certain individuals and companies on 0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:35.480 this question. You know, what is really what what are 0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:38.400 you looking for? Right, whether it's regarding interest rates, whether 0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:41.200 it's regarding the election. I think it was just the 0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:43.440 need to get the cuts underway, and I think it's 0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:46.560 the passage of the election itself that people want to see. 0:14:46.800 --> 0:14:49.200 Yeah, I do want to ask you about the election 0:14:49.320 --> 0:14:52.400 as well. There's so much uncertainty surrounding that such a 0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:55.120 tight race does it make it difficult not just for 0:14:55.160 --> 0:14:59.280 you as equity strategist, but for these companies to game 0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:03.200 out how things could go depending on who wins the race. 0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:04.160 Got about a minute last. 0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:06.680 Yes and no. Look, I think that companies, you know, 0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:08.200 there's a sense of they want to know what the 0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:09.800 lay of the land is and they want to know 0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:11.720 what they're dealing with. But the reality is that if 0:15:11.720 --> 0:15:14.360 you look at how equity markets perform under either a 0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:17.440 Republican sweep or a Democratic president with a split Congress, 0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.440 those are the two best historical scenarios for the stock 0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:23.040 market in the past. So, you know, I'm not getting 0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:25.200 a clear sense of you know, polic aaa policy. B. 0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:27.840 I do think tax policy is in focus, but I 0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:30.120 really do again, just think it's wanting to know what 0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:30.880 we're dealing with. 0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:36.880 This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories 0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:39.960 making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:42.640 Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:46.080 Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:49.120 You can also listen live each morning starting at five 0:15:49.160 --> 0:15:51.760 Am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:54.800 in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:58.800 Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:01.240 XM Channel one plus. 0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:03.880 Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now 0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.520 with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. 0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:09.760 And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.520 the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes 0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.760 or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast 0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:19.960 platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:20.720 And I'm Nathan Hager. 0:16:20.840 --> 0:16:22.920 Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:25.680 need to start your day right here on Bloomberg dabray

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