Zelenskiy and EU Leaders Hold Key Call with Trump; Markets in Record Territory
On today's podcast:
1) Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said he won’t cede the eastern region of Donbas to Russia and pushed for Kyiv to be included in talks as the US and Russian leaders prepare to meet on Friday.
2) European stocks advanced as risk-on sentiment, fueled by mounting expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, continued to lift global equity markets and push bond yields lower.
3) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the Federal Reserve ought to be open to a bigger, 50 basis-point cut in the benchmark interest rate next month, after having skipped a move at the last meeting.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest on the effort to end the war in Ukraine. President Vladimir Zelenski and European leaders will hold a call with President Donald Trump later today ahead of the President's Friday summit with Vladimir Putin in Alaska. Here's Lenski speaking through an interpreter. Would it's impossible to talk about Ukraine without Ukraine and no one will accept that. But they cannot agree on anything about Ukraine without us. That was Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky ahead of his call today with President Trump and European leaders. For more, let's bring in Bloomberg's Ewan Pots in London. Ewan, what's the latest. Nathan and Karen. President Putin is demanding that Ukraine give up the two regions that form the Donbas as a precondition to a CEASEFIA. That would mean Ukraine enforces withdrawing from nearly three and a half thousand square miles of territory. Ukraine's lot of Misslenski, who's in Berlin today says he won't do that. European leaders who hold a call with President Trump later today say that any piece agreement must respect international law and that international borders must not be changed by force. As Friday's Trump poot in summit gets ever closer, there are a few signs of agreement between the warring parties in London. I'm YOUW and pots Splinberg. Radio, all right you and thank you. We turned now to the markets where stocks begin the day in record territory. Yesterday, the S and P five hundred rows one point one percent, while the tech heavy Nasdaq one hundred gained one point three percent. The rally came after the latest consumer price index report. Stoke bets that the FED is virtually certain to resume cutting interest rates next month. Jay Berry is JP Morgan's head of Global rates Strategy. We know the FED as an asymmetric reaction function and seems to be more concerned about labor market weakness than inflation being above its target. And with the slowing we've seen in private pyrole growth, it kind of gives the Green like to go back and think about the FED cutting in September, even with inflation very far away from the fed's target. JP Morgan's J Barry FED fun futures are pricing in a ninety percent chance of a rate cut in September. Well, while most traders think a quarter point cut is all but a lock Karen. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says he's open to a fifty basis point cut. He spoke with Fox Business after the CPI report. If we'd had the original number, if FED could have been cutting in June July. So I think the real thing now to think about is should we get a fifty basis point ring cut in September to make up for the delay and the lack of data. As for the nominee to succeed FED Chair J. Powell, Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says, there's a very wide net being cast and the President Trump has a very open mind on Nathan. The White House pressure on the FED is not stopping there. President Trump said he's considering a lawsuit against FED Chair J. Powell over cost overruns at the Central Banks headquarters renovation. The President made the comment on social media. We asked White House Trade Advisor Peter Navarro whether the threat is serious. Yes, yeah, yeah, I mean, look, you get your attention. It's like, what is he doing there? He's spending the taxpayer's money on a on a just why not watching costs? It's beautiful. He contrasts with him the way Donald Trump does things in the White House. He's undergoing a major renovation. He watches every penny White how is Trade Advisor Peter Navarro spoke with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg's balance of power. President Trump has repeatedly called on Powell to resign, but he's backed off threats to fire the chairman, while Secretary Bessen to leads this search for his replacement. Well Karen. Tariff revenue in this country did hit a record last month, but it wasn't enough to prevent a widening in the monthly budget deficit. Customs duties climbed to twenty eight billion dollars in July, at two hundred and seventy three percent surge over the same month last year, but the monthly budget deficit came in at two hundred ninety one billion, or ten percent more than the same month a year before, after accounting for calendar differences. A political fight in Texas could come to a head this weekend in Nathan. Democratic lawmakers who left the state to block a vote on a new congressional map now say they're considering their options. ABC News is reporting they're planning to return to Austin as soon as this weekend. The Texas State House failed to reach a quorum again yesterday. Speaker Dustin burrough says that's keeping lawmakers from addressing other pressing issues. We cannot take up the critical flood response legislation scheduled for our floor. Today, Texas Sounds Speaker Dustin Burroughs the Democrats could try to demand that the legislature prioritize the flood response over redistricting, but they hold little power in the GOP controlled House. The special session ends on Friday. If lawmakers can't reach a quorum by then, Governor Greg Abbott has said he'll keep calling special sessions until the Democrats return well. Karen Elon Musk has suffered a legal set back. A federal judge has ruled the world's richest man must face claims by Open AI that his attacks on the startup in court and the media amount to a quote years long harassment campaign. This is the latest twist in a court fight that's played out since last year, when Musk accused open ai of abandoning its founding purpose as a charity by accepting billions of dollars in funding from Microsoft starting in twenty nineteen. The year after Musk left open AI's board, he launched Xai, a competitor to open Ai in twenty twenty three. Let's take a look at some stocks on the move this morning. Nathan shares of Kava plunging twenty three percent. The fast casual Mediterranean chain trimmed its annual sales out look after a sharp deceleration in the second quarter. Core Weave shares are down nine percent. The New Jersey based company delivered a disappointing earnings outlook, reflecting margin pressures from a rapid AI data center expansion and Venture Global shares are up five percent. The natural gas export one a major arbitration case over oil giant Shell. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Maher. Michael, good morning. Good morning Karen. Some of the eight hundred National Guard members deployed by the Trump administration to assist with law enforcement. Arrived in Washington, d C. President Donald Trump called DC, without substantiation, a lawless city. Muriel Bowser pledged work alongside the federal officials mister Trump has tasked with overseeing the capital city's law enforcement. The executive order is pretty clear, and so is the law. The President has the authority by virtue of the statute to request services. Mayor Bowser insists the police chief will remain in charge of the department and its officers. The mayor also points to official statistics showing violent crime down twenty six percent since last year, now at a thirty year low. New York City Mayor Eric Adams rejected President Trump's suggestion that the federal government could take over the city's police department. Adams says crime in New York City is under control. We don't need anyone to come in and take over our law enforcement apparatus. They have to find this police department on the globe. Mayor Adam says crime in the city is at the lowest this year outside of the two years of the pandemic. Harvard University has signaled it is willing to pay five hundred million dollars for workforce training programs as part of a settlement with the White House. A deal between Harvard and the Trump administration would bring the university closer to ending a month's long standoff that began over accusations that Harvard failed to confront campus anti semitism. United Launch Alliance launched its first national security mission Tuesday with the newly developed Vulcan rocket put satellites into high orbits above the Earth. ULA launched two military satellites into space. ULA is one of just three companies allowed to launched the most difficult and most sensitive missions for the Defense Department. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. Michael Barn, This is Bloomberg. Karen. All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. It's brought to you by Flushing Bank and here's John stash Hour. John, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. It was nine years ago that the Mets in the second round draft in Pete Alonso out of the University of Florida, and three years later a fifty three home run rookie season, still the most ever. He's been slugging home runs ever since at the point where Alonzo came to the plate, that city field tied with Darryl Strawberry, a. Ripple of anticipation. Who's through the ballpark? With every Alonzo at bat, that put a cease of history. And Pete drives won a deep right center field headed back toward the wards. P Alonzo stands a lord for poor bear, his home private Iceberg. Peter wants all the most prolific. Home run hittery in New York Met's history. That's Gary Cohen on sn why home run number two fifty three. He later hit another home run and a thirteen to five Mets r out of Atlanta at the end of their seven game loses in striek. Alonzo then reacted to his big. Night as a kid, you don't really think that it's in the realm of the possibility to be a franchise home run leader. He just don't. You just want to get to the big leagues and give it your best. Aaron Judge's sixth in Yankee history and moving closer to both the Jogi Barra and Joe DiMaggio at the stadium, Judge Homard first inning, Anthony Volpi had a three run shot. John Colo. Stanton Homern had a two run single. Yanks all over the Twins nine to one. Team staying hot Milwaukee eleven wins in a row, and it was fourteen to nothing over Pittsburgh. Eight straight for Seattle, a run on the first inning, a one nothing win at Baltimore, Cleveland on a Jose I'm here Asomer beat in Miami. The Guardians of won ten at the last twelve. Redstats won fourteen to one at Euston. The Nationals lost eight five at Kansas City. The NBA schedule is out opening night October twenty first, with a double letter on NBC nix O for the next night at the Garden against Cleveland. They'll also host the Cavs on Christmas. John stash Ewert, Bloomberg Sports, Karen. Nathan stay with us more from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. President Donald Trump is preparing to head to his Alaska summit with Vladimir Putin with the Russian leader, sounding confident that he is dominating on the battlefield against Ukraine. But before the President speaks with Putin on Friday, he's due to hold a call with Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky and European leaders today. Ukrainian lawmaker Kira Rutik is looking ahead to Friday. The best outcome would be that President Trump wouldn't take yet another public humidiation from Russian President Putin, and that he will get finally annoyed and will impose sanctions that he has promised. Ukrainian parliament member Kier Rudik spoke on Bloomberg Surveillance this morning. We're joined by Bloomberg News Chief Asia correspondent Rosalind Mathieson Roz. Good morning. We know that Ukrainian President Zelenski has said his constitution does not allow him to concede territory to Russia. What can we expect when it comes to his call today with President Trump? Good morning, Good morning. Well, it's interesting that Zelensky is actually seemingly going to be in Germany alongside the German Chancellor for this call today, as you say, with the US President Donald Trump and Vice President Jdi vance and this is really the last opportunity for these European leaders, alongside Zelensky's this is Germany, the uk Italy and more to really press Donald Trump to make the case before he goes into this meeting with Vladimir Putin to not over commit or pre commit to too many things in the absence of Ukraine at that meeting, and saying that there needs to be a very slow and careful move towards any agreements or understandings around land that preliminarily, this just needs to be an initial conversation to perhaps feel each other out face to face and to get a stronger sense of where the redlines are for Russia, but also for Donald Trump not to rush in in that minute and agree to whatever Vladimir Putin may put on the table. And particularly the concern there is that is there going to be an early stage agreement between the two of them which requires Ukraine indeed to see that land. That mirror some of the rhetoric we've heard from President Trump in recent days. There's been sort of downplaying expectations for the summit on front, saying that he wants to feel out President Putin. Could it be that Europe and the president could be on the same page heading into Friday. Well, certainly Donald Trump probably is aware that given the last time he met with Vladimir Putin, it didn't necessarily end up being so successful for him. For Trump, that he maybe needs to be a bit more careful going into this conversation. And he's shown some frustration with Vladimir Putin in recent weeks, said that despite all their phone calls and their conversations, that he felt in a way that he was getting played a bit by Putin dragging the chain on agreeing to a ceasefire. But that's one thing. It's very different for the two of them to be sitting down together and in the minute, you know, Vladimir Putin is quite an astute operator, and who knows how that meeting might go. And that again is the concern, and that is why you're seeing these phone calls today that yes, Donald Trump is casting this now as more of a feeling out exercise, but there is still risk in the minute that he does go ahead and agree to things that Ukraine says that they cannot accept. Some of that concern has been sounded out, with President Zelenski even saying that Russia has made some surprise advances on the ground in recent days and pushing deeper into Ukrainian territory. How could that set up what we get on Friday? What do we know about the situation on the ground in eastern Ukraine at this moment. Well, that's right, Zelensky is casting. This is Russia trying to get into a positive position, the most advantageous position for itself, going into this meeting and basically saying to Donald Trump, this is Russia, you know, saying to Donald Trump, well, we'd have this territory anyway, so you may as well hand it over to us, rather than having us fight for it for a few more months and getting there. And certainly Russia has been making some gains on the ground again, this is primarily in the Dombas region, and you know, pushing forward, but not pushing forward massive. It's been a real grinding wall now for quite some time. They are making pockets of advances and certainly they seem to have the advantage, but they're not gaining large amounts of territory at Ukraine obviously is having very little success pushing them back. But it seems to be that Ukraine sees this as an effort by Russia to say we do have the advantage, we would get this territory eventually, and better just to agree to hand it to us now versus having months and months of fighting to get there. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak