US Calls Ukraine Talks Productive; Trump Teases Fed Chair Pick
On today's podcast:
1) US and Ukrainian negotiators said they had productive discussions about a framework for a peace deal, but there was no final breakthrough as President Trump continues to push for a truce with Russia. “There’s more work to be done,” Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Florida after meeting for at least four hours with Ukrainian officials led by National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov. “This is delicate. It’s complicated.” The meeting, which took place in Hallandale Beach, Florida, with US special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner also in attendance, was likely the last chance for Ukraine’s negotiators to sway Witkoff before he leads a US delegation for talks in Russia this week. The two sides discussed potential parameters for a ceasefire as they pored over a 19-point proposal that emerged in Geneva last week — as well as the status of the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the biggest in Europe, according to people familiar with the discussions.
2) US authorities believe the man suspected of fatally shooting a National Guard member and seriously wounding another in Washington, DC, was radicalized while in the US, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said. Asked on NBC’s Meet the Press about the suspect’s motive, Noem said investigators are still collecting information and talking to his contacts. Federal authorities have identified the suspect as Rahmanullah Lakanwal, 29, an Afghan national who worked with US forces and the CIA in Afghanistan before arriving in the US in 2021. He was subdued and taken into custody shortly after the shooting on a street a few blocks from the White House on Wednesday.
3) President Trump said Sunday he has decided on his pick for the next Federal Reserve chair after making clear he expects his nominee to deliver interest-rate cuts. Trump has frequently excoriated current Fed chief Jerome Powell for failing to lower rates swiftly and signaled he wants a chair who will more forcefully pursue cuts. People familiar with the matter told Bloomberg News last week that White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, Trump’s chief economic adviser, is seen as the likely choice to succeed Powell.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest onn efforts to end the war in Ukraine. US and Ukrainian negotiators say they had productive discussions around a framework for a piece deal, but there was no final breakthrough. The sides discussed potential parameters for a ceasefire as they poured over a nineteen point proposal that emerged in Geneva last week. Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with reporters in Florida. So this is not just about ending a war. This is about ending a war in a way that creates a mechanism and a way forward that will allow them to be independent and sovereign, never have another war again, and create tremendous prosperity for its people, not just rebuild the country, but to enter an era of extraordinary economic progress. It's a country with Ukraine has tremendous economic potential. Ukraine has tremendous opportunity for true prosper That. Was Secretary of State Marko Rubio. Bloomberg Chief Europe correspondent Oliver Crook has more on the push for peace in Ukraine. The good news for the Ukrainians is that they are now working with Marco Rubio, who is somebody who has a more sort of principled and ideological worldview in terms of the geopolitics, probably more sympathetic to the idea that Russia poses an actual national security threat to the United States, unlike a number of other officials within the US administration quite so much. The bad news is, of course, that they lost their chief negotiator on Friday. Andre Yurimagni, number two of Zelenski has really stood shoulder to shoulder, one of the great confidants to President Zelenski, all due to this corruption scandal. Bloomberg's Oliver Crook says the next steps will be decided in follow up meetings, depending on the outcome of US Special Envoice Steve Witcoff's talks in Moscow. The Task News Agency in Russia says Witcoff will meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin tomorrow. Well Nathan, a software glitch that has threatened to disrupt a big portion of the global aviation system as close to being resolved Araba says the vast majority of its eighth three twenty planes have received the necessary update to their eLAC I computers. The plane maker says fewer than one hundred planes still need to fix before they can return to service. Bloomberg's been at a Camel reports this recall could have been a lot worse. There have been some disruption, but not on the scale that we first feared when the statement came out on Friday and we heard that about six thousand aircraft are impact And you have to remember, this is the most widely flown plane on the planet. Millions of people rely on it every day. So if you hear that more than half the active fleet of those planes is impacted, we were wondering whether this would really cause sort of global mayhem That has not happened. Bloomer has been at a Camel reports most of the planes simply needed to return to an earlier version of that software that helps maintain their flight controls. Airbus says only a small number of planes require more complex attention and checking. Shares of Airbus they are down more than three percent. Now, Karen, let's get to the latest on the investigation into the National Guard shooting in Washington, d C. Homeland Security Secretary Christy Nomes says authorities believe the Afghan suspect, twenty nine year old rock Manula Lockinwall, was radicalized in this country. We do believe it was through connections in his home community and state, and we're going to continue to talk to those who interacted with him, who were his family members, talk to them. So far, we've had some participation. Homeland Security Secretary Christi Nome appeared on NBC's Meet the Press Heard Every Sunday on Bloomberg Radio. Lockinwall is facing a first degree murder charge in the death of twenty year old West Virginia Guard member Sarah Beckstrom. He was granted asylum earlier this year after leaving Afghanistan in twenty twenty one. Now President Trump is promising to pause all asylum decisions for a long time. We don't want those people, does that make sense? You know why we don't want them because many have been no good and they shouldn't be. In our country. President Trump spoke with reporters of Board Air Force One. Secretary Nome is suggesting asylum decisions could resume once a backlog of one and a half million pending cases is cleared. Well, Nathan, President Trump's as He's decided on his pick for the next Federal Reserve chair. The President spoke to reporters on Air Force one. Hechair right now, I know who I'm gonna pick. You tell me Kevin hasn't I tell you? And sources say Trump's chief economic advisor, Kevin Hassett as seen as unlikely choice to succeed current Fed chair J. Powell. Well, let's turn back to the markets now, Karen. Futures are lower as we begin a new trading weekend the final trading month of twenty twenty five. The S and P five hundreds coming off five straight days of gains to close out in November. Andrew Slimming is senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. It is momentum and revisions, and the reality of the market is that earnings i e. Revisions are very strong right now because the economy, for all the talk, earnings have come in better than what really Wall Street thought, certainly since April, but even since the beginning. Of the year, Morgan Stanley's Andrew slim In the MSCI All Country World Index fell a tenth of one percent in November after rising for seven straight months. Well, Nathan, Bitcoin is starting a new month under pressure once again. Right now, the cryptocurrency is trading at eighty six thousand, eight hundred dollars. Bitcoin lost almost seventeen percent of its value in November. Traders say a key support level for bitcoin is eighty thousand dollars. On the flip side, Karen Silver's trading at a record this morning. Traders are speculator or placing speculative bets on the white metal given ongoing supply tightness and rising expectations for an interst rate cut from the FED. Silver's up more than two percent this morning, and copper advanced to a record high on the London Metal Exchange on fears the global market is headed for a supply crunch, and. Oil is trading higher. Nathan. It is up more than two percent. It's at fifty nine dollars seventy five cents a barrel. That's a n I meg screwed Brent is at sixty three dollars fifty eight cents. I Keep pipeline linking Kazakh fields to Russia's Black Sea coast was attacked over the weekend. Meanwhile, opek Plus is sticking with plans to pause production increases, I mean growing signs of a surplus in global oil markets. The group agreed to keep group wide quotas steady next year and approved a mechanism for a review of individual oil production capacities. Oil is down about seventeen percent so far this year. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that were joined by Bloomberg's Monica Ricks Monica, good morning. Hey, good morning, Karen. President Trump is now defending Pete Hegseth against accusations made by The Washington Post this weekend, which claimed the Defense secretary ordered multiple strikes on suspected drug boats in the Caribbean, including one that killed survivors. Trump says hegset denied it. We'll look into it, but no, I wouldn't have wanted that a second strike. The first strike was very lethal tois. Fine, and if there were two people around, but Pete said that didn't happen. Does that make it? I have got to lawmakers from both parties now say they support congressional reviews of these strikes. Republican Nebraska Congressman Don Bacon. I don't think he would be foolish enough to make this decision to say kill everybody, kill the survivors, because that's a clear violation of the law of war. Bacon on ABC News. The Pentagon hasn't commented, but Hegseth did call the article inflammatory. On X the. Manhunt continues for the suspect in a mass shooting at a children's party in Stockton, California. Four people were killed. They're including kids as young as eight and nine years old. Sheriff Patrick Wilthrow says they're treating this as a targeted incident. I am confident in our team and with the work that we have done so far that we will find these animals that did this and bring them to justice. But we still need the public's health help on this. Fifteen others were hospitalized after the shooting. The FBI has stepped in now to help find the shooter. The East Coast is getting an early taste of winter today ahead of a major snowstorm. Bloomberg Meteorologist Craig Allen is tracking conditions for tomorrow. The precip could start as some wet snow ora remikes from DC on up to New York City and Boston, but will likely change to rain based on the current projected storm track. However, winter weather alerts are in effect for the Upper Ohio Valley the mountains of the Northeast. This includes the Pocono's Catskills, New York's Capital District, and the Berkshires, and at least three to six inches of snow expected more in heavier bands. You can expect driving on I eighty eighty one, eighty four, eighty seven, ninety and ninety one. It could become very challenging tomorrow. Snow cause a travel mess in the Midwest this weekend. Hundreds of flights were canceled or delayed. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Monica Rix and this is Bloomberg Karen Nathan. Thanks Monica. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Karen Layne. Kiffin, DA official leaving ole Miss to coach LSU. It'll be the third SEC school he's coached at. Gets a seven year deal to make twelve million dollars a year. He will not coach ole Miss in the college football playoff. Ole Miss is already named Defense of Gwender Pete Golding as Kiffin's replacement. Sur Right Football is in Washington. The Broncos stopped the Commanders on a two point conversion attempt in overtime to win twenty seven to twenty six. It's their ninth win in a row the Commander's seventh straight loss. That's to Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business Oup. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Progress but no breakthrough. That may be the takeaway from the latest round of peace talks between US and Ukrainian negotiators over the weekend in Florida. Secretary of State Marco Rubio led the discussions. He says there is more work to be done. We don't just want to end the war. We also want to help Ukraine be safe forever, so never again will they face another invasion. And equally importantly, we want them to enter an age of true prosperity. That was Secretary of State Rubio following the latest discussions in Helendale Beach, Florida. Joining us this morning from Brussels is Bloomberg's chief eure of correspondent, Oliver Crook. Oliver, good morning. So where do things stand up after these latest talks in Florida. Well, after a week and a half we got that twenty eight point plan sort of blasted out into sort of the public view. The sort of discussions since then, when it's been whittled down to a nineteen point plan, has gone much more underground, much more behind closed doors. So it's very difficult to assess at this stage how close the Ukrainian, American and Russian sides are to bridging some of these fairly large gaps between their conception of how the end of this war would look. There, of course the main issue of territorial concessions, which has been sort of top of the list for everybody involved in those negotiations, and then of course those security guarantees. How do you prevent create an architecture to prevent the Russians from ever reinvading Ukraine. Those are the two I think main questions for the Ukrainian and the European side of that equation, while for the Russians, you know, they have a litany of sort of maximalists demands that they've been sort of pushing forward. The question is on what side of that the United States will fall Today we will be focusing all week on the diplomacy that it's going on. We have Vladimir Zelenski. He will be in Paris meeting with Hi Menu in my colt later today. We understand from Russian media that Whitkov will be meeting with President Putin tomorrow afternoon in Moscow. And then, of course there is this NATO meeting from Foreign ministers here in Brussels on Wednesday, which we understand that Mark Rubio is actually skipping. So what does that tell us about how close we are to a deal? The fact that Putin himself is expected to go to India a little bit later this week may suggest that, you know, maybe we're not within clutching distance of the deal. Would he really be doing those sorts of trips abroad if he thought that there was a deal really imminent? That is a I think the question that we pose ourselves heading into this, remembering that Trump wanted this done by last Thursday. Obviously the complexity of this issue is putting itself on full display. And of course here in Brussels right now, how is Europe trying to insert itself into the discussions? Well, so far failing as ever to really get a seat at the table in terms of the discussions. You'll remember, when that initial twenty eight point plan emerged from the woodwork, there was all these ideas about what architecture for defense looks like in Europe, about these sort of rules that might be imposed on NATO that basically none of these NATO European countries had been consulted on, despite the fact that there were these conversations about the future not just of the Ukrainian defense were being discussed, but actually of European defense arches structure more broadly. So they've been trying to assert themselves, they've been failing to do so. The main way they might be able to assert themselves is on this question of the frozen Russian assets one hundred and forty billion euros worth of assets that are being held that they're talking about creating reparations loans for the Ukrainians. But of course, as you know, whenever there's a debate in Europe, it means paralysis. And there are people on both sides of this disagreement saying that we should hold off on the Russian assets because there's a piece thought going on that actually now is not the moment, and others saying that it's actually time to accelerate work that message, and that sort of means that nothing is getting done. And once again the Europeans are found sitting at the sideline awaiting with the sort of consensus from the United States and from Donald Trump. Just thirty seconds left here, Oliver. But the lead negotiator for Ukraine, andre Yermak, has resigned in a corruption investigation that script the country has that complicated things now to. A large degree. I mean, your mac is a basically de facto number two, or was in Ukraine. He stood sort of shoulder to soldier to Vladimir Zlensky, a very trust that Alli has throughout this entire war. We should say he has not yet been charged with anything, but his home and his office were searched in connection with this corruption scandal dealing with some allocation of funds and basically money being embezzled by the state. So of course, this is a terrific blow for the Zelenski administration for losing one of his key allies that he's had by his side really since day one of his war. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Bray