Senate Republicans Race to Finish Tax Cut Bill; Stocks at All-Time Highs
On today's podcast:
1) Senate Majority Leader John Thune is rushing to meet President Donald Trump’s July 4 deadline for pushing through his massive tax and spending bill, but first he has to work through a list of approximately eight Republican senators who have expressed opposition to portions of it.
2) US equity futures climbed as progress in trade negotiations between the Trump administration and key partners added to the upbeat sentiment that had pushed the S&P 500 to a fresh record high.
3) Canada has withdrawn its digital services tax on technology companies such as Meta Platforms Inc. and Alphabet Inc. in a move to restart trade talks with the US.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin in Washington, where debate continues in the Senate on President Donald Trump's massive tax and spending cut bill. This morning, senators kick off a marathon voting session on dozens of amendments to the legislation. The process is likely to take all day, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune is hopeful it will get done in the end. Republicans are united in our commitment to what we're doing in this bill, securing our border, strengthing our national defense, growing our economy, unleashing American energy, cutting waste, fraud and abuse, and preventing tax hikes on hardworking Americans. Majority Leader Thoon is going to be working behind the scenes to ease republicans competing concerns. North Carolina's Tom Tilli says the medicaid cuts in the bill go too far. What do I tell six hundred and sixty three thousand people and two years or three years when President Trump breaks his promise by pushing them off of medicaid because the funding's not there. Republican Tom Tillis announced he will not seek reelection next year after President Trump threatened to primary him for voting against the bill. Other Republicans are pushing for even faster Medicaid cuts to shrink the bill's price tag, and Elon Musk is weighing in as well. The Tesla CEO and former Trump advisor says cuts to electric vehicle and clean energy text credits would be incredibly destructive to the country. Republicans are racing to get the bill to President Trump's desk by the end of this week. Nathan, we have several developments on the trade front this morning. The UK US trade deal is officially in effect. It marks the only trade agreement the White House is implemented, but nine days to go on its self imposed tariff pause. Let's go to London and get the latest of Bloomberg's un Potts. You and good morning, Karen, Nathan. As global leaders scramble to agree tariff deals with the US, the UK's is now in place. British car manufacturers can now export to the US with a ten percent tariff, down from the twenty five percent rate imposed on other countries, and aerospace companies like rolls. Royce now face zero tariffs on goods including engines and aircraft parts. However, there's no sign of progress towards reducing levees on the UK's beleaked steel industry. Those remain at twenty five percent in London. I'm you in pots Bloomberg Radio. Thanks you. And trade taks between the US and Japan continue, and President Trump's flooding the idea of keeping twenty five percent tariffsign Japanese cars. That duty has emerged as one of the key sticking points in the negotiations. Washington's focusing on its large deficit in the auto sector, while Tokyo is trying to protect a key pillar of its economy. Nathan. Canada is making a move to try to jumpstart trade talks with the uare so it as withdrawing its digital services tags on technology companies such as meta platforms in alphabet. The tax, which has passed into law last year, would have charged three percent of digital services revenue above fourteen million dollars in a calendar year. The move infuriated President Trump, who on Friday said he was ending all trade discussions with Canada. Well Karen, President Trump says he's identified a buyer for the US operations of TikTok, but he's not naming the winning bidder. The news comes after US and Chinese officials confirmed they had agreed on a trade framework last week. Speaking in a pre taped interview with Fox News, the President expanded on the TikTok terms. We have a buyer for TikTok. By the way, I think I'll need probably China. I think Presidency will probably do it. Was a group of very wealthy people. I was President Trump speaking on Fox Now. January deadline for TikTok's Chinese parent, Byte Dance to find a local buyer was pushed back twice by the President. This month, he extended that deadline again a further ninety days from June nineteenth. Nathan. President Trump also aid in on the Democratic nominee for New York City mayor, Zooran Mamdani in that Fox News interview. He's a communist and he's a pure communist. I think he admits it. And the President raised the possibility of withholding federal funds for the city if Mandani's elected in November. The thirty three year old has described himself as a democratic socialist and In an interview with NBC's Meet the Press, he was asked if he thinks billionaires should exist. I don't think that we should have billionaires because, frankly, it is so much money in a moment of such inequality. And Zoron Mandani says business leaders have told him the high cost of living in the city is keeping them from attracting and retaining talent. He also says there's no room for anti Semitism in New York, but he declined to condemn the phrase globalize the Intifato, which is offensive to many Jewish people. You can hear Meet the Press every Sunday on Bloomberg Radio. Well back to the markets now, Karen Traders begin the this week with stocks at all time highs. On Friday, the S and P five hundred joined the Nasdaq one hundred, closing at records. Stocks have made a stunning recovery from April and the tariff turmoil that started the quarter, adding almost ten trillion dollars in value after teetering on the cusp of a bear market just two months ago. Troy Gayski's chief market strategist at FS Investments. Ernie's estimates have come down rightfully, but I think at the end of the day, the technical strength of markets continues to be underestimated, as well as the continued strength and the consumer. It's FS Investments Chief market strategist Troy Gayski. US equities took in one hundred and sixty four billion dollars of inflow so far this year. Bank of America says that's on course for the third largest annual allocation in history. Nathan Goldman sachs as US profit margins face a big test in the upcoming reporting season as investors assess the damage from President Trump's trade war. Goldman says the second quarter earnings will capture the immediate effects of tariffs that have increased by about ten percentage points since the start of the year. Analysts expect a sharp slowdown in US profit growth for the second quarter, with earnings per share I expected to rise only two point six percent for the April June period. Well, legendary short seller Jim Chenos is sounding a warning, Karen. While enthusiasm for all things artificial intelligence has helped propel stocks to all time highs Chenos says the AI ecosystem is getting close to a potential pullback. He spoke at an odd Lot's podcast recording last week. There is an ecosystem around the AI boom that is considerable, as there was for TMT back in ninety nine and two thousand, but it is a risk year revenue stream because if people pull back, they can pull back CAPEX very easily. Projects can get put on hold for six months or nine months, and that immediately shows up in disappointing revenues and earnings forecast if it happened. Jim Chenos likens the dominance of AI companies to networking giants like Cisco and Lucent that characterized the market in the nineteen nineties and saw their stock soore as companies upgraded their systems to handle the new Internet age. Nathan Chairs of Junipers surging more than eight percent this morning. The Justice Department has settled this lawsuit challenging Hewlett Packard Enterprises thirteen billion dollar takeover of Juniper Networks. The agreement will require the combined company to sell HPEES instant on wireless networking business and auction off a license to Juniper's competing missed business. Shares of Hewlett Packard they are up more than four percent. The settlement comes less than two weeks before a trial was set to start. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's John Tucker. John, Good morning, and. Good morning Karen. A fire on Canfield Mountain Quarterlane, Idaho, appears to have been intentionally sent to set up an ambush for firefighters. The local county sheriff, Bob Norris says two of the responding firefighters were killed. One more is heard. We believe based on. The information that we've been able to collect, that we believe that there was only one shooter. Well. A suspect was later found dead of a gunshot wound. Hours after the end of the pri parade at New York, two people were injured in a shooting in Greenwich Village, just blocks from the Stone Wall Inn. Please say shots were fired at three Sheridan Square just after ten last night. One person was shot in the head and was taken to a hospital in critical condition. Another person was injured in the leg. No resks have been made, but a gun was recovered at the scene. President Trump says he's not offering Iran anything and that he hasn't been talking to them since the US struck Iran's nuclear facilities. The President making the comments in a post on truth Social Earlier. In comments on Fox News on Sunday, the President suggested he might back eventual sanctions relief for Iran if, in his words, they can be peaceful. In New York, jury deliberations expected to start today at former rap music mogul Sean P. Diddycalms sex trafficking trial. This follows closing arguments of the case on Friday and twenty three. In me is secure bankruptcy court approval to sell its genetic data trove to its co founder and a related nonprofit for three hundred and five million dollars. It includes the genetic data of more than thirteen million customers. The sale comes despite Staunch's pushback from a slew of states that raise privacy concerns. Global News twenty four hours a day, whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm John Tucker is Bloomberg, Karen and Nathan. All Right, John Tucker, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports update, brought to you by Flashing Bank. Here's John Stashauer. John, Good morning, Good morning, Garon. No one had a worst weekend than the Mets, the worst three game series in team history. Even the one hundred and twenty lost nineteen six sixty two Mets never lost three games by twenty six runs. The Pirates won nine to one and then nine to two. Then the Mets tell the players only team meeting and lost twelve to one, so outscored thirty to four. Carlos Mendoza's team has lost thirteen to the last sixteen. We are all frustrated. Obviously, We're not gonna lie. We're better than that, and they know that. You know, it's a tough stretch, but. We got to be better. You know, it starts with me. You know, we believe in those guys. Off day tomorrow and then we got another. Good team coming into town. You know, on the Brewers. The Rulers might be good, the Pirates are not. That's what made this series so shocking. Pittsburgh has lost fifty games since in last place. Mets are in second game of half Pine the Phillies. The Yankees lead on Tampa Bay and the Alias just one and a half. Yanks at the Stadium beat the Ages twelve to five. Aaron Judge with his twenty ninth and thirtieth home runs of the season. Jazz Chisholm Howard also had a three run triple. Marcus Stroman beat the one time Yankee yas Luis Sevarinos. Stroman's first game since early April, lost at Toronto five to three. The Nationals meet the Angels seven to four. NBA free agency begins today, but the biggest names are stained, but that includes Lebron James In his twenty third season, Lebron will make fifty two point six million for the Lakers. James Harden also staying in LA with the Clippers two years eighty one million, and the ex Nick Julius Randall, a year ago traded in Minnesota. Timberwolves just gave Randall a new three year, one hundred million dollar deal. Wimbledon begins today early this morning. Matches for Americans Francis Tiafo and Madison Keys, as well as the women's South Cita Rita Sablenka. Patrick Harrington won the Senior Open golf at Colorado Springs. One of thoroughbred racing's greatest trainers has died. D Wayne Lucas was eighty nine. His horse has won fifteen Triple Crown. Races coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Day Break. Good Morning on Nathan Hager, and the race is on in the Senate to get President Donald Trump's big tax and spending cut bill done by the end of the week. But as a marathon round of amendment votes begins today, at least one Republican North Carolina's Tom Tillis is urging his colleagues to slow things down. We've got a view on an artificial deadline on July fourth that means nothing but another date in Tom. It was North Carolina Senator Tom Tillis speaking on the Senate floor this morning. We're joined by Bloomberg New Senior Editor Bill Ferries and Bill We've seen so much drama surrounding this bill, Senator even on Senator Tillis saying he's not going to seek re election after opposing the legislation. How much more drama can we expect today? Good morning, Good morning. Yeah, it's going to be a very interesting day. The Senate coming back in after a late night they should be in around nine am to start this so called vote rama where they start taking up the amendments to this legislation. And I think Republican leader John Thune behind the scenes will be continue to be doing a lot of armed time seen to get this through. Now that voting on amendments, I mean, it's hard to know how long that could take. It's in the pass gone anywhere from twelve to fifteen hours, So in terms of a final vote on the legislation, we could be talking about very late Monday night, sometime early Tuesday morning there on the East coast, but it's you know, that would be that's the deadline they have to really meet if they want to get it back to the House and have this thing on the President's desk by July fourth. You mentioned Tom Tillis, he was already under a lot of pressure. Ran Paul looks like he's not supportive of the legislation. So that's two of the three votes Republicans can afford to lose and still pass this. So it's going to be very much down to the wire. Who are you watching in terms of Republicans who could be wavering on this legislation. Well, sure, I mean two at the top of the list, it's going to be Susan Collins of Maine Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. They have both had a lot of concerns about some of the cuts to Medicaid benefits and say, you know, they've expressed concern that too many people could lose health coverage if this bill passes. So the Republicans cannot afford to lose both of them. They could lose one and still have JD Vance as a tiebreaker, but if they lose both, the bill dies there and they'll I think the Republican leadership will have to figure out how to pick up the pieces. And in the meantime, it seems like the price tag on this legislation keeps rising when you look at what's coming out of the Congressional Budget Office, and you have to think a lot of Republicans, no matter which side they stand on the spending cuts, have to be thinking about the impact on the midterms next year. Absolutely, the CBO scoring on this bill on the Senate version so that I think it costs five hundred billion dollars more over the coming decade than the House version. That is going to be very difficult for particularly Republican members in the House the stomach. They already any of them already thought the bill was too expensive. Seeing it increase by that much over the decade is going to be it's going to be hard for them to support that. So that's some of the arm twisting and tweaks I think we might see in the amendments that come up in the coming hours once the Senate's back in session. Only about thirty seconds left. We got medicaid cuts to think about, as well as the tax cut promises that President Trump promised the middle class. What's the potential political impact of this bill. Well, I think if you do get you know, if you do pass something that reduces taxes on tips, I think that's going to be seen as a big win by Trump and the Republicans. I think we have to see if that salt tax deduction is something that Republicans in the Northeast are happy with when this goes back to the House. This is Bloombery day Break, your morning podcast and the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or many where you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Applecarplay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray