Gold Soars as US Shutdown Enters Day 8; French Premier Optimistic on Resolving Political Crisis
On today's podcast:
1) The Trump administration’s push to deny back pay to federal workers furloughed during the shutdown sets the stage for another round of legal battles over the president’s control of the workforce. The White House in a draft legal opinion Tuesday suggested it may withhold back pay from government employees when the shutdown ends, raising the threat of lost wages for potentially 750,000 civilian workers and stoking a broader clash over how much employees are owed after a shutdown ends. Meantime, spot gold smashed through $4,000 an ounce for the first time, as concerns over the US economy and the government shutdown added fresh momentum to a scorching rally.
2) Outgoing French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu expressed optimism that an an accord can be reached to allow the formation of a new government without fully endorsing a new proposal to rethink a controversial pension law as demanded by the Socialists.
3) Teams from the US, Qatar, Israel and other nations are headed to Egypt as part of a final push for a deal with Hamas aimed at ending the two-year war that’s devastated Gaza and destabilized much of the Middle East. A US team that includes US special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner will join Qatar Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Al Thani and other senior officials in Sharm El-Sheikh.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin on day eight of the federal government shutdown, and the White House is ramping up the pressure on Democrats. President Trump is floating the idea of blocking back pay for some federal workers when the government reopens. For the most part, we're going to take care of our people. There are some people that really don't deserve to be taken care of, and we'll take care of them in a different way. The President spoke from the Oval Office after the White House Budget Office drafted a memo saying workers are not guaranteed compensation during a shutdown. We get more from Bloomberg sterk Wallbank. There is a substantial amount of question about whether or not that's something he can actually do, but that is the threat that's there, and hanging over all of this is a threat from russ Vote, the O and B Director to me be rather than furlough federal workers which they are currently furloughed, to actually go through with permanent job cuts, trying to put pressure on Democrats. That's Bloomberg's Derek Wallbank. In the meantime, the shutdowns starting to have a real world impact outside the Belwegh. Flights at Chicago O'Hare and Dallas Fort Worth airports were delayed by at least a half hour last night due to staffing shortages. Air traffic controllers and other essential staff are still working at the nation's airports, just without pay. And France, Nathan the countdown underway to salvage the French government outgoing Prime Minister sebashedin Lacorneu expressed optimism that an agreement can be reached to allow the formation of a new government without fully endorsing a new proposal to rethink a controversial pension law as demanded by the Socialists. Bloombery Daybreak anchor Stephen Carroll is in Paris and has the very latest developments. The centrist on center right parties that he spoke to yesterday have a willingness to agree on a budget by the first of December. He says, the conversation was steering further away from a dissolution of the parliament. They've agreed that the budget must allow France to advance and to reduce the deficit to below five percent next year. That's interesting because the previous budget target was four point seven percent next year, so perhaps an indication of some of the willingness and what's being discussed in terms of changes to spending plans. Now. He's going into discussions with the left wing parties today, so Astilla corn Who says he'll be asking and what concessions they're willing to make to try and support a budget plan as well, and he talked more broadly about the risks of what this crisis means to the image of France too, to the international place on the international stage that France holds as well. But the message from the first day of talks is is that they are working towards a budget agreement. They're working away from the idea of calling fresh National Assembly elections for Emmanuel Macron's givens to Astilla corn who until this evening to try and come up with a plan. I will be waiting to see what the next update brings. And Bloomber Stephen Carol notes that French bonds extended in advance. As Locarno spoke, they yield on ten year bonds fell five basis points to three point five two percent, the lowest since Friday. Now, Karen, let's get to the latest DOUN efforts for peace in the Middle East. Teams from the US, CATTER and Israel are gathering in Egypt for final negotiations to end the war in Gaza. Israeli opposition leader Yarral Lapede says he is hoping for an end to the conflict, a. War that is going nowhere, hostages that are slowly dying, and of course the suffering Gaza that everybody in his right mind cares about. Children should not die and drops wars. So for everybody's sake, we pray for this town. Israeli opposition leader Yarl Lapede made those comments to Sky News. A Hama spokesperson says a permanent ceasefire and withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza must be central to a deal. We turn now to the markets, Nathan, where gold is continuing its record run. It's smashed through four thousand dollars, announced for the first time, concerns over the US economy and a government shutdown, and writing fresh momentum to the rally. Bloomberg Markets Executive editor Paul Dobson has more in the historical run. Fifty percent just this year alone is a pretty impressive statistic. That's against the US dollar, and when you sort of look at how that compares with history, it's the best annual gain since the nineteen seventies. And it's not just that that's kind of noteworthy here, it's also the sort of pace at which we're gaining in sort of longer term history. If you think about it, we only breached one thousand dollars an ounce after the financial crisis, two thousand during the COVID pandemic. But we've gone from three thousand to four thousand just since March to this month, So you know, we're really stepping up in terms of that sort of big number rate of change. And that's Bloomberg Markets Executive editor Paul Dobson taking a look at comas Gold right now. It's up one and a third percent, up more than fifty five dollars at four fifty nine dollars an ounce. Karen, we have new developments this morning involving Elon Musk's push into artificial intelligence. The billionaire's startup XAI is raising more than initially planned. Let's get the details from Bloomberg's Genus. Cervetti, Bloomberg News has learned Musk is tapping backers including in Vidia, to lift the ongoing funding ground to twenty billion. Sources say the financing includes equity and debt in a special purpose vehicle that will buy in Vidia processors and rent them to Xai for use in its Colossus two project. Nvidia is investing as much as two billion in the equity portion of the transaction, a strategy that helps accelerate its customers AI investments. The massive financing is just the latest for the AI industry. Earlier this week, OpenAI announced a deal to use advanced micro devices chips over multiple years. Meta Platforms has inked several multi billion dollar deals in the past few months, including a twenty nine billion dollar financing package for data centers, and Oracle also raised a thirty eight billion dollars debt package for its infrastructure. Gina Cervetti Bloomberg Radio, All. Right, Gina, thank you well. Jamie Diamond is weighing in on the AI boom, He says JP Morgan Chase spent two billion dollars a year on developing artificial intelligence technology and saves about this same amount annually from the investment. Diamond tells Bloomberg's Tom mackenzie that he celebrates the opportunities offered by AI, even if it eliminates some jobs. We have two thousand people doing it, spend two billion dollars a year on it. It affects everything risk, fraud, marketing, idea generation, customer service, and it's kind of the tip of the iceberg. And so you know, we're deploying it. Every time we meet us a business, we ask what are you doing? What are you doing to serve your people? Why can you do better? What are somebody else doing? So we're freely deploying it and safely. And a letter to shareholders last year, Diamond the likened AI technology to the printing press, the steam engine, electricity, computing, and the internet. Get the full conversation with JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Diamond on the Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube. And finally, Karen Cristiano Ronaldo is soccer's first billionaire. His net worth now stands at one point four billion dollars on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The Portuguese player reached the milestone after a lucrative contract extension with Saudi Arabian team Al Nasa reportedly worth four hundred million, but Bloomberg Portugal bureau chief Sofia Jorte Costa says Ronaldo's move to the Middle East was controversial. At the time. A lot of people were criticizing that decision because you know, he was going from Manchester United and playing at really top level football to a very unknown league. Even in Saudi Arabia wasn't the most successful team. And despite endorsement deals with brands including Nike and Armani, Bloomberg Sofia Horta a Costa says Ronaldo's wealth primarily comes from his playing career. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we'retowned by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael. Good Morning, Karen. Attorney General Pam Bondi clash with the Democratic Senators during a contentious hearing on a wide range of issues. In an exchange with Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois, Bondi was asked about any conversations that she may have had with the White House about deploying the National Guard to democratic run cities. I wish you loved Chicago as much as you hate President Trump. We're there to help make America safe and Illinois safe, whether or not you want to. Ag Bondi was also questioned about the Jeffrey Epstein files, basically saying that there is no evidence that would implicate potential co conspirators. Matt Van Epps, a former commissioner in Tennessee Governor Bill Lee's administration, as one a crowded Republican primary in the special election to replace former GOP Congressman Mark Green, who left office this summer. Van Epps clinched Tuesday's victory with fifty one point six percent after an endorsement from President Trump. In the Democratic primary, state Representative Apton ben won a four way contest with almost twenty eight percent, and we'll face Vaneps in the general election December second. A truck driver has filed a lawsuit against former New York Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez and Fox Corporation following a bloody fight police they was started by Sanchez outside in Indianapolis hotel. The altercation left sixty nine year old Perry Toll with several injuries. Towell also stabbed Sanchez during the fight lead Prosecutor Ryan Mears. Certainly the description from the victim would indicated that she was of the belief that the person that he had the confrontation, which was very much intoxicated. Prosecutor Ryan Mears also said Tuesday, Sanchez faces a felony battery charge and several misdemeanors. Sanchez was in Indianapolis for Fox's coverage of a football game. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr and this is is Bloomberg. Karen, Thanks Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports updating. For that we bring in John Stashauer. Thanks Daron. The Yankees were in big trouble, trailing Toronto two games to none. On The blue Jays lead game three, six to one, but the Yanks rallied Aaron Judge at a game dying three run Homer Jazz Chisholm a go ahead solo shot Yanks one ninety six. The Blue Jays still lead the series to to one. Seattle one eight four at Detroit for a two to one series lead. Forty year old Joe Flacco traded from one AFC Central team in Ohio to another goes from Cleveland to Cincinnati. The Bengals loss quarterback Joe Burrow to injury. That's to a Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us more from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business Appum. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. As the French political crisis this continues. France's caretaker prime minister now has just hours to find a solution to his country's budget and government woes, and as he had just closer to President Emanuel Macrome's deadline, Sebastian Lacornel is sounding optimistic. That there is a will to have for France a budget before the thirty first of December this year, and this will creates a movement that steers us further away from the dissolution of parliament. That was Prime Minister Lacorneo speaking through an interpreter this morning, and for the very latest, we were joined in Paris once again by Bloomberg Daybreak. Europe Banker Stephen Carroll so Stephen, there's a will to get a budget by the end of the year, but isn't the deadline this month? Good morning, Good. Morning, Nathan. Yeah, I mean, weren't the latest twist of this, but a note of optimism coming from Sebastia Nicrneo. He was speaking before part of what is perhaps the most crucial part of his negotiations. He was going in to talk to the center left Socialist Party. They're seen as being the key to the way out of this cry for la Cournou to build a broader consensus potentially around a budget plan, and that optimism that he talked about of having the centrist and center right parties on board to try and pass a budget and move away from the idea of fresh National Assembly elections would be something that has given markets a bit of a boost. We've seen a reaction on the cat carent In powis getting a bit of a spike, and the advance in government bond deals also continuing. We're seeing the drop down about four basis points on the tenure and the spread with Germany narrowing as well. So a sense from Sebastiana Cornu that things went well with his discussions yesterday, But I would point out those are his existing partners. What he has to get the Socialists to agreeto he said to be looking for concessions. He's meeting a whole range of left wing parties today is what exactly they're willing to agree to. And a lot of the focus now in the conversation has been around the question of retirement reforms and whether the controversial pension reforms passed in France might actually get suspended as part of some sort of deal with the Socialist Party. And that raises the question about whether those kinds of reforms would be agreed to by some of the parties on the right wing exactly. And this is where things get extremely complicated, and we look at the potential for a split in the existing coalition as well. So Sebastian Leacanou is caught in a sort of a game of three dimensional chess where he's trying to bring new allies on side without losing his existing ones. But it is interesting to point out that the idea of suspending the pension reforms came from the person who was responsible for bringing them through parliament, the former Prime Minister Elizabeth Bohn. Again, another indication of how even in Macron's own party we're seeing a sort of distancing from some of the president's key reforms as well. Sebastian Leacorneu is going to speak in an interview on French television this evening. That's around the time we're expecting him to be able to have told the president whether or not there is a way out of this crisis. The hours are ticking down, the meetings are continuing, and the pressure is on for Sebastian Lecanu. At the same time, as you mentioned, we are seeing some relief in the mark, but with some of President mccron's traditional allies sort of distancing themselves from him in ways that we've been talking about since yesterday, does that keep some of the political pressure on him. He's been facing calls from some of his past allies to resign. Yeah, that's right, and some of those calls are ones that they've been making for quite some time. But the issue now is that Emmanuel Macron looks very unlikely to try and resign, much more likely that there would be National Assembly elections, if any at all. And I suppose the messagement of Bastian Lacoran, who seems to indicate that elections are looking like a more distant prospect this morning on the market reaction, though, I would point out that if they were to suspend the pension reforms, that could be a real impact on markets. Conversations we've been having with the likes of Christopher Dembick from Pictay this morning talking about it being the biggest risk to Franci's fiscal outlook, which, as we know, is the origin of this whole crisis to begin with, is the fact that they couldn't agree on a budget to reduce the deficit. And if you add to the fact that you're going to add billions of euros of costs of pensions, if if you do suspends those pension reforms, that's going to make the situation even more complications. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Bray