Iran Wants Hormuz Control, Birthright Citizenship Decision Due
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On today's podcast:
1) Iran reiterated its determination to control maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, raising the stakes ahead of fresh talks in Qatar on formally ending its war with the US. Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said Iran wants to work out an agreement with Oman to oversee ships passing through Hormuz, but will move forward with its own plans if Oman is not interested. The US, Europe, and Gulf Arab nations are concerned about charges being imposed for the use of Hormuz, which would likely add to energy costs and risk creating a precedent for other countries.
2) President Trump refused to commit to signing a major bipartisan housing bill, saying it was “so unimportant” compared to a voting bill. Trump would make a decision on whether to sign the housing bill once he receives it, which has been formally transmitted to the White House. The bill would curb large institutional investors’ ownership of single-family homes, streamline rules around factory-built housing and encourage localities to remove barriers to construction.
3) The US Supreme Court has four big outstanding cases that will be decided today. They include one which challenges the President's executive order ending birthright citizenship for children born in the US to undocumented parents. Yesterday, the High Court expanded the president’s power to fire top government officials in a 6-3 decision that overturns a 1935 precedent. The ruling lets the president fire Federal Trade Commission member Rebecca Kelly Slaughter despite a law that says commissioners can be removed only for specified reasons.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Well, Karen, we begin with the latest from the Middle East. The US says it is said for another round of talks with Iran today in Doha, Qatar. White House says Special Envoice Steve Whitcoff and President Trump's son in law Jared Kushner will attend. Iran has not confirmed it will, though it is sending a delegation to Katar today. In the meantime, Iran is ratcheting up talk about maintaining control of the Strait of Horror moves. We get the very latest from Bloomberg Middle East correspondent Abirabu Omar in Dubai. They've really been doubling down on this toll that they are wanting to charge once the sixty day negotiation period between them and the United States is over. They said, with or without. The blessing of Arman, which has emerged as this other key country, that they will told the Strait of her moves alongside with Coman Sultan Heithan Bentarik met with Emmanuel Macon France yesterday, and both had agreed that the Strait of Hermus should remain free of charges. Plomberg Sabirabo Omar reports the interim deal with Iran does keep the Straight toll free for sixty days, but leave open the possibility of shipping fees after that. President Trump is not saying whether he thinks new talks will lead to a breakthrough. He says his focus is on Iran never having a nuclear weapon well. Nathan Morgan Stanley is cutting oil forecasts for the second time in about two weeks. Has flows through the Straight of Horror moos return faster than expected. The firm says strong US supply and weak Chinese demand raise the risk of a glot. Brent futures have collapsed about thirty percent this quarter as the US and Iran reached an interim peace agreement that's allowed some traffic through Horror Mooz to resume. The White House, Karen, President Trump is holding off on signing a major bipartisan housing bill. The President canceled plans to sign it last week after it passed both the House and send it by wide margins. Here's what I would like to say, much more than a bill that the Big Deal fits a yawn. R. It was this wonderful to me compared to the Save America Act. Just about everything is a big yawn. President Trump spoke for the Oval Office. He's been pressuring Senate Republicans to pass the Save America Act, which would require voter ID and proof of citizenship to vote, but Senate leaders have said they don't have the votes to approve the bill or change the Senate's rules to pass it. Lawmakers from both parties are hoping to tout the housing bill as progress on addressing voters affordability concerns before the November midterm elections. Staying in the nation's capital, Nathan. This is expected to be the final decision day of the Supreme Court's term, and Bloomberg's Amy Morris supports from Washington. Four big cases are still outstanding, including one which challenges the President's executive order ending birthright citizenship for children born in the US to undocumented parents. The Court did rule that President Trump could not immediately fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. Elizabeth Widra, president of the Constitutional Accountability Center, spoke to Balance of Power. This court is generally very pro big business and business interest support having a healthy, independent federal reserve. The Court also decided that the president can fire top government officials, in a decision that expands the power of the Oval Office in Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. Ami, Thanks, It's not just the final day of the Supreme Court's term, it's also a primary election day in Colorado the head of the November midterms, it's a contest between progressives and established incumbents. In several Democratic races. Senator John Hickenlooper is facing a challenge for himself described insurgent progressive Julie Gonzalez. In the first House District, Congresswoman Diana dig Jett has been in office as long as her Democratic Socialist challenger, twenty nine year old Melott Kiros has been alive. And in the eighth district, two state representatives Shannon Bird and Manny Routinell are competing to take on Republican Congressman Gabe Evans in a swing district that was created just five years ago. We turned to the markets now, Nathan, where global equities are on track for their best quarter in almost six years, and Bloomberge John Tucker joins USh with the latest John good morning. Can you believe this, Karen? We're reaching the half here mark and the chip wreck of last week seems like a distant memory. The tech having NASTAK of eleven percent since the start of the year. It's been the best quarter for the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ever. It's been driven by an AI boom and also comes despite geopolitics. AI infrastructure stocks just by themselves likely contributed sixty percent of S and P five hundred earnings growth in the quarter. Alisa Levine at BNY Wealth is focused on those earnings and in S and P five hundred at eight thousand. So the path to AK is the earnings, right, It's the earnings and the fact that it's not just focused on the AI beneficiaries, but it's actually broadening throughout the S and P and that's what gets you to the eight thousand. Well, the rallies not without risk. The amount of leverage in the market could fuel a violent reverse, and City Group strategist Warren us technology shares aren't at risk of further declines. In New York on John Tucker Bloomberg Radio. Well, John, maybe the only thing hotter than the stock market right now is the weather. A heat wave is about to stretch across the Northeast and through the mid Atlantic. We get the latest from Bloomberg meteorologists Craig Allen. Well, it's warm, but it's tolerable so far this morning, However, the sweltering heat is no more than a day away. The worst of it will reach us starting tomorrow and last into the July fourth weekend. Temperatures will reach the nineties in DC today and about eighty five to ninety for New York City in Boston. Add another six to ten degrees on for tomorrow, meaning mid nineties to low one hundreds from DC through Philadelphia to New York City and Boston. The heat indecks will make it feel like one hundred ten degrees or higher, and the nights may not drop a low eighty in some urban areas. And this type of dangerous heat it's going to last at least four days. Well, Bloomberg Meteorologists Craig Gallon says temperatures this week are going to be ten to twenty degrees above the thirty year historical average in nearly three dozen states. Well, let's look at the global economy now, Nathan. Some of the world's top economic leaders are in Portugal for the European Central Bank's annual retreat in CenTra. ECB President Christine the Guard says Europe is becoming less vulnerable to external economic shocks. The EU area has also whether the largest US tariff increase in almost a century, as well as what the International Energy Agency has called the largest oil supply disruption in history that didn't go without a significant cost. It has been substantial, but the economy has not been derailed. ECB President Christine the Guard will appear on a panel tomorrow alongside FED Chair Kevin worsh and we will bring it to you live at not am Wall Street time on Bloomberg Radio and the Bloomberg Business app. In company news Karen, super micro Computer's offices in Taiwan have been raided by government authorities. Sources say the move widens an investigation into alleged smuggling of Nvidia chips into China using super Micro's servers. Now. The company has previously said it is cooperating with Taiwan's authorities on the probe, and shares of super Micro fell eight percent on the news. Time Now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good morning, Good morning, Karen. The death toll from the twin earthquakes that struck Venezuela on June twenty fourth rows past seventeen hundred. More than twenty two thousand, six hundred people were injured. Katie Susman is the deputy Regional director of the Latin American branch at the International Rescue Committee. We're seeing huge water shortages. Seven of the states within Minnezuela are without water now, which means that the survivors that are coming out of that rubble are facing greater challenges and really just being able to have their basic needs met, which is what IRC and other interineering organizations are really focused on right now. Search and rescue operations continue with international aid, including thousands of foreign rescue workers and more than seven hundred thousand tons of humanitarian aid. A Jet Blue flight reported hitting a drone at three thousand feet while trying to land in New York City. The flight was coming in from Las Vegas for landing at JFK Airport. It didn't cause any damage to the jet. Hours Later Monday, a helicopter pilot reported a very close call at JFK with a remote controlled plane. Do you think it was like someone like a drone or like can you describe it? It was just an RC one of the rosicoild airplanes, a big one at five hundred. Feet Audio from ATC dot Com. Over the weekend, a United pilot reported a near collision with a drone at Newark Airport. There's word. Warren Buffett has decided to skip his mid year donations to the Gates Foundation for the first time in two decades. According to The Wall Street Journal, Buffett is waiting for the results of a review into the organization's links to late sex defender Jeffrey Epstein. He could make a donation by thanksgiving Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now, I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Karen. Thanks Michael all the time. Now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Darren upsets. At the World Job, the Netherlands and Germany, European nations ranked seventh and tenth in the world. Both lost in penalty kicks. Netherlands upset by Morocco, Germany upset by Paraguay. Brazil needed a goal right at the end to get by Japan two to one. At Wimbledon, Yonix Sender, the tompsted and defending champion, was down two sets to one and fell had a bloody foot, still pulled out the match in five sets. The big match today Serena Williams's return. That's a Bloomberg Sports Update. Day with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. The straight of horror moves may be the major bone of contention as the US gets ready for another round of talks with Iran today in Katar, but President Trump says his focus is on Iran's nuclear ambitions. The meeting in Doha is going to be uh, perhaps important, perhaps not. We'll never find out. That was President Trump speaking in the Oval Office. Joining us this morning is Mark Champion, who covers the Middle East for Bloomberg Opinion, sounding as though the President is setting expectations relatively low here, Mark, But first off, do we know whether the talks are actually going to happen today? There's been kind of mixed messaging, hasn't there good morning? Good morning? Yes? Absolutely, the as it looks as though there will be talks. But the question is, you know at what level and about what? And so the Americans are sending as far as we know Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushna, so at a fairly high level. The Iranians are saying they won't be talking to the Americans directly, They'll be sending a technical team. And it seems as though what the Uranians want to do is to basically talk about Hormoz and their interpretation of the Memoranda of our Understanding as it affects the Strait, which is that in that memorandum it says that they should work out with Oman control of the straight and they believe that the US, by sending, you know, ships are hugging the Ilmani coast without reference to the Uranians, are breaking the deal. The US interprets the deal differently. So it looks as though, you know, as much as the president you know, thinks that these talks are still all about nuclear and in Iran's nuclear program, and that's what it's all about. It looks as though they may focus on more technical issues to do with just keeping the ceasefire alive. Well, we have seen in just the last few days Iran keep up attacks in and around the Strait. How much leverage does Iran have around the waterway right now? Well, it has a great deal of leverage. This is it's, uh, you know, the key to how it emerged from the war. It believes that you know, it may have lost some of its bailistic missile stocks, some of the power of its proxy what it calls its forward defense network of proxies including Hasblahamas, et cetera. And it may have you know, lost a number, you know, some of it's the potency of what it considered as its deterrence. But it has emerged from the war with something he didn't have before, which was the ability to quickly impact the global economy and put pressure on the United States that way. So they are very insistent that they should retain that leverage, that control and also try and monetize it and to turn it into a cash flow for the regime, which has an economy that is in deep, deep, deep trouble. So this is their sort of number one priority. For the US, it is more about, you know, getting the nuclear deal that Donald Trump has been pursuing ever since he left, the twenty fifteen arrangement that was negotiated by President Obama. Just thirty seconds left. What role could golf allies or even Olman have around the Strait of Horror Moon's issue at this point. Well, Amman's in a difficult position. You know. The problem for the Ranians is that it doesn't have complete control of the strait in the way that you know, Turkey has complete control of the side of the Boss Versus and the Dot de news. So Aman, you know, also has a voice, and it is you know, trying to sort of sit the fence between the US and Iran very uncomfortable place to be. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am. Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App Now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen and I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg. Dave bray M