US Shutdown Nears End as Senate Passes Deal; Trump Teases India Trade Pact
On today's podcast:
1) A record-setting 41-day US government shutdown is on a path to end as soon as Wednesday after the Senate passed a temporary funding measure backed by a group of eight centrist Democrats. The Senate’s 60-40 vote Monday comes amid escalating flight disruptions, food aid delays and frustrations in a federal workforce that has mostly gone without pay for more than a month. The Republican-controlled House must still approve the spending package, which keeps most of the government open through Jan. 30 and some agencies through Sept. 30. But Speaker Mike Johnson said he expects it will pass quickly.
2) Air travel disruptions mounted across the US as lawmakers pushed to end the federal government shutdown, with an air traffic controllers’ union warning of “the erosion of safety” as the critical workers missed their second-straight full paycheck. Almost 2,100 flights were canceled as of 6:15 p.m. in New York on Monday, according to data compiled by aviation analytics firm Cirium. That’s about 8.2% of the day’s 25,735 scheduled flights. Chicago O’Hare International Airport had the most cancellations, with nearly 25% of its scheduled flights scrapped. Over 16% of services in and out of Boston Logan Airport were scrubbed, as were 15% of trips at New York City’s LaGuardia Airport. The growing fallout stems from the Federal Aviation Administration’s directive to reduce flight capacity by 10% at the roughly 40 busiest US airports, a bid to alleviate what US aviation officials have said are signs of strain in the nation’s airspace system.
3) President Trump said he “at some point” would reduce the tariff rate on Indian goods, saying the US was getting “pretty close” to a trade deal with New Delhi. The comments were the latest signal of a possible thaw in the trade dispute that has soured the relationship between Washington and New Delhi. Earlier this year, Trump slapped additional tariffs on India’s exports to the US in part to pressure New Delhi to stop buying Russian oil, raising the rates on many Indian goods to 50%. That added tensions to an already contentious negotiation over what the US has cast as India’s high levies and other barriers on American goods.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, the longest government shutdown in US history could end as soon as tomorrow. The Senate has passed a temporary funding measure that would reopen most of the government through January thirtieth and the rest through the end of September. It's a sigh of relief for Senate Majority Leader John Thune. This has been a very long road, quite literally the longest shutdown in history. I am very very happy to be able to say that we are coming to the end. Majority Leader John Thune spoke on the Senate floor after the bill passed sixty to forty. Now it heads to the House, where lawmakers are expected to take it up tomorrow. The measure does not include the health insurance subsidy extension that Democrats had demanded for more than a month. Bloomberg's John Hirskovitz reports that it's led to a split within the. The concession that Republicans gave was allowing a vote on the extension of these subsidies in December. Whether the subsidies pass or not is another matter. For a lot of the members of the Democratic Party, especially on the progressive wing, they see this as a betrayal. This was the root cause of their confrontation with the Republicans, and they just don't like the way that it has been settled. Bloomberg's John hirsk It says Republicans are floating alternate plans for the expiring subsidies. President Trump has proposed sending direct payments to affordable character recipients. Other Republicans are suggesting an income cap for the subsidies. Well, Nathan, the shutdown is certainly leaving a mark on the airline industry. A fourth day of flight restrictions saw airlines scrap more than twenty three hundred flights yesterday, and after going unpaid for more than a month, some air traffic controllers have been calling out of work in opposed on truth social President Trump's threatened to withhold pay for those who do not show up. The President promised it ten one thousand dollars bonus for workers who did not take time off. Nick Daniels is president of the Air Traffic Controllers Union. So I'll take anything that recognizes these hard working men and women, but will work with the administration on any issues that are out there. Air traffic controllers have continued to show up during this shutdown. They've endured the longest shutdown in American history, and every single day they absolutely not only deserve their pay, they deserve to be recognized. Nick Daniels with the National Association of Air Traffic Controllers says his members have worked without pay since the shutdown began on October first. And Karen the freezing weather across the country is adding to the flight disruptions. Bloomberg meteorologist Craig Gallen is tracking a storm that's affecting now the majority of the country. It's the coldest air of the season so far, and it has dipped down from border to border across the eastern half of the United States. And as we've been mentioning the core of this unseasonably cold out break, it took a nose dive south first, and now it has invaded the east. This morning. Sub freezing peratures are covering about three dozen states, Numerous record lows being set all the way down through Texas over to Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, even south of Orlando in Florida and Lake of Hexno has been a big problem. Treacherous traveled downwind of all the Great Lakes. It has shifted more to the east, so the heaviest accumulations now are occurring from Erie to Buffalo to Syracuse, and that includes Interstates eighty, ninety, seventy nine, and eighty six. Bloomberg Meteorologist Craig Gallon says this taste of winter will be short lived. Temperatures are expected to begin to return to average by midweek. Well Nathan. President Trump is hinting at a thaw in trade relations with India. The President says, the US is pretty close to a deal with India and at some point tariff rates will go down. Well, right now, the tariffs are very high on India because of the Russian oil, and they've stopped doing the Russian oil. It's been reduced for substantially. Yeah, we're going to be bringing the tariffs down. President Trump spoke at the Oval Office swearing in a new ambassador to India, Sergio Gore. The US raised tariffs on many Indian goods to fifty percent earlier this year, in part to pressure new Daily to stop buying Russian oil. Indian refiners have a gun scaling back purchases from Moscow after President Trump's sanctioned rushes to largest producers last month. I Meanwhile, Karin, the President is downplaying criticism of the potential creation of a fifty year mortgage product. He tells Fox News it would help more Americans of ford monthly payments on homes. It's not even a big deal. I mean, you know, you go from forty to fifty years, and what everages you pay, you pay something less from thirty. That some people had a forty and then now they have a fifty. All it means is you pay less for monty paid over a longer period of time. President Trump spoke with Fox News as Laura Ingram now. Critics say extending the length of a mortgage to fifty years from the standard thirty would mean buyer's build equity much more slowly and pay far more interest over the lifetime of a loan. And staying with the markets, Nathan futures are lower after yesterday's rally on Wall Street, and shares of Nvidia are down more than one percent. Japan SoftBank said it has sold its entire stake in the ship maker It's pocketing five point eight billion dollars ahead of a rash of planned investments by founder Masayoshi's son to build his own sphere of influence supporting artificial intelligence. SoftBank also announced a four for one stock split. Paramount sky Dance reported financial results for the first time care and since a new investor group took over the media company in August. It reported revenue below analyst forecast. Paramount says it plans an additional sixteen hundred person workforce reduction and a goal to achieve at least three billion dollars in cost savings. Chris Paul Mary covers Paramount Skydance for Bloomberg. Clearly they're uppering their cost cutting. Is an interesting time because, as everyone has reported, they're interested in buying Warner Brothers. And one of the concerns is, you know how many more jobs the industry would lose if they bought it. Bloomberg's Chris Palm Mary says, the parent of CBS and the Paramount Film and TV Studios forecast thirty bills million dollars in revenue next year. That's slightly more than analyst estaments, and the shares are at more than four percent This morning. On the flip side, Nathan Shares of core Weaver down eight and a half percent. The data center operator lowering his annual revenue forecast due to a delay fulfilling a customer contract. Core Weave shares it more than doubled this year. Karen, it is the end of an era for one of the business's most watched icons. Ninety five year old Warren Buffett says he intends to step up the pace of his donations while he's still alive and will be going quiet. That means he will no longer write Berkshire Hathaway's annual report or speak at its annual shareholder meeting. Here's Bloomberg News senior editor Eric Weiner. He also was sort of a voice of reason on Wall Street. He would be one who would point out that things had gotten a little bit far out over their skis. He would be the one to say that it was time to step back in. They called him the oracle, and there was a good reason for that. We're not going to see something like that again for a very long time, if ever. Bloomberg's ericer says, Warren Buffett is donating more than one point three billion dollars to four family foundations. He plans to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway at the end of this year. Time now for a look at some of the o their stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael Barr, welcome back, Thank you. Very much, Karen. The Supreme Court has rejected a call to overturn its landmark decision that legalized same sex marriage nationwide. The Justices turned away an appeal from former Kentucky Court clerk Kim Davis, who refused to issue marriage licenses the same sex couples after the Supreme Court's twenty fifteen ruling. The decision brought a sense of relief to many same sex couples and LGBTQ advocates. Chris Hartman is with the Kentucky Fairness Campaign. It's over. Kim Davis's case was not going to be the one that challenged marriage equality. The Supreme Court degrees. Can we all agree to never talk talk about Kim Davis again. Davis had been trying to get the justices to overturn a lower court order that she paid three hundred and sixty thousand dollars in damages and attorneys fees. The Food and Drug Administration says it will remove a long standing warning from hormone based drugs used to treat menopause symptoms in women. The change is a break from FDA policy in which the drugs carried the agency's most severe warning label after two studies in the early two thousands claim that there were major risks associated with HRT, including breast cancer. Gecologist doctor Jessica Sheppard, chief medical officer of the Telehealth Company HERS, says, according to federal officials, almost a third of women did not use HRT due to the warning. This moment has been coming for decades, and when we think of how women have been suffering four years since that WHI study, we really have reached a pinnacle of allowing women's health to pervade it. Doctor Shepherd says women should talk to their provider about hormone therapy. Today, the US owners hit service members on this Veteran's Day. Greg Dartin is a Wisconsin veteran. I'm seventy one. The WW two vets are dying every day. Korea is the next Center's just sir, Vietnam vets, and we're disappearing. We're disappearing very quickly. This morning, President Trump is scheduled to lay a wreath at the tomb of the Unknown Soldier at Arlington National Cemetery. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Herren. Well, thanks Michael. A time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Garren brother By football in Green Bay, Packers and Eagles scoreless for thirty six minutes. Philadelphia kicked the field goal, got a jail and heard touchdown pass to Devontae Smith in the fourth quarter and beat Green Bay ten to seven. The Eagles were seven to two. The Giants are two and eighth. They fired coach Brian Dayball. He was in his fourth season overall record of twenty wins and forty losses. Mike Kafka, the assistant, takes over as the interim head coach. Rookies of the Year A's first baseman Nick Kurtz, won unanimously in the American League. Braves catcher Drake Baldwin in the NL that's to Bloomberg Sports fifty. Stay with us more from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager, and it is now six full weeks into the federal government shut down. Now it may be just one day away from coming to an end. We are going to reopen government. We're going to ensure that federal employees, whether they were furloughed or laid off or purses to work without pay, will now receive compensation. That was Republican Senator Susan Collins after the Senate voted sixty forty on a bill to reopen most of the government for another two and a half months. The House is expected to vote on it tomorrow and for more. We are joined by Bloomberg Breaking News Editor Alexander Pearson. Alex it's great to speak with you this morning. I think it's worth talking about what got us to this point and what should we expect now that this new stop gap is headed to the House. Good morning, and. Thank you for having me. That's right. So yesterday the Senate passed a stopgap bill that will, as you say, fund most of the government until January thirtieth, and then also includes three full budget bills that will fund the rest of the government actually for the next year. So it's a lot of progress considering where how long it took to get here. The House today is expected to vote on the measure and it will have to pass that bill for it to eventually land on President Trump's desk to be signed into law so that the government can reopen. But the bill does not include what the Democrats had been holding out for for more than a month, this solution to expiring health insurance subsidies. Where is that issue left now? Yeah, that's right. So the Democrats initially were reticent to pass any kind of stopgap measure without extending these healthcare subsidies, and a group of centrist moderate Democrats yesterday they broke with most of the party to actually pass this bill in the Senate. That caused a lot of consternation with progressive Democrats, including the leadership. And so now what happens with that is that they got an extent essentially an exchange for voting for this bill. The Republicans in the Senate agreed to hold a vote on extending those subsidies in mid December. But the thing is is that it's not assured if that will actually pass, which is exactly what, of course, the most Democrats wanted to ensure by including it in any kind of stopgap measure, and. We've heard from House Speaker Mike Johnson that he wouldn't even promise of vote on the subsidy issue. Could this potentially tee up a campaign issue for Democrats setting into next year's midterms. Absolutely, if there's no extension, then a lot of millions of Americans actually who get the healthcare through the Affordable Care Act could see the premium skyrocket. And so the Democrats definitely will make this into an electoral issue going into the midterms next year if there is no deal that they see as sufficient as at the end of this year, so these are subject is actually supposed to expire by the end of the year. So if there's no agreement, then this could really become a hot potato issue in the elections next year. And in the meantime, Alex of course, we've seen thousands of flight cancelations, uncertainty around federal food aid as well. In our last minute, where does this leave things politically for Republicans and Democrats. Yeah, I mean, in terms of the polling, it's shown that actually the Republicans have been blamed a little bit more by you know, the average vota for the shutdown then Democrats. That said, you know, the Democrats now are a little bit lost because they didn't get essentially what they wanted from the shutdown fight, even though they scored some pretty good electronal wins last week in New York, New Jersey and Virginia. And so for them, you know, they're going to be looking at this as maybe a lost opportunity and we'll try to make an electoral issue next year if they can't get the subsidies extended. For the Republicans, they now have to decide what they want to do in terms of these subsidies and how they want to manage that issue to ensure that it doesn't become a liability going into the midterms next year. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast and the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak