Trump Maintains Pressure on Iran; King Charles Speaks to Congress
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1) The US signaled it would stick with a naval blockade of Iranian ports, as it tries to choke-off Tehran’s oil exports and force it back to the negotiating table. US President Donald Trump claimed on Tuesday that Iran was in a “state of collapse.” His treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, later said Washington’s “maximum pressure campaign” had caused Iran’s inflation to accelerate and that the country was running out of oil storage. It would soon have to start cutting production, Bessent said.
2) King Charles III called on the US to maintain its leadership role in the world, and to support Ukraine and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, in a remarkably pointed speech for a monarch that urged Americans to resist the pull of isolationism.Charles used his remarks to a joint session of Congress — the first such address by a British monarch in more than three decades — to argue for preserving the alliance between the UK and US. The king appealed to the shared heritage between the two nations, sprinkling his remarks with references to culture, religion and principles behind America’s decision to declare independence 250 years ago
3) With the Fed widely expected to keep rates on hold at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, the more interesting revelation will concern Jerome Powell’s future: Will he stay on or leave the Fed when his term as chair expires May 15? Regardless of his plans, we think Powell will offer only limited forward guidance on policy at his final news conference as chair, with Kevin Walsh on track to be confirmed as his successor.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the US Iran War, now entering its third month. President Trump said in a truth social post, Iran is in a state of collapse, and the Wall Street Journal is reporting the President's told aides to prepare for an extended blockade of the Strait of Horror, moves as the US looks to choke off Tehran's oil exports. Presidents discuss the war at the State dinner with the UK's King Charles last night. We're doing a little Middle East work right now too. If you might know, now, we're doing very well. We have militarily defeated that particular opponent, and we're never going to let that opponent ever. Charles agrees with me even more than I do. We're never going to let that opponent have a nuclear weapon. They know that now. Ron's signaled it could reopen the Strait of Hormus exchange for the US lifting its naval blockade, while Iran would also postpone negotiations over its nuclear program. But the journal says President Trump has rejected that offer. This morning, the President posted online that Iran doesn't know how to sign a non nuclear deal and needs to quote get smart soon. The post included an image of the president wearing sunglasses and holding an assault rifle with the caption no more mister nice guy. Meanwhile, Nathan, oil prices are made firmly and triple digits this morning. Checking the price of oil right now, Ninemax screwed again, up three point four percent, is at one hundred three dollars thirty three cents of barrel. Brent is up two point eight percent at one hundred and fourteen dollars forty two cents. Don Strouiven is Goldman Sachs co head of Global Commodities Research and expects growth to slow. Our Brent upgrades to ninety dollars barrel by the fourth quarter. That's thirty dollars higher almost than our forecast before the work. That would be even higher around one hundred dollars baberyl if we did not incorporate rates some significant demand losses. We now look for global oil demand to stack. Nate and Don Stroivan spoke to Bloomberg after his team at Goldman Warren that the current drawdown of stockpiles is quote extreme. Also shaking up the global oil market Karen the United Arab Emirates saying it is leaving OPEC and OPEK Plus as of this Friday. The nation's Energy Minister su Hail al Mazrui says responding to the Iran conflict requires extraordinary measures. We believe leaving the group now will enable us to attain to the market requirements at that pace. That is approp of it. From all our point of view, and we don't want to be constrained by any other groups. UEE Energy Minister su Hail al Mazroui spoke to Bloomberg's Jumana Borsecci Amuradi officials have signaled they'll boost production when the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Well. Back in Washington, Nathan Britten's King Charles the Third called on the US to maintain it's a leadership role in the world in a speech to Congress and Bloomberg's Amy Morris has more from the nation's capital. It was the first such address by a British monarch in more than three decades. King Charles used the address to a joint session of Congress to argue for preserving the alliance between the UK and the US. That allons is part of what Henry Kissinger described as Kennedy's Soren vision of an Atlantic partnership based on twin pillars Europe and America. That partnership, I believe, mister Speaker, is more important today than it has ever been. The King's visit comes at a critical time as the two countries are experiencing strained relations over the war in Iran. In Washington, Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio. All Right, Amy, thank you. Elsewhere in Washington, former FBI Director James Commey has been indicted again by the Trump administration. This time he's charged with threatening the President's life. The case centers on a photo Comy posted online showing the numbers eighty six and forty seven arranged with seashells. Critics say that could be interpreted as a reference to killing President Trump. Here's Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche. While this case is unique and this indictment stands out because of the name of the defendant, his alleged conduct is the same kind of conduct that we will never tolerate and that we will always investigate and regularly prosecute. I was acting Attorney General. Todd Blanche Comey's lawyer says his client vigorously denies the charges. Well, it's certain the economy now, Nathan, and the Fed's latest interest rate announcement comes today at what's likely J. Powell's final meeting as FED chair In Bloomberg's Michael McKee has a. Preview, Expectations are low for the two day meeting. Oil prices are continuing to rise, and it appears little progress is being made on ending the Iran war. Additional tariffs are coming. PCE Inflation reported Thursday is forecast to hit three and a half percent, a long way from the Fed's two percent target. But policymakers will be changing interest rates, they will not be making new economic forecasts, and there's no new dot plot. It's likely J. Powell's last FED meeting as chairman, so analysts, investors, and the President of the United States will be anxious to hear if Powell gives any hint of his future plans. His term as chair ends May fifteenth, but he can remain on the Board of Governors until twenty twenty eight. Will he stay or will he go? Michael McKee Bloomberg Radio. Now, along with that FED decision, Karen, investors are getting ready for earnings from some big tech juggernauts, and Bloomberg's John Tucker's here with a preview. It's a sixteen trillion dollar earnings week, representing a quarter of the S and P five hundreds market cap. Today, after the close, we're going to hear from Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Amazon. Joeanne Feenie is a partner at Advisor's Capital Management that tells Bloomberg what she's watching. We're going to see, I believe, increase commitment to further data center builds. We're going to probably see increases in capital spending budgets, and you know, I think that's going to give investors some reassurance that this is going to go on for many years to come. Big tech earnings continue tomorrow as well, with Apple reporting after the close. You know, Yorkcome, John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, thank you. The FCC is starting an early review of ABC's TV station licenses, tied to the Commission's inquiry into parent Disney's DEI practices. FCC Chairman Brendan car says eight stations need to file for license renewals. Early licenses come due every so often. You can accelerate when a license come due and say, hey, we have significant concerns value of conducting your operations. We want to review your license now in decide from the public interest. If we find that a broadcaster hasn't been doing that, then the statue requires us to issue a hearing designation order. FCC chairman Brendan Carr reportedly believes Disney gave employees different opportunities based on race and gender. Disney said is confident it's record it demonstrates quote continued qualifications as licensees. The news comes as Business Insider reports Disney CEO Josh Tomorrow has decided not to spin off the company's ESPN networks. Back on Wall Street, Karen Bill Ackman's combined initial public offering for his closed end fund and alternative asset manager has raised five billion dollars. The IPO was set to raise as much as ten billion. It will result in two listed entities, the closed end fund Pershing Square USA, and asset manager Pershing Square and. Finally, Nathan. The State Department says it's preparing a limited release of commemorative passports with President Trump's picture inside time to America's two hundred and fiftieth birthday. It'll be the first time a living president has been featured on the travel document. Twenty five to thirty thousand of the new passports will be available at the Washington, DC Passport Office starting just before July. Fourth. Time Now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and a on the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, good Morning, Good. Morning, Karen. Billionaires Elon Musk and Ai executive Sam Altman are expected to take the stand at a trial in which Musk is suing Altman. Musk says he was tricked into investing in open Ai as a nonprofit, claiming Altman intended to turn the company into a for profit business. Open Ai did that last year and appears to be readying for a big IPO later this year. Musk left open Ai in twenty eighteen. Musk is basically looking for open ai to reverse its decision, for it to go back being a nonprofit, and for the company to pay back all the profits it has made to the company's charity, Severe Storm Slam Texas after days of relentless whether a possible tornado touching down in the city of Mineral Wells outside Fort Worth, injuring several people and causing widespread damage. It hit and all of our windows who were busting, and there was flying around in our living room. Fire Chief Ryan Dunn. In the industrial area, we do have major damage and major hazards that are all across the road. So stand out of that area is going to be very detrimental to people not getting injured. Chief Done says the roofs of some homes ripped off, one even landing in the middle of the street. The woman at the center of Harvey Weinstein's rape retrial was on the stand. Lawyers for the disgraced movie mogul have not yet had their chance to question Jessica Mann at this retrial, but have argued that everything that happened between the two was consensual. Weinstein's rape accuser told jurors for the third time that the former Hollywood producer had trapped her in a New York hotel room and assaulted her in twenty thirteen. Man cries as she testifies that she repeatedly said no and tried to leave the room, but said he treated her like he owned her. Weinstein denies the allegation. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you wanted with the Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg. Keren Well, Thanks Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update, and for that we bring in John Stashauer. Thanks Darren. At the NBA Playoffs, San Antonio beat Portland and won that series four games to one. In the East, the Nicks blew out the Hawks in New York for a three to two series lead. In Boston, the Sixers stayed alive. They beat the Celtics, who are still up three to two. The Phillies won ninety six games last season. They've struggled this year, and they fired manager Rob Thompson and replaced them on an interim basis with their bench coach Don Mattingley. They offered the job to Alex Korra, just fired in Boston. He turned it down. That's the Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us more from Bloomberg Day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hagar. Head into the third month of war between the US and Iran. It appears to be turning into a lengthy standoff in and around the Persian Gulf, with the Wall Street Journal reporting President Trump has told AIDS to prepare for a lengthy blockade of the Strait of Hormuze joining US from Dubai. This morning is Bloomberg Middle East Correspondent, anchor of Bloomberg Horizons, Jumana Borsecci Jumana. What more do we know about this report and the effort to squeeze Iran's economy? Good morning, Yeah, good morning. A couple of things are emerging here. And remember we've been talking throughout the course of this week, that about the Iranian side having presented their proposal to the US about a phased approach to ending the war, first starting with the mutual lifting of the blockade and then eventually differing the discussions around the nuclear file TOI later. Now, from what we understand the reporting that has emerged in the last twenty four hours the Wall Street Journal this morning, all of the suggestions are that this is actually not going to fly with the US administration, and I just want to it's rights here. We haven't got a formal response yet from the White House, but the Wall Street Journal article is suggesting that the US President Trump he's considered all of the different options, including quite literally ending the war walking away. The other option is a resumption of hostilities, given the tremendous amount of military acids that are still in the region. And then the third option is to just keep on with this US naval blockade perhaps a few more weeks, with the view that the longer it goes on for the more the Iranian economy is going to start hurting. Now, that is what the Wall Street Journal were reporting. We also need to pair that up with the true social posts that Trump put up about. An hour ago, where he said Iran. Can't get their act together, they don't know how to sign a non nuclear deal. They better get smart soon, which would also suggest he's losing his patients, and then also raises the possibility once again, Nathan of perhaps say a resumption of hostilities. So we can't completely rule that out now with this latest post that's come through from President Trump. Yeah, it did seem like we saw a little bit of a spike in what's already a surging oil market this morning off the back of that social media post. What's the impact as well, Jumana of this kind of surprise announcement from the United Arab Emirates that it's going to be leaving OPEK and OPEC plus at the end of the week. Yeah, that was a really shocking announcement. I would say that came through yesterday, but not necessarily surprising because there had been a lot of friction in the backgrounds between the UAE and other producers, namely the de facto head of the OPEK, that is, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and I would say from their perspective, and I got the I had the opportunity to speak to the UAE Energy Minister and he said this was a careful decision that was taken, but that right now they decided that the time was right because it would not have hugely impacted the market. The decision would not hugely have. Impacted the market because the market was under supplied, and so clearly this is something that they had been sitting on for a while. Now. They've been considering how to withdraw from OPEK, but to do it in a way that wasn't going to cause a significant amount of disruption, and that the crux of the issue here. As UEE have been pushing for extra production, they've been expanding their capacity more than any other OPEC member, but they've been constrained by the group decision making, collective decision making coming through from OPEK. A year ago, we were talking about this market being hugely oversupplied to the tune of one to two million barrels a day. Now we're in an environment where ten to twelve million barrels a day from a Persian Gulf oil is being taken off the market. So it was more that they sensed a window of opportunity that arose from the Iran War as opposed to reacting to the Iran War. This is Bloomberry Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow and I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray