Fearing the Fade: Starting Pitcher Regression Candidates

Eno, Trevor, and DVR discuss a lengthy absence of Pablo López following a Grade 2 teres major strain, and wonder if Chase Burns' arrival in Cincinnati might come earlier than expected with Hunter Greene's return to the IL. Plus, they dig into the regression cases of several starting pitchers -- including the always puzzling Andrew Abbott, Kris Bubic, Casey Mize, and several others.

Rundown

0:42 Pablo Lopez: Out 8-12 Weeks

6:18 An Opportunity for David Festa

8:03 Hunter Greene Goes Back on the IL

11:50 Another Attempt to Understand Andrew Abbott's Success

19:29 2025 ERA v. Rest-of-Season Projections (OOPSY/ppERA)

25:43 Nathan Eovaldi's Tendency to Lose Velocity In Season

32:10 The Best Version of Casey Mize We've Seen?

41:02 Tyler Mahle's Low K% Will Become a Problem

44:14 Should You Worry About Jacob deGrom's Last Two Starts?

48:30 Checking In on the Drag on the Baseball

54:58 How Would Dynamic Daily Park Factors Impact Your Game Plan?

Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.social

Follow DVR on Bluesky: @dvr.bsky.social

Follow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.social

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com

Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFe

Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels

Hosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno Sarris

With: Trevor May

Producer: Brian Smith

Executive Producer: Derek VanRiper

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.