US, Iran Halt Attacks; Supreme Court to Rule on Trump Cases
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1) The US and Iran have agreed to stop attacking each other before peace talks resume over the Strait of Hormuz and other issues. Technical talks are scheduled to continue on all aspects of a memorandum of understanding reached this month, with both sides standing down for now and vessels able to move freely. The exchange of attacks began over the waterway, with the Islamic Republic striking a container ship, prompting Washington to hit Iran, and both sides blaming the other for breaching the ceasefire.
2) Russian President Vladimir Putin said he’s ready to continue talks with US envoys on ending the war in Ukraine. Putin rejected a proposal to halt long-range strikes that have proven damaging for both sides, saying his retaliatory strikes deep into Ukrainian territory are much more powerful. The Kremlin expects US negotiators to travel to Moscow to continue talks on ending the war in Ukraine once Washington is less focused on the conflict with Iran.
3) The US Supreme Court is scheduled to rule on President Trump's bids to oust a Federal Reserve governor and roll back automatic birthright citizenship this week. The court will decide whether Trump can remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook temporarily while she fights mortgage fraud allegations, and whether he can restrict birthright citizenship to babies with at least one parent who is a US citizen or green-card holder. The justices will also rule on other cases, including Trump's effort to fire top officials at executive-branch agencies for any reason, and cases related to election laws and transgender athletes.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest from the Middle East. The US and Iran have agreed to stop attacking each other before talks resumed this week over the Strait of hormones and other issues. The latest strikes began Thursday, when Iran hit a container ship in the Strait that led to back and forth attacks that ended last night with Kuwait and Bahrain intercepting drones and missiles from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. US Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz says the US will continue to respond militarily if necessary. Last few nights where we'll continue to militarily, if needed, take down their infrastructure that they're trying to use to illegally control an international waterway. You An Ambassador Mike Waltz appeared on Fox News Sunday, Heard Every Sunday on Bloomberg Radio. Bloomberg's You're a Middle East and Africa News Director Well Kennedy says, all this is put the sixty day ceasefire to the test. It is fragile, and clearly what happened over the last few days will be a woey to everyone and to people trying to get oil and other goods in and out of the Strait of Horn moves. I think though, that both sides probably want an opportunity for the talks to continue and to build on what was agreed in their memorandum of understanding, So it is a true but extremelyat fragile one, I think. Bloomberg's Well Kennedy reports both sides continue to tussle over whether Iran will be able to impose tolls or other costs for ships to move through the strait. Talks on that and other technical issues are expected to resume this week in Doha, Qatar. Well Nathan. Russia expects US negotiator Steve Wikoff and Jared Kushner to travel to Moscow to continue talks on ending the war in Ukraine once Washington is no longer preoccupied with the conflict with Iran. In an interview with State television, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow received new proposals to limit fighting in Ukraine, but he rejected them. Back in this country. Karen gasoline prices continue to fall. In Bloomberg's John Tucker's keeping an eye on that Good morning, John, I. Had, good morning, Nathan. The latest national survey from tripa A shows the average price for unleaded has now fallen to three point eighty six a gallon, represents just over a twelve percent decline over the last month. The average price a year ago. You'll recall this stood at three dollars and nineteen cents. Now. The decline comes on hopes of some sort of lasting ceasefire with irant Well. Bloomberg intelligence analysts caution that oil markets may be pricing too smooth a transition from the Gulf War. They point out that intermittent security incidents and cautious shipowner behavior could keep the path back to normal slower than the prices imply, especially with strategic inventories at a forty three year low. In New York Ime, John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio, Right, John. Thank you well. Back in Washington, House Speaker Mike Johnson says he'll send the bipurtisan housing bill that passed Congress last week. Did President Trump designed today? The housing bill really is a Republican priority because it will lower housing costs. We made a lot of promises to the voters, and we're fulfilling those every single day of this Congress. And this is a big part of that because it will increase the availability, the access to more housing, bring down cost, cut regulations, do the things that we know are very important for that market. Speaker Mike Johnson appeared on Fox's Sunday Morning Futures, and President Trump abruptly canceled a signing ceremony for the housing bill last week to pressure the Senate to pass a nationwide voter ID law that he's been pushing for months. Well, Karen. The Supreme Court is expected to issue its final decisions of its term this week, and we get more on that from Bloomberg's Amy Morris. In Washington, justices are preparing to release opinions on some of the biggest issues of the term. Those include President Trump's push to restrict birthright citizenship and expand the president's power to fire board members at independent agencies, whether the president can oust Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. Now. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments earlier this year in Cook's case and appeared skeptical of the administration's removal attempt. The justices are weighing whether the four cause removal provision permits a president to bypass due process. In Washington, Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio. All right, Amy, thank you. Let's turn to the marcuts now, where futures are higher as we take off the holidays shortened trading week. Right now, SNP futures are up seven tenths of up percent, Now futures up a third of up percent, and nasday futures up one percent. Last week, the S and P five hundred closed below its fifty day moving average for the first time since April. On Thursday, we get the monthly jobs report for the month of June. Then, ahead of that report, Karen the Federal Reserves new chairman grabs the spotlight. In Europe, Bloomberg's Monica Ricks reports. FED cher Kevin Warsh will make his debut on the global stage this week at the European Central Banks Annual Symposium in Portugal, along with three other veterans of the two thousand and eight global financial crisis. Over financial stability, including links to the artificial intelligence boom, will likely loom large at this event, as well as any hints on interest rates and the Policy Panel's chemistry. Last year, former FED chair Jerome Powell got a standing ovation and tons of praise for standing firm against attacks from President Trump, Monica Ricks, Bloomberg Radio, all. Right, Monica, thank you. In company news, Verizon and the UK's BT Group have a great to create a joint venture for their international businesses that will have a combined yearly revenue of about four billion dollars. Verizon agreed to an equalization payment of six hundred and twenty five million to BT, and the companies will hold equal voting rights in the venture. In Asia, Karen, South Korea is orchestrating investments of at least eight hundred and eighty billion dollars from companies including Samsung Electronics and des Kheinez into chips and data centers. The scale of Korean tech spending underscores the government's urgent desire to maintain its lead in memory chips that are crucial to AI. Nathan us list did. Bitcoin exchange traded funds are on pace for their worst month of withdrawals since launching two years ago. Investors have pulled more than four billion dollars from the thirteen funds in June. Bitcoin is down more than eighteen percent this month. This morning, it is up not a third of up percent, is at about fifty nine eight hundred dollars. Not so sweet news here, Karen. One of the world's biggest chocolate makers, is headed for its worst quarter in seventeen years. Lint, known for its golden fall wrapped easter bunnies, has seen its sales volumes eroad after raising prices last year by nearly twenty percent on the back of surging cocoa prices. The chocolates heer is set for its worst quarterly showing since two thousand and nine, when it grappled from with the fallout from the global financial crisis. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by A. Bloombery's Michael Barr. Michael, Good morning, Good. Morning, Karen. The Northeast, including New York, is in for some high temperatures and humidities starting Tuesday and lasting through Friday. With more here's Bloomberg medeaurologist Craig Allen. An extreme heat watch has been posted. Temperatures will likely run fifteen to twenty degrees above normal, with highs in the upper nineties to low one hundreds, and the humidity will be stifling too. So from DC up through Philly to New York City and up to Boston, the heat indeck some measure of what the combination of heat and humidity will make it feel like. Expect some cities and towns to approach one hundred ten degrees or higher, and worse yet, urban areas. May not cool down below eighty at night. And don't be surprised if late day thunderstorms pop up, but they will offer little relief. Bloomberg meteorrologists Craig Allen rescued teams race against the clock to pull survivors from the rubble in Venezuela, days after two powerful earthquakes shook the northern state of Laguira. The government reported fourteen hundred and fifty dead from Wednesday's quakes. Thousands have been reported missing. New York City mayors are on, Mamdani said last time. Tuesday state primaries show that American voters are looking for a new kind of politics, and Donnie backed left wing candidates running on democratic socialist platforms defeated incumbents, and the Democratic primary results, and Donnie says he believes a democratic Socialist can get elected anywhere across this country for any position. We need a party that's able to recognize the strengths of this economy and understand that it hasn't reached enough people. Mayor Mum. Donnie spoke on ABC's This Week, which can be heard Sundays on Bloomberg Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg Karen. Thanks Michael all the time. Now for our Bloomberg Sports updating. For that we bring in John stash. Hour sins down in the Red Sox and the Yankees began a four game series in Boston. With the Socks only twelve and twenty five all year at home, they lost to eleven of the last sixteen games. Hadn't had a four game win streat golf season. They swept the Yankees in the four game series. They won a wild game last night, five to four in Timmy's at the Travelers Golf near Hartford. Scottie Scheffler and Victor Hoblin finished twenty one under para was too dark to finish because they had a rain delay. They'll be back this morning for the playoff. Canada with a one nil win over South Africa at the World Cup. That's the Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Both the US and Deran said they planned to start talking again after several days of attacks and counterattacks centered on the Strait of Hormuz. Ben Road served as Deputy National Security Advisor in the Obama administration. He says diplomacy still has a chance. It's not gonna be easy, but less and until the Trump administration, the President himself can kind of stay off truth social here, I think you might have these kinds of flare ups. It's Hardberg, Deputy Nowational Security Advisor, Ben Rhoades. He was a guest on Bloomberg This Weekend, heard each Saturday and Sunday morning on Bloomberg Radio. Joining us this morning is Mark Champion, who covers the Middle East for Bloomberg Opinion. Market's great to speak with you this morning. How seriously was the ceasefire tested over the last few days and can diplomacy get back on track? Good morning, good morning. Yes, it was a serious test, a predictable one. Essentially, what you have in the Memoran of understanding is a document that was vague enough that both sides could walk away from it saying, well, that enables us to con use the document in order to try and get the goals that we would also try to get through the war. And so it makes it inherently instable, unstable, and you know you have various places where that's going to show. Holl moves. The straight of horror moves is you know, the most prominent. And you know clearly the Iranians they looked at what the Americans were doing. They'd opened a channel off the coast of Oman and you know, shipping was going through. The Iranians are insisting that they are going to exit this war in full control of the Strait, able to charge fees from the Strait, which you know some of their officials have been talking about as much as forty billion dollars a year in revenue. So those are their goals, and they were affronted, you know, by the US sending ships through without you know, registering with the new Iranian authority, and so this is where you had the kind of confrontation come up. The Iranians said, you know, if you continue, we will we will blow things up, and they did. So we're kind of back, but those things have not been resolved. Do you have similar things going on in Lebanon? Were you? Also? The deal covered Lebanon? But both sides are you know, I have completely different ideas of how that's supposed to end up. So we do still have very different ideas, it seems, about how the Strait of horror Moves is going to end up as well, with the US pushing back at this idea of Iran charging tolls or insurance or whatever you want to call it through the Strait of horr moves. Is sixty days enough to resolve that issue above and beyond the nuclear issue for Iran? It's unlikely. I mean, it's almost impossible to imagine a full, meaningful nuclear deal being struck within sixty days. That's an extraordinarily technical issue. And the same really goes for hor moves in the end, there's going to have to be something worked out, something like you know, you have the Treaty of Montreux, which covers the data straits the Bostorus, and that allows very limited described fees to be charged by Turkey in order to you know, service for piloting and for environmental costs and so on. But there you're talking about at the moment around two hundred and fifty million dollars a year being taken from around fifty thousand ships going back and forth through these straits. You know, the range is obviously have a very different idea. Also, they share the strait with Oman, so you know it's going to be that much more complicated and you might want you know, an international body being involved, like the Straits of Malaca. So a lot of things to work through and very very different ideas of what the purpose is. So in our last thirty seconds mark what kind of progress, if any, can we expect from the talks that we're expecting to resume in. Doha this week. Well, progress is not war and not returning to war, and then I think you'll just there'll be a very kind of long, slow stop start process with plenty of interruptions like the ones that we've just seen this weekend. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg da Break