President Trump Weighs Iran Intervention; Fed Meeting Look Ahead
On today's podcast:
1) President Trump meets his national security team as the Israel-Iran conflict rages on. Iran and Israel exchanged fire for a sixth day, with the US President meeting with his national security team to discuss the escalating conflict. The US is helping Israel intercept missiles launched by Iran, but has not joined the attacks, despite calls from some political allies to do so. The conflict has raised concerns about a wider impact on the global economy, with oil prices rising and fears of a possible attack on tankers sailing through the Strait of Hormuz.
2) Traders watch for projections as the Fed is expected to keep rates on hold. Federal Reserve officials are expected to leave interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight meeting, citing a need for more clarity on the economic impact of government policy changes. Chair Jerome Powell will likely face questions about the recent cooling of inflation and the potential for future rate cuts, as well as his meeting with President Trump and the Fed's ability to pay interest on reserves held at the central bank.
3) A candidate for New York City mayor is arrested in Manhattan. New York City Comptroller Brad Lander was arrested outside of immigration court in lower Manhattan while escorting a defendant out of court. Lander was detained by US Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents and accused of assaulting a law enforcement officer, but was later released and told he wouldn’t face charges.
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Transcript
Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest developments in the Middle East. Bloomberg News is reporting the President Donald Trump met his national security team in the White House Situation Room for more than an hour yesterday, discussing the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. The President followed that up with a call to Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Nettan Yahoo. Before the meeting, the President demanded Iran's unconditional surrender. In a post on social media, Bloomberg's Jumani Versechi says the president also warned of a possible strike against the country's supreme leader, Iatolahamini. It seems at this point that Trump's advisors are still divided on the move. Everyone has been trying to guess what the President's next move is going to be. But you can sort of piece together that he's turning more hawkish because of the posts that he put out over night, calling the Ayatalla an easy target, using the plural we, saying we know where the Ayatola is hiding. We have complete domination of the skies and of Iranian air at this point in time, and so that suggests that he does view that the US are somewhat involved already, but whether they want to take it to the next level, of course, is going to be the major decision. Bloomberg's Jomanivarsaiche says US military assets have already started deploying to the region, including tanker aircraft. Meanwhile, Nathan the New York Times is reporting US commanders have put troops on high alert throughout the Middle East, with Iran preparing its missiles for possible retaliatory strikes on US military interests. Bloomber's Paul Wallace says, although a strike on Iran is on the table, President Trump may also consider diplomatic options. One interesting meeting to watch is that Trump is going to meet the head of the Pakistani military today in Washington. A little and clear exactly what this is about, but Pakistan, in some way or another is acting as a mediator for run and it's possible that Trump has decided to here out what Pakistan is saying and what it will tell the US about Iran's intention. Bloomer's Paul Wallace erports. The US Embassy in Jerusalem has also been closed for the next three days. And in response to all these developments, Karen iran Supreme leader, posted on social media his country will show no mercy toward Israel and in Iranian Foreign Ministry spokes says quote, any American intervention would be a recipe for an all out war in the region. Well, the latest strikes from both sides have ren crew to trading around seventy five dollars a barrel. Nathan and Bloomberg's John Tucker joins us with the latest John, good morning, Karen. Both Brent, which is the international benchmark in West Texas Intermediate closed yesterday at the highest level in almost five months. For Ellen Lee at Cronswai Capital, it's just one more element of risk for investors. Oil prices do really spike, it will actually pressure inflation. So so far things look okay, but you know a lot of uncertainty out there. It RAN's crude exporting infrastructure that's been spared so far, and most of the fallout has been confined to shipping. The Middle East produces about a third of the world's oil and a wider conflict with drying prices even higher now. The biggest concern for the oil market right now centers on the Strait of Hormuz, although there are no signs that tay Ran is seeking to the shop shipping through the narrow waterway at the entrance to the Persian Gulf. About a fifth of the world's crude output passes through the strait, including from Saudi Arabia. The meantime, industry figures show that US crewed supplies they fell by more than ten million barrels last week. That would be the biggest decline since last summer. In New York, I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, thank you. Leaders of the G seven summit in Canada closely followed developments in the Middle East. After President Trump's early departure from the gathering, the focus turned to Ukraine and meetings with President Vladimir Zelenski. Bloomberg's David Gera joins at the details from Banff. Ukraine's President Vladimir Zelenski met with Prime Minister Mark Karney at the start of the day, and Canada announced more financial support for Ukraine in its fight with Russia. Also announced new sanctions on Russia as well. There was cajoling at the dinner among these leaders, and they were able to convince President Trump to support a statement on the Middle East. They were unsuccessful, however, in getting him to sign on to a statement on Ukraine. Friedrich March, the Chancellor of Germany, was cautiously optimistic, as he put it, the Trump will come around and be in favor of applying more sanctions to Russia. David Gura Bloomberg News. All right, David, thank you. And in his closing a news conference, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Harney was asked about President Trump's comments earlier in the week where he suggested that Russian President Vladimir Putin was offended when he was thrown out of what was formally the G eight. With respect to personally, it was personally offensive, as to put it mildly, to the citizens of Ukraine and the inhabitants of Crimea when Russia invaded in twenty fourteen. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Kearney also announced billions in eight for Ukraine and sanctions on Russia. And back in Washington, Karen the Supreme Court is being asked to weigh in on President Trump's economic agenda. Two family owned toy companies are asking the High Court to consider striking down many of the President's tariffs. The companies argue that the massive impact on businesses and consumers requires immediate intervention. Rather than waiting for a federal appeals court to rule, they're seeking a definitive Supreme Court ruling by the end of this year. Turning now to the markets and the Fed and NATHAN, where officials are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight meeting today. Bloomber's Michael McKee is a preview of the June decision. The Fed may have to put an expiration date on their decisions Today. With policymakers already conceding no change in interest rates, the focus will be on their latest economic projections and the dot plot guide to what those projections mean for future policy moves. Investors think we'll see a more hawkish tilt, with unemployment and inflation forecasts rising. Both would suggest slower growth. The central bankers are also expected to shave their outlooks for rate cuts this year to one from two, but with tariffs and tax cuts still to be determined, whatever they predict might have to be revised fairly soon. Michael mcke Bloomberg Radio. All right, Michael, thank you. Stay with Bloomberg for full coverage of the fen's decision and j Powell's news conference as on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance they're getting at one thirty pm Wall Street time on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and the Bloomberg Podcast page on YouTube. And ahead of that, Karen, The FED and other bank regulators are planning to reduce a key capital buffer known as the Enhanced Supplementary Leverage ratio by up to one and a half percentage points for the biggest lenders. The revisions would bolster bank's roles as intermediaries in the market, but some experts argue the ratio might not encourage banks to buy more treasuries and could make the financial system more fragile. Well in New York, Nathan City Controller Brad Lander was arrested outside of immigration court in Lower Manhattan yesterday. Lander is running in next week's Democratic primary for mayor. He says he locked arms with an undocumented immigrant and an apparent effort to shield the person from detention. All I tried to do was just hold at Gardo's arm and ask the Ice agents, do you have a warrant? And they would not show me the warrant, and I said, I'd let go of his arm as soon as they showed it to me. And they did not show it to me. And you saw what happened. I will say they treated me just fine after that. Sitting alongside New York City Controller and mayoral candidate Brad Lander was New York Governor Kathy Hokeel, who said Lander's arrest marked a sorry day for New York. In the race for New York City mayor, Mike Bloomberg, the founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP. He has endorsed former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. Time Now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and front that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, Good morning, Good morning Karen. In the wake of the Minnesota shootings, lawmakers in DC were given in emergency briefing. Democratic Senator Amy Kloboodshar of Minnesota spoke on the Senate floor remembering state lawmaker Melissa Hortman, who was killed along with her husband. They were great neighbors, wonderful friends and great parents to their beloved children, Sophie and Colin. Reaction continues from top Democrats after President Trump said calling Minnesota Governor Tim Walls following Saturday's deadly shootings would be a quote waste of time. State Attorney General Keith Ellison was one of the lawmakers on the suspect's hit list. He fundamentally doesn't understand what it means to be the president of the United States. Hey g Keith Ellison me and while the bipartisan group of lawmakers called out Utah Senator Mike Lee over his social media post appearing to mock the assassination, Lee writing this is what happens when Marxists don't get their way and saying nightmare on Wall Street, a reference to state's governor Tim Walls. Leah since deleted the post. In Virginia, former state Delegate Jay Jones one tuesdays closely watched Democratic state primary for attorney general. Jones will face Republican Attorney General Jason Miras in the November general election. A dangerous tropical storm is turning near the southern Mexico coastline in the Pacific Bloomberg and neederologist Craig Allen reports Eric is expected to get stronger. The tropical Pacific remains very active, and this storm named Eric is going to rapidly intensify today and become a hurricane with possible wins of one hundred miles per hour or stronger. There will also be life threatening flash flooding as well as mud slides possible in the hillier terrain, dangerous storm surge and rip currents along coastline. Eric is moving northwest towards the southern Mexico coastline and could make landfall tonight or early Thursday. Bloomberg Meetia Religious Craig Allen, And as we've been reporting, New York City Controller and Democratic mayoral candidate Brad Lander was arrested by masked ICE agents at Federal Immigration Court in Lower Manhattan and Foley Square. Protesters gathered in Manhattan after Lander's arrest. New York Governor Kathy Oakles says charges filed against Lander have been dropped. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg. Karen all right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Flushing Bank, and here's Dan Schwartzman. Dan, Good morning, Good morning, Karadonna than Flauda. Panthers repeating as Stanley Cup champions, defeating the Oilers in Game six, five to one behind four Sam Reinhart goals to take this year. These four games to two, Panthers are the third NHL team to win back to back championships this century, following the Tampa Bay Lightnings to accomplished the beat in twenty twenty and twenty twenty one. Sam Bennett taken on the CONSMKE Trophies Playoff MVP after scoring fifteen postseason goals. Bennett on what it took to beat the Oilers. Guys were We're willing to do whatever it takes to shut them down, and some guys played some big minutes shutting down some I mean to the best players in the world. And that's that's not an easy job by any means. So Major League Baseball Action Yankees loser fifth straight while being shut out for the third traight game, falling to the Angels and the Bronx four nothing. Yankees scoreless streak extending to twenty nine innings with the Bombers last scoring Saturday against the Red Sox. Elsewhere, Mets losing ten innings to the Braves five to four, Oriols defeat the race five to one. National's fall to the lowly Rockies ten to six. Cubs get pass the Brewers five to three, of the Dodgers outlast to Padres eight to six. Matts. Will be without starter Tyler mc you for at least a month after placing the right hander on the fifteen day injured list with his brain right elbow. Miguel is five and five in the season and fourteen starts with a three point ninety five ERA. Oklahomassippi Thunder looking to finish off the. Indiana Basers Thursday night in Indianapolis to secure the franchise's first NBA championship since moving to OKC. That's your Bloomberg Sports Update. I'm Dan Schwarzman, Karen and Nathan. Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. President Trump is weighing his options. Now, six days into the fighting between Israel and Iran, his calls for unconditional surrender from the Iranians are fueling speculation that the US could become more directly involved. Wesley Clark is the former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe. I think you're going to end up with a regime change out of this, and the question is who's going to take charge and how is it going to work. You sure didn't do a very good job in Iraq in two thousand and three. Retired General Wesley Clark speaking of Bloomberg this morning. We're joined by Bloomberg News Senior editor Bill Ferries and Bill, that really is one of the questions surrounding this as President Trump considers what to do. Is this about regime change or is it about Israel's goal of decimating Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs. Good morning, Good morning, Thanks for having me. I mean, it's very hard to separate those two questions you just posed. They made. They're very much wrapped around each other. I mean, Israel has said its goal here is to eliminate the threat, to eliminate Iran's nuclear program. For the long term, and the US President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that Iran cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon. Whether that's a possible goal without regime change is really doubtful. At this point, we're in the sixth day of these two countries, Iran and Israel, firing back and forth at each other, and the rhetoric, as you mentioned, is becoming I think even more heated. A lot of questions about where the US stands and what Donald Trump will eventually do. But he did have that meeting in the situation room with his advisors, and he did have a call with Netanyahu afterwards, and posting that statement calling for the unconditional surrender of Iran and saying that the US could even knew, saying that the US knew the whereabouts of Ayatola Kamani, and that he's saying he is quote an easy target, but we are not going to take him out, at least not for now. So very tense situation and Iran coming back and warning that any US action in Israel Israel's offensive risks putting American assets at risk and would result in all out war. And coming out of this meeting, Bill you have to wonder who's got the president's here, because this has to be pitting some of the you know, defense hawks in the GOP with the MAGA wing of President Trump's party. What absolutely is it is really ripping the Trump movement in half right now. I mean you have influential outsiders like Tucker Carlson really pushing back on the idea that the US should be involved, saying, you know, this is Israel's basically saying it's a war of choice by Israel. And then you have people like Senator Lindsey Graham from South Carolina who have long been been hawks on Iran and saying that, you know, this is kind of the opportunity. This is the time i Ron's defensive systems are degraded, a lot of its leadership, military leadership has been taken out. Now is the time for the US to get involved and help use its weaponry to help eliminate this nuclear program. This is Bloombergy Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning, starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray