Dockworkers Strike Shuts East & Gulf Ports; VP Debate Tonight
On today's podcast:
1) Strike Shuts US East Coast, Gulf Ports for First Time Since 1977
2) Vance, Walz Set to Spar in VP Debate
3) Israeli Troops Move Into Lebanon, Extending Fight With Hezbollah
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
2024-10-01
17 min
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 0:00:09.720 --> 0:00:12.880 Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 0:00:12.920 --> 0:00:14.640 are the stories we're following today. 0:00:14.760 --> 0:00:17.480 Karen, we begin with the latest on upbreaking story, Doc. 0:00:17.520 --> 0:00:20.400 Workers have walked out of every major port on the 0:00:20.520 --> 0:00:23.880 US East End Gulf Coast. Let's bring in Bloomberg's John 0:00:23.920 --> 0:00:25.079 Tucker with the details. 0:00:25.160 --> 0:00:28.280 John and Nathan, this was the scene at Maher Terminals 0:00:28.320 --> 0:00:29.560 in Elizabeth, New Jersey. 0:00:30.280 --> 0:00:33.200 Nothing's gonna move without us. 0:00:32.479 --> 0:00:38.560 Nothing, that's Union leader Harold Daggett. Some forty five thousand 0:00:38.680 --> 0:00:42.680 members of the International Longshoreman's Association hit the picket lines 0:00:42.720 --> 0:00:46.120 at midnight. This is a strike over wages and automation 0:00:46.240 --> 0:00:50.040 that could reignite inflation and caused shortages of goods if 0:00:50.040 --> 0:00:52.320 it goes on more than a few weeks. The strike 0:00:52.440 --> 0:00:55.760 is impacting thirty six ports. The affected ports have the 0:00:55.840 --> 0:00:59.200 combined capacity to handle as much as half of all 0:00:59.320 --> 0:01:02.760 US trade volumes, and the strike will haul container cargo 0:01:02.880 --> 0:01:06.960 and auto shipments. Energy supplies in bull cargo won't be affected. 0:01:07.319 --> 0:01:09.600 Some exceptions will be made to allow for the movement 0:01:09.600 --> 0:01:13.200 of military goods and cruise ships. The White House had 0:01:13.240 --> 0:01:15.640 been in communication with the two sides over the weekend, 0:01:16.040 --> 0:01:19.600 and some progress had been reported on wages. The Taft 0:01:19.640 --> 0:01:22.960 Heartley Act of nineteen forty seven does allow President Biden 0:01:22.959 --> 0:01:26.760 to intervene in labor disputes that evolved national security. In 0:01:26.800 --> 0:01:29.360 New yorkome John Tucker Bloomberg Radio, all. 0:01:29.280 --> 0:01:30.840 Right, John, thank you well Tonight. 0:01:31.000 --> 0:01:34.919 Vice presidential nominees JD Vance and Tim Wallas will face 0:01:34.959 --> 0:01:37.360 off in what could be the final debate before the 0:01:37.400 --> 0:01:41.240 November election. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has details from Washington. 0:01:41.600 --> 0:01:44.080 The ninety minute debate will be in New York. Walls 0:01:44.160 --> 0:01:46.720 was asked about debate press, how are you feeling. 0:01:46.520 --> 0:01:47.520 About to be priming? 0:01:47.840 --> 0:01:49.480 Going great? This is the fun part. 0:01:49.600 --> 0:01:52.960 Last month, Van said he was already deep into debate Press. 0:01:53.000 --> 0:01:53.720 Well, I found a. 0:01:53.680 --> 0:01:56.320 Good friend from back home who embellishes and lies a lot, 0:01:56.360 --> 0:01:58.160 and having him stand in for Tim Wallas. 0:01:58.200 --> 0:02:01.040 That's what we're doing during our debates. Bloomberg News Morning 0:02:01.040 --> 0:02:04.400 Consule poll of registered voters in seven swing states shows 0:02:04.400 --> 0:02:07.760 Walls with a higher net favorability rating the Advance. There 0:02:07.800 --> 0:02:10.640 will be no opening statements and no studio audience mikes 0:02:10.680 --> 0:02:13.560 will be live throughout the event. Moderators commute the mics 0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:17.000 at their discretion. Pre Written notes are not allowed on stage, 0:02:17.000 --> 0:02:20.480 but they'll have pens, paper, and water. Each candidate has 0:02:20.520 --> 0:02:23.600 two minutes for closing statements In Washington, Amy Moore as 0:02:23.600 --> 0:02:24.400 Bloomberg Radio. 0:02:24.639 --> 0:02:27.160 All right, Amy, thank you. We'll catch the CBS News 0:02:27.200 --> 0:02:31.240 Vice presidential simulcast on a special edition of Bloomberg's Balance 0:02:31.240 --> 0:02:34.000 of Power. It begins tonight at eight pm Wall Street 0:02:34.000 --> 0:02:36.160 Time on Bloomberg Radio and Television. 0:02:36.400 --> 0:02:38.520 Karen, let's turn out to the latest from the Middle East. 0:02:38.560 --> 0:02:42.640 Israeli soldiers are now inside Lebanon. The Israeli military began 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:46.240 what it's calling targeted ground raids against Hesbola just before 0:02:46.240 --> 0:02:49.760 midnight local time. We get more from Bloomberg's Michael Heath. 0:02:49.639 --> 0:02:51.880 At this time, this saying that these are sites that 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:55.920 pose in an immediate threat to Israeli communities in northern Israel. 0:02:56.240 --> 0:02:57.960 I mean the big question, of course, is whether this 0:02:58.040 --> 0:03:01.920 then develops into a full scale ground operation. At this stage, 0:03:02.000 --> 0:03:05.040 Axis is reporting that ciding to his running officials that 0:03:05.400 --> 0:03:07.560 this was approved by the Security Cabinet and it will 0:03:07.560 --> 0:03:10.239 be limited in both time and scope. But we also 0:03:10.360 --> 0:03:12.600 know at the same time the US has been worried, well, 0:03:12.639 --> 0:03:14.760 while it's okay with Israel doing this to try and 0:03:15.120 --> 0:03:17.880 push a Hezbla back from the border, it worries about 0:03:17.919 --> 0:03:20.240 mission creep, which is always the case once you send 0:03:20.240 --> 0:03:21.240 boots in on the ground. 0:03:21.360 --> 0:03:24.200 Bloomberg's Michael Heath reports the US agrees with Israel that 0:03:24.240 --> 0:03:27.520 Hesbola's attack infrastructure needs to be dismantled, at the same 0:03:27.600 --> 0:03:30.600 time it is repeating calls for restraint well. 0:03:30.639 --> 0:03:33.240 Turning to the markets, now Nathan Stalks begin the fourth 0:03:33.280 --> 0:03:35.560 quarter on a winning streak. The S and P five 0:03:35.640 --> 0:03:38.480 hundred has gained for four consecutive quarters as a long 0:03:38.520 --> 0:03:41.640 as such winning strettions twenty twenty one, the tech heavy 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:43.040 now Stack one hundred. 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:45.200 Notched a similar run. Mike Wilson as. 0:03:45.160 --> 0:03:47.760 Chief US S equity strategist at Morgan Stanley. 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:49.360 You know, I would stay three weeks ago. 0:03:49.680 --> 0:03:52.440 Myself and most of the clients I speak with were 0:03:52.480 --> 0:03:54.440 in the camp that we would have a tough four 0:03:54.520 --> 0:03:57.240 or five weeks into the election and then you'd get 0:03:57.280 --> 0:04:00.680 a strong rally into year end. Trying to think maybe 0:04:00.680 --> 0:04:02.200 it might be more the opposite. 0:04:02.240 --> 0:04:04.119 We may stay bid into. 0:04:03.840 --> 0:04:06.480 The election and then I think we get some disappointment 0:04:06.720 --> 0:04:07.480 post election. 0:04:08.520 --> 0:04:11.760 Morgan Stanley, chief US secuity strategist Mike Wilson. The S 0:04:11.840 --> 0:04:14.040 and P five hundred added two and a half trillion 0:04:14.080 --> 0:04:15.400 dollars in the third quarter. 0:04:15.520 --> 0:04:18.239 Well, how much will the FED cut in the fourth quarter? 0:04:18.360 --> 0:04:18.560 Well? 0:04:18.680 --> 0:04:21.479 FED chair Jay Powell says the central Bank will lower 0:04:21.520 --> 0:04:25.200 interest rates over time. He told the National Association for 0:04:25.279 --> 0:04:29.080 Business Economics, the US economy is on solid ground. If 0:04:29.080 --> 0:04:32.000 the economy slows more than we expect, then we can 0:04:32.040 --> 0:04:32.599 cut faster. 0:04:32.839 --> 0:04:35.800 If it slows less than we expect, we can cut slower. 0:04:35.800 --> 0:04:37.320 And that's really what's going to decide it. 0:04:37.640 --> 0:04:40.640 But I think from a base case standpoint, we're looking 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:43.039 at it as a process that will play out over 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:46.880 some time, not something that we need to go fast on. 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:47.880 FED Shair J. 0:04:48.040 --> 0:04:51.320 Powell said he remains confident inflation will continue moving toward 0:04:51.320 --> 0:04:54.560 the fed's two percent target. He added that economic conditions 0:04:54.600 --> 0:04:57.640 have set the table for a further easing of price pressures. 0:04:58.080 --> 0:05:00.240 Well. Nathan Larry Fink is speaking out of about the 0:05:00.279 --> 0:05:03.080 strength of the economy. The Black Rock chairman sat down 0:05:03.080 --> 0:05:06.120 with the Bloomberg's friends Saint Laqua at the Berlin Global 0:05:06.200 --> 0:05:09.200 Dialogue twenty twenty four conference earlier this morning. 0:05:09.440 --> 0:05:11.640 We spend so much time focusing on the segments that 0:05:11.680 --> 0:05:13.520 are doing poorly. And I'm not trying to suggest that's 0:05:13.640 --> 0:05:16.680 not the right thing to do, but we're not looking 0:05:16.680 --> 0:05:18.800 at in the holistic way that other parts of the 0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:22.000 economy are doing really, really well. Look at corporate earnings 0:05:22.040 --> 0:05:25.000 over all, they've been very strong, and I think they're 0:05:25.000 --> 0:05:27.560 going to continue to be very strong. We have, you know, 0:05:27.600 --> 0:05:31.600 we do have segments of the economy that are very strong, 0:05:31.680 --> 0:05:33.400 and I think that's why, I don't know why we 0:05:33.440 --> 0:05:35.840 talk about a harder soft line and we're continuing. We're 0:05:35.839 --> 0:05:37.280 going to grow at two to three percent. 0:05:37.880 --> 0:05:40.599 Black Rock chairman Larry Finks as the market is pricing 0:05:40.640 --> 0:05:43.000 too many interest rate cuts from the FED given the 0:05:43.120 --> 0:05:44.799 US economy continues to grow. 0:05:44.880 --> 0:05:47.080 In the meantime, Karen, let's turn to some company news now. 0:05:47.160 --> 0:05:50.120 CVS Health is conducting a strategic or view of options, 0:05:50.160 --> 0:05:54.279 including a possible breakup. Sources say the options under consideration 0:05:54.400 --> 0:05:57.160 include the various forms that a potential breakup could take, 0:05:57.240 --> 0:06:01.160 including a separation of the company's retail and then insurance businesses. 0:06:01.560 --> 0:06:04.960 CVS has been grappling with falling profit margins at its 0:06:05.000 --> 0:06:08.480 retail pharmacies and rising costs of patient care from EDNA, 0:06:08.560 --> 0:06:10.880 which generates about a third of its revenue. 0:06:11.000 --> 0:06:13.920 Well Nathan Pfeiser has raised about three point two billion 0:06:13.960 --> 0:06:16.599 dollars from the sale of helly On shares as it 0:06:16.720 --> 0:06:19.919 further reduces its stake in the UK consumer health company. 0:06:20.200 --> 0:06:23.120 Holly On was formed from a combination of GSK and 0:06:23.160 --> 0:06:26.960 Pfizer's consumer health units. The company makes a wide range 0:06:26.960 --> 0:06:31.080 of products, including Pena Doll, pain relief tablets and Centrum vitamins. 0:06:31.360 --> 0:06:34.279 Here's another company you've heard of, Karen Dell. Michael Dell 0:06:34.440 --> 0:06:38.240 has unloaded more of his namesake company stock. He sold 0:06:38.320 --> 0:06:41.839 ten million shares worth almost one and a quarter billion dollars. 0:06:42.120 --> 0:06:46.600 It is his second significant sale in the month of September. Earlier, 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:49.479 Michael Dell sold ten million shares worth nearly one point 0:06:49.560 --> 0:06:53.000 two billion dollars. Companies benefited from the wave of investor 0:06:53.040 --> 0:06:56.560 interest in artificial intelligence companies. The stock has jumped fifty 0:06:56.600 --> 0:06:59.599 five percent this year. Dell Technologies joined the S and 0:06:59.600 --> 0:07:02.320 P five one hundred last week after a decade off 0:07:02.400 --> 0:07:03.040 the index. 0:07:07.080 --> 0:07:08.320 And it's time now for a look at some of 0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:11.000 the other stories making news in New York and around 0:07:11.080 --> 0:07:13.920 the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael 0:07:14.040 --> 0:07:15.800 barg Good Tuesday morning, Michael. 0:07:15.680 --> 0:07:18.920 Good morning to you, Karen. North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper 0:07:19.040 --> 0:07:23.640 says that recovery from the catastrophic damage left behind by 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:28.320 Helene last week will be a monumental task, as several 0:07:28.360 --> 0:07:33.000 towns and cities report severe, lasting damage to their infrastructure. 0:07:33.400 --> 0:07:35.400 At least one hundred and thirty people are dead and 0:07:35.480 --> 0:07:40.239 more than six hundred people are unaccounted for in Buncombe County, 0:07:40.640 --> 0:07:45.560 where communications have been down and roads are impassable. Main 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:50.120 roads into Ashville were washed away or blocked by mudslides. 0:07:50.440 --> 0:07:54.040 The city's water system is also badly damaged. This man, 0:07:54.080 --> 0:07:57.160 who owns a car wash says his businesses in ruins. 0:07:57.560 --> 0:08:00.320 Every piece of equipment I have is pretty much upside 0:08:00.320 --> 0:08:01.400 down her sideways. 0:08:02.080 --> 0:08:03.880 I've been told I'm not going to have power for 0:08:04.240 --> 0:08:05.560 at least two weeks or so. 0:08:05.880 --> 0:08:08.880 President Biden was asked about getting FEMA aid to people 0:08:08.920 --> 0:08:09.720 who are stranded. 0:08:10.000 --> 0:08:11.640 The question is not whether we get more. 0:08:12.200 --> 0:08:14.240 There's a list of every resource for getting in there, 0:08:14.280 --> 0:08:16.120 but the question is how to get it in. 0:08:16.800 --> 0:08:18.880 It's hard to get it from point A to point B. 0:08:19.640 --> 0:08:21.720 It's hard to get if some of the worlds you're 0:08:21.720 --> 0:08:22.240 wiped out. 0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:26.120 President Biden plans to survey the devastation in western North 0:08:26.160 --> 0:08:31.040 Carolina tomorrow. Vice President Kamala Harris stopped by FEMA headquarters 0:08:31.040 --> 0:08:35.040 in Washington as FEMA mounts recovery efforts in the aftermath 0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:38.760 of Aleen. Harris thanked FEMA workers and said she plans 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:40.160 to visit the affected areas. 0:08:40.640 --> 0:08:43.480 To everyone who has been impacted by this storm, and 0:08:43.559 --> 0:08:47.000 to all of those of you who are rightly feeling 0:08:47.120 --> 0:08:52.080 overwhelmed by the destruction and the loss, our nation is 0:08:52.160 --> 0:08:52.440 with you. 0:08:53.160 --> 0:08:57.400 Former President Donald Trump visited at Valdosta, Georgia, yesterday, one 0:08:57.440 --> 0:09:00.680 of the many areas devastated by Helene out the region. 0:09:00.720 --> 0:09:04.720 Our hearts are with you, and we are going to 0:09:04.760 --> 0:09:06.320 be with you as long as you need. 0:09:06.760 --> 0:09:10.199 Trump also claimed falsely and that Georgia's Governor Brian Kemp 0:09:10.440 --> 0:09:13.120 had not been able to reach Joe Biden. Kemp refuted 0:09:13.160 --> 0:09:16.160 Trump's allegation and says he talked with the president. Sunday, 0:09:16.920 --> 0:09:19.800 Georgia judge struck down the state's abortion law, which took 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:23.840 effect in twenty twenty two. And effectively prohibited abortions beyond 0:09:23.880 --> 0:09:27.720 about six weeks of pregnancy. Fulton County Superior Court Judge 0:09:27.800 --> 0:09:31.319 Robert McBurnie wrote in his order that the law violates 0:09:31.360 --> 0:09:35.640 Georgia's constitution and privacy protections. The news was welcomed by 0:09:35.760 --> 0:09:39.160 Jalen Black, spokeswoman for Planned Parenthood Southeast. 0:09:39.520 --> 0:09:42.840 Effective immediately in accordance with the law, we are providing 0:09:42.920 --> 0:09:44.800 and expanding our abortion healthcare. 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:48.600 Georgia Attorney General confirms that they are planning to appeal 0:09:48.640 --> 0:09:51.320 the decision. Global News twenty four hours a day and 0:09:51.440 --> 0:09:54.160 whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr. 0:09:54.200 --> 0:09:55.160 This is Bloomberg Krent. 0:09:55.320 --> 0:09:56.640 All right, Michael Barr, thank you. 0:10:01.559 --> 0:10:04.200 At his time now for the Bloomberry Sports Update, brought 0:10:04.200 --> 0:10:05.800 to you by Tri State Audi. 0:10:05.840 --> 0:10:08.600 And here's John Stashauer. John, good morning, Good morning, Karen. 0:10:08.679 --> 0:10:10.960 Since news last night of the passing of Pete Rose, 0:10:11.000 --> 0:10:14.200 it's been said by many that he lived a complicated life. 0:10:14.200 --> 0:10:16.960 His playing career was legendary, played in more games than anyone, 0:10:17.040 --> 0:10:20.440 had the most hits four two hundred and fifty six. 0:10:20.520 --> 0:10:22.960 The complication came in the late nineteen eighties, when Rose 0:10:23.040 --> 0:10:25.760 was managing the Cincinnati Reds, the team that he had 0:10:25.760 --> 0:10:28.800 started for. As details of his gambling came out, Rose 0:10:28.840 --> 0:10:31.360 agreed to a lifetime band and the Hall of Fame 0:10:31.800 --> 0:10:35.360 changed its rules to not allow anyone banned to be considered 0:10:35.360 --> 0:10:37.920 for induction. It took Rose fifteen years to finally admit 0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:40.520 that he gambled on baseball. He also served five months 0:10:40.559 --> 0:10:44.040 in prison for tax evasion. Pete Rose Charlie Hustle was 0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:46.640 eighty three. It's been called the greatest regular season game 0:10:46.679 --> 0:10:48.720 in Mets history, and Atlanta needed one win to make 0:10:48.720 --> 0:10:52.160 the playoffs. The Mets shutout for seven innings, scored six runs, 0:10:52.160 --> 0:10:54.360 and the eighth gave up four in the bottom of 0:10:54.360 --> 0:10:56.880 the eighth. The Mets were then two outs from defeat. 0:10:57.679 --> 0:11:00.400 His first pitch to lend Or swear at a fly 0:11:00.559 --> 0:11:03.839 pah Well hit right center, Harris going back. It's on 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:08.120 the way that is gone. The end of the Brave 0:11:08.320 --> 0:11:15.000 bullpadd and light center field. Francisco Lindor has an emptyp moment. 0:11:15.120 --> 0:11:18.480 Whether he wins water or not, PS just put the 0:11:18.480 --> 0:11:20.880 match back on top eight to seven. 0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:23.520 That was the fun on I was Awi Rose, Metz 0:11:23.600 --> 0:11:25.960 Radio Edwin Diaz gave up the lead in the eighth inning, 0:11:26.000 --> 0:11:28.000 but still got the save of the night. The Braves 0:11:28.040 --> 0:11:30.199 also playoff found as they won the second game of 0:11:30.200 --> 0:11:32.920 the double Hutter three nothing. The postseason begins today. The 0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:35.960 Mets played game one of the best of three in Milwaukee, 0:11:36.360 --> 0:11:37.920 starting at five thirty two Monday. 0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:38.240 Nighters. 0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:40.840 Tennessee won thirty one to twelve at Miami. Both teams 0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:43.920 are one and three. Detroit beat Seattle forty two to 0:11:43.960 --> 0:11:46.720 twenty nine. Both or three and one Lions QB Jared 0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:51.240 gone through eighteen passes completed all eighteen. That's an NFL record. 0:11:51.520 --> 0:11:54.840 Also passing away yesterday NBA Hall of Famer to Kembe Mutumbo, 0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:56.000 who had battled brain cancer. 0:11:56.080 --> 0:11:56.920 He was fifty eight. 0:11:57.280 --> 0:11:59.640 John Stashaway, Bloomberg Sports Karendona. 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.400 All right, John, thank you, and the Bloomberg Sports Update 0:12:02.559 --> 0:12:05.040 is brought to you by Audi. Visit your tri state 0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:07.600 Audi dealer today and get behind the wheel of the 0:12:07.600 --> 0:12:09.480 Audi model you've always wanted. 0:12:12.280 --> 0:12:16.320 Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM, 0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:19.440 and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:20.720 Bloomberg Business app. 0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:22.920 This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 0:12:23.120 --> 0:12:25.640 Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager on the morning before what 0:12:25.760 --> 0:12:28.720 could be the final debate ahead of a presidential election 0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:32.080 that is now just five weeks away. Republican jd Vance 0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:34.960 and Democrat Tim Waltz square off tonight in the CBS 0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:37.960 News vice presidential debate. Ahead of it, we are joined 0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:41.760 by Jennifer Lawless, professor and sheriff politics at the University 0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:45.520 of Virginia. Jennifer, good morning, and just in time for 0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:48.840 this debate, we have a major port strike underway. What 0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:52.959 is the potential of political impact of this port strike 0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:57.720 with the economy front and centers for so many voters, Well. 0:12:57.559 --> 0:12:58.120 Good morning. 0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:02.120 If the strike lasts couple of days, voters probably won't 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.400 feel much. The businesses can pick up the slack, there 0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:08.680 won't be that many layoffs in the transportation industry, and 0:13:08.880 --> 0:13:11.240 things will probably be fine. But if it lasts longer 0:13:11.240 --> 0:13:14.040 than that, people don't need to think back that far 0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:17.199 to the supply chain ishes they remember during the pandemic, 0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:22.400 and that obviously doesn't help the Democrats as people go. 0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:22.960 To the polls. 0:13:23.280 --> 0:13:25.480 Do you expect this to play into the debate with 0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:28.880 an economic focus so much front and center. 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:34.640 I do, but I also expect both candidates to link 0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:38.360 it to their own economic policies and to provide voters 0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:41.040 with the confidence that they think they need to not 0:13:41.160 --> 0:13:44.920 let this really affect the messaging going into November. What 0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:47.640 makes it difficult, of course, is that we're only within 0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:50.160 the first twenty four hours of the strike, so it's 0:13:50.160 --> 0:13:52.000 hard to know what the future will look like. 0:13:52.440 --> 0:13:56.240 We've heard so much messaging leading up into this debate 0:13:56.360 --> 0:14:00.120 that can fit into really tiny soundbites for both candidates. 0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:02.800 Tim Waltz is called Ja d Vance and former President 0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:07.719 Trump weird. Jd Vance has been talking about Haitian migrants 0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:12.280 eating people's pets. Where do you see this debate going. 0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:15.959 Can it focus on substance or are we going to 0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:18.520 get a fiery personality play tonight. 0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:22.200 I think it'll probably be a little of both. 0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:26.200 Unlike the presidential debates both that Donald Trump had with 0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:29.640 Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, the microphones will not be muted, 0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:33.040 so the candidates will be able to engage with one 0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:35.280 another a little bit more directly than we've seen in 0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:40.080 the past. Moreover, we know that both candidates have been very, 0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:43.720 very outspoken when it comes to their opponents, which means 0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:46.160 that when JD. Vance says something that Tim Walls does 0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:48.280 not like or that he thinks might not resonate with 0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:51.400 the American people, It's likely that Tim Walls will call 0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:54.000 him a name like weird. And when Tim Wall says 0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:57.640 something that JD. Vance thinks is not true or not accurate, 0:14:57.680 --> 0:15:01.120 perhaps regarding his military record, likely that Vance will step 0:15:01.160 --> 0:15:03.520 in and interrupt as well. So my expectation as there 0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:06.920 will be a few more explicit fireworks between the candidates. 0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:10.960 Yeah, the vice presidential candidates tend to act as attack dogs, 0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:13.320 but when you have two candidates like this who are 0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:16.400 so far apart, not just politically but in the polls 0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:18.760 in terms of likability, is there a risk of that 0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:22.680 attack dog role going too far and potentially affecting things 0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:23.600 up ticket. 0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.920 Well, it's difficult to see how JD. Vance's popularity could 0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:32.960 go any lower. He's among the most unpopular candidates heading 0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:36.320 into election day that we've ever experienced, and Donald Trump 0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:38.840 really doesn't seem to be taking a hit because of him. 0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:42.080 Voters seem to be able to differentiate Dvance from Trump. 0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:45.280 As far as Tim Walls is concerned, he is very likable, 0:15:45.320 --> 0:15:47.880 so he needs to make sure that he remains affable 0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:50.360 in delivering those attacks, but he's been doing that on 0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:52.920 the campaign trail for several months now and seems to 0:15:53.000 --> 0:15:55.200 understand that role and how to perfect it. 0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:59.200 Just the fact that this could be the last debate 0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:04.920 before the election, does that put more stakes on how 0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:07.960 these candidates need to perform. Tonight got about a minute left. 0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:12.600 Well, the reality is that vice presidential debates typically don't 0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.440 decide elections. They usually don't move the needle much at all. 0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:18.280 But this is the last opportunity for the campaigns in 0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.720 front of a very large viewing national audience can make 0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:24.800 their case. So my expectation is that Dance is going 0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:28.520 to really hammer home the Trump concern the Trump team's 0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:32.520 concerns about the economy, immigration and crime, and walls. Is 0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:35.320 going to do his best to demonstrate not only that 0:16:35.520 --> 0:16:39.120 Harris Walld administration is different from a Biden Harris administration, 0:16:39.560 --> 0:16:42.360 but also that reproductive rights and civil rights and civil 0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:43.760 liberties are on the ballot. 0:16:43.800 --> 0:16:47.720 On Tuesday, on Election Day, this is Bloombergy Daybreak, your 0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:51.080 morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street 0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:52.600 to Washington and beyond. 0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:55.240 Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 0:16:55.280 --> 0:16:58.680 Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:02.040 You can also listen each morning starting at five am 0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.560 Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in 0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:07.400 New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 0:17:07.480 --> 0:17:11.440 Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 0:17:11.640 --> 0:17:13.200 XM Channel one twenty one. 0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:16.320 Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:19.160 now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. 0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:22.400 And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 0:17:22.440 --> 0:17:25.160 the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes 0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:28.360 or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast 0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:30.639 platform to stay informed all day long. 0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:32.560 I'm Karen Moscow. 0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:34.879 And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for 0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:36.840 all the news you need to start your day right 0:17:36.880 --> 0:17:38.360 here on Bloomberg Day Ray
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