Carney Wins Canada's Election; President Trump's First 100 Days
On today's podcast:
1) Canada’s Liberal Party is projected to win a fourth consecutive election, giving a mandate to former central banker Mark Carney after a campaign in which he pledged to boost economic growth and stand up to US President Donald Trump in a trade war.
2) President Donald Trump is on track to ease the impact of his auto tariffs, with changes sought by the industry that would lift some levies on foreign parts for cars and trucks made inside the US.
3) Spain and Portugal were returning to some semblance of normality early Tuesday, with many questions remaining about what caused one of Europe’s worst blackouts in years across the Iberian peninsula the previous day.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with politics north of the border. In Canada, Mark Carney's Liberal Party is projected to win a fourth consecutive election. Despite the victory, it is likely the Liberals will fall short of the one hundred and seventy two seats needed for an outright majority in the House of Commons. The narrow margin means the former Central banker will need to work with other parties to pass legislation as he navigates trade hostilities to the south with the Trump administration. Mark Carney took aim at the US and his victory speech, which has been edited due to some technical difficulties with the broadcaster. At the event, our old. Relationship with the United States, a relationship based on steadily increasing integration, is over. The system of open global trade anchored by the United States, a system that Canada has relied on since the Second World War, a system that will not perfect, has helped deliver prosperity for a country for decades is over. We are over the shock. Of the American betrayal but we should never forget the lessons. The former head of Canada's and the UK's Central Banks, Mark Carney, became the Liberal leader just last month. On March ninth, he called an election. Just two weeks later. He campaigned as a tough opponent to President Trump, who has repeatedly suggested Canada should become a US state. Well, Nathan, let's turn too politics on the US side of the border. President Trump is headed to the heart of auto country, Warren Michigan to mark his first one hundred days back in office tonight. Ahead of that, he's planning a trade reprieve for the auto sector. The White House said the President will reimburse automakers for tariffs on foreign parts and cars made in the US, and imported vehicles will get a break from separate tariffs on steel and aluminum so that multiple duties won't be stacked on top of each other. The changes will come just before the twenty five percent tariff on foreign auto parts is said to take effect this Saturday. And you can hear President Trump's remarks on a special extended edition of Bloomberg Balance of Power that starts at five pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio Bloomberg Television and the Bloomberg Podcast page on YouTube. Meanwhile, Karen, trade tensions persist between the US and China, and China and the peers to be holding firm. We get the latest from Bloomberg's mind Menlo in Hong Kong. Wang e the four minutes of China essentially saying in the Brick's meeting in Brazil that any country that compromises with the US is only going to see the bully trying to take further advantage. And that doesn't sound like a desk litory tone from China. We also see how China in the press briefing yesterday announcing all these measures to help its exporters shoulder the pain of these tariffs, which shows that China is prepared to tie to this for a protected wall and they're not in any agency. To resolve this. Bloomberg's men Menlow reports. These latest comments from China's foreign minister come after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen told CNBC it's up to China to de escalate and that the US has an escalation ladder that it's anxious not to use. Nathan, the Treasury Secretary has set a July fourth goal to pass President Trump's multi trillion dollar tax cut package. Congressional leaders have set different timelines, with House Speaker Mike Johnson aiming to pass legislation by the end of May and Senate Party leaders targeting a vote by August. Nathan Dean, a senior government analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, there. Are going to be some tax cuts in this bill. I mean, so what they're talking about is a five point three trillion dollar reconciliation bill. There's about one point five trillion earmarked in therefore tax cuts. Primarily, what we're thinking is no taxes on tips, no taxes on overtime, and for you know, no taxes on social Security. Those are like the three main priorities. Bloomberg Intelligence and It's Nathan Dean says. The push for a tax bill comes as pool show Americans disapproving of Trump's handling of the economy. In Europe, this morning, Karen Spain and Portugal are returning to some semblance of normal This morning. The powers back to nearly one hundred percent capacity in Spain and it's been fully restored in Portugal. This follows one of Europe's worst blackouts in years. Across the Iberian Peninsula. We get more from Bloomberg's Rodrigo or a Whala in Madrid. We don't exactly know what sparked this outage, so there was an explanation that it had something to do with the frequency of the tension on the system, but that came from the grid operator early in the afternoon. The government subsequently, the Prime Minister himself subsequently said that all theories are still on the table and nothing has been dismissed. So the answer to how this happened hasn't been offered yet and until that comes, I don't think anybody will be able. To say what are the solutions? In Bloomberg Rodrigo or Whala says the blackout has raised questions about the reliability of Spain's power grid. It is really increasingly reliant on renewable energy and the outage may have an immediate impact on Spain's economy. Let's stay in Europe, Nathan, where it's a very busy morning for earnings. We go to London and get the recap with the Bloomberg's un parts. You and good morning, Karla, Nathan. A volatile quarter of a markets has proved fruitful for Germany's biggest lender, Deutsche Bank's trading unit, reporting record revenue in the first quarter, with gains of seventeen percent in its fixed income and currencies business. Europe's most valuable bank, HSBC, also comfortably beating estimates, with first quarter profit coming in at nine point four eight billion dollars. The London based lender is to buy back three billion dollars of shares, one billion more than its previous program, but the uncertainty from the US proving a headwind for Schneider Electric, with first quarter revenue missing estimates despite strong demand for data center infrastructure. Shares currently down more than seven percent. In Paris. Live in London, I'm you in pots of Bloomberg Radio. Ian thank you. It's also a busy day for earnings here in the US. Forty four companies in the S and P five hundred report this day alone, and this morning we hear from General Motors. Bloomberg's Tom Busby has a preview. The big focus for investors is whether GM, like some of its rivals, will suspend its full year guidance because it imports nearly half the vehicles sold in the US from Canada, Mexico and South Korea. All this amid the uncertainty around the impact of the President's tariff, some of which are already in place, some more aggressive levies on autos and auto parts set to go into effect on May third. Bloomberg Consensus calls for earnings per share of two dollars seventy three cents, net revenue of forty three point zero three billion tom busby Bloomberg Radio. Tom thank you. Grounded. American Airlines says it has ended discussions with JEB Blue to revive a packed for the two airlines to team up again. The previous Northeast partnership was halted by the former Biden administration after a federal appeals ruling concluded the Packed violated antitrust laws. The failure to revive their partnership could now leave the door open for one of American's rivals to work, which at Blue, which has been engaged in talks on tie ups with more than one airline. Way Beyond the Sky's Karen, Amazon's first batch of production satellites is in orbit. The craft are the first in a plan of more than thirty two hundred satellite constellation Amazon intends to use to sell Internet connectivity to consumers as well as corporate and government clients. That business today dominated by Elon Musk's SpaceX and its Starlink unit. Time now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, good Morning, Good Morning Karen. New York Governor Kathy Oakle says she reached a deal with the legislative leaders on a two hundred and fifty four billion dollar budget that would raise payroll taxes on employers local during a news conference Monday, compared to goals with their January State of the State address, I. Vowed to address the affordability crisis by putting thousands of dollars back in New Yorker's pockets. I vowed to make common sense changes to our discovery life to keep dangerous criminals from walking free over frivolous, frivolous tactical layrors. The governor also secured a ban on smartphones in public schools and lower barriers to involuntarily committing people with serious mental illnesses into treatment. New York City's congestion pricing toll generated one hundred and fifty nine million dollars in revenue in its first three months. The MTA says the program is expected to raise five hundred million dollars this year. Pakistan's army said it has shot down an Indian spy drone along with their disputed border in the Kashmir region, as tensions rise over last week's militant attacks that killed twenty six people. According to pakistan state run TV channel, the unmanned drone breached the so called line of control in Kashmir, a northern region claimed by both countries. President Trump ordered the Justice Department to launch a program including free legal assistance from law firms to police officers accused of wrongdoing. Trump said in an executive order the program will provide legal resources and identification to law enforcement officers who unjustly incur expenses and liabilities for actions taken during the performance of their official duties to enforce the law. Amnesty International's annual State of the World's Human Rights Report details what it calls a global human rights crisis, which it blames in part on President Trump. The organization says the outlook for human rights around the world is bleak. Amnesty's Secretary General Anyas Kalmar. Nationally around the world, we are seeing witnessing an escalation of authoritarian practices. So it is an alarming picture. This is a warning. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now now Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Care. All right, Michael Barr, Thank you, Ti Off of the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's Don Stashauer, John, good morning, Good morning, Aaron. First place Yankees, last place Orioles in Baltimore, Ryan O'Hearn a three run homer thirty and off Will Warren. The Oriels hat four nothing, held on to win four to three. Yanks were just four and six in series openers. The Mets were just south of there, finishing the series in DC. One Met in particular led them to an easy victory. Here any slams. This went to deep right field, that goes cruise back to the wall and it's out of hair. A grand slam for Brandon Nimmo. A two home run seven RBI day for Nimmo, eleven and nothing. New York on sn Y and the Mets weren't done, nor was Nimmo. He added a two run double for the thirteenth nine RBI game in baseball history. The Mets beat the Nets nineteen to five, speaking the blowout's fourth most lopsid had win an NBA playoff history. Cleveland won at Miami one thirty eight to eighty three. The Cavs sweep the series much closer in San Francisco, with the Warriors got Jimmy Butler back from injury. He played forty minutes scored twenty seven points. Golden State beat Houston one O nine, one oh six and now up three one in the series. That's the NIXT lead on Detroit heading to Game five tonight at the Garden. The Celtics are up three to one. They'll host Orlando. If the Knicks and Celtics both win tonight, it's onto a second round series that would start this weekend in Boston. Stanley got playoffs Game four of the End State Battlesaw Florida be Tampa Bay, Florida to the Lightning scored their goals eleven seconds apart second period, and then the Panthers came back and did the same thing late in the third. The defending Stanley Cup champs up three games to one. Dallas beat Colorado six' to two for a three to two series. Lead pittsburgh Fired Mike. Sullivan Winning this coach In penguin's history won Two Stanley. Cups rangers are looking for a new. Coach they could very well be interested in Hiring. Sullivan john Stashanwa Bloomberg Sports. Coast To coast On Bloomberg, radio nationwide On SIRIUS, xm and. Around the world On bloomberg Dot com and The Bloomberg business. App this Is Bloomberg Day. Break good, Morning I'm Nathan. Hager it is the morning after a winning election night For Mark carney and The liberals In. Canada the new and now Continuing Prime minister says he has a mandate to stand up TO Us President Donald. Trump who's ready to stand up For canada with? Me Was Liberal Prime Minister Mark carney at his victory speech last. Night joining us From quebec this, morning just across the river From canada's, Capital, Ottawa Bloomberg news Correspondent David, gera the host of The Big take. Podcast it has to be, Said, david this was a narrow victory for The, liberals but still quite the turnaround from where this party stood under Former Prime Minister Justin trudeau just a few short months. Ago good, Morning good, Morning. Nathan let's start where things. Stand so we know that The Liberal party has one hundred and sixty eight seats and the threshold that it needs to form a majority government is one hundred and seventy. Two so this is razor thin AND i suspect we'll see some changes to those. Numbers is the hours way off by where? On and we get into to the. Morning but this was inconceivable few months, ago AND i think we should underscore that if you go back to the end of last, year When Justin trudeau was still in power as the leader of The Liberal party and The prime minister of this, Country liberals were not doing. Well they were losing To conservatives by twenty percent in public opinion. Polls that changed really radically because of two. Things the emergence Of Mark karney is the new leader of that, party And Donald trump returned to The White house In, washington D. C and that provided the kind of contour or driving message of this, campaign not just for The Liberal party but for The Conservative party as well as some of these other smaller. Parties the challenge of having to deal with what was has been a long standing ally where we saw the tone change on the economic and trading relationship that's been so crucial to these two countries in these threats To canadian sovereignty as. Well and so you heard that From Mark carney last, night i should say early in the morning as he took to the stage In ottawa, again a recognition of, that a renewed seriousness having to deal with that, threat and him articulating his plans for whenever that meeting happens between him And President. Trump and what he said during the campaign was shortly after this election should he, win that's when the, conversation the real conversation can take place about what this relationship looks like going. Forward, NATHAN i want to talk a little more about that. Conversation we've got breaking news this morning from The Canadian Broadcasting corporation that The conservative Leader Pierre pauliev is projected to lose his. Seat how does that potentially underscore where The conservatives stand? Now this is incredible news for The conservative. Peer polievs a young, politician he's forty five and he's held this. Seat he's held that riding that district for twenty years and so to hear that he hasn't won. It that's the riding Of, carleton about thirty five miles away from From. Ontario From, Ottawa ontario is. Astonishing and if you look at the past that the leaders of parties that have lost have stepped down from that leadership role pretty shortly. Thereafter so that's something we'll be watching here. Too does he stay on in that. Position but it's a story that's also true of The New Democratic, party one of these smaller parties that performed much worse THAN i think its supporters hoped it, would and so it gained about seven seats over the course of this election it had twenty four before, that and it puts it in a very difficult position going forward here because it's not going to have the of parliamentary recognition that it had with more. Seats the reason all this is important is If Mark carney is governing a federal minority, government he's going to need these parties to help him and so that'll be a thing that will be really fascinating to follow. Again should he be in a minority, position how he begins to cobble together some sort of agreement or coalition among these parties to support his legislative. Agenda his background as a, technocrat of, course a central bank, governor he just embraced politics over the last few. Weeks how he navigates that success will be something very very interesting to, Watch, nathan. Only about thirty seconds. Left but where does this Position Mark carney now in this standoff that he now says he's been forced into with THE. Us, well he Says canada's sovereignty is not. Negotiable nathan AND i think that he's drawn that line in the sand and that'll remain the. Case but he's talked a lot about the way That canada is going to get through, this the sacrifices That canada's going to need to, make the economic. Sacrifices we'll see sort of what the contours of that program look like in the weeks to come. Here but he's proposed a lot of new fiscal, spending particularly on housing here to Insulate canada's economy and to get it going once. Again that's what we'll be watching here now that he has become and will be, REMAINED i should, say the twenty Fourth Prime minister Of. Canada this Is Bloomberg Day, Break Your morning podcast on the stories making news From Wall street To washington and. Beyond look for us on your podcast feed by six Am eastern each, morning On, Apple, spotify or anywhere else you. Listen you can also listen live each morning starting at five Am Wall Street time On bloomberg eleven three to zero In New, York bloomberg in ninety nine to one In, Washington bloomberg ninety two nine In, boston and nationwide on SERIOUS Xm channel one twenty. One plus listen coast to coast on The Bloomberg business app now With Apple CarPlay And android auto. Interfaces and don't forget to subscribe To Bloomberg News. Now it's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or. Less Search Bloomberg News now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day. Long I'm Karen moscow. And I'm Nathan. Hager join us again tomorrow morning for all the news need to start your day right here On bloomberg Day break M