Instant Reaction: Amazon Reports Strong Cloud Unit Sales on Rising AI Demand

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Amazon's cloud unit posted the strongest sales growth in a year, a sign that the retailer’s most profitable unit is recovering from a slump as businesses resume spending on technology projects. The shares rose in extended trading.

Bloomberg TV and Radio hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst for E-Commerce Poonam Goyal and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Technology Analyst Anurag Rana for instant reaction and analysis.  

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

2024-04-30 16 min Transcript

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Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 0:00:08.200 --> 0:00:10.560 Shares an Amazon kind of bouncing around right now, but 0:00:10.840 --> 0:00:13.880 rallying in the after hours four point eight percent, gaining 0:00:13.920 --> 0:00:16.279 as much as six percent earlier. This after our first 0:00:16.360 --> 0:00:21.080 quarter earnings per share beat estimates. We did see that 0:00:21.280 --> 0:00:23.360 results came in way ahead of estimates, including the key 0:00:23.440 --> 0:00:26.880 AWS segment, extending the company's recent streak of beating estimates. 0:00:26.880 --> 0:00:29.720 Second quarter sales and operating income guidance did though come 0:00:29.720 --> 0:00:30.600 in a touch soft. 0:00:30.680 --> 0:00:32.120 All right, So let's get to it with us as 0:00:32.159 --> 0:00:36.640 Bloomberg Intelligence senior Alys Putnamgoyle and Anna Ragrana on Amazon 0:00:36.760 --> 0:00:39.000 and their outlook again, the stock up about four point 0:00:39.320 --> 0:00:42.680 six percent. Gosh, not sure where to start here because 0:00:42.680 --> 0:00:45.479 there's so many moving parts, honourg let me start with 0:00:45.520 --> 0:00:48.760 you in terms of we always think about AWS, but 0:00:48.880 --> 0:00:51.440 tell us about from your perspective, what you what jumps 0:00:51.440 --> 0:00:52.479 out for you for Amazon? 0:00:53.760 --> 0:00:56.120 Yeah, I would say AWS, Madgins. I mean, I just 0:00:56.160 --> 0:00:59.440 can't believe how big this number is. Thirty seven point 0:00:59.480 --> 0:01:03.400 six percent operating margins compared to last years twenty four percent, 0:01:03.720 --> 0:01:07.520 So that's almost you know, fourteen percent increes and that 0:01:07.520 --> 0:01:11.399 that is this phenomenal and basically shows the scalability of 0:01:11.400 --> 0:01:14.319 this business model. And you know, frankly speaking, we weren't 0:01:14.360 --> 0:01:17.400 expecting these kinds of margins for several years out. So 0:01:17.480 --> 0:01:20.800 I think this is this should be really good signed 0:01:20.840 --> 0:01:24.040 for investors that this is really a good business model, 0:01:24.080 --> 0:01:24.520 an rock. 0:01:24.520 --> 0:01:29.280 How do they do this? Given that Microsoft is catching up, 0:01:29.360 --> 0:01:33.520 given that Google's alphabet's Google is catching up? How did 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:35.920 Amazon pull this off? How did they pull off these margins? 0:01:37.040 --> 0:01:39.679 I think they did a lot of cost rationalization over 0:01:39.720 --> 0:01:41.760 the last few years. They remember all the you know, 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:44.080 layoffs and things that we heard about, So I think 0:01:44.160 --> 0:01:46.240 that has to do with it. Now, I mean, to 0:01:46.280 --> 0:01:48.760 be very honest, I think this is going to be 0:01:48.800 --> 0:01:51.560 a time that these margins will over time go a 0:01:51.600 --> 0:01:54.480 little bit down because of new investments in generative AI 0:01:54.960 --> 0:01:57.200 and you know, things that they have to do to 0:01:57.600 --> 0:02:01.120 expand the capacity of their data centers. So at the 0:02:01.160 --> 0:02:03.720 same time, I mean, you've never seen thirty seven point 0:02:03.760 --> 0:02:06.040 six percent margins for AWS before, all. 0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:08.440 Right, so forgive me punam, come on in, because yeah, 0:02:08.480 --> 0:02:10.960 I mean the retail side of the business is really 0:02:11.080 --> 0:02:13.560 super important too, So talk to us about what we 0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:14.560 saw on that side. 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:18.480 Sure, the retail numbers were actually just in line, so 0:02:18.560 --> 0:02:23.000 they met expectations and they looked at that and advertising. 0:02:23.040 --> 0:02:25.639 I think the story really is on AWS. That's where 0:02:25.680 --> 0:02:27.960 the beat came from. But I would say, you know, 0:02:28.000 --> 0:02:31.320 the guidance is light of expectations, and that may have 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:34.160 something to do with online because if you recall the 0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:37.080 first quarter, it did have an earlier easter. So some 0:02:37.200 --> 0:02:39.200 of the numbers that you see on the online side 0:02:39.280 --> 0:02:42.200 being strong and inline is thanks to that earlier easter 0:02:42.600 --> 0:02:44.920 and the spring sale that they had, which wasn't there 0:02:45.040 --> 0:02:47.360 last year. So some of the weakness that we're seeing 0:02:47.360 --> 0:02:50.359 in the guidance maybe due to the online business that 0:02:50.440 --> 0:02:52.480 we'll find out when they start talking on the call. 0:02:52.600 --> 0:02:56.760 Put what about advertising here? This is something that not 0:02:56.840 --> 0:02:59.800 just on the Prime video which is relatively new, but 0:02:59.800 --> 0:03:03.000 the business over the last few years has grown massively, 0:03:03.960 --> 0:03:05.760 and when it comes to the search function, talk to 0:03:05.840 --> 0:03:07.600 us about what you saw with advertising this quarter. 0:03:08.440 --> 0:03:12.359 Advertising was strong, once again relatively inline with expectations to 0:03:12.480 --> 0:03:15.000 a little better. So we think that business continues to 0:03:15.040 --> 0:03:17.320 grow at a twenty plus percent clip, and we think 0:03:17.360 --> 0:03:19.799 that will continue, especially with the layering on of the 0:03:20.200 --> 0:03:22.880 Prime video advertising business. What I'd say there is. You know, 0:03:22.919 --> 0:03:24.880 when you think about the two big businesses that it 0:03:24.919 --> 0:03:28.639 has outside of retail, they're very, very high margin businesses, 0:03:28.639 --> 0:03:31.919 both advertising and AWS. So when we see the cash 0:03:31.960 --> 0:03:34.640 flow generation that we saw in the quarter, it's really 0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:36.800 thanks to these two businesses growing at the rate that 0:03:36.800 --> 0:03:37.360 they're growing. 0:03:37.440 --> 0:03:39.080 Anna Rock, I want to bring you back in because 0:03:39.120 --> 0:03:40.480 you know, one of the previews that we had on 0:03:40.520 --> 0:03:43.000 the Bloomberg today is, you know, Amazon earnings to bring 0:03:43.000 --> 0:03:46.480 more scrutiny for AI tethered stocks and just saying how 0:03:46.600 --> 0:03:49.400 kind of the bar was high coming off of Alphabet 0:03:49.520 --> 0:03:53.440 and Microsoft last week right where they showed, hey, listen, 0:03:53.520 --> 0:03:55.800 all this money that we're spending on AI, it's paying 0:03:55.840 --> 0:03:58.760 off for us. We're trying to kind of find where 0:03:58.800 --> 0:04:01.760 the AI story and what it's doing for Amazon. What 0:04:01.760 --> 0:04:02.600 can you tell us there? 0:04:03.720 --> 0:04:05.280 Yeah, and if you look at it, they launched a 0:04:05.280 --> 0:04:07.800 brand new product today called Amazon Q. You're going to 0:04:07.840 --> 0:04:10.720 see a lot of new enterprise products being launched by 0:04:10.760 --> 0:04:13.560 AWS because you know, one of what there are one 0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:16.040 ways to look at it is on the consumer chat 0:04:16.080 --> 0:04:18.520 GPT kind of stuff. They're not the player over there. 0:04:18.760 --> 0:04:23.360 They are more selling AI to corporations or large companies. Now, 0:04:23.400 --> 0:04:25.320 that's going to take time to build up, which is 0:04:25.360 --> 0:04:27.920 one of the reasons I'm saying that this high margin 0:04:27.960 --> 0:04:30.600 of thirty seven percent thirty seven point six percent on 0:04:30.640 --> 0:04:33.400 Amazon Web Services is not going to last forever. It's 0:04:33.400 --> 0:04:36.520 going to go down slowly over the next few years. Now, 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:39.520 that's not a bad thing because in a scalable model 0:04:39.600 --> 0:04:42.080 like this to you know, be able to give some 0:04:42.200 --> 0:04:44.479 of that back to gain revenue. I think it's it's 0:04:44.600 --> 0:04:47.200 a long term really positive sign for AWS. 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:51.200 Honor rog one hundred billion dollar annual revenue run rate 0:04:51.440 --> 0:04:56.320 for AWS. That number a surprise. 0:04:57.160 --> 0:04:59.120 Oh no, I mean we have, we have, we wrote 0:04:59.120 --> 0:05:01.200 a big report and we don't see a reason why 0:05:01.279 --> 0:05:03.520 this won't be two hundred billion one day. The question 0:05:03.560 --> 0:05:05.919 only is how long it's going to take. That's the 0:05:05.960 --> 0:05:08.159 big question, is whether it's going to take five years 0:05:08.240 --> 0:05:10.560 to get there or six years, seven years. But the 0:05:10.720 --> 0:05:13.359 end markets are so large, you know, we remain confident 0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:15.440 that it's going to hit two hundred billion over the 0:05:15.480 --> 0:05:18.680 next you know, somewhere between six to seven years. 0:05:19.080 --> 0:05:20.640 Poonam, what are they going to do? Like, what are 0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:22.800 the numbers we were just talking about with our TV colleagues. 0:05:22.839 --> 0:05:26.680 Operating cash flow increased eighty two percent to ninety nine 0:05:26.800 --> 0:05:29.159 point one billion for the trailing twelve months compared with 0:05:29.480 --> 0:05:32.440 fifty four point three billion for the trailing twelve months 0:05:32.480 --> 0:05:35.440 that ended in March thirty first, twenty twenty three. They 0:05:35.440 --> 0:05:38.080 got a lot of money coming in. Like you know, 0:05:38.120 --> 0:05:40.600 there was some speculation, do they do a dividend, do 0:05:40.600 --> 0:05:43.120 they do buy back? Like what do you want to 0:05:43.160 --> 0:05:44.920 be seeing that they do with their cash. Certainly on 0:05:44.960 --> 0:05:46.320 the retail side of things. 0:05:46.279 --> 0:05:48.520 I think while ad mesters would like a dividend and 0:05:48.600 --> 0:05:50.479 buy back, I think they're going to invest back in 0:05:50.520 --> 0:05:52.720 the business. So Tiana Rox points, you know, I think 0:05:52.720 --> 0:05:55.520 we are going to see capex right on the AWS side, especially, 0:05:55.600 --> 0:05:57.719 and they've said that they've said that in the past 0:05:57.760 --> 0:06:00.120 that they do plan to take Capex up there. So 0:06:00.160 --> 0:06:02.760 we do see them spending more there. But that cash 0:06:02.800 --> 0:06:04.960 full generation is only going to go higher. You know, 0:06:05.160 --> 0:06:08.200 these margins that they're generating on the advertising business and 0:06:08.240 --> 0:06:11.919 the AWS business, and as those businesses scale even further, 0:06:12.279 --> 0:06:15.040 are going straight to the bottom line and offsetting any 0:06:15.080 --> 0:06:17.680 losses that they have. If that in the retail business, 0:06:17.760 --> 0:06:18.640 you know, you said. 0:06:18.440 --> 0:06:22.200 To Punham that overall guidance for the company, and that 0:06:22.240 --> 0:06:24.799 seems to be the thing that was certainly we highlighted 0:06:24.839 --> 0:06:27.760 on the Bloomberg In terms of their revenue guide and 0:06:27.800 --> 0:06:29.640 second quarter net sales, they see one hundred and forty 0:06:29.640 --> 0:06:31.760 four billion tw one hundred and forty nine billion. The 0:06:31.760 --> 0:06:34.560 street estimate is above that range at one hundred and 0:06:34.600 --> 0:06:37.159 fifty point twenty one. You said, you know, might be 0:06:37.160 --> 0:06:40.680 because of the online business. What's the question you want 0:06:40.680 --> 0:06:43.680 to be hearing? Are that analysts are asking specifically on 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:44.120 that call. 0:06:45.440 --> 0:06:47.200 I think the first question is how much did in 0:06:47.240 --> 0:06:49.520 earlier easter help them in the spring sale? How much 0:06:49.560 --> 0:06:51.920 did that contribute to that seven percent increase that they 0:06:51.960 --> 0:06:54.880 saw in online sales first party, because if that was 0:06:54.920 --> 0:06:57.000 a few percentage points, and that kind of answers the 0:06:57.080 --> 0:06:59.680 question going into the second quarter. And then the other 0:06:59.800 --> 0:07:02.320 question I'd ask on the retail side is you know, 0:07:02.480 --> 0:07:05.240 how are they doing in terms of just gaining share 0:07:05.279 --> 0:07:09.080 online against these rising threats from TIMU and She and 0:07:09.120 --> 0:07:11.480 I don't know if they'll ever answer that, but clearly 0:07:11.520 --> 0:07:14.440 those things are growing very rapidly, and is there something 0:07:14.440 --> 0:07:17.080 else that they're doing to offset those competitive threats? 0:07:17.800 --> 0:07:20.320 Honor rog I'm just taking some time to look through 0:07:20.400 --> 0:07:23.840 the cloud results here. And one thing that was notable 0:07:23.880 --> 0:07:27.760 going into this report is that there was some discussion 0:07:27.760 --> 0:07:31.360 about sales growth at AWS slowing to a record low 0:07:31.440 --> 0:07:34.480 last year, businesses cutting back on tech spending. They wanted 0:07:34.520 --> 0:07:37.120 to bring those computing bills that balloon during the pandemic 0:07:37.200 --> 0:07:41.200 under control. Now you have Jasse out in a statement 0:07:41.600 --> 0:07:45.040 saying essentially that the combination of companies renewing their infrastructure 0:07:45.040 --> 0:07:48.360 modernization efforts and the appeal of aws's AI capabilities is 0:07:48.360 --> 0:07:52.960 reaccelerating aws's growth rate. Is that him saying companies are 0:07:53.000 --> 0:07:56.360 done cutting back on their cloud spend. Is that him 0:07:56.400 --> 0:07:59.320 saying the worst is behind us when it comes to 0:07:59.680 --> 0:08:00.760 company tiping their bell. 0:08:02.120 --> 0:08:04.440 Yeah, And frankly speaking, he had to say that because 0:08:04.680 --> 0:08:07.600 both Microsoft and Google came up with very good numbers. Now, 0:08:07.600 --> 0:08:10.840 when you look at AWS commitments, you know, they gave 0:08:10.880 --> 0:08:13.840 out a figure called cloud commitments, which is people signing 0:08:13.880 --> 0:08:16.920 long term contracts even in the last you know, I 0:08:16.960 --> 0:08:18.760 would say one and a half to two years. Those 0:08:18.840 --> 0:08:22.520 numbers have been very strong, twenty percent, thirty percent even higher, 0:08:22.840 --> 0:08:25.800 which means people are making those commitments they're not just 0:08:25.960 --> 0:08:28.680 using them, They're not using those cloud credits. They're just 0:08:28.760 --> 0:08:32.199 pacing themselves into a variable cost model, and then when 0:08:32.280 --> 0:08:35.640 economic conditions improve for their clients, they will, you know, 0:08:35.679 --> 0:08:38.160 get the consumption up. And that's what we're seeing right now. 0:08:38.480 --> 0:08:40.600 Anareg, what's your number one question for the call? 0:08:42.240 --> 0:08:44.760 The number one question is can you break out your 0:08:45.880 --> 0:08:49.960 AI workloads versus the non AI workloads on AWS? Because 0:08:50.000 --> 0:08:53.600 Microsoft's already saying so, if Microsoft sales growth has let's say, 0:08:53.720 --> 0:08:56.920 you know, thirty percent, seven percentage points of that is 0:08:56.920 --> 0:08:59.400 because of AI, I want to know that exact number 0:08:59.400 --> 0:09:01.600 for aw US. I don't think they're going to give 0:09:01.600 --> 0:09:04.480 it this time, but that that's my number one question. 0:09:05.080 --> 0:09:08.280 Hey, we forgive us, but we got earnings crossing again 0:09:08.400 --> 0:09:11.280 right now. Shares AMD down about four point two percent 0:09:11.679 --> 0:09:15.000 in the after hours. Second quarter revenue coming in at 0:09:15.040 --> 0:09:17.360 five point four to six billion dollars estimates were for 0:09:17.400 --> 0:09:21.119 the midpoint there five point seven first quarter just atdps, 0:09:21.240 --> 0:09:25.880 did beat estimates. Should note also operating margin coming in 0:09:26.000 --> 0:09:28.800 above estimates at twenty one percent versus estimates of twenty 0:09:29.160 --> 0:09:34.000 point eight percent. First quarter capex, though coming in way 0:09:34.040 --> 0:09:36.760 above estimates one hundred and forty two million dollars. Carrol 0:09:36.840 --> 0:09:39.200 estimates were for one hundred and eighteen point four million dollars. 0:09:39.240 --> 0:09:41.280 Amd On now down more than five percent. In the 0:09:41.280 --> 0:09:44.040 after market, Amazon, we continue to talk about it. Their 0:09:44.080 --> 0:09:46.319 cloud unit posting the strongest sales growth in a year, 0:09:46.360 --> 0:09:49.319 a sign that the retailer's most profitable unit is recovering 0:09:49.320 --> 0:09:53.640 from a slump as businesses resume spending on technology projects. 0:09:53.679 --> 0:09:56.679 And we've seen the shares certainly rally here in the 0:09:56.720 --> 0:09:59.960 after market. We're talking with Pudam Goyle and Honor Agrana 0:10:00.160 --> 0:10:03.560 of our intelligence Bloomberg Intelligence team put them, is there 0:10:03.600 --> 0:10:05.640 anything in here too that you get an idea of 0:10:05.720 --> 0:10:08.439 kind of how consumers are doing? Certainly, Amazon is such 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:11.679 a great key metric when it comes to this what 0:10:11.720 --> 0:10:13.559 are you seeing in that front? 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:16.760 I think Amazon continues to take share. So when you 0:10:16.800 --> 0:10:20.160 look at the consumer dynamics today in retail, Amazon has 0:10:20.200 --> 0:10:23.920 been taking share. Most of the consumer is still cautious, 0:10:24.320 --> 0:10:27.720 they're still training down to value, they are spending where 0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:30.600 they want to spend, and they're spending more on staples 0:10:30.600 --> 0:10:33.000 than they are on discretionary. So I think the numbers 0:10:33.000 --> 0:10:36.080 that they've posted today show that they continue to take share, and. 0:10:36.080 --> 0:10:37.800 I just want to point in Amazon shaares now are 0:10:37.880 --> 0:10:40.760 only up about one percent here, so they've definitely pared 0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:42.760 back some of their earlier moves. 0:10:42.840 --> 0:10:45.240 Put them on a report like this. I see the 0:10:45.240 --> 0:10:47.640 way that Amazon is dominating when it comes to cloud, 0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:51.000 when it comes to advertising, when it comes to online retail, 0:10:51.200 --> 0:10:54.360 They're in healthcare now, They're getting everywhere. And I guess 0:10:54.400 --> 0:10:57.600 my question for you is about regulatory risk here. FTC 0:10:57.720 --> 0:11:01.199 has a suit filed against the company, and I'm wondering 0:11:01.200 --> 0:11:04.360 how investors should think about regulatory risk here. I mean, 0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:07.520 this is a close to two trillion dollar company. 0:11:08.280 --> 0:11:11.520 Well, we have analysts that cover it on the regulatory side, 0:11:11.559 --> 0:11:14.760 and I think so far the bi opinion is that 0:11:15.120 --> 0:11:18.720 we don't see a big risk to the Amazon business 0:11:18.800 --> 0:11:21.480 as it stands today, though we also don't see a 0:11:21.520 --> 0:11:25.200 breakup happening. We put very low probability on that. You know, 0:11:25.200 --> 0:11:27.840 when you think about the different businesses that Amazon competes, 0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:30.880 and it is a dominant share in many of them, 0:11:31.080 --> 0:11:33.280 but it's also a very small share in many of them, 0:11:33.320 --> 0:11:35.640 like the few that you mentioned healthcare. You know, Amazon's 0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:38.400 still a very small player in the healthcare business. In 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:41.280 the grocery business where they're trying to make in roads, 0:11:41.480 --> 0:11:44.760 they're very small there. They are a large retailer, but 0:11:44.960 --> 0:11:47.920 most of their retail business is third party operated more 0:11:47.920 --> 0:11:51.040 than sixty percent. So there's arguments to be made on 0:11:51.080 --> 0:11:54.880 both sides, but our opinion at BI is that it's 0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:57.400 not going to be easy for the FTC to force 0:11:57.440 --> 0:11:58.120 a breakup here. 0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:00.319 I see Honor rog just nodding his head from sgo 0:12:00.440 --> 0:12:02.640 right now. I'm wondering your thoughts on this an a 0:12:02.679 --> 0:12:03.960 rug and if you have anything to add when it 0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:06.640 comes to AWS, because certainly they're the dominant play. I mean, 0:12:06.640 --> 0:12:08.160 they invented the category, no question. 0:12:09.120 --> 0:12:11.800 Yeah, but they invented the category and Microsoft's been closing 0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:14.439 that chair like for a while now, and in AI 0:12:14.880 --> 0:12:18.720 Microsoft doing far better. Googled growing much faster, Microsoft going 0:12:18.840 --> 0:12:22.040 even faster. So nobody can say that they dominate the 0:12:22.040 --> 0:12:24.560 cloud space right now. You know, they have to watch 0:12:24.600 --> 0:12:27.079 the heels at any given time you see the number 0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:30.120 of product releases from AWS in the amount of you know, 0:12:30.160 --> 0:12:32.760 marketing they're putting behind it just to say that they're 0:12:32.760 --> 0:12:35.560 not behind Microsoft, So I would not say that they 0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:38.160 are monopoly when it comes to cloud. I mean, there's 0:12:38.200 --> 0:12:39.320 so many players at this point. 0:12:39.320 --> 0:12:40.800 Well's so funny that you say that I'm reading to 0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:42.920 the press release right now and there's like a ton 0:12:43.000 --> 0:12:46.520 of stuff on AI. But it's a lot of It's 0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:48.679 just a lot of stuff, And I guess, you know, 0:12:49.200 --> 0:12:50.960 what are you looking for an a rag? Is you 0:12:51.040 --> 0:12:53.480 read through like what they're doing here in Amazon Q 0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:56.160 and what they're doing with salesforce? Like like what is 0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:58.440 it that you're looking for as you pars through? What's 0:12:58.480 --> 0:12:59.480 a lot of words. 0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:02.760 Yeah, So the way you want to think about it, 0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:06.280 Microsoft disclose some numbers. When we back into that, it 0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:09.880 shows us that Microsoft just on their cloud business is 0:13:09.920 --> 0:13:13.120 generating a billion dollars a quarter at this point, which 0:13:13.160 --> 0:13:16.240 is a quarterly revenue of four billion dollars. Amazon's not 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:18.280 going to give any close to number like that. They 0:13:18.280 --> 0:13:21.160 are nowhere close to that. So I think that's basically 0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:24.040 shows that the competition is really tough right now and 0:13:24.080 --> 0:13:26.800 they have to launch all these products in order for 0:13:27.080 --> 0:13:29.960 enterprises or companies to embrace it so that they can 0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:32.760 down the road give that number out. So if they 0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:34.600 give a number out, I think it'll be a very 0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:37.440 very different ballgame tomorrow, but I doubt that's going to 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:38.040 happen today. 0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:40.400 Put on my I'm you know, in our conversations last 0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:43.400 week about meta platforms, we spoke to your colleague Man Deep, 0:13:43.480 --> 0:13:48.679 saying a lot about how advertising was, how AI had 0:13:48.720 --> 0:13:51.880 meta platforms was being used to really help with advertising, 0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:54.120 And I kind of want to frame the same question 0:13:54.240 --> 0:13:58.720 to you. It's about e commerce and how what Amazon 0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:01.079 is doing when it comes to We talk a lot 0:14:01.080 --> 0:14:04.160 about that in the context of AWS, but how does 0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:07.120 it help the core business getting people to buy more 0:14:07.160 --> 0:14:10.400 stuff and get more stuff delivered at Amazon? 0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:15.360 Yeah, I mean AI. Generative AI especially is crucial for retail. 0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:17.520 In fact, we think it's one of the biggest drivers 0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:19.720 to the search or the next leg of growth that 0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:22.400 you're going to see online. When you think about generative 0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:25.239 AI and you think about search, right, we go shop online, 0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:28.280 we put something in the search bar, and we get 0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:30.840 a million responses. Half of them, more than half of 0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:33.720 them are not relevant. So as you increase the relevancy 0:14:33.880 --> 0:14:37.200 of the search, you're going to also increase conversion because 0:14:37.240 --> 0:14:40.160 you're giving customers what they want, so huge huge ROI 0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:42.920 and getting the search right. And then outside of that, 0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:45.160 you know, there is there are a lot of tools, 0:14:45.200 --> 0:14:49.200 whether it's using genai to create your marketing, to create 0:14:49.320 --> 0:14:51.320 product there are so many things that you could do 0:14:51.400 --> 0:14:54.720 with genai and on the e commerce product side that 0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:58.080 are really beneficial to the customer experience. And in fact, 0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:01.760 you know, outfitting yourself for example, using AI tools, using 0:15:01.880 --> 0:15:04.960 visual tools to be able to create these scenarios. It's 0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:07.960 all about increasing conversion when it comes to using AI 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:09.080 for e commerce. 0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:12.280 All right, guys, I'm still watching shares of Amazon up 0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:14.840 about two point six percent this as it we mentioned 0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:19.160 earlier reporting a strong cloud unit sales, rising AI demand. 0:15:19.200 --> 0:15:22.600 But again that second quarter net sales forecast is a 0:15:22.600 --> 0:15:25.280 little bit light than what the street is forecasting. What 0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:27.560 could they say analog on the call that would make 0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:29.800 you a little bit more nervous because right now investors 0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:31.600 seem to be pretty pleased with this report. 0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:34.400 Yeah, I mean in the cloud side, if they go 0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:36.320 out and say that the growth for next quarter is 0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:38.200 going to be much lower than what it is, and 0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:41.720 it's a cause for concern because their competitors have not 0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:44.840 said that. So one would imagine that if the current 0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:47.800 quarter growth rate was around seventeen percent, they should grow 0:15:47.840 --> 0:15:50.760 in that same brain sixteen seventeen percent in the next quarter. Also, 0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:52.720 if they go out inside it's only going to be 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:56.080 ten twelve eleven, then I think that's a problem. 0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:58.200 Same question to you put and what could they say 0:15:58.200 --> 0:15:59.600 on the call that might make you be a little 0:15:59.600 --> 0:16:01.440 bit more head in on this company. 0:16:02.360 --> 0:16:04.840 If they say retail growth or the e commerce business 0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:06.960 has slowed to little single digits, Okay, I would be 0:16:07.000 --> 0:16:08.680 a little concerned or even turn negative. 0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:11.440 All right, listen, We so appreciate both of you weighing 0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.440 in on a company that's not a little complicated. I 0:16:14.440 --> 0:16:16.080 don't know that I want to say complicated, but yeah, 0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:20.480 a lot of moving pieces and so we do. Yeah, 0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:22.920 and so great to get both of their perspectives. Put 0:16:22.920 --> 0:16:25.120 them Goyle, she's senior analysts for e commerce at a 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:29.440 leisure off price retail on Zoom from India. 0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:32.000 It's two am, so thank you put them. 0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:34.800 Oh my god, we owe you, We owe you. And 0:16:34.880 --> 0:16:37.880 Anna Ragrana always so helpful when we have to go 0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:40.960 through these reports. Senior technology analyst Bloomberg Intelligence joining us 0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:42.760 from our Chicago But are really both of them, We 0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:44.360 so so appreciate the insight

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