US Weighs Capping Nvidia Sales; Israel's Retaliation Plan
On today's podcast:
1) US Weighs Capping Nvidia, AMD AI Chip Sales to Some Countries
2) Goldman, Citigroup and Bank of America Report Earnings
3) Israel Weighs US Warnings Against Striking Iran Energy SitesĀ
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
2024-10-15
17 min
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 0:00:09.760 --> 0:00:11.520 Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. 0:00:11.440 --> 0:00:14.680 And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. 0:00:15.040 --> 0:00:18.439 Karen, we begin with a Bloomberg News exclusive. The US 0:00:18.560 --> 0:00:22.520 is considering camping sales of advanced artificial intelligence chips from 0:00:22.600 --> 0:00:26.599 Nvidia and other American companies to specific countries. Source to 0:00:26.680 --> 0:00:29.800 say officials in the Biden administration are considering the move 0:00:29.840 --> 0:00:33.640 in a bid to limit some nations AI capabilities. Bloomberg's 0:00:33.640 --> 0:00:36.680 Annabel Drulers says the focus of the restrictions is on 0:00:36.720 --> 0:00:37.360 the Middle East. 0:00:37.720 --> 0:00:40.080 This is a region we know that's looking to invest 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:43.519 very heavily into AI data centers. In particular, they've got 0:00:43.520 --> 0:00:45.760 companies that are wanting to establish their or build up 0:00:45.760 --> 0:00:47.920 their data center presence, and they've also got very deep 0:00:48.000 --> 0:00:50.000 pockets to fund them. The Middle East, we know it's 0:00:50.000 --> 0:00:52.720 a place that has a growing relationship with China, which 0:00:52.760 --> 0:00:54.760 is what these sorts of caps were initially put in 0:00:54.800 --> 0:00:58.640 place for was to restrict China's high tech ambition. So 0:00:58.680 --> 0:01:01.000 there is a concern that if you allow companies like 0:01:01.080 --> 0:01:04.680 Nvidia AMD to export to third party countries, those chips 0:01:04.720 --> 0:01:08.240 could still make their way to places, particularly to China. 0:01:08.280 --> 0:01:11.440 Bloomberg's Annabel Drulers says the deliberations are in their early 0:01:11.560 --> 0:01:14.800 stages now. The news of this possible overseas sales cap 0:01:14.880 --> 0:01:18.360 broke just hours after in Vidia's share price hit its 0:01:18.360 --> 0:01:22.000 first record close since June this morning, and Vidia shares 0:01:22.040 --> 0:01:24.320 are down more than one percent in early trading. 0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:27.760 Well, Nathan, we're also following bank shares this morning as 0:01:27.760 --> 0:01:30.319 we get earnings from the financial industry, and we get 0:01:30.319 --> 0:01:32.480 a preview from Bloombergs and Ali Bosik. 0:01:32.680 --> 0:01:35.880 We're awaiting third quarter earnings from Bank of America, City Group, 0:01:35.959 --> 0:01:39.160 and Goldman Sachs. And remember it's the first earnings report 0:01:39.200 --> 0:01:42.920 since the Federal Reserve started its interest rate cutting cycle. 0:01:43.080 --> 0:01:46.319 What we know from JP Morgan is that eventually net 0:01:46.319 --> 0:01:48.600 interest income is going to be under pressure, and we'll 0:01:48.640 --> 0:01:51.120 be wondering if that's the same for Bank of America, 0:01:51.160 --> 0:01:53.880 and same goes for Citygroup, where there's a very large 0:01:53.880 --> 0:01:56.920 credit card business. For Goldman Sachs. We'll be watching investment, 0:01:56.960 --> 0:01:59.400 banking and trading results because we know that the most 0:01:59.440 --> 0:02:02.320 recent quarter was a volatile one, and more than anything, 0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:04.520 we'll be watching for the outlook for the rest of 0:02:04.560 --> 0:02:08.480 the year because volatility is expected to remain somewhat elevated, 0:02:08.800 --> 0:02:11.640 and the question is can trading and banking fees be 0:02:11.800 --> 0:02:14.960 high on that backdrop? In New York, I'm Shinali Bask 0:02:15.080 --> 0:02:16.160 for Bloomberg. 0:02:15.800 --> 0:02:18.640 Radio Okationanali, thank you. Turning to the economy, now more 0:02:18.680 --> 0:02:21.720 Fed officials are speaking out about the future of monetary policy. 0:02:21.919 --> 0:02:25.280 Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari says it appears likely that 0:02:25.400 --> 0:02:28.520 further modest reductions and interest rates will be appropriate in 0:02:28.600 --> 0:02:32.200 coming quarters. Cashcari also talked about the fight against inflation 0:02:32.280 --> 0:02:34.800 in Buenos Aires at a conference held by the Central 0:02:34.800 --> 0:02:35.760 Bank of Argentina. 0:02:36.040 --> 0:02:39.040 So two percent is our inflation target, depending on your 0:02:39.080 --> 0:02:42.160 measure of inflation. It went up to seven eight nine 0:02:42.200 --> 0:02:45.120 percent and it is now running I would call it 0:02:45.160 --> 0:02:47.840 at a round by our primary measure. It's now running 0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:49.920 at around a two and a half percent run rate, 0:02:50.240 --> 0:02:52.360 and a lot of evidence suggesting that it's going to 0:02:52.360 --> 0:02:53.480 continue to fall from here. 0:02:53.600 --> 0:02:56.840 Minneapolis Fed Chief Neil Kashkari has said previously he was 0:02:56.880 --> 0:03:00.000 comfortable with the Fed's fifty basis point rate cut in September, 0:03:00.240 --> 0:03:02.280 and that a quarter point reduction at each of the 0:03:02.280 --> 0:03:06.120 fed's two remaining meetings this year is a reasonable starting point. 0:03:06.680 --> 0:03:08.920 Well, Nathan, we turned out to new developments in the 0:03:08.919 --> 0:03:11.880 Middle East and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanya, who has 0:03:11.919 --> 0:03:16.080 reportedly told the US he will strike Iranian military sites, 0:03:16.120 --> 0:03:19.120 and Bloomberg's and Baxter has the story the. 0:03:19.080 --> 0:03:21.200 Way Netnyah who puts it is that he is willing 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:25.880 to strike military rather than oil or nuclear targets. The 0:03:25.880 --> 0:03:28.360 Biden administration has been very open about the fact that 0:03:28.440 --> 0:03:31.600 it did not want the strikes on oil or nuclear. 0:03:32.040 --> 0:03:35.160 The Washington Post reports on the net and Yahoo Biden 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:37.840 call earlier this week. The Prime minister had said he 0:03:37.920 --> 0:03:40.800 was going to strike infrastructure, so there was fear it 0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:44.200 could be what the US did not want. After that call, 0:03:44.280 --> 0:03:47.560 the President also announced the sending of the THAD system 0:03:47.680 --> 0:03:50.680 to Israel. Ed Baxter Bloomberg radio. 0:03:50.560 --> 0:03:53.160 All right and thank you. And oil is sinking on 0:03:53.240 --> 0:03:56.160 that Washington Post report checking nimex crewed right now, it's 0:03:56.240 --> 0:03:59.200 down four and two thirds percent at seventy dollars thirty 0:03:59.280 --> 0:04:01.640 nine cents per keryl. Brent is lower by four and 0:04:01.680 --> 0:04:04.680 a half percent at seventy three ninety seven. Meanwhile, the 0:04:04.800 --> 0:04:08.280 International Energy Agency says geopolitical risks to oil output in 0:04:08.320 --> 0:04:11.360 the Middle East and elsewhere are being offset by plentiful 0:04:11.400 --> 0:04:12.240 global supplies. 0:04:12.720 --> 0:04:15.120 Now, let's get the latest from the campaign trail. Nathan 0:04:15.160 --> 0:04:17.800 and both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump were on opposite 0:04:17.880 --> 0:04:22.080 ends of Pennsylvania pitching and dueling economic plans. The Vice 0:04:22.120 --> 0:04:25.599 president counted her proposal for a fifty thousand dollars small 0:04:25.640 --> 0:04:28.919 business tach dis deduction at a rally and eerie, she 0:04:28.960 --> 0:04:32.000 played clips from the former president's events to paint him 0:04:32.120 --> 0:04:33.040 as an extremist. 0:04:33.520 --> 0:04:38.880 He's talking about the enemy within our country, Pennsylvania. He's 0:04:39.000 --> 0:04:44.000 talking about that he considers anyone who doesn't support him 0:04:45.360 --> 0:04:50.159 or who will not bend to his will an enemy 0:04:50.240 --> 0:04:51.200 of our country. 0:04:51.720 --> 0:04:55.240 Meanwhile, Donald Trump held a town hall in Oaks, Pennsylvania, 0:04:55.279 --> 0:04:59.159 outside of Philadelphia, but the economic discussion quickly fell off 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:03.400 the rails when audience members started fainting inside the smeltering arena. 0:05:03.839 --> 0:05:06.280 So Trump decided to turn it into a dance party. 0:05:06.720 --> 0:05:09.760 Let's not do any more questions, Let's just listen to music. 0:05:09.839 --> 0:05:11.360 Let's make it into it for music. 0:05:12.680 --> 0:05:14.760 Houda Hell wants to hear questions. 0:05:14.839 --> 0:05:18.440 Right before the interruption, Trump touted his plans to eliminate 0:05:18.480 --> 0:05:22.160 Social Security income taxes and to deregulate energy and home 0:05:22.240 --> 0:05:23.560 construction man Karen. 0:05:23.600 --> 0:05:26.520 The campaign continues today. Vice President Harris will be in 0:05:26.600 --> 0:05:29.320 Detroit for a town hall with radio hosts Charlemagne the 0:05:29.360 --> 0:05:32.000 God as she ramps up her efforts to court black voters. 0:05:32.279 --> 0:05:34.960 Former President Trump will be at the Economic Club of 0:05:35.120 --> 0:05:38.920 Chicago for an exclusive interview with Bloomberg News Editor in 0:05:39.040 --> 0:05:42.800 chief John Mikelthwaite. That conversation will begin at noon Wall 0:05:42.839 --> 0:05:45.880 Street Time. Our coverage begins at eleven thirty on a 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:48.600 special edition of Bloomberg's Balance of Power. You can listen 0:05:48.640 --> 0:05:51.680 on Bloomberg Radio or watch on Bloomberg Television or on 0:05:51.680 --> 0:05:53.680 the Bloomberg Podcasts YouTube channel. 0:05:54.040 --> 0:05:56.680 Well, Nathan, there's new developments this morning in the one 0:05:56.720 --> 0:05:59.159 month strike. It Boeing and we get the very latest, 0:05:59.200 --> 0:06:01.719 So Bloomberg should John Tucker and John it looks like 0:06:01.760 --> 0:06:02.920 things are getting more tense. 0:06:03.400 --> 0:06:06.040 Karen Boeing says it's going to be laying off seventeen 0:06:06.120 --> 0:06:09.480 thousand employees in minutes. Ongoing workers' strike. Now the head 0:06:09.520 --> 0:06:11.760 of the labor department reaching out to both sides to 0:06:11.800 --> 0:06:14.120 try to fix things with no end in sight for 0:06:14.160 --> 0:06:17.200 the now month long machineist strike at Boeing, The acting 0:06:17.320 --> 0:06:20.719 labor Secretary, Julie Sue, traveled to Seattle to meet with 0:06:20.800 --> 0:06:24.160 Boeing in the workers union. The two sides cut off 0:06:24.200 --> 0:06:27.840 talks last week. Strikers really aren't sure what to expect. 0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:29.359 I think they're playing a game. 0:06:29.600 --> 0:06:30.720 It's a cat and mouse game. 0:06:30.760 --> 0:06:31.839 Who's going to buy it first? 0:06:32.040 --> 0:06:32.200 Well. 0:06:32.200 --> 0:06:35.760 Boeing also announced a delay to its Triple seven X program, 0:06:35.800 --> 0:06:39.640 angering big customers like Emirates. The intention to cut jobs 0:06:39.720 --> 0:06:42.440 comes as the Planemaker seeks to stave off warnings of 0:06:42.480 --> 0:06:46.120 a possible ratings downgrade from S and P Global. In 0:06:46.200 --> 0:06:49.880 New York, I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 0:06:52.000 --> 0:06:53.600 Great John, thank you. It's time now for a look 0:06:53.600 --> 0:06:55.320 at some of the other stories making news in New 0:06:55.400 --> 0:06:57.240 York and around the world. And for that we're joined 0:06:57.240 --> 0:06:58.920 by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. 0:06:58.960 --> 0:07:02.680 Michael, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. Officials say federal disaster 0:07:02.800 --> 0:07:06.719 workers paused and then changed some of their hurricane recovery 0:07:06.760 --> 0:07:10.720 efforts in North Carolina, including abandoning door to door visits 0:07:11.000 --> 0:07:15.600 after receiving threats during a wave of misinformation. The Rutherford 0:07:15.640 --> 0:07:18.880 County Sheriff's office said it received a call about a 0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:22.800 man with an assault rifle who commented about possibly harming 0:07:22.840 --> 0:07:27.880 FEMA employees and targeting a militia against them. For FEMA 0:07:27.920 --> 0:07:29.840 Administrator Pete Gaynor, we have. 0:07:29.880 --> 0:07:32.520 The best missioned federal government helping people before, during, and 0:07:32.560 --> 0:07:33.440 after disaster. 0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:35.720 I think we have some of the most dedicated employees 0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:38.480 that are trying to do that for their fellow Americans, and. 0:07:38.360 --> 0:07:42.720 Stuff like this. It's not good for morale for anyone on. 0:07:42.640 --> 0:07:46.240 The team, former FEMA Administrator Pete Gaynor. The man was 0:07:46.320 --> 0:07:50.480 later arrested and charged with a misdemeanor. Several jurors have 0:07:50.800 --> 0:07:53.560 just been seated in the years old case of the 0:07:53.640 --> 0:07:57.240 murders of two young girls who were hiking in Delphi, Indiana. 0:07:57.760 --> 0:08:02.559 Investigators say that prison recording showed the suspect, Richard Allen, 0:08:03.040 --> 0:08:07.200 confessed more than sixty times while behind bars. It took 0:08:07.240 --> 0:08:10.440 nearly six years for one arrest, police linking a bullet 0:08:10.480 --> 0:08:13.679 from the crime scene to Allan's gun in the killings 0:08:13.680 --> 0:08:16.760 of thirteen year old Abby Williams and fourteen year old 0:08:16.800 --> 0:08:19.280 Libby German. Libby's sister, Kelsey. 0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:22.520 I had so much faith that our detectives would keep 0:08:22.560 --> 0:08:26.239 working on this until they got our answers and justice 0:08:26.280 --> 0:08:30.040 for the girls, and until the conviction is here. I'll 0:08:30.080 --> 0:08:31.200 still remain that way too. 0:08:31.720 --> 0:08:34.560 Evidence from Libby's own phone is expected to play a 0:08:34.559 --> 0:08:38.920 critical role at trial. Another federal civil rights violation trial 0:08:38.960 --> 0:08:43.599 gets underway today in Louisville for former police officer Brett Hankinson. 0:08:43.960 --> 0:08:47.280 He shot and killed Brianna Taylor in twenty twenty during 0:08:47.360 --> 0:08:52.120 what was allegedly a botched raid where Taylor's boyfriend fired 0:08:52.120 --> 0:08:56.240 at police. Former federal prosecutor Lourie Levinson, this is a. 0:08:56.160 --> 0:08:59.719 Case of a federal supervirights violation, but it really is 0:08:59.840 --> 0:09:03.880 the question of whether an officer used too much force. 0:09:04.520 --> 0:09:09.080 Don't forget that Hankinson fired ten shots into Taylor's apartment 0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:10.840 through a glass store That night. 0:09:11.080 --> 0:09:15.400 Former federal Prosecutor Lori Levinson, in a symbolic display of anger, 0:09:15.520 --> 0:09:19.240 North Korea blew up the northern section of unused roads 0:09:19.280 --> 0:09:22.840 that once linked it with the South. Today's action comes 0:09:22.840 --> 0:09:26.079 as the rivals have been exchanging threats, days after the 0:09:26.120 --> 0:09:30.359 North claim that its rival flew drones over its capital, Pyongyang. 0:09:30.960 --> 0:09:33.840 Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you 0:09:33.920 --> 0:09:36.640 want it with the Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Michael Barr, 0:09:36.640 --> 0:09:38.040 and this is Bloomberg. 0:09:38.080 --> 0:09:38.360 Karen. 0:09:38.559 --> 0:09:45.480 All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the 0:09:45.480 --> 0:09:49.040 Bloomberg Sports up Date, brought to you by Tri State Audi. 0:09:49.080 --> 0:09:51.440 Here's John Stashour, johnkan Morney, Good. 0:09:51.320 --> 0:09:51.840 Morning, Caroen. 0:09:51.920 --> 0:09:54.800 Moving closer to a subway series up first with the 0:09:54.840 --> 0:09:58.439 Mets in Los Angeles. Dodgers had thrown thirty three consecutive 0:09:58.440 --> 0:10:01.640 scoreless innings that ended quick. Francisco Lindor hit a lead 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:04.800 off home run, and inning later the Dodgers walked the 0:10:04.920 --> 0:10:07.080 door intentionally to load the beast. 0:10:07.960 --> 0:10:11.000 Here's the payoff pitch swing on a drive in the air, 0:10:11.040 --> 0:10:12.360 pretty well hit right center. 0:10:12.440 --> 0:10:14.840 Piez back at that track near the wall. 0:10:15.160 --> 0:10:16.040 It is gone. 0:10:16.800 --> 0:10:21.559 A grand slam for Bartfaetas on a three to two pitch, 0:10:21.840 --> 0:10:25.480 he clears the bases, pitting it into the pavilion and 0:10:25.679 --> 0:10:26.840 right center field. 0:10:27.280 --> 0:10:30.680 W hs Q Mets let six. Nothing survived the sixth 0:10:30.720 --> 0:10:33.520 inning when La score twice had three on but hit 0:10:33.600 --> 0:10:36.040 it into an inny knitting double play. Mets one, seven 0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.720 three come back to New York with the NLCS tied 0:10:38.800 --> 0:10:40.880 to one, Game three tomorrow then it was the Yankees 0:10:41.200 --> 0:10:44.600 in the ALCS opener with Cleveland Wan Soto homer third inning, 0:10:44.640 --> 0:10:47.599 he he's got two more on three guardian walks and 0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:50.280 two wild pitches. And then in the seventh upstep the 0:10:50.280 --> 0:10:52.360 hottest Yang all the. 0:10:52.440 --> 0:10:55.000 O one is hitting there two left center. 0:10:55.280 --> 0:10:59.239 It is high, it is far, it is gone. 0:11:00.200 --> 0:11:04.880 Ay Stantonian obro Wfan John Carlos Stanton coming off the 0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:08.520 big Alds Yanks one five two, Carlos Redon six strong 0:11:08.520 --> 0:11:11.440 innings and Luke Weaver flourishing as the Yankee closer. 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:14.480 He got the last five outs, four by strikeout. Game 0:11:14.520 --> 0:11:16.520 two tonight, a game at matt Life for the second 0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:19.199 straight night, and just like the Giants, a loss for 0:11:19.240 --> 0:11:22.360 the Jets. Buffalo won twenty three twenty Josh Allen three 0:11:22.400 --> 0:11:25.000 for two touchdowns, ran for another, Aaron Rodgers through for two, 0:11:25.040 --> 0:11:27.760 including a hail Mary to close out the first half, 0:11:27.760 --> 0:11:31.079 but just like last Sunday in London, a late costly 0:11:31.200 --> 0:11:34.800 Rogers interception it spoils the coaching debut of Jeff Olbrook 0:11:34.800 --> 0:11:37.560 at the Garden. Rangers beat Detroit four to one. In Newark, 0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:40.960 Devil's over Utah three nothing. In Denver, Islanders down Colorado 0:11:41.000 --> 0:11:43.600 six to two. Florida top the Bruins four to three. 0:11:43.920 --> 0:11:46.000 Johns dash Ewen Bloomberg Sports. 0:11:47.760 --> 0:11:51.880 Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 0:11:52.000 --> 0:11:54.880 and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:59.160 Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm 0:11:59.200 --> 0:11:59.800 Nathan Hager. 0:11:59.840 --> 0:12:03.760 The breakneck growth of artificial intelligence technology may face new 0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:07.200 limits on a country by country basis. Bloomberg News has 0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:11.240 learned the Biden administration is considering sales caps on chips 0:12:11.240 --> 0:12:14.240 from the likes of Nvidia and advanced micro devices in 0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:16.840 the interest of national security. For more on this, we're 0:12:16.880 --> 0:12:19.880 joined by Bloomberg Radio and television anchor Critty Gupta. Critty, 0:12:19.920 --> 0:12:22.600 Good morning. What more are we hearing about what the 0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:24.320 administration's considering here? 0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:25.520 Welcome morning, Nathan. 0:12:25.600 --> 0:12:28.080 Usually when we hear about the Biden administration being tough 0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:31.400 on those chipbex boards, it's usually in relation to whether 0:12:31.480 --> 0:12:34.960 or not that very secure technology can. 0:12:34.960 --> 0:12:35.679 End up in China. 0:12:35.760 --> 0:12:37.920 This time around, though, it looks like they're considering how 0:12:38.000 --> 0:12:39.560 might end up in the Middle East. Now, there were 0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:42.520 suspicions of this earlier this year, that this may be 0:12:42.880 --> 0:12:46.120 an area of concern, especially as the Middle East has 0:12:46.160 --> 0:12:46.680 really been. 0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:49.319 Ramping up their chip making capacity. 0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:53.080 So you've seen TSMC, for example, show interest in places 0:12:53.240 --> 0:12:56.520 like the UAE. The concern here, though, is that if 0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:58.920 you now have to consider China for national security reasons, 0:12:58.960 --> 0:13:01.480 you have to considers to the Middle East for that 0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:04.520 as well. That being said, this is certainly on the table, 0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:07.600 but no decisions have been made just yet, and even 0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:09.840 if they were made, it's unclear if they would be 0:13:09.880 --> 0:13:12.719 imposed during the remainder of President Biden's term. 0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:16.240 So if this is in the interest of fairness, is 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:18.760 this the kind of thing that Middle Eastern allies could 0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:23.040 work with either the Biden administration or whatever administration might 0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:25.200 consider these kinds of limitations. 0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:26.480 Well, that's the expectation. 0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:29.200 Look, there's a global race, as we know to get 0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:32.480 our hands on this kind of chip technology. Whereas AI 0:13:33.240 --> 0:13:36.240 may be rising very quickly and spearheaded by Nvidio chips 0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:40.440 for example, or EV technology spearheaded over in China, there 0:13:40.440 --> 0:13:42.600 are still other parts of the world that are actively 0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:43.560 trying to play. 0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:45.320 Catch up in a lot of ways. 0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:47.319 In the absence of being able to do that, or 0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:49.600 in the process of developing their own technology and their 0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:52.160 own supply chains. This is where there is a real 0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:55.280 incentive to be negotiating with the Biden administration, and it 0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:57.520 looks like that may be where this is headed. 0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:00.559 But a big piece of leverage here that. 0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:03.520 The Biden administration of the United States broadly has over 0:14:03.559 --> 0:14:06.920 the Middle East is that in controlling those exports, being 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:09.959 able to say, maybe you also need to lessen your 0:14:09.960 --> 0:14:12.480 dependents or lessen your relationship with China in some way. 0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:15.040 We've already seen evidence of that show up in the 0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:18.160 way that the US has talked about export controls with 0:14:18.280 --> 0:14:20.800 the Netherlands, of course, the home country of ASML, the 0:14:20.840 --> 0:14:23.920 major chip equipment maker for most of the chip equipment 0:14:23.960 --> 0:14:26.840 making technology in the world, and that puts the Dutch government, 0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:28.720 for example, in a pretty tight spot. 0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:31.960 Well, what could these kinds of country by country national 0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:36.480 security focused export limitations mean for the AI trade overall? 0:14:36.520 --> 0:14:38.400 I mean, we just saw on Vidia hit its first 0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:42.840 record since June yesterday. Does that put the AI frenzy 0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:44.600 in a little bit of doubt this morning? 0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:46.760 You know, one would think, but it's not really making 0:14:46.800 --> 0:14:49.400 a dent. And the reason for that is because it's 0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:52.600 not one imposed to we don't know what the actual 0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:55.360 details of this move would actually look like in three 0:14:55.400 --> 0:14:57.640 at the end of the day, it's not actually hitting 0:14:57.680 --> 0:15:01.400 the supply just yet or the expected supply of these chips. 0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:03.200 There is still a little bit of a bottleneck on 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:06.080 that where Nvidia is kind of the only player in 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:09.280 the game at the moment, as recently shown by the 0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:13.040 fact that AMD Advanced micro Devices has also released their 0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:17.040 own kind of competitor chip and met with not such 0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:19.800 great an investor appetite because the concern was one, can 0:15:19.800 --> 0:15:22.600 you ramp up capacity? And two can you monetize it? 0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:26.760 So again, it still feels like Nvidia's dominance is here 0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:27.440 to stay for now. 0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:30.400 Got about thirty seconds left, but the market focus is 0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:32.960 going to turn very quickly back to banks. What to 0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:34.400 expect from the earnings this morning? 0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:36.120 Well, there are two things. 0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:39.280 One is, do we see the net interest income outperformance 0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:41.400 of JP Morgan and Wolfs Fargo show up in the 0:15:41.520 --> 0:15:45.760 likes of City Goldman, Sachs and I believe Morgan Stanley 0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.040 reporting tomorrow as well among some of the other banks. 0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:50.120 A second, especially for City, is going to be that 0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:52.840 credit card data. If there's any hiccups in the JP 0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:55.000 Morgan numbers. It's that there might have been a little 0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:56.960 bit of slow down that spend. We'll see if city 0:15:56.960 --> 0:15:57.680 shows the same thing. 0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:02.200 This is Bloombergy Daybreak, morning podcast on the stories making 0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:04.920 news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:07.600 Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:11.040 Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 0:16:11.240 --> 0:16:14.080 You can also listen live each morning starting at five 0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:16.840 am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:19.760 in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 0:16:19.800 --> 0:16:23.760 Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 0:16:23.960 --> 0:16:25.520 XM Channel one twenty one. 0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:28.640 Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:31.520 now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. 0:16:31.720 --> 0:16:34.760 And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:37.480 the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:40.720 or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast 0:16:40.720 --> 0:16:44.920 platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:47.200 And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for 0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:49.200 all the news you need to start your day right 0:16:49.240 --> 0:16:50.680 here on Bloomberg day Break
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