Wisconsin and Florida Election Results; Trump's Tariff Announcement
On today's podcast:
1) Voters in Wisconsin push back on Elon Musk and Republicans in Florida fend off Democrats. Elon Musk-backed candidate, Brad Schimel, lost a Wisconsin judicial race despite Musk pouring millions into the campaign, with Susan Crawford winning 55% to 45%. Republicans held onto two House seats in Florida, winning about 57% of the vote in both districts, but with smaller margins than in the November general election.
2) The world waits as President Trump's tariff announcement comes down to the wire. President Trump's team is finalizing plans for reciprocal tariffs to be unveiled on Wednesday, with multiple proposals under consideration, including a tiered tariff system and a customized reciprocal plan. The tariffs are expected to take immediate effect, with countries able to negotiate to bring rates down, and could apply widely, even to countries with which the US doesn't have a trade imbalance.
3) The SALT tax deduction could get a boost in Republicans' massive tax bill. Republicans are drafting a tax bill that includes increasing the state and local tax deduction to up to $25,000 for an individual, a major victory for swing-district House Republicans.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Caarent we begin with election results in two key states. We'll start in Wisconsin, where voters picked a state Supreme Court justice in a race that billionaire Elon Musk poured roughly twenty million dollars into. With ninety eight percent of the votes counted, Musk's preferred candidate, Brad Schimmel, lost to Democrat backed Susan Crawford fifty five to forty five percent. Wisconsin's stood up and said loudly that justice does not have a price. Our courts are not for sale. Susan Crawford's campaign did raise twenty four point six million dollars that was more than double shimmeles hall. Shimmel told his supporters that he called Crawford to concede. We will rise again. We'll get up to fight another day. But this wasn't our day. Brad Shimmel's defeat heaps of four to three liberal majority in place in Wisconsin Supreme Court. The result could have implications and cases on abortion rights and labor laws, along with congressional redistricting ahead of next year's midterm election. Well Nathan Republicans had a better night in Florida. They held onto two House seats and special elections to replace former Congressman Matt Gates and Mike Waltz and Walts's sixth district. Randy Fine defeated Democrat Josh will by a fourteen percentage point margin fifty six points seven to forty two percent. That was Bubbalo Walts's thirty three point margin of victory in November, but Fine says it's a result that counts. It's a special election. You have to look at the turnout. I mean, there were twice as many people that voted. I don't think you can read much into it. We won by double digits. Were super excited. And a lot with Randy Fine. Republican Jimmy Patronis be Democrat Gay Vallamont and Matt Gates's old first district. Patronis told his supporters there's one takeaway from the race. This election is a reminder that Florida pay and Hando will forever be read and it will be forever Trump country. Jimmy Petrons won by nearly seventeen points over Vlamont fifty six point nine to forty two point three percent, and Gates defeated Vellamont in November by a thirty two point margin. Well, now, Karen, let's get to the story that the world is bracing for. President Trump's team is finalizing plans for reciprocal tariffs. They're set to be unveiled after the close of today's trading. We begin our global team coverage with Bloomberg Trades are Brendan Murray. There's a range of options that the administration is still weighing. It starts with a very simple flat rate for all countries across the board. Twenty percent has been thrown around. Then there's a tiered system where you divide countries into say three groups, and in each group gets a different tariff rate, or there's the customized each country gets its own tariff rate route that the president could go. He's got all these options on the table. From what we hear from his advisors is he hasn't made that decision yet. Bloomberg's Brandan Murray says the tariffs are expected to take immediate effect, with countries able to negotiate to bring rates down A Trump trade advisor says the President say mcdrey seven hundred billion dollars a year in tariff revenue. Well, Nathan, how will the world react to the Trump tariffs? The European Union is expected to be one of the hardest hit by the US Bloombers Oliver Crook continues our Global team coverage in Berlin. We I think, unfortunately for the EU, just like everybody else, you know, everybody knows what it's called Liberation Day, but they don't know what's in it, So that what they've got to do is sort of produce a menu of different options given what the potential moves of the truff indipation could be, and basically be ready to deploy them, you know, as soon as possible. They have been taking a slightly more measured approach than the EU has in the past in terms of these trading discussions with the Trump administration. They want to take a measured response. You know, we heard from Ursula vonder lyon the President of the U Commissioned yesterday saying that basically, you know what we've heard from the EU from the very beginning. We didn't start this, we don't want this, We want to negotiate. A deal, but at the end of the day, we. Will respond, and we will respond powerfully if we if we have to. Bloomberg's Oliver Kruk says one of the most extreme retaliations by the EU could be the first ever use of its anti coercion instrument, which could lead to restrictions beyond trade and services. And Karen Asia is also anxiously awaiting the tariff announcement. Bloomberg Steven Engle has that angle. As we continue our global team coverage from Hong Kong. Right now, we know that President she Jenping has essentially instructed his bureaucras to remain calm through this period wait to hear what those reciprocal tariffs will do to China tariffs, which, of course the Trump administration Version two point zero has added twenty percent because of the fentanyl issues. So they're bracing for the worse and the better outcomes. The problem is there hasn't been a lot of high level negotiations or even discussions between the two sides. Bloomberg Steven Engl in Hong Kong says China thinks the tariffs already in place are unjustified. Well. Nathan Canada is also bracing for the extent of Trump's terar riffs. Bloomberg's Derek da Kluid wraps up our global team coverage from Toronto. I'd say the mood right now in the country and from what we can tell in the government, is both anxiety and a little bit of curiosity because there has not been a lot of information flow from the White House to his trading partners about how this is going to work. So Trump has said a lot of different things about Canada and in his second term so far. How high will these tariffs be and what will the carve outs be? Will they go after Canadian oil? For example, Canada has got a lot more at stake here than almost every other country. Bloomberg's Derek Dakluid reporting from Toronto, and stay tuned for Bloomberg's alive coverage a President Trump's tariff announcement. We'll have Kim Bleed coverage on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and on the Bloomberg podcast page on YouTube. Along with the tariffs. Camera're keeping an eye on this. President Trump has said for months that the US will take over Greenland one way or another. Now that rhetoric may be turning into policy. According to The Washington Post, the White House is drawing up a cost estimate to take over the Arctic territory. The report says one option being considered is to offer a sweeter deal to Greenland's government than Denmark. The NATO ally currently subsidizes the island to the tune of six hundred million dollars a year. Nathan Republican lawmakers are in the process of drafting a new tax bill behind closed doors that includes an increase in the state and local tax deduction or salt. Bloomberg's Amy Morris as the latest. Sources tel Bloomberg, the bill includes a salt cap increase of twenty five thousand dollars for an individual, a sizeable increase from the current ten thousand dollars limit that would be a big political victory for swing state House Republicans representing the New York City area and southern California. Sources say the plan also includes a renewal of President Trump's twenty seventeen tax reductions, with possibly offsetting the increase by reducing the deduction's corporations can claim. The plan is still in the process of being drafted, it is not yet final in Washington, Amy Moore as Blueberg Radio. Amy, thank you. We now move to markets where futures are lower. This morning, yesterday stock seek out gains as we kicked off the second quarter. And Maletti is. Head of Active Equity at all Spring Global Investments. She's bullish on stocks long term. In this environment, it's looking for opportunity instead of risk. I would say three months ago, we were looking for where the risks were in the market, and that was in concentration and speculation in a lot of those other areas. Now it's looking for opportunities. And you know, we believe investors should stay invested in equities. It's been the long term place to be to win. So if you're going to stay, where do you want to be And it's outside of those momentum concentration speculation areas. All Springs and Maletti ads so the Trump Administration's tariffs will cause disruption that will lead to investment opportunities. Well, Nathan Tesla has certainly been one of the hardest hits so far this year, and today investors will be getting an update on how business is fair. We had the latest of the Bloomberg's John Tucker, John Good morning, Good morning, Karen. About nine am Wall Street Time, Tesla's going to report how many vehicles it delivered during the first three months of this year. Elon Musk Company has had a brutal start of the year, with vandalized showrooms, paused production lines, and tanking sales overseas. With bush handalyst Dan i'ves telling clients in a recent note the anti Musk and brand issues are clearly at play in a major factor. Analysts expect Tesla delivered about three hundred and ninety thousand cars in the first quarter, potentially it's worst quarter in a year. Pre market Tesla shares down one percent. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. Nice time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, Good morning, Good morning, Karin. Democratic Senator Corey Booker of New Jersey broke the record for the longest floor speech and recorded Senate history. I yield the flour after more than five hours, Booker best at Senator strom Thurman's filibuster of the Civil Rights Act of nineteen fifty seven. Booker's speech was meant to highlight what he called a looming constitutional crisis in the many early actions taken by President Donald Trump in the first weeks of his term. We have a government now, as I said earlier, that isn't asked not what your country can do for you, but what you can do for your country. We have a country now where a president says, ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for Donald Trump. Senator Booker invoked the late Congressman John Lewis, who organized during the Civil Rights movement. Val Kilmer has died. The versatile actor played Flying Ace iceman opposite Tom Cruise and Top Gun. You are still dangerous. You can be my wingman anytime. Kilmer also played Batman and Batman Forever and singer Jim Morrison in the biopic The Doors. Kilmer's daughter says he died in Los Angeles from pneumonia. He had been diagnosed with throat cancer in twenty fourteen. Val Kilmer was sixty five. US Attorney General Pam Bondi says she has directed federal prosecutors to seek the death penalty against Luigi Mangioni, the man accused of gunning down United Healthcare CEO Brian Thompson outside of Manhattan Hotel on December fourth. Angioni, who was twenty six, faces separate federal and state murder charges for the killing. The federal charges include a charge of murder through the use of a firearm, which carries the possibility of the death penalty. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr. This is Bloomberg Carron. All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update brought to you. For that, we bring in John Stash Howard, John, good morning. Good morning Caring. The Yankees, looking for a four and ah start to the season, took a four to two lead to the eighth inn in Arizona. To that point had only one hit, but they scored. Aron had the bases loaded as Gino's Suarez faced Mark Lighter. Yankee Stadium proud on its feet. Lighters two to two, hit high and deep left field, felling ser to the track to the wall. He leaves. It's gone. It's a Grand Slam for sours and. The Diamondbacks take US seven. Four League on TNT they won seven to five in defeat. Three more Yankee home runs, all from youngsters Jason Dominguez, Anthony Volfi, and Ben Rice With the Yanks, he had only two other hits. They've hit eighteen homers in their first four games. That's a major league record in Miami. A game with all the story in the first four innings. Marlins beat the Mets four to two. Nationals lost in Toronto five to three at the guard of the next played without Karling Anthony Towns and again their top three point guards still completed a season sweep of Philadelphia one oh five ninety one. Ogonanovi scored twenty seven. It'll be tougher for the Knicks tonight in Cleveland and Boston. Alex Loveetchkin with career goal number eight ninety one on Ken. He scored four more times in the Capitol's last eight games and break Wayne Gretzky's career scoring record this season. The Caps won four to three, sixth Greight loss, with the Islanders beaten by Tampa Bay FOURDA won the Rangers playoff hopes dealt of law with wins by both Montreal and Columbus. From College Hoops Buzz Williams leaving Texas A and M to be the new coach at Meryland, replacement Kevin Willard, who left for Villanova John Stashed. We're Bloomberg Sports. Karen and Nathan. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Serious Exam and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. It is the morning after the first major elections since President Donald Trump's return to the White House. Voters in Wisconsin and Florida delivered a split decision for the national parties. Republicans held onto a pair of House seats in the Sunshine State, while Democrats scored a win backing Susan Crawford in a Wisconsin Supreme Court race that pitted her against Brad Shimmel and about twenty million dollars in spending by Elon Musk Wisconsin. I spended off an unprecedented attack on our democracy. That was Susan Crawford in her victory speech last night in Wisconsin. Joining us this morning from Washington, Terry Haines, the founder of Pangaeopolicy, Terry course that was the message that Susan Crawford wanted to send. What was the message that you received from the Wisconsin vote last night? Morning? Hi, good morning, Nathan. It's a split decision, as you say, and you know, the expected results happened. So Uh, these things are usually touted by the established parties and their workers, Uh, you know, to to provide a sense of direction overall. Uh. If I were Democrats, I wouldn't be taking much of anything from this. Uh. Uh miss Crawford wanted in Wisconsin. Uh, the Minnesota sor excuse me, the Wisconsin Supreme Court stays as it is. The ballance in Florida stays as it is. And with one hundred excuse me, with half the votes in one district, for example, the Republicans still won by almost sixty percent, So you know, net it's a draw. But more importantly, this says nothing about the direction of travel in Washington. Well, what does it save, Terry about the brand of Elon Musk style politics? Point tens of millions of dollars and you know, giving away money to voters in some of these races, does that still have legs on a national level? Well, you know, it's both parties do this. Musk is a relatively new and high profile adherent to this, but there are lots and lots of similar Democrat organizations that do much of the same thing. They do it with a little less splash than Musk does. But you know, I think the parties will continue to welcome those kinds of donors. Dark money is still out there, baxed owners are still out there. These kinds of things have frankly the maximum effect in special elections such as this, which is precisely why you can't really read much of anything about the public reaction from special elections of this kind. And the special elections in Florida, Republicans did hold onto those House seats, but by narrower margins than in November. Should that be a concern for Republicans? You know, I wouldn't be. I would always be concerned about new members going from a special into their first major race. The midterms in twenty twenty six are going to be a very different environment than a special election, and so those candidates need to be brought in and they need to be frankly stood up and made into better candidates. Just thirty seconds, Terry, but we're hearing President Trump's tariff decisions coming down to the wire before the four pm Wall Street Time announcement. Are we going to ge clarity this afternoon? Yeah? I think you will. I think what you get from it is dove tailing with your reporting. The overall goal here is to lower things. This is the start of a negotiating process. Treasury Secretary Besson is confirmed that these things are going to be a cap and going forward, this is going to be a negotiating process that says best and says path dependent. It's depending on what other other folks do. So what's going to happen here, I think is markets react well to clarity and they're going to get some and they're also going to see that the United States and other countries both are committed to lowering tariffs rather than continuing to raise it. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, bloom ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray