Iran Attacks US Bases; Oil Jumps as Fighting Erupts
Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.
On today's podcast:
1) Iran fired on American forces overnight and the US and Saudi Arabia struck Tehran-backed militias in Iraq, abruptly ending a days-long lull in hostilities.
The US and Iran had paused attacks at the end of last week to give diplomacy another chance, leading to a significant drop in energy prices.
2) Oil surged as a fresh round of fighting erupted across the Middle East, threatening further disruptions to energy flows and severely undermining diplomatic efforts to end the months-old conflict.
Brent climbed almost 4% to above $87 a barrel, paring some of the 16% loss over the past three sessions that was its biggest such decline since 2020. Since the start of July, the benchmark has traded in range of almost $32.
3) US stocks edged higher as traders held off on major bets ahead of a US interest-rate decision where markets see room for a hike and earnings from two of the world’s biggest spenders on artificial intelligence.
S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%. Nasdaq 100 contracts were flat after a selloff in chipmakers left the underlying index on the brink of a technical correction. Treasuries stalled after three days of gains, with traders assigning about a 30% chance of a Federal Reserve rate increase. The dollar barely budged.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with escalation in the war between the US and Iran. The US military says it intercepted a surprise Iranian ballistic missile attack on its bases in the Middle East. The US and Saudi Arabia struck back, hitting tearunback militias in Iraq. That's after the US says Iran directed thirty drone attacks against its forces over the past few days. Bloomberg White House correspondent Jeff Mason says, all this has brought a relative calm in the region to an end. President Trump setting a much more positive tone, or at least a sort of cautious weight and see tone over the last few days, and that would seem to have now changed and if passed his prologue. President Trump does not react well to attacks from Iran, particularly when he believes that there was some kind of an agreement or on a pause or on a ceasefire, which there wasn't necessarily over the last few days, but it did seem like both sides were at least tacitly agreeing to hold back. In Bloomberg's Jeff Mason ads, talks between Iran and almand to get traffic or more of it through the Strait of Hormus seem to have faltered, and. Oil Nathan is surging on the latest developments in Iran rent It is up more than three and a half percent at eighty seven dollars six cents a bear. All this after as big as three day decline since April of twenty twenty. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary GUARDCOREP claims to have hit and halted its three tankers, without saying where those strikes took. Place and Karen. The escalation follows a meeting between President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Natanyahu at the White House. Naton Yahoo called it, quote one of the best meetings that we've had. Still, the Israeli leader told Fox News he remained skeptical of any potential deal with Iran. Skeptical about the deal, and I said openly, but the only way it would be achieved, As if you're on understood these various factions. I think they're not not ideological factions as much as they differ on the assessment of how tough. We are, and along with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Natanyahu, President Trump also met with Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski. The White House called both discussions positive and productive. Nathan. We also heard from a former Vice President Mike Pence. He spoke with Bloomberg's Balance of Power about the prospect for diplomacy with Iran. Whoever it is that's in charge of Iran on any given day to finally come to the table and be willing to accept our conditions which is abandoned and dismantle layer nuclear weapons program, ballistic missiles, and support for terrorism, and restore freedom and navigation industry. Former Vice President Mike Pence also praise the life and foreign policy legacy of former Senator Lindsay Graham in discussion with our Joe Matthew and Kaylee Lines on Bloomberg's Balance. Get the full conversation on our video hub at Bloombergy dot com and the Bloomberg Business app. On Capitol Hillcare and legislation that would allow President Trump to impose more restrictions on major buyers of Russian energy and Iran has received overwhelming bipartisan support in the Senate. The bill would extend penalties on Iran and empower the president to target the top five buyers of Russian crewd and natural gas with tariffs. Connecticut Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal spoke in support of the bill. This bill says to Baibner, putin your days of war are number. You are on the losing side. Better to come to the table now. While Connecticut Democrat Richard Blumenthal was supportive, some other Democratic lawmakers are warning that the legislation could be used by the President as a legal justification for broad new tariffs. Well Also happening in the Senate, Nathan Jake Clayton was confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by a vote of fifty one to forty seven, replacing interim Director Bill Poulti. The former top federal prosecuta in Manhattan, will lead DNI, which has seen staff reductions under Polti. At his confirmation here in Clayton repeatedly declined to say if Joe Biden won the twenty twenty election, reising concerns over whether he would contradict the president in his new position. And today on Capitol Hill, Karen doctor Anthony Fauci returns. He's set to appear before the Senate Homeland Security Committee after Senator Ran Paul released Fauci's pandemic diary. We get more from Bloomberg Zamy Morris In Washington. Homeland Security Chairman Rand Paul has publicly clashed with Fauci over whether Fauci's agency could have funded research that could produce a pandemic pathogen. This past weekend, The New York Times reports Senator Paul released Fauci's diary entries in which Fauci mused about the virus' origins. Paul claims Fauci lied to Congress about whether the virus leaked from a laboratory. Fauci has said he is open to the idea of a lab leak, but he believes the virus was natural in origin. In Washington, Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio, Thank You. We turned to the economy now, and traders are watching whether the Fed or Reserve will change interest rates in response to recent inflation data and geopolitical activity. On Bloomberg's Michael McKee has a preview. For the first time this year, a FED meeting is live, which means there is a chance they might change the nation's benchmark lending rate. Investors see about a forty percent chance of a rate increase. The argument is inflation has been above the fed's two percent target for five years, and the resumption of fighting in Iran is pushing up energy prices again. Proponents say a hike would build credibility for new chairman Kevin Walsh and at the same time lower long term rates. Economists, however, are almost unanimous in saying it won't happen. They point to the benign CPI and PPI readings for June and the move lower and oil prices in the past few days. No matter which way they vote, Worsh's news conference today will be very closely watched. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio. All right, Michael, thank you, and stay with Bloomberg for a full coverage of the decision and share worshs and news conference on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. The Fed decides, I said, one thirty pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and the Bloomberg Business app. And along with all that, Karen, we get earnings later today from some of the world's biggest spenders. On artificial intelligence. But now we get a preview from Bloomberg's John Tucker. Good morning, John, Good morning Nathan. Well, after the close of regular trading, we're going to hear from Meta Platforms and Microsoft. They open their books. Just as the selloff and chip makers has left the Nasdaq one hundred on the brink of a correction, investors are going to be looking to see how much they're spending on AI and whether there's any return on that investment. At the Starn School of Business, Ashwath Dema Doorn doesn't sound too hopeful. Maybe maybe these companies have collectively over invested. Doesn't mean all of them are going to walk away as losers, but collectively I think that they've overinvested in tens of billions of dollars. In April, Microsoft projected one hundred and ninety billion dollars worth of capex and finance leases for the year of Microsoft's free cash flow may actually go negative later this year. Meta, which doesn't have an established cloud business, they're expected to record capex this year of close to one hundred and thirty nine billion dollars. Apple on Amazon they report tomorrow, You New York, I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, thank you and for those earnings. This afternoon, Bloomberg Radio is introducing a new feature exclusively for Bloomberg dot Com subscribers and terminal clients. Participate in our wall to wall coverage of earnings today at four pm Eastern buy submitting questions for our analysts and experts to answer live on air. Subscribers can go to Bloomberg dot com slash Ask Radio to send in questions, then listen on Bloomberg Radio and watch on Bloomberg Originals and YouTube at four pm Eastern. We're already seeing action in the tech space this morning. Karen shares in South Korean chip giant sk Heinez have plunged, despite the company reporting profits rose more than five hundred and fifty percent compared to last year. Record margins and plans for thirty one billion dollars of capital spending weren't enough to meet sky high expectations for one of the AI industry's lynch pins. Sk led another day of sell offs in chip stocks in Asia. The Costpy index in South Korea has now seen one of its most volatile quarters ever for a major market. Another AI news Nathan A. Rogue OpenAI agent has breached a second testing environment, raising fresh questions about the safety of advanced AI systems. The AI broke into a customer's isolated testing environment hosted by cloud Computing for a modal, which says its own platform was not compromised. Last week, Open Ai revealed the same experimental AI agent it also hacked developer platform hugging face after escaping a test area. And finally, in Europe, care and firefighters in Spain and France eracing to contain wildfires threatening Madrid and Bordeaux before a fourth heat wave over these last few weeks. Officials say the spread of these major fire. Has slowed, but crews are racing to cool burned areas before conditions deteriorate again. These wildfires are destroying crops and disrupting transport. It's time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. The Northeast is still dealing with heavy rain and flooding. Bloomberg Meeting religist Craig Allen has the latest. Good Morning, traveling and commuting will be hectic and challenging again today, especially from New York City and suburbs up into New England. Boston and suburbs will see downpours, But on the other hand, some good news down towards Washington as thunderstorm chances diminish. So for today, I'm focusing in on the area between Trenton, New York City to Hartford for the greatest threat of flash flooding and possible stream and river overflows as well. Bloomberg Media religist Craig Allen. Rescuers in Japan continued the hunt for survivors in the ruins of a shopping mall on the southwestern island of Cayushu after a major earthquake in which thirteen people had been confirmed dead so far. An explosion rocked a mall shortly after the magnitude seven point one quake hit. Today. Senator Lindsey Graham will be buried. Senator Graham's body was transferred back to Columbia, South Carolina yesterday. Graham was eulogized during a memorial service in Washington. President Donald Trump, during his remark, said Graham would be remembered as a Titan of the Senate. He was a man who gave America the full measure of his good and mighty heart until that heart itself just gave out. Graham died suddenly July eleventh, at the age of seventy one of a likely aortic tear. New York State is taking aim at tech companies who use algorithms targeting children on social media platforms. It's part of the Stop Addictive Feeds Exploitation for Kids Act. Governor Kathy Oakle says the kids did not ask for the algorithms. That are just constantly thrawing their attention away from being a student or someone who can communicate in person with others. The human connectivity has been lost in schools. Governor Helckel, along with State Attorney General Letitia James, say companies that don't comply face possible lawsuits from the state and fines. Companies have until January to comply. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now, Michae Lbarr and this is Bloomberg. Karen, thanks Michael a time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that you bring in John Stash. Hour more details on the car accident that involved forty nine Ers coach Kyle Shanahan. Original reporting was that it was the fault of the other woman that was involved in the accident. Shanahan spoke to reporters yesterday and said it was his fault that took his eye off the road when his phone fell between his seats that he crossed into oncoming traffic. Draymond Green has played fourteen seasons, all with the Golden State Wars. He had opted out so that the Warriors could try and sign Lebron James. That didn't happen. He signed a new deal with Golden State. That's Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after. This Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius Exam, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg day Break. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. After several days of relative calm in the Middle East, the US now says it has intercepted a surprise Iranian attack on its forces in the region. In the US and Saudi Arabia have responded with strikes on Iran backed militias in Iraq for the very latest joining US from Dubai is Bloomberg News Middle East Managing editor owner aunt SO owner. We'd seen both sides try to give diplomacy a more space over the last few days. But after these latest attacks, are we back to square one? Good morning, good morning possibly And on the other hand, it is still possible that diplomacy is taking place in some shape or form. But yes, the organize strikes carried out by Saudi Arabia targeting Iran backed militants in Iraq really is a scary development. This is very rare since Iraq and Saudi Arabia were involved in a war about three and a half decades ago at the time of Saddam Sying. And it also is a sign that this conflict, unless it comes to an end, has a risk of spreading to a wider area. Iraq was not an exempt there were clashes there before, but this is the first time that the US and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia jointly carried out attacks inside Iraq, and it comes right after Iran backed militants carried out drowne strikes targeting Saudi Arabia's oil field, Nathan. Does this gooing to, as you say, a potential new phase here. I mean, we've seen Iran go after US interests in Kuwait and bakh Rain cut our in the UAE as well, but with Saudi Arabia involved, now does that take things to a potential new level. It does. So. The Arabia's involvement deepened about two and a half weeks ago when it first attacked the airport in Sanna to prevent what it said was an arms shipment from Iran to Hoothy's there, and that spurred tit for tat attacks between the Kingdom and Huthy's and eventually we saw the Hoothy's declaring a ban or blockade on Saudi Arabian vessels trying to exit the Red Seat. Now, what happened overnight is that the Iranian backed militants in Iraq, which have been somewhat absent from the conflicts so far or for much of it, are now in the game as well. They were accused of targeting Saudi oil facilities, pipelines and fields over the last couple of days. And this is this is now possibly a new pont in the making. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray