Stocks Rise as US Nears China Trade Deal; Trump Says He Won't Resume Canada Talks
On today's podcast:
1) Top trade negotiators for the US and China said they came to terms on a range of contentious points, setting the table for leaders Donald Trump and Xi Jinping to finalize a deal and ease trade tensions that have rattled global markets. After two days of talks in Malaysia wrapped up Sunday, a Chinese official said the two sides reached a preliminary consensus on topics including export controls, fentanyl and shipping levies. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking later in an interview with CBS News, said Trump’s threat of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods “is effectively off the table” and he expected the Asian nation to make “substantial” soybean purchases as well as offer a deferral on sweeping rare earth controls.
2) President Trump said he didn’t anticipate meeting with Canada “for a while” as he continued to stew over a TV advertisement by the province of Ontario that criticized his tariff regime. Trump in recent days has said he was increasing the tariff on goods from Canada by 10% over the ad, which features excerpts of former US President Ronald Reagan criticizing tariffs. Ontario Premier Doug Ford had said he would stop airing the ad after the weekend, but Trump has expressed frustration that the Canadian leader didn’t move to immediately pull the commercial, which has aired during US broadcasts of the World Series.
3) As the US government shutdown stumbles toward the one-month mark, the effects of the standoff between Republicans and Democrats are being felt further away from the Capitol, as flights back up and food aid dwindles. US Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy warned that travelers will face more flight delays and cancellations in the coming weeks as the continuing shutdown exacerbates the air-traffic controller staffing crunch.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, Futures are surging on signs the US and China are closing in on a trade deal. Both sides spent the weekend in Malaysia coming to terms on a range of contentious issues, including export controls, fentanel, and shipping fees. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says President Trump's threat of a one hundred percent terify on Chinese goods is effectively off the table, and he expects China will make substantial purchases of American soybeans. Those soybeans were always going to be on the market. It's a global market. The three leading suppliers are Brazil, Argentina and the US. And I believe that we have brought the market back into equilibrium, and I believe that the Chinese will be making sustained purchases again. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson spoke on CBS's Face the Nation Heard Sundays on Bloomberg Radio after he met with his Chinese counterpart. President Trump says he may drop an investigation into whether China violated his first term trade deal when he meets with Chinese President shi Jinping on Thursday. On Nathan, the President's next stop in his trip to Asia is Japan. He arrived there earlier this morning. He told reporters he was excited for his meeting with new Japanese Prime Minister san Aetakaishi and the prospect of completing a joint deal to promote shipbuilding capacity. The meeting is a high stakes test for Takaichi, who was selected by lawmakers to become Japan's first woman prime minister. Earlier this month, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says his government is prepared to resume trade talks with the US at any time. That's after President Trump announced an additional ten percent in tariffs on goods imported from Canada after the Province of Ontario aired an anti tariff advertisement featuring Ronald Reagan. Carney says the world will start shifting away from trade with the US, so natural which. Trade is going to shift away. By definition? The other reason is fit from the US for a period of time. On that it's also shifting because it's more expensive to trade with the United States. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Karney made those comments about trade with the US at a business and investment forum in Malaysia. Nathan. President Trump is ruling out the idea of running as a vice presidential candidate in the twenty twenty eight election. He made the comments this morning on Air Force one, as some of his supporters urge him to find ways to circumvent the Constitution's prohibition on a president being elected to three terms. The President has declined to rule out seeking another term despite the constitutional term limit. Well, there's no end of the government shutdown, Karen. It is now up today twenty seven and the impact is starting to spread beyond the Beltway. More flights are seeing departure and arrival delays as air traffic controllers call in sick rather than work through the shutdown without pay. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy says that's only going to get worse. As we get to Monday, Tomorrow, Tuesday and Wednesday, that you're going to see more staffing shortages and towers, which. Means you're all going to see. More delays, more cancelations. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy made those comments on Fox News' Sunday Morning Futures. The Agriculture Department says as of this Saturday, it will no longer have the funds to send out supplemental nutrition assistance also known as food stamps. House Minardi leader Hakim Jeffrey says Republicans need to negotiate on democrats demands for extended health insurance subsidies. They have had the opportunity both House Republicans and Senate Republicans repeatedly throughout the year so extend the Affordable CARECT tax creators, and they've consistently voted against it. House Minardi leader Hakim Jeffries was a guest on CBS's Face the Nation Heard Sundays on Bloomberg Radio Nathan. Early voting began over the weekend, and the race to run the nation's largest city on Bloomberg's John Tucker joins us with more John, Good Morning, Good Morning Karen. Thousands of voters showed up both Saturday and Sunday to pick the next mayor of the Big Apple, and the turnout for early voting was reported heavy. From Mamdani, I think that he has a lot of really good ideas for the future of New York. Because I wanted to go for the experience. I don't want to burning one to job. The front runner, Democratic Socialist Zora Mumdani, has been working to build a governing coalition by meeting with all comers, including the business community that's been bashing his plans, and with only eight days until lunch day, supporters of Andrew Cuomo are pouring money into a ground game. They include political action committees fueled by Bill Ackman and Ronald Lauder. The tone of the race it has turned ugly in the final days, with a sharp and focus on religion and race. Cuomo has questioned mam Donnie's ability to manage quote another nine to eleven, with mam Donni complaining of Cuomo's racist attacks. Republican Curtis Sleeve on trails in third place. The current mayor Eric Adams dropped out of the race. In New York Time John Tucker Bloomberg. Radio John Thank You, True. Secretary Scott Besson says they are now five finalists to succeed j. Powell as the next chair of the Federal Reserve. Speaking to reporters of Board Air Force One, Besson said the candidate pool is now Christopher Waller Kevin Walsh, Kevin Hassett, Michelle Bowman, and Rick Reader. President Trump says he expects to make a decision on the nominee before the end of the year. Meanwhile, it's a big week for policy decisions around the world, Nathan. The Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada are widely anticipated to cut rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, while the Bank of Japan is predicted to hold off on a rate hike the following day. The European Central Bank is also expected to keep raids steady after its meeting in Florence on Thursday. We got some deal news on this Monday morning. Karen Nevardes has agreed to buy US based Avidity Biosciences for twelve billion dollars. Avidity is developing experimental drugs to treat rare diseases, and the shares this morning are up more than forty two percent. And Toyota maintained record global sales during the first half of the fiscal year, as growth in the US helped counter aid lukewarm showing in Japan and China. Global sales rose almost three percent in September from a year earlier. The world's biggest car. Maker has managed to achieve overall growth despite volatility in China and trade tensions brought about by President Trump's tariffs on cars and parts imported to the US. I'm now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good morning, Good morning, Karen. Hurricane Melissa is roaring toward Jamaica and has grown to a destructive Category five storm. It is expected to strengthen further before making landfall on the Caribbean nation with up to thirty inches of rain and a life threatening storm surge. Melissa's center was forecast to move over Jamaica on Tuesday, across southeast Cuba on Tuesday night, and across the southeast Bahamas on Wednesday. This man is a resident of Saint James Parish, so we. Used plywoods to barkt areas and sunbark to for that during the starman don't have any issues off any debris going inside for anybody pasts by to probar one to the go inside. With more on the storm, here's Bloomberg meterologist Craig allen. Haiti and the Dominican Republican parts of Jamaica being pummeled by major Hurricane Melissa. The very slow westward movement is going to turn more to the north and northeast and head right forward Jamaica. This is going to be an absolutely catastrophic storm for Jamaica, with Cat five wins over one hundred and fifty miles per hour gusting to one hundred seventy. Bloomberg meteaurologist Craig Allen. The storm has caused four deaths in Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Argentina's libertarian President Javier Malay, has one decisive victories and key districts across the country in midterm elections. He clinched a crucial vote of confidence that strengthens his ability to carry out his free market agenda with billions of dollars in backing from the Trump administration. A US military helicopter and a fighter jet crashed in the South China Sea, with the incidents occurring about thirty minutes apart. The US Navy said all five people involved in the accidents were safe and investigations were underway. Authorities have arrested two suspects in connection with the theft of crown jewels from Paris's Louver Museum. One suspect was caught at Charles de Gaulle Airport while attempting to leave the country. The theft, which took less than eight minutes, involved jewels valued it more than one hundred and two million dollars. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg. Hearen, Thanks Michael a time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for them we bring in John stash Hour. That's hearing. The NFL Sunday ended with Aaron Rodgers facing the TeV he played for for eighteen years, but Stitzburg lost to Green Bay thirty five to twenty five. As Rogers replacement with the Packers, Jordan Love through three touchdown passes, Rogers through for two. They'll play Game three the World Series tonight in La. The Blue Jays and Dodgers are tied to one. Toronto starting forty one year old Max Scherzer. Forty two year old Craig Albany's named the new manager the Baltimore Orioles. He had been the bench coach in Cleveland. That's your Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning on Nathan Haygar. On a morning where the markets are getting a lift on signs the US and China maybe getting close to a trade deal. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says he and his negotiating team made a lot of progress and talks with their Chinese counterparts in Malaysia over the weekend. We had a very good two days. We discussed a. Wide variety of issues, from the rare earth from the rar earth magnets to trade to substantial purchases of American agricultural product. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson discussed those negotiations on CBS's Face the Nation heard Sundays on Bloomberg Radio and this morning we're joined by Bloomberg News Global Trades are Brendan Murray and Brendan. It's not just the Treasury Secretary saying this, but Chinese officials as well, are saying that they've made a number of agreements on tariffs, shipping fees, even fentanyl. What's your read on what came out of the discussions in Malaysia? Good morning, Yeah, exactly. The rhetoric has really turned one hundred and eighty degrees over the past week. If you recall, they were escalating talks of putting export controls and higher tariffs. One hundred percent US tariffs on Chinese imports was the threat from President Trump. But it seems like they've set all of those aside and said, look, a trade war isn't going to be good for either of the world's two largest economies, and it's probably better if we just get to some agreement on these. We'll have to wait and see what the leaders the details that they sign on Thursday, but it looks like China is going to purchase some US soybeans. They had stopped doing that for several months. Perhaps the US is going to rethink the tariffs on the twenty percent tariffs on Chinese goods related to the fentanyl export that the US accuses China of being part of, and some of these other issues, the shipping fees, these are just kind of concessions that the US could give up. China also, it'd be interesting to see what it does with its rare earth export controls that a lot of countries said would just really seize up the world economy if they were allowed to to go ahead with those. So deadlines ahead. November first is when President Trump threatened to put one hundred percent tariff on China. That's coming up. November tenth is when their current truce expires, so there's not a lot of time to put this all together, but it sounds like the negotiators are making a lot of progress toward. That end and going into those negotiations. Of course. Brennan then there was some concern among observers that the US could be rushing into a trade deal. Does this like a rush at this point? I wouldn't necessarily call it a trade deal per se. This doesn't really have the hallmarks of any kind of trade deal. It's just kind of getting resetting back where they were. You know, getting China to buy soybeans is not exactly a win. It's just, you know, try getting them to resume buying soybeans after they started. So it looks like the tensions are being ratcheted down. The two leaders. Once they get together face to face, what they what they would assume that they could they could get to some arrangement where they're not escalating and they're not hurting each other's economies and they could kind of muddle along. That doesn't take any uncertainty out of the equations. As we've seen with Canada, President Trump can raise tariffs, you know when if he's in the mood to do so, and so that doesn't change the outlook for any certainty that we would get from some sort of agreement that's announced on Thursday. But it's certainly the markets certainly see this as a sign that the two largest econ are not going to get into a protracted, heated trade war in the near future. I think we have about a minute left here. In the lead up to this encounter on Thursday, there's been deals discussed as well with Malaysia some other Southeast Asian nations as well. How could that tee up what we see on Thursday. Yeah, so we've got two deals, one with Cambodia, one with Malaysia, that's what the US White House has announced, and then two frameworks which are basically outlines of deals, one with Thailand and another with Vietnam. So these countries are trying to prevent the higher tariff threat that President Trump has pointed to their direction from going into effect. And so the main thing for them is to get as low a US tarif as they possibly can, and it looks like Cambodia and Malaysia have done that. Thailand and Vietnam, with these framework deals, are going to keep engaging with US negotiators over the coming weeks and months to try to get their own deals. Of course, Southeast Asian nations are they're all kind of in competition with each other to export to the US, so it's important for them to get to some agreement with the US, whether or not in the firing line of any sort of excessive traff. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two to nine in Boston and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Mosk and I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg. Dabray m