US-China Trade Tensions Flare; US Shutdown Enters Day 14
On today's podcast:
1) China has signaled it’s keeping communication channels open with the US after a series of tit-for-tat moves that intensified a confrontation between the world’s two biggest economies. The Ministry of Commerce on Tuesday reiterated “the door is open” to talks even as it defended China’s decision to implement export curbs on rare earths amid escalating trade tensions in recent weeks. The remarks came just hours after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Beijing had failed to respond to US inquiries over the weekend following China’s announcement of export controls on products containing traces of certain rare earths. It marked China’s first major attempt to exercise long-arm jurisdiction over foreign companies that target the chip industry.
2) President Trump used a one-day tour of Israel and Egypt to soak in the praise from fellow leaders and lay out a vision for broader Middle East peace after the success of US-led mediation efforts to end the fighting in Gaza. Yet the nascent ceasefire remains fragile, with many key details left to be worked out. Trump said food and aid has begun to flow into Gaza, which has been devastated by the conflict. “Numerous countries of great wealth” have pledged reconstruction funds, Trump added, though he did not name them.
3) House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is calling Democrats in his chamber back to Washington Tuesday - the 14th day of the government shutdown - despite GOP leadership nixing votes, according to a Democratic lawmaker and two leadership aides. House Republican leaders announced Friday that the chamber will stay out, after originally having been scheduled to be in session. This is the third week in a row Johnson has canceled votes, keeping House lawmakers in their districts amid the government shutdown.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with geopolitics. Tensions are heating up again as China threatens further retaliatory measures against US curbs on its shipping sector. Beijing announced the move after the US Trade Representative began an investigation into China's maritime industry. We get the very latest from Bloomberg's Jill Desis in Hong Kong. This is an escalation in what really has been a long standing dispute between both the US and China over mariton dominance. We've really seen several months ago the US announced US port fees for Chinese ships that were coming into those ports, amounting to the tune of millions of dollars of potential fees is set to go into effect this week. We've also seen these two countries really kind of trade tit for tat sort of retaliatory measures against each other over the last several days, even involving some trade, particularly when it comes on the China side, to some new export curbs they were placing on materials related to rare earth issues. And then now obviously you're seeing a lot of this kind of snowball into what's happening on the shipping front. Bloomberg's Jill Lisis in Hong Kong says the dispute has consequences for the global economy. Vessels are involved in eighty percent of world trade. Well, adding to the tensions between the US and China. Nathan words from Scott bessen The Financial Times is reporting the Treasury Secretary has accused China of trying to hurt the world's economy. This comes after Beijing and post sweeping export controls on rare earths and critical minerals papers as Bessend is expecting to meet Chinese Vice Premier Hollifong one more time before Trump and she meet in South Korea later this month. Well, now, let's get to the latest from the Middle East and President Trump is back in Washington after a whirlwind trip to the region, where he celebrated the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas and laid out a vision for a broader Middle East piece. I'm not talking about single state or double state or two state. We're talking about the rebuilding of Gaza. President Trump spoke to world leaders at a signing ceremony in Shermail Shake, Egypt, but challenges remain for maintaining the piece. Stuart Livingston Wallace leads Bloomberg's Middle East coverage. You have that international pressure, but also you potentially have boots on the ground, and while the US is deploying I think something like two hundred personnel within Israelti monits and the ceasefire, they have no intention of actually going into Gaza itself. So that probably has to be in international force number two. Money. It is going to cost an enormous amount of money to rebuild Garza, I mean, let alone clearing the rubble, then you have to start again. That money has to come from somewhere, and I think the hope is that a lot of that will come, in particular from the Gulf region. Bloomberg Stewart living Ston Wallace reports other points of President Trump's twenty point piece plan remain unclear, like disarming Hamas, but the President predicts they will happen well elsewhere. In Washington, Nathan, it is now day fourteen of the government shut down. House Minority Leader Haking Jeffries is calling Democrats back to Capitol Hill today in a show of solidarity even though they won't have anything to work on. Speaker Mike Johnson has canceled votes for a third week in a row and is keeping his members in their districts. Our members are doing very productive work. We're in constant communication with them, and we are ready to come back and continue the work in our committees and everything on the House floor. We will return the legislative session as soon as the Democrats come to their senses and open the government. And that was how Speaker Mike Johnson on Capitol Hill. And as the shutdown continues, members of the military are set to miss their first paychecks tomorrow. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson told Fox's Business his agency is prioritizing payments to ensure service members get paid. Past Treasury secretaries have questioned whether it's possible to set aside some payments over others. Outside of fight over raising the Dutch Seal. Let's get to news outside Earth. Karen SpaceX's Starship rocket has managed to launch satellites and make it back to this planet intact. The milestone is critical to CEO Elon Musk's aim of preparing the rocket for regular space missions. Here is the moment of launch from Starbase in South Texas. Three two one. We have liftoff, Go super Go Starship, thanks for all the historic flights. Pad On. Ten minutes after that, Starship super Heavy boosters split from the spacecraft as planned, before splashing down in the Gulf of Mexico. The success marks a step forward in Musk's ambitions to carry NASA astronauts to the Moon in under two years and eventually to establish civilization on Mars. Well, we turned to the markets now, Nathan, where bank earnings are front and center. JP Morgan, Goldman, Sag City Group, and Wells Fargo all report this morning, and we get the very latest of Bloomberg's John Tucker John good morning. Yeah, good morning, caring Yeah. Wall Street's biggest bank sent for another strong quarter, lifted by resilient trading desks and also a rebound and deal activity that's helped us send their stocks to fresh eyes. Seema Shad, Principal Global, expects to the financials to help lift all boats. We can see continued performance from financials, so along with those tech stocks which continue to drive the market, we would think that financials can join in with Roddy and help push the aktimak a little bit further. And then you have those two recent corporate blow ups tring Color Holdings and First Brands. They're igniting concerns about potential cracks, and credit bank executives likely to get a question about that during the earnings calls this morning. Questions on the outlook for more bank mergers will also probably come up after last week's announced eleven billion dollar acquisition of Comerica by fifth third the biggest US bank stocks, by the way, have outpaced the S and P five hundreds gains over the past twelve months. In New York Home John Tucker Bloomberg Radio. Meantime, Nathan Philadelphia FED President Anna Paulson is signaling she favors two more quarter point rate cuts this year. Paulson says monetary policy should look through the impact of tariffs and consumer price increases. I anticipate that twenty twenty six we'll see growth near potential and inflation rising and then succeed subsiding as tariffs, together with current and past monetary policy restrictiveness, work their way through. And Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulison made those comments at the National Association for Business Economics Annuel Conference in Philadelphia. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, Good Morning, Good morning, Karen. New York Attorney General Letitia James attended a rally for New York City mayoral candidate Zoron Mamdani to offer her support for the Democratic front runner, first public appearance since she was indicted on federal charges of bank fraud and making a false statement. Following President Trump's call for her prosecution, James defied the President Monday night, referring to her successful prosecution of the Trump business. I will now, I will wake, I will then I will. Pick audio courtesy of ABC seven. James took the stage to thunderous and sustained applause and chance of we Love Tish during the boisterous rally. The northeaster that pummeled the East Coast is finally moving out to sea. Wind gust reached forty to sixty miles per hour across the Northeast. A woman in New York was killed after heavy winds blew a solar panel off a carport and hit her in the head. Streets were swumped from Ocean City, Maryland to the New Jersey shore. Many coastal areas experienced flooding and beach erosion. This homeowner is in Bowers, Delaware. With the heavy wind and the heavy surf and the high tide, we just had an extraordinary loss of sand here on the beach front. Off Cape Cod, Massachusetts. Cruise pulled a man to safety after he was spotted in the water near a ferry in Arizona. A microburst ripped off roofs, knocked down semi trucks, and flooded neighborhoods in Tempe Monday afternoon when gusts up to seventy one miles per hour hit the city. Madagascar President Andre Rogelina says he has fled the country to an undisclosed location in fear for his life. Following a military rebellion. Rogelina has faced weeks of anti government protests, which reached a pivotal point on Saturday when an elite military unit joined the protest and called for the president to step down. Global News twenty four hours a day and whatever you wanted with the Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr. This is Bloomberg. Hearn he thanks Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John Stashauer. Thanks Gavin. The Seattle Mariners, with two more wins, are going to the World Series for the first time ever. They won ten to three in Toronto. They hit two three run homers in a two run shot and now they go home with the two games to non lead on the ALCS. Game one of the NLCS are the Dodgers, behind the pitching of blakesnew a two to one win in Milwaukee, a pair of Mond of Night football games. The Falcons beat the Bills twenty four to fourteen, and the Bears on a last second field goal won in Washington twenty five twenty four. That's your Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business out. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Another morning of trade tensions between the US and China. The latest move sanctions on the US units of a South Korean shipping giant Hanwah Ocean. That's after President Trump threatened one hundred percent tariffs China's rare earth export restrictions last week. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says there's still room to negotiate. I believe that China is open to a discussion on this, and if they're not, we have substantial levers. On our own. That was Treasury Secretary Scott Besson in an interview on Fox Business. We're joined now by Bloomberg Markets reporter Valerie Titel and Valerie. In just the last few days, it seems like the back and forth has really ramped up here. How significant is this move by China on sanctioning Hanwa Good morning, Well. It's definitely taken the risk rally of yesterday on a back foot, with those Nasdaq futures down nearly a percent, s and P five hundred down seven tents, so treasuries are rallying as well on the back of this. So it is a broad risk off on this announcement from China that they have launched a probe into US impacts on its shipping sector. They specifically call out the US trade Representatives Section three oh one investigation. Now they have sanctioned five companies, and this becomes a part of a long standing dispute over maritime dominance. Now. Back in April, Washington announced plans to curb China's shipbuilding prowess and it seeks to build up its own American capabilities, which has forced China to lose some market share in the space. Now Chinese shipping has faced severe penalties even for calling at US ports, so it does seem like there is some sort of tit for tat now happening over maritime dominance. We also heard from Scott Bessant, writing in the FT in the early hours of this morning, accusing China of trying to damage the global economy with its sweeping export controls on rare Earth. So it doesn't seem like things are calming down at the moment. There were some pretty strong language in this ft op ed from Scott Bessent, saying that China is trying to export their way out of a deflationary depression that will harm their standing in the world Nathan. The report also said that the US will be prioritizing this issue as world leaders convene in DC for the IMF meetings. They did report that Besson is still expecting to meet his Chinese counterpart, Holy Punng one more time before Trump and She are set to meet in South Korea at the. End of the TA And to that point, Valerie, we also heard from Secretary Besson that he still thinks China is willing to talk, that negotiations can happen. But given all this back and forth, is their sign that there is that willingness on the Chinese side? Well, look, I think what markets are really watching for, Nathan is whether this Trump She meeting still happens at the end of October. If that is called off, I think there would be growing speculation that the relationship between US and China will be damaged, and damaged in almost an irreversible way as the US tries to in some way delink its economy from China. Now, that's a hard thing to do given the reliance that the US has on Chinese exports, especially when it comes to these rare earths that are critical for the defense space. So all these topics are coming front and center again. I think it was really the move last week on rare earth that caught Trump's eye because If you think back to the beginning of this year, the first detente between the US and China was around agreeing about rare earth continuing their export from China into the US. And it seems like they've ripped up that script that was really a key part of their first agreement in order to back off the tariffs that Trump announced back in April. And in just thirty seconds. I guess this all puts into question whether there can be yet another pause in the China US trade pause. Yeah, that's right. The latest three month pause does lapse after the supposed Trump's meeting with she in November, so that is just another risk event now on market's minds for perhaps higher tariffs. Remember Trump did threaten one hundred percent additional tariffs on November first. That would take the all in tariff freight to one hundred and fifty five percent between the US and China. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am. Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Bray