Global Stocks Recoup Tariff Losses; President Trump Visits Saudi Arabia
On today's podcast:
1) The Wall Street stocks rally is set to pause due to concerns about inflation and economic growth, with US futures pointing to a decline. Investors are taking a breather after the 90-day tariff cool-off between the US and China, and will be looking for clues on the trajectory of Federal Reserve interest rates in the US inflation print.
2) President Donald Trump is in Saudi Arabia on his first major overseas trip since taking office. He was welcomed on the tarmac by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in a sign of their warm ties. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is also in Riyadh where he told an investment forum he’s upbeat on trade talks with nations in Asia and that progress with Europe will be slower.
3) US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the European Union has a "collective action problem" that's hampering trade negotiations with the US. Bessent downplayed the possibility of a quick agreement with the EU, citing differences among member states such as Italy and France.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm John Tucker. Here are these stories we're following today. Stocks around the world have recovered their losses from last month's Rose Garden tariff announcement from President Trump. That's after the US and China agreed to roll back triple digit tariffs against each other for ninety days. In White House remarks heard on Bloomberg Radio, the President called it a total reset of the US China relationship. The relationship is very good. We're not looking to hurt China. China was being hurt very badly, and they were closing up factories. They were having a lot of unrest. But President Trump did not mention that the deal meant nearly all of China's demands, including suspension of the so called reciprocal terariff rate of thirty four percent and a point person for further talks still. Caroline Freud, a non resident Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute, says both sides had good reas to de escalate. It was really unsustainable for both countries for different reasons. It was unsustainable for the US because there's a lot of things we need from China, and it was unsustainable for China because they need to manufacture things and sell them, and the US is a huge market, so both sides really had a lot of incentive to make a deal. It's Caroline Freud of the Peterson Institute, and China may have made at least one concession to the US. Sources tel Bloomberg News, China has lifted a month long ban on airlines taking deliveries of Boeing planes, and of. Course investors were cheering the US China trade agreement, the SMP five hundred surging three and a quarter percent, well that n asdak rallied four and a third percent, as some Wall Street titans also applauding the easing of tensions. We caught up with Citadel founder Ken Griffin. To see the US Secretary Treasury come to a Meetia the minds with the Chinese leadership. Was an important moment between our two nations. And I'd like to take this not as a as a moment in time or reflect upon the fragility of what's been accomplished, but rather to focus on the fact that we have opened the doors to a negotiation. And I do believe that the. Actions of both parties makes it clear that we want to find common ground. Citadel founder Ken Griffin making the comments in an interview with Bloomberg Shanali Bassik for an episode of the upcoming series Bullish for Bloomberg Originals of the Four Seasons in Miami. Well John President Trump is in Saudi Arabia. He has arrived for the start of a four day tour of the Middle East, greeted personally by Crown Prince Mohammed Ben Salmon and the tarmac. The President's Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant is also in the Kingdom, attending a Saudi US investment for him in Rio, and Besson talked about the chances of a trade agreement with the European Union. May have a collective action problem that the Italians want something than the French, but I'm sure at the end of the day we will reach a satisfactory conclusion. And Treasury Secretary Scott Besson added the US has had very productive discussions with Japan, anti priced conversations with Indonesia as well as a quote very good proposal from Taiwan. And the easing of global trade tensions has on Wall Street firm boosting its price target for US stocks. Let's get that story from Bloomberg's Gena Cervetti. Goldman Sachs Group says the buy America trade may be back. The firm now sees the SMP five hundred index reaching sixty five hundred in the next twelve months. That's three hundred points higher than its previous estimate and a gain of about eleven percent from yesterday's close. Goldman had cut its SMP five hundred forecasts twice in March, citing higher recession risk and tariff related uncertainty. The firm says, while such concerns have eased with the latest truce between the US and China, the broader earnings outlook still remains uneven. In New York, Gena Cervetti bloom Radio. All right, Gina, thank you. As investors remain focused on the latest trade developments, they'll also have a key economic report to digest later this morning, when we get the consumer price index from the month of April. Let's get a preview now from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. This is the first inflation report that may offer evidence that Trump's import taxes are raising prices. The consensus is for a fairly strong increase in headline and core prices, even as gasoline fell in April. Autos and some consumer goods may move higher, although the biggest increases won't come until May or June. Economists will still be watching the traditional inflation sources as well, particularly housing, to see if non Trump inflation is making progress towards the FEDS two percent target. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio, All. Right, thanks Mike. Staying in Washington, Republicans on the House Tax Committee, they've released details of Donald Trump's multi trillion dollar tax cut bill. That story from Bloomberg Sammy Morris. The legislation aims to cut taxes by more than four trillion dollars and reduce spending by at least one and a half trillion over a decade. It also raises the state and local tax cap to thirty thousand dollars for individuals. Former North Carolina Republican Congressman Pat McHenry wonders if that will be enough for some lawmakers. The question of whether or not thirty thousand is going to be sufficient for them, We're going to see. We're going to see in a. Very public way, these are the most public Republicans in the House representats. The legislation also proposes raising the debt limit by four trillion dollars. It does not include President Trump's proposal for a millionaire tax bracket. In Washington, Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio, all. Right, Amy, thank you. In the US appears to be on track for a very bad tourism year. According to new data from the World Travel and Tourism Council, the US is set to lose twelve and a half billion dollars in travel revenue in twenty twenty five. Visitor spending is estimated to fall under one hundred and sixty nine billion dollars by year's end. These numbers represented decline of around seven percent, a year over year decline of twenty two percent since tourism peaked in the US in twenty nineteen. The decline is attributed to Lady lingering, COVID era requirements, a strong dollar, and a shift in people's views due to the current administration's America First rhetoric and policy. All right, thanks, Nathan, it's time now for it. I look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. After that, we're joined by Bloombergs Michael Barr Michael, good morning. Good morning John. It is the start of day two of testimony in the sex trafficking and racketeering trial of music mogul Sean Diddy Combs. Yesterday, prosecutors played the CNN video for the jury. The surveillance video shows Combs chasing then girlfriend Cassie Ventur down a hotel hallway, knocking her to the floor, and kicking her. During opening statements, prosecutors say it's what happened after Ventur tried to escape one of the sex performances. The defense claiming the video shows a fight over a cell phone. His own lawyers acknowledged Combs was violent at times, arguing that does not make Combs a sex trafficker or part of a rocketeering conspiracy. Attorney Arriva Martin talked about the challenge for the government. We know a lot of people don't understand why victims of sex trafficking don't come forward sooner and faster. Why don't they go to the police. Why don't they report this to friends and to others. So that's going to be the question these jurors have. To grapple with today. Cassie Ventur is expected to take the witness stand. Hamas has freed the last living American citizen held hostage in Gaza, Eden, Alexander. Alexander met up with his younger brother in a joyous celebration. Is much. Alexander was captured during a Hamas attack in October twenty twenty three. Former President Joe Biden is being evaluated after a small nodule was discovered on his prostate. A spokesman told The New York Times mister Biden, who was eighty two, spent last Friday at a hostel Bittle in Philadelphia, says the nodule required further evaluation. Two New York Republican lawmakers, Mike Lawler and Nick Lolota, vowed to block their party's tax legislation unless the proposed thirty thousand limit on the federal income tax deduction for state and local taxes is increased. Lawler, speaking to Bloomberg, called the proposed salt limit woefully inadequate. When the Tax Cousin Jobs Act expires at the end of this year, salt comes back unlimited, and so in order for there to be a tax bill that would actually put a cap in place, it has to adequately address the concerns of my constituents. Other Republicans, including Andrew Garabino, Elise Stefanik, and Young Kim have also rejected the salt cap Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now, Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg. John, all right, Michael, thank you. Yeah, that brings us to five. He had on Wall Street Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Up Day. Empathetic and Chris John stash here, John, good. Morning, Good morning John. The Knicks, in Game four with the Celtics at the Garden, found themselves trailing for the fourth straight time in the series. Boston had a fourteen point lead in the third quarter. Jalen Brunson led the Knicks back. Brunson, still looking falling Away puts it up. That skirt tail and Brunson does it again. It's a two point. Game, time out. Boston drives into the paint, pulls back, looks. Up at the shot clock. He's gotta get it off. Falling Away, puts it up, puts it in. Brunson. Parage here of the third quarter of. The game is time on ESPN The Knicks won that third quarter thirty seven to twenty three Bruns and had more than half those Nick points. They went on to win one twenty one point thirteen, now have a three games to one lead runs and finished with thirty nine points. Connel, Anthony Towns and Mchal Bridges both at in twenty three. Jason Tatum was tremendous in leading the Celtics. He scored forty two points. He made seven three pointers, and then Tatum's night, and very possibly his season, came to an end with three minutes left a non contact lower leg injury. He was seen later in a wheelchair with his head in his hands. Heata will have an MRI today, but the Celtics may very well have to try and make the series come back without their star player. Golden State has been without its best player and without Steph Curry. The Warriors lost for a third straight time Minnesota one one seventeen to one ten. The te Wolves also up three to one. The Dallas Mavericks, who took considerable heat for trading Luca Donzon's, got some good news winning the draft lottery. They had a less than two percent chance. The MAVs will now be. Expected to draft Dukes Cooper Flag Stanley Cup playff home wins for Carolina and Edmonton, both up three to one. Yankees in Seattle had four home runs, two by Trent Grisham. They won eleven to five, but the Yanks suffered where looks like a serious injury to Oswaldo Cabrera hurt his ankles sliding at home. He was taking off the field in an ambulance. Mets scored by the night through the Pirates four to three. Nationals lost in Atlanta four to three, and the Red Socks lost in Detroit fourteen to two. John Staneshawer Bloomberg Sports, John and. Naple Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Serious Exam and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. The US says it is now in a good position to negotiate with China after last weekend's trade talks in Geneva, but the rollback of one hundred and forty five percent tariffs on China down to thirty may validate Chinese President Xi Jinpingk's decision to hold firm in the standoff, and now President she says, China stands ready to defend multilateral trade. May there are. No winners in tariff wars or trade wars. Bullying or hegeminism only leads to self isolation. That was Chinese President Chijin Pink speaking through an interpreter in an economic forum with Latin American states in Beijing joining US now. Bloomberg News Senior editor Bill Ferries, Bill, good morning. I know we're only a day away from the announcement of the outcome of the Geneva talks, but is it too soon to say who's got an upper hand now, the US or China? Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. Yeah, it does seem that China has really gotten a lot of its key demands met so far. I mean, when these very high US tariffs went in place one hundred and forty five percent on Chinese imports, you heard from Trump administration officials saying that China couldn't afford to hold out, that they needed the US market more than the US needed the Chinese market, and that eventually, you know that China wanted to have a meeting and would call a meeting. In the end, it looked like both sides were feeling some economic pain. But the end result from this weekend really does seem to be we're back to where we were in late March early April with the US thirty percent tariffs and lower Chinese ten percent tariffs. It's not clear that there's any agreement on market access. It's not clear that there's very really, very much achieved beyond a very ultuous past six or seven weeks. And what Scott Besstt was saying today in Saudi Arabia was that they have opened this channel of formal talks between the US and China. That's not necessarily something you needed the tariffs to do, but it is the result of what's been happening over the last several weeks. And to your point, Bill, the Treasury Secretary says that the first Trump trade deal with China gives them a very good framework to work with to try to get a newer deal rebalancing of trade. But is that tougher now to get a rebalancing since China's held out the way it has. Yeah, I think China is going to see you know, they're in this ninety day period where they're supposed to make more progress on limiting the export of products that go into making fentanyl. They're looking to see if there's agreements they can make in certain sectors. But I think, you know, China never fully bought into that that original trade deal that required them to buy two hundred billion dollars in US goods. I think it's going to be hard to increase that kind of an agreement when you haven't met the terms of the initial agreement. So it's not clear what the next ninety days will bring. There will be more talks, there might be progress on fentanyl. Part of the thirty percent tariff on Chinese goods is this twenty percent that's supposed to be based on progress on fentanyl, So there is a chance that could come down. One thing Scott Bessett made clear is that he sees ten percent as a floor going forward, and that's still significantly higher than the tariff's Chinese goods faced when the administration took office in January. And now, as you mentioned, the focus does turn to the Middle East. It's not just Treasury Secretary Besant who's there, but President Trump has arrived. He's getting a tour with the Saudi Crown. Prints what kind of outcomes can we expect from the President's. Visit to the Middle East. Got about a minute left. I would expect to get some details about and more broadly Middle Eastern investments in the US. At one point, you know, Donald Trump was asking for more than a trillion dollars in investments to come in from Saudi Arabia in the Middle East. I don't know if we'll get all of that, but that's going to certainly be drumming up. Business is going to be a big part of this. There is going to be some questions about this ceasefire with the Hooties and whether the Red Sea will really reopen to shipping. It hasn't happened yet, and I don't think there's a lot of expectations that that's on the horizon, but it's certainly going to be. I expect we'll see a lot of a lot of big announcements from the President on trade and investment. This is Bloomberg Daybreak here morning podcast on the story is making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time. I'm Bloomberg eleven three zero New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two to nine in Boston in nationwide a serious XAM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Applecarplay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now. Your favorite podcast platform is Stay informed all day long. I'm John Tucker and I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Rain