US-EU Trade Deal Concerns; Trump Responds to Powell Report
On today's podcast:
1) The European Union prepares for the worst as it races to secure a trade deal with the US. European Union and US negotiators are heading into another week of intensive talks to clinch a trade deal by Aug. 1, when US President Trump has threatened to hit most EU exports with 30% tariffs.
2) Microsoft rushes to fix a widespread cyberattack on its server software. Microsoft's server software was exploited by unidentified hackers, with analysts warning of widespread cybersecurity breaches across the globe. Silas Cutler, a researcher at Censys, said "It's a dream for ransomware operators, and a lot of attackers are going to be working this weekend as well," regarding the breach.
3) President Trump pushes back at a report that he got advice not to fire Fed Chair Jay Powell. The president took to social media to criticize a Wall Street Journal article that reported his Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent advised against firing Powell. Trump insisted that he didn't need Bessent's advice.
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Transcript
Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karin, we begin with the global trade war. European Union officials are set to meet in the coming days to discuss how to respond to a possible no deal trade scenario with President Trump. The move comes as the US is said to be seeking tariffs on EU goods higher than ten percent with limited exceptions. We get more from Bloomberg's Oliver Crook in Berlin. But at the end of the day, I think that their frustration, their difficulty is that it is going to come down to Trump at the end of the day, how he's feeling very close to the negotiations. I was at the G twenty just last week, you know, and I got a feeling from some of the finance ministers, many of them didn't want to speak on the record on this, but saying that basically they did feel that the United States was softening a little bit, potentially because they are taking on a sort of trade war against everybody all at once. But there was also this sentiment out up there that in the long term, this negotiation, whatever happens over the next couple of weeks is probably not the end of the discussion in terms of tariffs with the United States. So potentially for many of these countries looking to build coalitions outside of Europe, not just the EU, something bigger in order to potentially take on the United States and in more confrontational matter, because who knows what the next few years will hold. Bloomberg's Oliver Crooks says President Trump wrote to the EU earlier in the month, warning the block would face a thirty percent tariff on most of its exports on August first. Nathan Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnek says he's confident to deal with the EU can get done, but he's sticking with the August first deadline for higher tariff rates on major trading partners and a baseline of ten percent for everyone else. The world is paying ten percent right now, and China's paying thirty percent. Ten percent is definitely going to stay. The small countries are likely to be ten percent, but the bigger countries are likely to pay higher. That's just the way it's going to be, because we can't have these one trillion dollars trade deficit. Commerce Secretary Howard Ludnik spoke on CBS's Face the Nation Heard every Sunday on Bloomberg Radio and Karen. President Trump's pushing back on a report that Treasury Secretary Scott Besstt warned that ousting FED chair J Powell would be bad for markets. In a post on truth Social, the President called the Wall Street Journal quote typically untruthful. He went on to say he knows better than anyone what's good for markets, touting recent record highs for the major indexes. The journal cited sources who said bess and warned that attempting to oust Powell would result in political and legal obstacles. Nathan The yen is strengthening versus the dollar has investors digest the impact of Japan's election results. Prime Minister Shighiro Ashiba says he intends to stay on despite his ruling coalition failing to secure a majority in the two hundred and forty eight seat Upper House in a crucial parliamentary election. David Boyling is a director at the Erasure Group. This is sort of the second punch that Aeshiva has taken. I think it's very hard. He was already on shape ground he's even on more shaky ground to remain as Prime minister. He's vowed to do so, but you know, Tato, also very influential member, former Prime minister, has already said that he wants to push him out. So I think there's going to be the knives are coming out and we'll just have to see if he can hang on. It's not going to be easy, you Raising Group's David Boyling. The loss is another blow to Aschiebas coalition, making it a minority in both houses following its October defeat in the lower House election. Well, Karen of worldwide cyber attack is underway after hackers exploited a widely used Microsoft program. Bloomberg's John Tucker's here with the latest, John, what's happening? Well, Hackers Nathan spotted a security flow at Microsoft's Sharepoints servers. This has allowed them to launch a worldwide attack on government agencies and businesses over the past few days. The US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency says this vulnerability allowed hackers to access finle systems in internal configurations, as well as execute code. More than ten thousand companies with SharePoint servers are at risk. The US is the largest number of these companies. Silas Cutler, researcher at Michigan based cybersecurity firm Census, says this is a dream come true for ransomware operators. At Washington Post reports the breach has already affected US federal and state agencies, universities, and energy companies. Now, Microsoft has released a new security patch for customers to apply to their SharePoint servers to as they put a mitigate active attacks targeting on premise servers. They're also adding to roll out others. Shares of Microsoft pre market right now down about two tenths of percent in New York. On John Tucker Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, thank you. Meanwhile, Alaska Air has resumed operations after an IT outage temporarily grounded its fleet. The grounding was canceled just after two am Wall Street time this morning. It's the second time in over a year Alaska Era has had to ground its fleet because of IT problems. Checking sports Now, Karen Scotty Scheffler has captured his second major this year after dominating the British Open. Let's get the details with Bloomberg Sports anchor John Stash Hour Stash, this was an impressive performance. It really was. Nathan Scheffler had a four shot lead to start the final round and that lead drew to seven and when he played the last hole in Royal Port Rush, he was up by four. The champion golfer Scotty Cheffler. He felt in his career and yself felt. Today it was only a matter of time before they claimed the brittisplies in golf. And that's courtesy of the RNA. Finished seventeen under part at one point, went thirty two holes without a bogie. He's the seventh and Open Championship history that four rounds in the sixties. Well hear from Scheffler coming up. John Stashawer, Bloomberg Sports. All right, sounds good, Thank you John. Another sports related news, President Trump is threatening to block the Washington Commander's bid to build a new stadium in the district of Columbia. The President says he may put a restriction on the team if they don't change the name of the team back to the Washington Redskins. The President has previously complained about the football team's decision to change its name, aid concerns the old name was a slur against Native Americans. Donald Trump also leveled criticism at the Cleveland Guardians, the Major League Baseball team that changed its name from the Cleveland Indians in twenty twenty one. Back on Wall Street, Karen Investors are huddling up for another busy week of earnings. Let's take a look with Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. Tech names including Tesla and Alphabet will be very much in focus and at expectations from analysts for S and P five hundred profits to rise two point eight percent year over year. Scott Kroner has head of US Equity Strategy Research at City Group Global Markets. I think we're looking at a burgeoning free cash flow backdrop for many of the companies within the S and P five hundred, and what. You get with this is a lot of financial flexibility. Also reporting this week, IBM and Texas instrum on Capital One, Financial, Ameror Prize, Blackstone, Chipotle, Mexican Grill, Coca Cola, General Motors, and Honeywell International, among many many others. In New York, Charlie Bloomberg Radio Thank you. Charlie Stilantis has swung to a two point seven billion dollar net loss in the first half as restructuring expenses, waning sales, and the impact of US tariffs hit the struggling automaker. Stalantis's shipments fell six percent in the second quarter amid declines in North America and Europe. The company still has an issued financial guidance for this year due to US tariff uncertainties. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Monica Ricks Monica, Good morning. Hey, Good morning, Karen. Ukraine says it is under attack this morning Ukrainian air defense as Russia launch missiles and drones, with those explosions heard across the country. The attacks coming a day after Ukraine's pre In Zelenski pushed more peace talks with Russia. Meantime, the Palestinian health Ministry says its experience its deadliest day in over twenty one months of war. More than ninety Palestinians have been killed this weekend while trying to access food and aid in Gaza. The head of FEMA will testify before Congress this week. Bloomberg's Amy Morris is in Washington. David Richardson has led FEMA since May He'll appeared July twenty third at a hearing for a House Emergency Management Panel subcommittee Chairman Scott Perry will focus on how FEMA can become more agile and effective in disaster response. But lawmakers are also expected to grill Richardson on FEMA's response to the Texas floods, which killed more than one hundred people earlier this month, and Democrats want to know about the time it took FEMA to activate search and rescue teams and how it managed calls for help. President Trump earlier this year had announced plans to overhaul or even eliminate FEMA to give states a bigger role in disaster response. In Washington, Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio. In Texas, the state legislator there will hold a special meetia on those devastating floods. The number of missing people has dropped dramatically, down to just three people in Kirk County now. More than one hundred and thirty people were killed at a close call in the sky in my not North Dakota. Delta pilot there had to make what he described as an aggressive mid air maneuver to avoid crashing into a B fifty two bomber. The pilot says he was never given a warning by air traffic control and had to apologize to passengers once they were on the ground. Luckily, no one was hurt. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Monica Ricks. This is Bloomberg. All right, Monica, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John stash Hour, John, Good morning. Yeah morning, Karni Scotti. Scheffler dominated the Open Championship in Northern Ireland, finishing seventeen under par, winning by four shots. One couldn't help but at least begin to consider whether he is now dominating golf like Tiger Woods once did a Royal port ross. Scheffler was asked about the comparison. I still think they're a bit silly, you know, Tiger one, what fifteen majors, this is my fourth, could just got one fourth of the way there, So just I mean, it's I think Tiger stands alone in the game of golf. You know, he was inspirational for me growing up, and he was a very very talented guy, and he was a special person to be able to be as good as he wasn't the game of golf, and. It's true that well. Scheffler has won four majors over the last four years. Tiger won four in a row in two thousand and oh one, including a win at the PGA that was by fifteen shots. American Harris English yesterday finished second and New Jersey native Chris gottter Up was third. He had only learned last Sunday that he was going to be in the field after he beat out Rory McElroy. At the Scottish Open. Yankees off the big comeback Saturday night in Atlanta. Had a quick start first inning Yesterday. Hi joed right center Peel Parrot say Yuh a home run for Judge, his thirty sixth of the year. It's one nothing yet, yes Network Yanks beat the Braves four to four to two, solid sixth inning start from Marcus Stroman. Toronto finished a sweep of the Giants. The Blue Jays have won ten in a row at home that includes the recent four games sweep of the Yankees. Are now back in Toronto tonight with the Jays three games ahead in the alas the Mets first wins. It's the All Star brag at City Field salvage one from Cincinnati three to two. The Red Sox salvaged one from the Cubs at Wrigley six to one. Garrett croches eleventh win the National sixtieth loss beaten by San Diego eight to one, and Milwaukee completed a second sweep. Over the last two weeks of the Dodgers and the Brewers have won ten in a row. They're tied for first in the NL Central. John stashiew We're Bloomberg Sports. Carry Nathan. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Eleven days to go until President Trump's August first tariff deadline. The European Union is said to be prepared now for a no deal scenario, while the Trump administration holds firms to its demands on the EU and other major trading partners. Commerce Secretary Howard Ludnik made the case on CBS's face the nation. It's fair trade, it's reciprocal trade. Why should we have our country be wide open while there's is. Closed Commerce Secretary Ludnik on Face the Nation, heard every Sunday on Bloomberg Radio. This morning, we're joined by Bloomberg's Jill Disis. So, Jill, the negotiations go on on the media and behind closed doors as well. Where do things stand between the US and EU just ahead of this August first deadline? Good morning, Good. Morning, Nathan Well. I think the best way to think about this agreement at this point, or any kind of negotiation that's unfolding, is that it does appear as if the stance by Donald Trump himself, the Trump administration, the White House is hardening ahead of that August first deadline. At this point, Trump has already threatened to hit most EU exports with the tariffs of about thirty percent, and so from an EU negotiation side, you've got, you know, this block that is sitting there thinking, you know, is it actually even possible to try to negotiate for a lower rate. I think that at this point, you know, what seemed a little bit more conceivable several months ago, this idea that maybe you could, you know, negotiate for tariffs of ten percent on most goods or so seems to be you know, a bit out the window. So if your officials and Brussels, I mean, I think what we've heard is that ultimately what they are trying to calculate for now is what happens if this agreement that is reached by August first, or you know, whenever that deadline passes, you know, what happens if that's you know, incredibly unbalanced. What if they don't end up getting a lot of the major exemptions that they were ultimately hoping for. And so if your Brussels you're looking at this arrangement and you're saying, okay, you know, potentially there could be preparations to retaliate in a scenario there's absolutely no agreement. So I think that that's kind of where we're at. I'd actually argue that when you look at the totality of all of these other negotiations that are happening around the world, you know, other economies are also in sort of a similar position where I think they're you know, increasingly being confronted with this possibility that you could have fairly high tariffs by August first, perhaps higher than again, what was you know, ultimately thought of when Trump first came into the office in January. So what could retaliation by the EU look like, I mean, we've heard the possibility of retaliatory tariffs on you know, certain politically sensitive goods as well as the idea of this anti coercion instrument coming out what seems most likely at this point. Yes, So let's start with those potential tariffs. So the EU has already actually approved potential tariffs on somewhere in the neighborhood of twenty one billion euros worth of US goods. The idea is that you know, these could be implemented that would target politically sensitive American states Potentially they include products such as soybeans from Louisiana that's of course home to how speaker Mike Johnson, potentially some other agricultural products, poultry, motorcycles. They've also prepared a list of tariffs on an additional seventy two billion dollars worth of a billion euros rather worth of American products in response to reciprocal levies and automotive duties. So, you know, those additional targets. And then the thing that you're talking about at the end there this anti coursion instrument. That is something that you know, we've reported on recently a growing number of EU member states are thinking, you know, look, this is ultimately what would be our most powerful trade tool. This would give officials more broader powers to take retaliatory action. And so that's something that at least in certain corners of the block is being pushed. But again, I think, you know, it just really kind of goes to show you that at least when it comes to the EU again, they're preparing for this idea that what ultimately is decided may not be particularly favorable to the EU, and so it's pushing them in this position to consider those retaliatory efforts. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app. Now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news, whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day. Ray