Trump Escalates Global Trade War, Pauses Military Aid to Ukraine

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

On today's podcast:

1) Trump Escalates Global Trade War, Sparking Tit-for-Tat Tariffs. President Donald Trump delivered on his threat to hit Canada and Mexico with sweeping import levies and doubled an existing charge on China, spurring swift reprisals that plunged the world economy into a deepening trade war. The US new tariffs — 25% duties on most Canadian and Mexican imports and raising the charge on China to 20% — impact roughly $1.5 trillion in annual imports, an expansive move signaling to markets that the Republican president is committed to wielding import duties to obtain fresh revenue and create domestic manufacturing jobs.

2) What Trump Aims to Achieve With His Tariffs. After promising during his election campaign to put import taxes back at the center of US economic policy, President Donald Trump moved swiftly once back in office, announcing significant new tariffs aimed at America’s trading partners. The tactics — implementing new tariffs and threatening others in an effort to intimidate or gain leverage on other disputes — represent a dramatic shift in a global economy where most major economies have sought to reduce trade barriers.

3) Trump Pauses Military Aid to Ukraine After Clash With Zelenskiy President Donald Trump ordered a pause to all US military aid to Ukraine, turning up the heat on Volodymyr Zelenskiy days after an Oval Office blowup with the Ukrainian president left support from his country’s most important ally in doubt. The US is holding up all pending military assistance until Trump determines Ukraine’s leaders demonstrate a good-faith commitment to peace, according to a senior Defense Department official, who asked not to be identified discussing private deliberations. The administration will also review the aid to make sure it’s contributing to a solution to the conflict, a White House official said.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

2025-03-04 17 min Transcript

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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 0:00:10.240 --> 0:00:10.799 Good morning. 0:00:10.840 --> 0:00:13.680 I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 0:00:13.720 --> 0:00:15.160 stories we're following today. 0:00:15.400 --> 0:00:19.160 Karen, we begin with tariffs. President Trump has made good 0:00:19.160 --> 0:00:21.880 on a promise of sweeping levees on China and North 0:00:21.880 --> 0:00:25.479 American allies. As of midnight, most goods from Canada and 0:00:25.560 --> 0:00:29.080 Mexico now face a twenty five percent charge, while the 0:00:29.080 --> 0:00:32.000 tariff on Chinese goods has been doubled to twenty percent. 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:35.480 In comments heard live on Bloomberg Radio, President Trump said 0:00:35.520 --> 0:00:38.360 the tariffs will help bring manufacturing back to the US. 0:00:38.640 --> 0:00:41.040 I would just say this to people in Canada or 0:00:41.120 --> 0:00:44.120 Mexico if they got to build car plans to people 0:00:44.120 --> 0:00:46.479 that are doing them, are much better off building here 0:00:46.479 --> 0:00:48.639 because we have the market, with the market where they 0:00:48.640 --> 0:00:49.360 sell the most. 0:00:49.440 --> 0:00:51.840 President Trump says there was no room left to reach 0:00:51.840 --> 0:00:54.240 a deal with Canada and Mexico as he hopes to 0:00:54.280 --> 0:00:57.000 force them to address fentanyl flows into the US. 0:00:57.520 --> 0:01:00.920 Vast amounts of fentanoil have poured into our country from 0:01:01.080 --> 0:01:04.360 Mexico and as you know, also from China, where it 0:01:04.400 --> 0:01:07.759 goes to Mexico and goes to Canada and China also 0:01:07.840 --> 0:01:10.600 had an additional ten. So it's ten plus ten and 0:01:11.480 --> 0:01:14.160 it comes in from Canada and it comes in from Mexico. 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:16.959 And President Trump added the tariffs will be exciting for 0:01:17.200 --> 0:01:20.399 US automakers. The administration has delayed the removal of a 0:01:20.440 --> 0:01:23.280 so called the Minimus exemption for now. That means Canada 0:01:23.319 --> 0:01:26.520 and Mexico can continue shipping low cost goods over the 0:01:26.560 --> 0:01:27.840 border without a tariff. 0:01:28.600 --> 0:01:32.000 Well Nathan Trump's move has prompted a swift retaliation from 0:01:32.040 --> 0:01:35.680 Canada and China. Canada has imposed phased levels on one 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:38.759 hundred and seven billion dollars worth of US goods, while 0:01:38.840 --> 0:01:42.120 China imposed tariffs as high as fifteen percent, mainly on 0:01:42.200 --> 0:01:47.440 agricultural shipments. Meanwhile, Mexican President Claudia Shanebaum said her government 0:01:47.520 --> 0:01:49.520 would a wait for the tariffs to go into effect 0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:53.520 before reacting, but they are ready to respond. Canadian Foreign 0:01:53.560 --> 0:01:56.520 Minister Melanie jo Lace spoke before the terraffs are put 0:01:56.560 --> 0:01:57.400 into place. 0:01:57.800 --> 0:02:02.080 We know that this is an existential threat to US 0:02:02.280 --> 0:02:05.080 and there are thousands of jobs in Canada at stake. 0:02:05.440 --> 0:02:09.440 Now we've done the work we already should the US 0:02:09.440 --> 0:02:10.639 decide to. 0:02:10.560 --> 0:02:11.600 Launch the. 0:02:13.080 --> 0:02:16.640 Trade war, Canadian Foreign Minister Melanie Sjoley said her government 0:02:16.720 --> 0:02:20.680 was ready to go ahead with retaliatory duties and Karen. 0:02:20.720 --> 0:02:24.760 President Trump also announced he's imposing tariffs on external agricultural 0:02:24.800 --> 0:02:28.359 products on April second. He didn't provide detail on which 0:02:28.400 --> 0:02:30.720 products would be affected or if there be any exemptions. 0:02:31.080 --> 0:02:34.400 The US agriculture trade deficit is projected to hit a 0:02:34.440 --> 0:02:36.840 record forty nine billion dollars this year. 0:02:37.120 --> 0:02:40.360 Well, Nathan All, this has sparked a bearish mood across markets. 0:02:40.360 --> 0:02:42.480 Asian A share sold off and the S and P 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:45.480 five hundred suffered its worst drop of the year. Joe 0:02:45.560 --> 0:02:49.359 Lavarnia was chief economist at the White House National Economic 0:02:49.440 --> 0:02:53.400 Council during President Trump's first term. He told Bloomberg's Balance 0:02:53.400 --> 0:02:56.840 of Power the markets might have not priced in Trump's move. 0:02:57.320 --> 0:03:00.320 The market's also I think we're not believing the President 0:03:00.440 --> 0:03:03.160 was serious with these tariffs. So today might just reflect 0:03:03.240 --> 0:03:05.040 the fact that for much I think of this year, 0:03:05.080 --> 0:03:07.959 there was thoughts that they would actually never be able 0:03:08.000 --> 0:03:09.919 mented or be watered down. So I think today was 0:03:10.000 --> 0:03:12.239 really a reality check for many investors. 0:03:12.560 --> 0:03:15.920 Former Trump official Joe Lavornia notes that Wall Street's so 0:03:16.080 --> 0:03:20.160 called fear gauge, the Vicks hit its highest level since December. 0:03:19.919 --> 0:03:21.880 And tonight, Karen many are going to be watching as 0:03:21.960 --> 0:03:24.960 President Trump addresses Congress for the first time in his 0:03:25.080 --> 0:03:28.840 second term. Bloomberg's Amy Morris is in Washington with a preview. 0:03:29.320 --> 0:03:32.280 Since his re election, President Trump has blazed across the 0:03:32.320 --> 0:03:35.880 federal government, dismantling norms and traditions and parts of the 0:03:35.920 --> 0:03:40.280 government itself, firing thousands of federal workers, closing agencies, and 0:03:40.360 --> 0:03:43.760 positioning the US closer to Russia, all issues that may 0:03:43.840 --> 0:03:47.400 overshadow his address to Congress. The White House says President 0:03:47.440 --> 0:03:51.400 Trump will also discuss his economic agenda in Washington. Amy Morris, 0:03:51.440 --> 0:03:52.400 Bloomberg Radio. 0:03:52.360 --> 0:03:54.680 Amy, thank you for full coverage of the President's addressed 0:03:54.680 --> 0:03:56.720 to a Joint Session of Congress. To stay with Bloomberg 0:03:56.880 --> 0:03:59.280 for a special edition of Balance of Power with Joe 0:03:59.280 --> 0:04:01.840 Matthew and k adailely Lines. It starts at eight pm 0:04:01.920 --> 0:04:05.280 Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and the 0:04:05.320 --> 0:04:07.680 Bloomberg Podcasts page on YouTube. 0:04:07.960 --> 0:04:11.400 Well Nathan, China's biggest political event of the year is underway. 0:04:11.520 --> 0:04:15.080 Policymakers are expected to push China's official budget deficit target 0:04:15.120 --> 0:04:17.840 to its highest level in over three decades at the 0:04:17.920 --> 0:04:20.880 National People's Congress. It would pump trillions if you want, 0:04:20.920 --> 0:04:24.159 into a system battling in deflation, a property crash in 0:04:24.200 --> 0:04:27.440 the new US trade clash. Investors will look for hims 0:04:27.520 --> 0:04:30.160 as to whether the gathering can help sustain a recent 0:04:30.240 --> 0:04:31.120 equity rally. 0:04:31.440 --> 0:04:35.320 Elsewhere in geopolitics, Karen, President Trump is pausing all US 0:04:35.440 --> 0:04:38.880 military aid to Ukraine. A senior defense official tells Bloomberg 0:04:38.880 --> 0:04:41.680 the freeze will remain in effect until the President decides 0:04:41.760 --> 0:04:45.160 Ukraine's leader, Vladimir Zelenski is committed to peace. The President 0:04:45.240 --> 0:04:47.680 was asked about his recent meeting with Zelenski. 0:04:48.120 --> 0:04:50.880 He said he thinks so war's going to go on 0:04:51.040 --> 0:04:54.560 for a long time, and he'd better not be right 0:04:54.600 --> 0:04:55.040 about that. 0:04:55.320 --> 0:04:57.839 This morning, the Kremlin said the suspension of eight is 0:04:57.880 --> 0:05:01.159 the best contribution to peace. President Trump had kept the 0:05:01.160 --> 0:05:03.880 door open to signing the minerals deal with Ukraine that 0:05:03.920 --> 0:05:06.559 was scrapped last week. He calls it a great deal 0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:08.000 for the US well. 0:05:08.000 --> 0:05:11.160 Nathan as the European Union looks for ways to support Ukraine, 0:05:11.200 --> 0:05:13.480 and it's unveiled in early eight hundred and forty billion 0:05:13.520 --> 0:05:17.559 dollar plan to fund rearmament. The proposal includes one hundred 0:05:17.560 --> 0:05:20.920 and fifty eight billion dollars in loans to boost defense spending. 0:05:21.200 --> 0:05:24.880 European Commissioned President Ursula Vonderlyon announced it this morning. 0:05:25.240 --> 0:05:29.480 We are in an era of rearmament and Europe is 0:05:29.560 --> 0:05:33.800 ready to massively boost its defense spending, both to respond 0:05:33.880 --> 0:05:38.040 to the short term urgency to act and to support Ukraine, 0:05:38.440 --> 0:05:41.480 but also to address the long term need to take 0:05:41.520 --> 0:05:46.919 on more responsibility for our own European security and. 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:50.720 EC President Ursula Vonderlyon sent a letter to EU member 0:05:50.920 --> 0:05:54.560 states listing possible options to bolster national defense in the 0:05:54.600 --> 0:05:55.440 near term. 0:05:55.480 --> 0:05:58.279 Back on Wall Street, Karen Traders have a key earnings 0:05:58.320 --> 0:06:01.240 report to look ahead to this morning. Blomberg's Charlie Pellett 0:06:01.240 --> 0:06:03.719 has a preview of the latest results from Target. 0:06:04.040 --> 0:06:08.640 Target's outlook on consumer demand and macro economic uncertainties will 0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:12.120 be among key areas of focus. Joe Feldman is an 0:06:12.120 --> 0:06:16.119 analyst with Telsey Advisory Group. He's got an outperform rating 0:06:16.160 --> 0:06:18.679 on the stock with a one hundred and fifty dollars 0:06:18.720 --> 0:06:19.479 price target. 0:06:19.600 --> 0:06:20.320 We're hoping to. 0:06:20.279 --> 0:06:23.560 See better trend on the inventory side. 0:06:23.680 --> 0:06:25.719 Their in stocks have been very good, which is a 0:06:25.760 --> 0:06:27.880 good thing because you can sell the product. 0:06:27.960 --> 0:06:31.159 The estimate on sales is thirty point six seven billion 0:06:31.200 --> 0:06:35.000 dollars with gross margin a twenty five point five percent. 0:06:35.120 --> 0:06:37.719 In New York, Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio. 0:06:37.839 --> 0:06:40.680 All right, Charlie, thank you. And finally, Bloomberg News has 0:06:40.760 --> 0:06:43.320 learned about another big mistake as City Group the bank 0:06:43.360 --> 0:06:47.800 almost transferred about six billion dollars to a customer's account 0:06:47.800 --> 0:06:50.680 in a fat finger error. The near miss happened in 0:06:50.720 --> 0:06:53.840 City's wealth management business rare till the staff member copied 0:06:53.880 --> 0:06:57.080 and pasted the recipient's account number where the dollar amount 0:06:57.080 --> 0:07:00.480 should have gone. This happened the same month or City 0:07:00.480 --> 0:07:04.240 Division accidentally credited eighty one trillion dollars to a client. 0:07:08.080 --> 0:07:09.280 Time now for a look at some of the other 0:07:09.360 --> 0:07:11.559 stories making news in New York and around the world, 0:07:11.560 --> 0:07:13.720 And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. 0:07:13.840 --> 0:07:17.080 Michael, good morning, Good morning, Karen. The Senate voted Monday 0:07:17.200 --> 0:07:21.680 to confirm former wrestling executive Linda McMahon as Secretary of Education. 0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:25.200 Shield now had a department. President Trump has vowed to 0:07:25.240 --> 0:07:30.320 dismantle Randy Winingarten is president of the American Federation of Teachers. 0:07:30.120 --> 0:07:32.840 The partners that she has are the people who are 0:07:32.840 --> 0:07:36.480 in classrooms all across America. What we're asking her to 0:07:36.480 --> 0:07:40.560 do is work with us, not against us. Don't take 0:07:40.560 --> 0:07:44.080 a wrecking ball to the Department of Education, make cuts 0:07:44.080 --> 0:07:49.000 with a scalpel, not with a hatchet, and ultimately help 0:07:49.200 --> 0:07:50.680 us help children. 0:07:50.880 --> 0:07:54.200 Winegarden adds one out of every nine dollars that go 0:07:54.280 --> 0:07:57.880 to kids in school in America comes from the federal government. 0:07:58.400 --> 0:08:01.400 The top agent at the FBI New York Field Office 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:03.920 said that he had been forced out of his job 0:08:04.360 --> 0:08:08.880 following clashes with Justice Department officials over Trump administration directives. 0:08:09.240 --> 0:08:13.000 In an email, James Denahey had told agents to dig 0:08:13.080 --> 0:08:16.400 in in the face of the Trump administration's firing of 0:08:16.400 --> 0:08:20.840 officials who investigated the January sixth Attech. Dennehee says he 0:08:20.920 --> 0:08:24.160 was told Friday to retire from his role. Officials are 0:08:24.240 --> 0:08:28.600 rushing to reschedule Marty Grass celebrations and warning revelers against 0:08:28.640 --> 0:08:32.679 bringing umbrellas and tents as powerful storms with a threat 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:36.600 of tornadoes are expected to strike Louisiana and other parts 0:08:36.600 --> 0:08:39.840 of the South today. The Supreme Court is scheduled to 0:08:39.880 --> 0:08:44.840 hear the case Mexico filed against US gun manufacturers. Mexico 0:08:44.880 --> 0:08:48.880 alleges that Smith and Wesson and other manufacturers aided an 0:08:48.960 --> 0:08:52.760 embedded illegal gun trafficking in violation of the US law, 0:08:52.880 --> 0:08:57.400 which in turn harms Mexico. Former federal prosecutor and Loyola 0:08:57.480 --> 0:08:59.440 Law School professor Lorie Levinson. 0:09:00.000 --> 0:09:03.320 This might be an uphill battle, frankly for the Mexican government, 0:09:03.480 --> 0:09:06.240 because there are so many legal issues that the Supreme 0:09:06.280 --> 0:09:09.520 Court will look at, and frankly, the Supreme Court has 0:09:09.600 --> 0:09:12.960 been very open to gun rights in the last decade 0:09:13.080 --> 0:09:13.560 or so. 0:09:13.920 --> 0:09:16.760 Professor Levinson. The hearing marks the first time that the 0:09:16.800 --> 0:09:19.920 Supreme Court will consider a federal law known as the 0:09:20.000 --> 0:09:23.680 Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act. The two thousand 0:09:23.679 --> 0:09:26.720 and five law provides a legal shield for gun companies 0:09:26.720 --> 0:09:29.480 from civil suits. Global news twenty four hours a day 0:09:29.600 --> 0:09:31.880 and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm 0:09:31.880 --> 0:09:34.360 Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg kron. 0:09:34.320 --> 0:09:41.079 Or Ry Michael Barr. Thank you time now for the 0:09:41.080 --> 0:09:44.239 Bloomberg Sports up date, brought to you by try STANKOUDI. 0:09:44.280 --> 0:09:46.440 Here's John Stanshawer. John, Good morning, Goo Morning. 0:09:46.480 --> 0:09:48.160 Care's gonna be quite a fight to see who gets 0:09:48.160 --> 0:09:52.120 the last couple of playoff spots in the NHL's Eastern Conference. 0:09:52.200 --> 0:09:56.120 Right now, there are six teams separated by only four points. 0:09:56.400 --> 0:09:58.640 Rangers among those in the Hut. Night after a shutout 0:09:58.640 --> 0:10:00.480 win at the Garden, they were right back the MSG, 0:10:00.559 --> 0:10:03.520 this time against the Islanders. Will Cooley scored off his 0:10:03.640 --> 0:10:05.800 helmet in five minutes later first period. It was time 0:10:05.880 --> 0:10:08.600 for another will back to the other. 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:09.160 Way, Carrick. 0:10:09.559 --> 0:10:11.200 Carrick dropped it off for Bugin. 0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:12.359 He starts. 0:10:15.800 --> 0:10:20.760 Will Morgan was a short headed goal against the Rangers. 0:10:20.960 --> 0:10:25.520 Aren't two nothing lead the Rangers. He loveth short handed 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:28.880 golden season, second best in the league. 0:10:28.640 --> 0:10:29.360 Call on MSG. 0:10:29.440 --> 0:10:31.760 J Et Miller scored third period Art Semi pinera and 0:10:31.840 --> 0:10:34.720 empty ed of his twenty fifth. Twenty four hours after 0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:38.320 shutting out Nashville for nothing, the Rangers blank the Islanders 0:10:38.360 --> 0:10:40.200 for nothing, this time with a different goal in Igor 0:10:40.280 --> 0:10:43.280 Sisterkin twenty one saves his fourth shot out of the season. 0:10:43.320 --> 0:10:45.040 The Capitol's top to Attawa five to four and a 0:10:45.080 --> 0:10:47.480 shoot out the Knicks at the Garden tonight to play 0:10:47.480 --> 0:10:50.480 Golden State college basketball teams ran second and third of 0:10:50.480 --> 0:10:53.080 the country. Both won at home. Duke by thirty three 0:10:53.120 --> 0:10:56.440 over Wake Forest as the star freshman Cooper Flag scored 0:10:56.480 --> 0:10:59.800 twenty eight. Duke is eighteen and one in the ACC. 0:11:00.360 --> 0:11:02.600 Houston is eighteen and one of the Big twelve. The 0:11:02.640 --> 0:11:05.160 Cougars beat Kansas, who began the season Ranke number one. 0:11:05.200 --> 0:11:08.600 This was its eleventh loss. Saint John's doesn't play until Saturday. 0:11:08.880 --> 0:11:12.360 Red Storm keep moving up the rankings, now sixth highestins 0:11:12.440 --> 0:11:15.400 nineteen ninety one. The Yankees will begin the season without 0:11:15.440 --> 0:11:17.600 Luis Heal. The last season, pitched to a three and 0:11:17.600 --> 0:11:19.480 a half RA and was the American League Rookie of 0:11:19.480 --> 0:11:21.760 the Year. He's got a lot strain when the Yanks. 0:11:21.760 --> 0:11:25.079 Clark Schmidt had a similar injury last year. He missed 0:11:25.080 --> 0:11:27.959 three months. Max Fried started last night in Tampa. Yanks 0:11:28.000 --> 0:11:30.600 all over the Pirates twelve to three. Dom Smith drove 0:11:30.640 --> 0:11:32.839 in four runs. The Mets had only two hits. Won 0:11:32.920 --> 0:11:35.560 one tie with the Marlins. CODEI Senga and David Peterson 0:11:35.640 --> 0:11:40.360 team per five scorelessennings. John stash Ellen Bloomberg Sports Kerry Nathan. 0:11:42.679 --> 0:11:46.880 Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM 0:11:47.000 --> 0:11:49.840 and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 0:11:49.840 --> 0:11:52.960 Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg day Break. 0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:56.400 Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. The trade war is on. 0:11:56.600 --> 0:11:59.600 President Donald Trump has made good on threats to impost 0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:02.480 twenty five five percent tariffs on most imports from Canada 0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:05.199 and Mexico and to double the levy on all Chinese 0:12:05.280 --> 0:12:08.760 goods to twenty percent. The President says it's about stopping 0:12:08.800 --> 0:12:12.880 illegal immigration and drug flows and boosting US manufacturing. 0:12:13.360 --> 0:12:16.120 They can't come in and steal our money and steal 0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:19.240 our jobs, and take our factories and take our businesses 0:12:19.760 --> 0:12:23.040 and expect not to be punished, and they're being punished 0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:23.720 by tariffs. 0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:26.480 President Trump spoke there at a Winehouse news conference heard 0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:28.840 live on Bloomberg Radio this morning. We are joined by 0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:32.120 Bloomberg News Global Trade editor Brendan Murray. And Brendan, could 0:12:32.200 --> 0:12:37.320 we see trade flows up ended dramatically following this first 0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:40.280 major salvo in what looks like a new trade war. 0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:42.199 Good morning morning. 0:12:42.280 --> 0:12:45.200 Yeah, it could. It could happen fairly quickly. Now we 0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:49.160 haven't heard the retaliation yet from Mexico. That will be 0:12:49.200 --> 0:12:52.520 something to watch today and tomorrow. Mexico is, of course 0:12:53.040 --> 0:12:58.520 a big supplier of food products and consumer electronics and 0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:02.400 automobiles and and uh. And so we'll see how you know, 0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:04.000 a lot of the a lot of the food products 0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:06.920 are are perishable too, so you know, you can't really 0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:09.520 stick those in a warehouse for very long. So we'll 0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:15.040 see how the trade flows play out here. But it 0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:18.680 seems that all three sides are are kind of, you know, 0:13:19.120 --> 0:13:21.400 talking a big talk right now about how tough they're 0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:25.560 going to be on their retaliation. There's even some a 0:13:25.640 --> 0:13:27.880 Canadian politician who's saying, we're going to cut off your 0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:31.720 electricity supply from our province to into into the US. 0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:32.559 UH. 0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:35.160 So we'll see how you like that. So it's getting 0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:38.360 it's getting. It's I wouldn't call it, you know that 0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:42.440 the tone isn't you know, very very sharp just yet. 0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:45.120 But both sides are kind of sharpening up there, sharpening 0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:48.000 up the rhetoric. And and you know, we'll see how 0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:51.720 if this is a short run uh situation, or or 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:54.480 something that turns into a more prolonged trade war that 0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:55.760 starts to hit the economy. 0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:59.320 Well, as we start to see these rhetorical knives get 0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:04.000 sharpened here or Brendan, we've heard Canada announce phased in 0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:06.840 tariffs on one hundred and seven billion dollars in US 0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:11.400 goods China with fifteen percent tariffs, mainly on US agriculture. 0:14:11.440 --> 0:14:14.160 What kind of impact could that have on the US economy. 0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:19.080 So China's uh, China's retaliation that they announced just a 0:14:19.080 --> 0:14:23.000 few hours ago was fairly reserved. It was on, you know, 0:14:23.120 --> 0:14:27.120 a tiny fraction of the goods that China imports from 0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:32.680 the US, but more symbolic than anything, they targeted agricultural products. 0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:37.480 US farmers and US farmers for years have tried to 0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.800 develop markets in China and to and to and to 0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:44.760 increase all the soybeans and and and all the wheat 0:14:44.840 --> 0:14:47.400 and crops that they that they that they ship overseas. 0:14:47.800 --> 0:14:51.320 China has been the big market for those at the 0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:55.680 at the moment, guess who's having a bumper harvest, Brazil. 0:14:56.080 --> 0:14:59.080 So it it if you if China says, look, we're 0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:03.320 going to slapff's on American agricultural products, the messages we've 0:15:03.320 --> 0:15:07.040 got somewhere else to buy from. So American farmers, you know, 0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:09.680 would be getting nervous about this. And I think that's 0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:12.120 why one of the reasons why you saw Trump post 0:15:12.160 --> 0:15:15.760 on social media yesterday something about farmers are going to 0:15:15.800 --> 0:15:17.280 do great because we're going to put We're going to 0:15:17.320 --> 0:15:20.480 put tariffs on all food food imports, and so American 0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:22.520 farmers are going to do great. So a bit of 0:15:22.600 --> 0:15:27.520 preemptive reassurance there, I think maybe the President Trump anticipating 0:15:27.560 --> 0:15:30.600 that China would come back and retaliate against, you know, 0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:31.880 the heartland of America. 0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:34.720 All about thirty seconds left, Brendon, what does this mean 0:15:34.760 --> 0:15:37.280 for the existing US trade deal with Canada and Mexico 0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:39.080 and is the door still open to a trade deal 0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:40.440 with China. 0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:45.000 Well, that's there's an interesting role that that trade deal, 0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:48.840 the USMCA previously NAFTA, plays into this. That's supposed to 0:15:48.560 --> 0:15:52.880 be renegotiated in twenty twenty six. This was the deal 0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:56.520 that Trump renegotiated in his first term. It's up for 0:15:56.560 --> 0:15:59.760 renegotiation in twenty twenty six. And so perhaps what the 0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:03.520 that the strategy here is to put Mexico and Canada 0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:07.400 on the back feet, hit them with these tariffs, drive 0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:11.080 them to an early renegotiation in more favorable terms to 0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:14.960 the US. That's one way some folks are speculating this 0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:18.600 could play out, that this is really just a kind 0:16:18.640 --> 0:16:22.760 of a flurry of things that the US could do 0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:26.440 to sort of enter those negotiations in the strongest position possible. 0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:30.000 This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories 0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:33.080 making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:35.720 Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:39.160 Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:42.240 You can also listen live each morning starting at five 0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:45.000 am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 0:16:45.000 --> 0:16:47.880 in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 0:16:47.960 --> 0:16:51.880 Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:53.840 XM Channel one twenty one. 0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:56.800 Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 0:16:56.840 --> 0:16:59.600 now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. 0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:02.960 Don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the 0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:06.160 latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. 0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:09.520 Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to 0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:13.040 stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 0:17:12.840 --> 0:17:15.359 And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for 0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:17.320 all the news you need to start your day right 0:17:17.359 --> 0:17:20.560 here on Bloomberg Day Ray

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