Trump Sets New Iran Ultimatum; Saudis Raise Asia Oil to Record Premium
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On today's podcast:
1) President Trump issued increasingly aggressive threats to destroy Iran’s power plants starting Tuesday and bring “Hell” to the country following the rescue of a US airman more than a day after his fighter jet was shot down. Iran rejected Trump’s latest ultimatum to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, saying it would only fully resume operations when war damage is compensated. Tehran continued striking energy targets in Gulf neighbors, including Kuwait’s oil headquarters. Trump, in renewing his threats to target Iran’s civilian infrastructure, used an expletive in a social media post and told Axios he would be “blowing up everything over there” if Iran doesn’t make a deal. He said he plans a news conference at 1 p.m. on Monday and posted about a Tuesday 8 p.m. deadline, without offering details.
2) Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said she is looking to hold talks with Iran’s leader and possibly also a separate call with President Trump, as the clock ticks on the US president’s latest threat to bomb key Iranian infrastructure. “We are currently making preparations for leadership level talks,” Japan’s Takaichi said of talks with Iran during a parliamentary session Monday. “We will continue to do everything in our power to find an off-ramp to this situation and return to peace.” Takaichi’s comments came with Trump warning Tehran that the US will bomb Iranian power plants unless it opens up the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point through which Japan secures over 90% of its oil. Takaichi said that Japan would do what it can ahead of the Tuesday ultimatum set by Trump, suggesting that she was also seeking a phone call with Trump, though nothing has been finalized yet. Whether Japan can help defuse tensions or even play a mediation role remains unclear, but the nation has a key interest in maintaining a working relationship with a country that currently controls passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
3) Saudi Arabia has raised the price of its main oil grade to Asia to a record high premium, as a widening conflict in the Persian Gulf and Iran’s near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz convulse energy markets. State oil producer Saudi Aramco will increase flagship Arab Light crude prices for May sales to a premium of $19.50 over regional benchmarks for refiners in Asia, according to a price list seen by Bloomberg. Still, the level is less than the $40 a barrel premium anticipated by traders and refiners in a Bloomberg survey. The gap with market expectations is in part because of a volatile market, and as prices of some Middle Eastern grades dipped in the last week of March, according to traders. Aramco’s oil is also priced for loading in the Persian Gulf port of Ras Tanura, though all of the company’s exports are currently being shipped from the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea coast. Buyers typically incur additional costs to collect those barrels.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Alexis Christophers. Here are the stories we're following today. Alexis, we begin with the latest developments in the war with Iran. President Trump has extended his deadline until tomorrow night for Tehran to reopen the strait of horror moves. This came in a profanity laced social media post where the President threatened to blow up Iran's power plants and bridges before announcing what appears to be a Tuesday eight pm deadline. And all this comes after a harrowing mission over the weekend where hundreds of US special forces rescued an airman shot down over a mountainous area of Iran. We get more from Bloomberg White House correspondent Jeff Mason. There is an ultimatum, and that's sort of the operative question here is does he just kind of focus on this success and used that as a catalyst to continue with the two to three week deadline that he had focused on for concluding the war, or does he follow through on the escalatory language that he also employed last week in that's primetime speech on Wednesday night And reiterated in the Truth Social post about the deadline and the power plants. Bloomberg's Jeff Mason appeared on Bloomberg This Weekend, heard Saturdays and Sundays on Bloomberg Radio. This morning, Axios is reporting the mediators from Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey are pushing a forty five day ceasefire to head off President Trump's threats. The Associated Press reports Iran and the US have received a draft proposal. Meantime, the latest wave of US Israeli strikes on Iran has killed more than twenty five people. Israel's Defense minister says one of them was the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps intelligence unit. President Trump says he will hold a news conference from the White House this afternoon at one pm Wall Street Time. We'll bring it to you live on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and the Bloomberg Business app Nathan. Japanese Prime Minister Saney Takaichi says she is looking to hold talks with Iran's leader and possibly also a separate call with President Trump as the clock ticks on the President's latest threat to bomb Iran's infrastructure. Takeiichi made the comments during a parliamentary session today. Japan has a key interest in maintaining a working relationship with Iran, which controls passage through the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point through which Japan secures over ninety percent of its oil well. Right now, like Sis, crude oil is falling. Brent it is down one and a half percent, trading above one hundred and seven dollars a barrel. West Texas Intermediate It's down two percent at one hundred and nine dollars. Brent is up about fifty percent since the start of the war. In another note, Saudi Arabia is raising the price of its main oil grade to Asia to a record as the near closure of Hormus curbs flows. OPEC plus is warning the damage to Middle East energy assets will have a prolonged impact on oil supply even after the Iran war ends. The group approved a symbolic increase in output quotas for next month, with key producers agreeing to increase targets for May by about two hundred and six thousand barrels. A day, and equity futures are rising this morning. Alexis right now as in P futures are up four tenths percent down. Futures are two tents of a percent higher. Nasdaq futures leading the way, up seven tenths of one percent. The S and P five hundred, though, is down four point three percent since the war began in Several markets in Europe and Asia are still closed for the Easter holiday and. A sudden increase in gas prices is that to be on full display and key inflation data due out this week. Let's get the latest with Bloomberg's John Tucker and Alexis. The Iran war pushed up gasoline prices at the pump by at least a dollar a gallon. As a result, economists are forecasting a one percent increase in the consumer price Index for March. That'll be the sharpest one month advanced since twenty twenty two. These cpis do on Friday. Oil prices haven't rocked by five weeks of war, climbing to almost one hundred twenty dollars a barrel last month as key Middle East energy assets came under attack and I Ran effectively closed the Strait of Hord moves. Now all this is created with the International Energy Agency called the biggest supplied disruption in the history of the market and new inflation risk stemming from war the Middle East means the Fed may struggle the lower interest rates this year. You know, york Im John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. Okay, John, thanks, let's get an update now on the other major war overseas. Satellite images from NASA show Russia's key Black Sea oil terminal caught fire following an overnight drone attack. Ukraine is aiming to reduce the Kremlin's ability to export oil and re windfall profits from the global crude price spike driven by the war in the Middle East. Relentless drone strikes on oil ports reduced Russia's seaborne exports in March to the lowest in two months, according to Bloomberg calculations. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski is concerned that a prolonged Middle East war could erode America's support for Ukraine as Washington's global priorities shift. He says Ukraine urgently needs more patriot air defense systems from the US as Kiev tries to fend off, for lentles US Russian aerial attacks. Speaking over the weekend, Zelenski says he is ready for peace talks. We are ready to come. I always said that we are ready for the meeting on the level of leaders in any kind of fullmonth. Zelenski also claims Russia benefits economically from the Middle East War and is sharing intelligence with Iran. Hi above Earth Alexis, the Artemis astronauts are expected to complete a record breaking lounar fly by today. Read Wiseman is commander of Artemis two. He live streamed from the shuttle yesterday. We were looking out the docking hatch, which is off the camera to the top side, and we were just starting to see the Moon and it just looked up different, and we were we were catching glimpses of the far side, the side that you can never see from Earth, of Grimaudy, of Oriental. We were just starting to see around Grimaudy into that far And as for humans who have looked at the Moon our entire lives, it just looked different out the window, and that is wild. It just really put our place in the universe perspective. Artemis two commander Read Wiseman, speaking aboard the Orion crew capsule as the vehicle circles the far side of the Moon. Communication back to Earth is expected to be blocked for about forty minutes. This evening, the crew is expected to have reached the mission's maximum distance from Earth two hundred and fifty two thousand, seven hundred and sixty miles. That will surpass the farthest distance traveled from Earth by humans, which was set by the Apollo thirteen mission. Five oweight on Wall Street Time Now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. For that, we're John by Bloomberg's Michael bar Good morning, Michael. Good morning. Alexis. Pope Leo celebrated his first Easter Mass as pontiff, urging peace through dialogue and calling for an end to conflicts worldwide. Speaking before a crowd of about fifty thousand from Saint Peter's Basilica, Leo, the first US born Pope, emphasized Easter's message of hope and transformation. Happy sir, May you bring the joy of Jesus has risen and present in our midst to all you meet. Pope Leo is set to begin a ten day trip through parts of Africa, where he's expected to visit four countries. A challenge of faith in her darkest moments. That's how Savannah Guthrie described the last few weeks as the search for her eighty four year old missing mother, Nancy continues. The Today Show host spoke before the Congregant of Good Shepherd, New York during their digital Easter gathering Sunday. These moments of deep disappointment with God, the feeling of utter abandonment for most of us, there will come a time in our life when these feelings hold sway. Nancy Guthrie was reported missing from her Arizona home on February first. California is among those challenging the federal government on President Trump's executive order to limit mail in voting. Daniel Farber, a professor at u C. Berkeley Law School, framers of the Constitution clearly saw elections as a state function, and they've really only allowed these very limited. Exceptions, Professor Farber says. The president's executive order tasks the DHS with creating a list of citizens who are eligible to vote, and then it passes the list over to state election officials to enforce it. President Trump and doors Steve Hilton, a Republican and former Fox News host, to be the next governor of California from a wide field of candidates competing to replace Democrat Gavin Newsom. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg ELECXIS. Thanks Michael, time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. A blowout in the NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament championship game in Phoenix, UCLA all over South Carolina, nine to fifty one. The Bruins finish the season going thirty seven to one. The men have their championship game tonight in Indianapolis. Yukon has won six title games since nineteen ninety nine. Michigan, in their history, has only won one. With only four games left in the NHL regular season, the slumpy New York Islanders fired their coach Patrick Wahm. That's your Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us more from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business Oppum. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good Morning on Nathan Hager. Tuesday eight pm appears to be the latest deadline from President Donald Trump for Iron to reopen the strait of horror moves, even as mediators pushed for a ceasefire to head off the president's threats. Republican Mike Turner sits on the House Armed Services Committee. The streets are going to be open, and it's it certainly is important to occur. But you can't say, well, as long as the straits are open, we don't we can let them continue to be a power that marches toward being in nuclear power. Republican Congressman Mike Turner appeared on ABC's This Week Heard Sundays on Bloomberg Radio. Joining US this Morning from Jerusalem is Bloomberg News reporter Dan Williams. Dan, what do we know about mediation efforts and what to make of the president's latest threats? Good morning, Good morning. Not much except that there are reports that there is a final push, a forty eight hour push to get some sort of ceasefire in place. No confirmation of that, certainly, not from the Iranian side. From the US side, we've had bluster, we've had off delayed deadlines, which suggests either that President Trump is confident that he's close to achieving some sort of deal, it just needs a bit more time, or that he's buying time, playing for time, and one shouldn't rule out the possibility. We've seen this in previous weekends, arguably that this is yet another effort to calm energy markets ahead of their reopening after the Easter holiday weekend. So it's very hard to know. In terms of where I am Israel, which is the full partner in least militarily in this war. There is no confidence that a ceasefires in the offering. Perhaps that's wishful thinking. It appears these Raelies would like to have more time to press this campaign. They say every day brings achievements militarily against their archfur Iran, including overnight the killing of the intelligence chief of the IRGC. They are aware, however, that Trump calls the shots. In fact he's really Prime Ministers said as much a couple of weeks ago. He described Trump as the leader in this war and Israel as the US ally in this war. I e. The junior partner. So for now, I think everyone is waiting to see what becomes of this deadline. If it'll be met, if it won't be met, and what follows, or if it will be extended yet again. Now the President has gone back and forth, has any about whether it reopening the straight up hormus is even a priority for the US in terms of overall goals in the war. What could these latest threats mean when it comes to potential duration? Dan, Well, if we take the president and as would he's basically talking about laying waste to Iran, that would open up an entire new set of targets. It would open up an entire new set of questions over the legality of this war, given that many of those targets would by definition be civilian targets. It would also open up questions about the downstream effects of this war, given that both Trump and antony Al set at the outset aspirationally that while the immediate objectives of this war were military degrading Iran's ability to project strength, to project threats in the nuclear realm, the ballistic missile realm, their downstream aspirational goal was to see the Iranian opposition, the Ranian people, take the reins in Iran and topple this regime. Hard to see how unleashing massive force against assets. The wider population needs energy, desalination, water and the like. Electricity won't risk alienating the very population that the Allies say they're trying to help. Just thirty seconds left, we've heard Israel say Iran still has a thousand missiles threatening in What does that say about claims that the US has nearly achieved its objectives? Again, that raises a big question about the duration here. A simple back of the envelope calculation given to the Iranians have now been firing, in fact already four times this morning, by my account, missiles at a rate of about ten to fifteen a day, they could potentially last for months without arsenal. So, basically, but agagain, no one was offering here absolute success. What both the allies were offering was a dramatic degradation of Iran's capabilities in the hope that it would bring back an organic internal toppling of the regime, rather than just a functional attack on the arms of the regime, the military arms of the regime. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning potass on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on Sirius XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Alexis Christophorus. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ran