Global Markets Extend Selloff; Saudi Arabia's MBS to Visit White House
On today's podcast:
1) Global markets extended a broad selloff, with US stock futures signaling a fourth day of losses and Bitcoin briefly slipping below $90,000 as traders pulled away from speculative assets. S&P 500 futures fell 0.3% after the benchmark closed below its 50-day moving average in the previous session, a sign of scope for further losses. Bitcoin slid more than 1%. European stocks declined for a fourth day. Stock gauges across Asia were in the red, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 posting its worst day since April. Bonds were the biggest beneficiaries as investors sought havens, with the yield on 10-year US Treasuries dropping four basis points to 4.10%. The dollar held steady as gold fell closer to $4,000 an ounce. The cross-asset moves underscored continued unease over interest rates and tech earnings, with Nvidia Corp.’s report on Wednesday poised to test investor nerves over lofty valuations in the artificial-intelligence sector. Focus will then turn to the delayed September jobs report due Thursday, a key gauge for the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
2) Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller repeated his view that the central bank should again lower interest rates when policymakers meet in December, citing a weak labor market and monetary policy that is hurting low- and middle-income consumers. In a speech titled ‘The Case for Continuing Rate Cuts’ delivered in London, Waller said another rate cut would represent good “risk management” by the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee. He said he isn’t concerned about inflation accelerating or inflation expectations rising significantly given clear signs of softening demand for workers.
3) Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will likely be greeted with great fanfare by President Trump during his visit to the White House on Tuesday. The crown prince hopes to secure an executive order from Trump to bolster Saudi Arabia’s security and potentially pave the way for a stronger defense treaty. The two are also expected to reach an agreement that would allow the kingdom to purchase F-35 stealth planes, despite Israel wanting to keep a monopoly on access. Discussions on the future of Gaza and the thorny issue of relations with Israel are on the agenda as well. There also remains tension over access to AI chips and nuclear technology.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we are in the midst of a global market sell off this morning, and if the future's on Wall Street or any indication, the S and P five hundred is on track for its fourth straight day of losses. That would be the index's longest losing streak since August In Asia, the n e K two to twenty five stock average closed down three point two percent. Paul Dobson is a Bloomberg Markets executive editor. We sort of know a few of the risks that are hanging over markets at the moment. Those about are the valuation or the overvaluation potentially of the technology sector, in particularly the AI companies, which have had such a strong performance this year, and they're very extensive investment plans, and whether there's appetite to fund that. That's one thing that's worrying people at the moment. On top of that, there's also of what the federal reserve policy is going to look like. They seem to have been giving us the signal they may not cut interest rates in December which the market have been hyping for and expecting. Now Bloomberg's Paul Dobson says, the S and P five hundred is about three percent below it's October peak. Even harder hit than equities, Nathan has been Bitcoin. It's wiped out all of its gains this year, and earlier this morning fell below ninety thousand. Mike McLoone covers cryptocurrencies for Bloomberg Intelligence. So I'll give you a good indication. I think it's going to go lower. The Bloomberg Galaxy crypto Innix is down ten percent of the year now. About a third of that's Bitcoin. It's the rest of the space I think is finally we're realizing it's unlimited supply, massive hubrey and just speculative accesses look like they're just getting. Pers and Bloomberg Intelligence senior Commodities strategist Mike mcgloane, they're checking Bitcoin right now. It is training at ninety one thousand, three hundred dollars. That's down half percent. Another worry for investors, Karen, what we get from Nvidia earnings that's coming up tomorrow. Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett continues, our global team coverage of these markets. In videos report, We'll be closely watched as investors are uneasy over high AI valuations. Cameron Dawson is chief investment officer at New Edge Wealth. In video has shown a very consistent ability to jump over that high bar. Earnings are expected to grow sixty percent this quarter, and this is the third quarter twenty twenty six earnings for them on a fiscal basis, so in video is very much living in the future. The chip maker is widely expected to deliver another earnings beat in New York Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio. Meanwhile, Nathan notices of impending mass layoffs by US company search in October to among the highest levels on record. According to a tally by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland researchers, about thirty nine thousand Americans were given advanced notice of losing their job in monthly data from two thousand and six. That number has only ever been higher in two thousand and eight to twenty and nine, twenty twenty and May twenty twenty five. And Karen Fed Governor Christopher Waller is repeating his view that the Central Bank should lower interest rates when policymakers meet next month, Waller spoke in London. My focus is on the labor market, and after months of weakening, it is unlikely that the September jobs report later this week, or any other data that's going to come out in the next few weeks, is going to change my view that another cut is an order. Christopher Waller was appointed to the Fed's Board of Governors by President Trump in twenty twenty. He is one of five candidates that the White House is considering for the FED chair position when Jay Powell's term expires in may Well. On Capitol Hill, Nathan, the focus is about to turn to the Jeffrey Epstein files. The House is set to vote today on a bill that would force the Justice Department to release its documents on the late sex offender. Speaker Mike Johnson had resisted bringing the bill to the House floor for months, but a discharge petition forced his hand, and now President Trump says House Republican should vote for it. Democratic Congressman Rocana is one of the bill's sponsors, and he says today's vote could be overwhelming. We may get to a unanimous vote. Look, this is the most horrific disgusting scandal in American history. You had Epstein with basically a rape violin thousand plus victims, and rich and powerful men who raped underage girls or covered it up and haven't had accountability. Democrat Rocana spoke to ABC News. The meantime, the Epstein records that have been released are forcing a reckoning. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says he's stepping back from his public commitments after emails showed he'd been in correspondence with Epstein. Summers is a paid Bloomberg TV contributor and a professor at Harvard University. He says he'll continue to teach, but will step away from public duties to repair relationships with the people closest to him. The White House, Karen, President Trump is getting ready for a visit from Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Ben Salmon. President says he's ready to offer this Saudi leader something he's wanted for years. F thirty five fighter jets. You're in a great allay. They've got to like us very much. Look at the Iran situation, what we did their. President Trump spoke there from the Oval Office. Former Vice President Mike Pence says the F thirty five is America's most advanced fighter jet. He notes Saudi Arabia has a close relationship with China. I have concerns about the sale of F thirty five so to Saudi Arabia or any nation that could not assure the United States that technology and the great advancements that we've made with the F thirty five don't fall into the hands of nations that are hostile to our interests. Former Vice President Mike Pence tells Bloomberg's Pritty Gupta he hopes today's visit with the Crown Prince brings Saudi Arabia closer to normalizing ties with Israel under the Abraham Accords and Nathan. President Trump said his administration is making progress on lowering prices as he faces new political headwinds, and a speech to franchise owners from a Donalds, he thanked the fast food giant for offering cheaper options. I here you are. Recommitting to the affordable options of Americans that we really know and love all of the items that we love. And I hear that McDonald's is playing a very big role in that we're getting prices down for this country. And McDonald's and his franchisees brought back extra value meals at five dollars and eight dollars price points. I'm not for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomber's Monica Ricks Monica, good morning. Good morning, Karen. The United Nations has overwhelmingly approved the Trump Administration's plan for the future of Gaza. The drops resolution has been adopted as Resolution twenty eight zero three. Russia and China abstain from the vote, but the approval is a crucial step now that provides international support for US efforts to rebuild the war ravage region, in part by establishing a Board of Peace that would run Gaza over the next couple of years. Israeli officials have criticized the resolution since it also offers a pathway to Palestinian statehood. President Trump says he hasn't ruled out sending US troops to Venezuela, following an announcement from the Trump administration that it would designate of vellezuel and Cartel as a foreign terrorist organization. President Nicolas Maduto is pleading for peace. Meantime, Trump is urging more foreigners now to apply for visas to watch next year's World Cup. This will be a once in a lifetime opportunity to showcase the greatness of American world class athletic competition as we celebrate our nations two hundred and fiftieth year. The World Cup will also be an incredibly significant economic opportunity for Conculus American workers and businesses. The massive tournament will feature more than one hundred matches in the US, Canada, and Mexico next summer, and federal prosecutors are now being forced to turn over all grand jury material to former FBI Director James Comy's defense team over a quote disturbing pattern of profound investigative missteps in the handling of the case. Comy's accused of making false statements and obstructing a congressional proceeding relating to his testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee back in twenty twenty. Both sides expected in court tomorrow in Virginia. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Monica Rix and this is Bloomberg Karen. Thanks Monica. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Jaren byther My football was in Las Vegas. A three touchdowns second quarter for the Cowboys. They beat the Raiders thirty three to sixteen. Dak Prescott finished with four touchdown passes to four different receivers. Aaron Rodgers has an injury to his left wrist. He's fifty to fifty to play for the Steelers Sunday against the Vikings. The Atlanta quarterback Michael Pennix as a knee injury. He's likely done for the season. James Franklin surprisingly fired in mid season by penn State, as landed as the new coach at Virginia Tech. That's form Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us more from Bloomberg day Break coming out after. This coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Not such a good morning if your long equities markets are under pressure once again this morning on concerns around AI valuations, the federal reserve outlook, and a sell off in bitcoin. Grace Peters, co head of Global Investment Strategy at JP Morgan Private Bank, says she'd sum up her outlook for next year in three words, pressure but promise. Pressure from AI all we in a bubble. Questions still around the meanings of global fragmentation and inflation as well. But you know, as the title suggests, we do think promise is going to win out. That's Grace Peters of JP Morgan Private Bank. For more, We're joined by Bloomberg Markets reporter Valerie Titel, So that's the long term outlook, Valerie. But this morning feels like pressure is front and center. Good morning, Hey. Good morning, Nathan. Y S and P futures are in the red for a fourth straight session in a row. We're continuing to see underperformance in these tech shares, and Video was one of the worst decliners on the Nasdaq yesterday and the Nasdaq frankly, we really want to see these tech shares at least find some balance, find some ground somewhere before those earnings released from Nvidia on Wednesday night. We know that can really be something that could set the tone for tech stocks into your end. And as Grace Peters was pointing out there, you don't really want to end your end on a wobbly foot, because come January, when these slates are wiped clean for the year, investors really begin to rethink their allocations, and possibly the courus is growing for those to rethink their allocations away from US big tech. Now, what really started the weakness yesterday was another hyperscaler approaching the bond market. We had Amazon announcing a fifteen billion dollar bond offering, raising debt through investment grade credit. This has been a theme of late now that these hyperscalers have been needing to fund their next stage of their buildout when it comes to data centers using debt, and that does tie this tech story in with the broader narrative when it comes to the US Central Bank to the Federal Reserve. If they're needing to use debt financing in order to scale up, they are going to be dependent on whether the Federal Reserve has been hawkish or dubvish, And lately the Federal Reserve has been hawkish, putting that December cut wildly in doubt. We're now down to around forty percent chance of a Federal Reserve cut in December, their last meeting of twenty twenty five. Yeah, it's adding to all this debate about whether we're in an AI bubble right now from the analysts and strategists that you've been speaking to, Valerie, is it a feeling that the bubble is popping or that some of the air is just getting let out. Look, I think that all really comes down to Nvidia and what we hear on Wednesday night. Frankly, there has been a lot of two way discussion about whether this huge investment that we've seen into data centers is something that's going to pay off or is it going to be something that's going to have to mark down From part now, it goes to that saying that the investment in data centers this year has been something that has held up GDP growth broadly for the US economy. We've been hearing from the likes of other CEOs across the world saying that data center spending an investment is still holding up into the fourth quarter. So whether or not it will pose another boom to GDP in twenty twenty six, or perhaps we'll investors start to shy away from this investment and perhaps cause this AI bubble to burst. I think time is We're going to need some time on our hands to tell. But I think what the equity market is telling us right now is that there's a lot of jitters going into end video's release. Adding to those jitters some technical signals as well. With the S and P five hundred falling below it's fifty day moving average for the first time in months, we've been talking about how we could be on track for the four day losing streak. Here for the U S and P five hundred, what's the technical signal that we're getting. Well, Look, yesterday the S and P five hundred, as you mentioned, did close below the fifty day moving average. It's been something that it's been battling with though throughout this equity weakness through the month of November. It's whether, Nathan, we have a sustained break lower from that, then that will be a key tell that momentum is on a back foot, and essentially the market needs more good news outweighing anything of just being the status quo in order to rally back. But that being said, you know, we do have to frame this and the fact that the Nasdaq is still up seventeen percent on the year, the broader S and P five hundred is up some twelve and a half percent, So it has still been a good year for the equity market. It's just the last few weeks have been a struggle. And when it comes to breaking news and gaming out what the Fed could do. We are starting to get a trickle of official economic data. We just got the first round of weekly jobless claims from a month ago. What does that tell us? Yeah, so this this is a very odd one. The Department of Labor, which runs the Bureau of Labor Statistic posted figures for job as claims for the week ending October eighteenth. Now, this does seem like to some a random week in October that they were publishing figures for. However, it is this survey week for non farm payrolls that is their monthly survey of how many jobs the US economy has added alongside the unemployment rates. So perhaps this is telling us that the BLS is getting that October jobs report in line. However, what the jobles claims figures did show us that they job as claims were at two hundred and thirty two k that week in October. That is broadly in line with what city economists had penciled in using state wide level data, and that gave some solace to the market that economists who have been estimating essentially seasonally adjusted jobbles claims from the non seasonally adjusted state level figures have been broadly in lines that did give some calm to the market when that was released earlier this morning. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app Now with Applecarplay and Android Atuto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed. All day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Bray