US, Iran Argue Over Terms; Airline Fares Surge in Europe & Asia
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1) The White House has insisted that peace talks with Iran are ongoing, even as Tehran publicly rejected US overtures and issued fresh conditions of its own to end the conflict that’s wreaked havoc across the Middle East and global markets. President Trump claimed Iran was desperate to make a deal to end the nearly month-long hostilities. “They want to make a deal so badly, but they’re afraid to say it,” Trump told congressional Republicans Wednesday night in Washington. The comments ran counter to Iran’s earlier statements through state-run media publicly rejecting Trump’s push for talks. Tehran is also seeking its own guarantees, including that the US and Israel won’t resume their attacks, reparations for war damages and recognition of its authority over the Strait of Hormuz, according to state-owned Press TV.
2) Ticket prices on major routes connecting Asia and Europe have surged up to 560% this month and are likely to stay elevated through the summer and into fall as war-related disruptions ripple through the Persian Gulf, the world’s busiest transit corridor, according to Alton Aviation Consultancy. For June travel, fares across seven popular Asia-Pacific to Europe routes are averaging about 70% higher than a year ago, based on Alton’s analysis of data from analytics firm Cirium and online travel agencies. A Sydney-to-London ticket now averages more than $1,500, roughly double last year’s price. Fares include direct and one-stop flights, as well as transits through Gulf airports. Prices are expected to remain about 30% above last year’s levels even as far out as October.
3) Officials in Germany have started mapping vulnerabilities in US supply chains to identify points where Germany and its European Union partners could apply pressure, according to people familiar with the effort. Their goal is to create a consensus among EU nations on how they can use their leverage, if and when they get drawn into another dispute with the White House. The initial findings suggest ways to target the massive US tech firms with close ties to the White House, the officials said. Other options could aim for the AI investment boom that has helped to drive US stocks to record highs this year or push up drug prices for American voters, an issue the president has already shown he’s sensitive to.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest on the war with Iran. There is little let up to strikes between Iran and Israel, even as President Trump says talks to end the war are ongoing. We settled eight wars, people so to forget, and we're winning another one. I tell you, We're winning so big. Nobody has ever seen anything like we're doing in the Middle East with Iran, and they are negotiating, by the way. The President spoke at a meeting last night with Congressional Republicans, but the Iranians are not confirming that. As we hear from Bloomberg'sjumana Bersecchi in. Dubai, there has been no signing on to direct negotiations and even indirect negotiations. As of now, a meeting or a potential summit between the two sides has not been confirmed. There are plenty of reports earlier in the world Week suggesting that maybe Pakistan would be looking to host something along those lines, but that is not being confirmed either by the White House nor by Iran, and the messaging from Iran that has come through over the last twenty four hours is that they remains afiance and they are not in the mood to compromise. Bloomberg's John Everssetti reports Iran is laying out its own demands, according to state run Press TV. They include guarantees against future attacks, payments for war damages, and recognition of Iran's authority over the Strait of Horror moves. CNN is reporting that Vice President jd Vance could head to Pakistan this weekend for talks, but the White House says it's a fluid situation. Well. Nathan oil on the rise once again. Right now, nimexcrude oil is up more than three and a half percent and ninety three dollars fifty six cents a barrel. Brent is up more than three percent at one hundred and five dollars sixty seven cents, and Bloomberg Strategic Energy Team BNEF says the price of a Brent crewed could top one hundred and fifty four dollars a barrel if the Straight of Worror moves remains closed until mid June. David Ehrensberger, as the President of Global Energy at SMP. He says things could get worse from here. The markets that consume this energy, who depend on the Strait to be open, they're only feeling the late arrivals or the no arrivals of the energy that should be coming their way right about now, and that's going to build up over the next five or ten days. In a sense, the pipeline that's on the water from the Middle East of the world is going to start running empty. Nsmp's David Ernsberger. Oil prices have jumped since the start of the war. Brncrude is up almost forty percent, while West Texas Intermediate has risen about thirty percent, and. As oil rises, karen get ready to pay more for airline fares. Tickets on major routes connecting Asia and Europe have surged up to five hundred and sixty percent this month and are likely to stay elevated through the summer and into fall. Demand is already starting to soften due to travel uncertainty and higher fares. Syrium says summer bookings from Europe to the US are down fifteen percent from a year earlier, while traffic in the opposite directions fallen ill eleven percent well Nathan. The US Postal Service plans to raise prices to offset rising transportation expenses, including the. Cost of fuel. The USPS will increase prices by eight percent on some packages, including priority mail and parcels select offerings until mid January of next year. And after a delay due to the war with Iron Karen. President Trump is set to hold his summit with Chinese leader shi Jinping in Beijing on May. Fourteenth and fifteenth. We get more from Bloomberg Zamie Morris in Washington. President Trump will meet with Shi Jinping on May fourteenth and fifteenth in Beijing, and White House Press Secretary Caroline Lovit announced she will also visit Washington. First Lady Milania and President Trump will also host President she and Madam Ping for a reciprocal visit in Washington, d C. At a later date to be announced. This year, the rescheduled meeting in China will pose a fresh test of how comfortable President Trump and Hijinping are with the status quo on trade, US support for Taiwan, and the fallout for the US strikes on Iran that spurred a spike in oil prices in Washington. Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio. Amy thank you. As the War with the Iron drags on, so does the shutdown at the Department of Homeland Security that's led to long lines at airport security. This morning, Senate Republicans have rejected Democrats' the latest offer to end the standoff over immigration enforcement. North Dakota Republican Kevin Kramer says his side is getting frustrated. I don't know how they can get a better deal. We've given them a lot. Donald Trump has given them a lot. It's clear that TSA agents should be being paid, and there's absolutely no reason in the world for them to be against this deal. And that's Republican Senator Kevin Kramer. Democrats have not revealed their latest demands, but in the past they've called for enhanced training for ICE agents, body cameras, mass removal, and judicial warrants sent a majority. Leader John Soon says he's considering bringing in senators through the weekend or cutting back the upcoming Eastern break to get the funding issue you resolved. Well, let's get you the latest now, Karen. On that deadly plane crash in New York Slaguardia Airport, all but four of the passengers who were hurt in the collision between the Air Canada Express plane and a fire truck have now been released from the hospital. That plane for Montreal was carrying seventy six people. The two pilots were killed. Roughly forty others were treated at hospitals for injuries and. The programming note, Nathan. Markets may close on Fridays, but the world does not, and that's why we're bringing you a new live radio and TV show, Bloomberg This Weekend is looking beyond the daily headline, so the bigger themes driving politics, business and culture. Joined David Gura, Christina Raffini, and Lisa Matteo for smart conversations and in depth interviews that helped make sense of the week that's been and what comes next. Get Bloomberg This Weekend live Saturdays and Sundays from seven am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, TV and the Bloomberg Business App. Time now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Monica Rick Smonica good morning. Hey, Good morning Karen. Former Venezuela and President Nicholas Maduro will be back in court today in New York to try to convince a federal judge to dismiss his Narco terrorism case. His lawyer claims that the US government is interfering and violating Maduro's constitutional right to defend himself. He's been behind bars in Brooklyn and his wife as well since getting captured by the US and Venezuela in January. The Justice Department has settled a lawsuit with Michael Flynn for one point two five million dollars. He was national security advisor to President Trump during his first term and pleaded guilty to line to the FBI during its Russia investigation. Flynn was later pardoned and sued for malicious prosecution. New York Congresswoman Alexandro Cassio Cortes and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders have unveiled new legislation aimed at pausing construction on new data centers in the US until national safeguards are in place. Artificial intelligence and robotics will impact our economy, our democracy, our privacy rights, and even our very survival on this planet. Data centers have faced a lot of backlash over fears about rising electricity prices, and of course pollution, and a jury has found Meta and Google libel for harming a young user with products designed to be addictive. A twenty year old was awarded six million dollars in damages yesterday in Los Angeles, but Meta spokesperson Ashley Nicole Davis says they plan to appeal. We respectfully disagree with the verdict and will appeal. Team mental health is profoundly complex and cannot be linked to a single app. This is the first of thousands of product liabil ill liability lawsuits that could lead to more federal regulations. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now. I'm Monica Rix, and this is Bloomberg. Thanks Monica. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Gals Garrett first baseball game of the season won by the Yankees seven to nothing in San Francisco behind the pitching of Max Freed. Eleven openers today, nine of them. In the afternoon, NBA saw the Celtics and Oklahoma City's twelve game winning streak, and in Denver's win over Dallas, Jamal Murray scored fifty three points Dakola Jokic at twenty three points, twenty one rebounds and nineteen assists. The NCAA Tournament is back tonight. The doubleheader in San Jose starts with Purdue against Texas, and it's Arizona and Arkansas. In Houston, Nebraska plays Iowa and Houston plays Illinois. That's youa Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after. This Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business out. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning on Nathan Hager. On day twenty seven of the war where Iran, the fighting continues, even as the White House insists peace talks are under way. Press Secretary Caroline Levitt says Ian window of opportunity is running out. President Trump, that is not bluff and he is prepared to unleash hell. Iran should not miscalculate again. Press Secretary Caroline Lovit at the White House. We're joined this morning once again from Dubai by Bloomberg Middle East correspondent Jumana Perssecci, the anchor of Bloomberg horizons. Jamana, Good morning. There is some question, isn't there about whether talks are happening, who's doing it, what the parameters are, what's our latest sense of where things stand now? Good morning, Yeah, the latest sense that we get is there are not scheduled talks to happen in the next few days. There had been many outlets reporting about the possibility of an in person meeting taking place and as I'm about are in Pakistan over the course of this weekend. That is not being confirmed by the White House. It has also not been confirmed by Iran, who have maintained this very defiant stance and actually yesterday came out with a statement on their own press TV suggesting that the terms that the US had put forward to the war were not acceptable to them, and in turn asking and stipulating what they would need to see in order to return back to the negotiating table. And some of those terms are really maximalist. And here I'm talking about their ability to retain sovereignty over ships and vessels passing through the Strait of Hormos. They're asking the US for reparations over war damage, and they're asking for guarantees that the US will never attack Iran again, and so the two starting points for any basis for diplomatic discussions is still very very far apart, and there's a lot of skepticism here that the two sides can actually come together in the next few days to move forward with these discussions. Might be less than the next few days might have since President Trump set that five day window to avoid going after Run's power supply that runs out tomorrow, doesn't it. That's correct, and it really just raises the the possibility of further military action. And we've been reporting over the last couple of days that there are these marine expeditionary units that are making their way over to the region. Our understanding is that the first batch will arrive in the coming days, and Iran have said that they're watching the progress of the ground movements very very closely. Yesterday, the Speaker of the Parliament, mister Galibov, who has been very vocal on social media, warned that if the US followed through on their plan to take over carg Island, as has been reported by some outlets, then they would not hold back and retaliating once again against civilian infrastructure on any country in the Gulf that is seen to be helping the United States. So the threats and the rhetoric are still coming through, and as you say, we're getting closer and closer to that five day deadline, which coincides with roughly middle of the night and the Middle East tomorrow. Just thirty seconds left, youmana, But what's the risk at this point of other Golf Arab states joining in the conflict. Look, their resolve is hardening, but I think the bar from military involvement is still very high from officials and key officials that I've spoken to myself. Yes, they have kicked out at a chase, they have closed down some Iranian headquarters hospitals like in the calase of the UAE, but the bar for them to actually join in on military action I think is quite high. That being said, there is a lot of reporting suggesting that they are allowing the US to use some of their air bases, like in the situation of Saudi Arabia. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray