Democrats Sweep on Election Night; Supreme Court to Hear Tariff Arguments
On today's podcast:
1) Democrats swept the three major local elections in the US on Tuesday by wider-than-expected margins, giving the beleaguered party a much-needed boost 10 months into President Donald Trump’s second term. In New York, voters elected 34-year-old Zohran Mamdani, a democratic socialist, as mayor after he deployed a social media-savvy campaign and joined up with two progressive icons, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Mamdani — who will be New York’s first Muslim and South Asian mayor when he takes office Jan. 1 — campaigned on making the global business hub more affordable by using higher taxes on the wealthy to pay for free buses and city-run grocery stores, overcoming many voters’ concerns about his pro-Palestinian views.
2) Abigail Spanberger, a 46-year-old former CIA officer who left the House of Representatives after three terms in January, will be the first female governor in Virginia, a state that’s front-and-center in the battle over the government shutdown and efforts to trim the federal workforce. Likewise in New Jersey, Representative Mikie Sherrill, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won a race in which pocketbook concerns about utility bills, health care and schools were more central than culture war issues or government giveaways. About 6 in 10 voters in Virginia and New Jersey described themselves as “angry” or “dissatisfied” with the current state of the country, according to an exit poll conducted by the Associated Press, compared to just one-third who said they were “enthusiastic” or “satisfied.” Meanwhile, California voters passed a ballot measure that could flip as many as five congressional seats to Democrats from Republicans, handing Governor Gavin Newsom a major political victory in his fight against President Trump.
3) The fate of the majority of President Trump’s tariffs is in the hands of the US Supreme Court after lower courts ruled that they were issued illegally under an emergency law. The tariffs have remained in place to allow the Trump administration to appeal to the highest court, which is scheduled to hear arguments today. The Supreme Court case doesn’t touch upon the duties imposed on certain product categories using different legal foundations. For example, the Trump administration has put in place levies on steel, aluminum, automobiles, copper products and lumber by harnessing Section 232 of the 1962 Trade Expansion Act. Those tariffs depend on Commerce Department investigations that concluded that imports of such products pose a national security risk.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today, Karen. Election Night twenty twenty five is in the books from coast to coast, and we begin this morning with results from two key elections in the tri state area. Starting in New York City, the Big Apple has a new mayor. Bloomberg's Lisa Matteo joins us in Manhattan with more on the historic win for Zorn Mumdani Lisa. Nathan New York City residence. They really came out in force, producing the highest turnout in more than half a century, with more than two million votes counted, and in the end it was Democratic Socialist Zoram Mundanmi who came out on top, receiving fifty point four percent of the votes. Tonight, you have delivered to fourteen. New kind of politics for a city we can afford, for a government that delivers exactly. That, Immondami. He energized young voters with the campaign for a more Affordable New York City. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who ran as an independent after losing to Mandamie in the primary, he garnered forty one point six percent, with ninety eight percent of the votes counted. In his constant speech, Well Cuomo said he is ready to help in any way he can. We will all help any way we can because we need our New York City government to work. We wanted to work. For all New Yorkers because our city is the greatest city in the world. But Cuomo also said that the tally show almost half of New Yorkers did not vote to support government agenda that he said, quote makes promises that we know cannot be met now Republican Courtiously, while he received seven point one percent of the votes. When has sworn in on January first as the one hundred and eleventh Mayor of New York, The thirty four year old state lawmaker from Queens will be the youngest person to hold the office in a century. He'll also be the New York's first Muslim mayor and first person of South Asian descent. Nathan all Right, Lisa, Well, it was a big night for Democrats as well in New Jersey, wasn't it. Yeah? Sure, Mikey Cheryl. She has become the fifty seventh next governor of New Jersey with fifty six point two percent of the votes, defeating Republican Jack Chittarelli, who was actually backed by President Donald Trump. It was Chittarelli's third bid for mayor. But this is more than a local story. I mean, Cheryl's win is drawing national attention as a potential preview for what's to come in the twenty twenty six mid terms. She touched upon it during her acceptance speech in East Brunswick last night. Here in New Jersey, we know that this station has not ever been nor will it ever be, ruled by kings. Cheryl. She is a former federal prosecutor, Navy helicopter pilot. She won the support of former President Barack Obama. She will replace Democratic Governor Phil Murphy, who was back bar from law by seeking a third consecutive term. Her victory actually marks the first time in sixty years that one party has won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the Garden State. Lisa Matteo Bloomberg Radio. All right, Lisa, thank you. In another key race in New Jersey, former Governor Jim McGreevy and James Solomon will take part in a December runoff election in the race for mayor of Jersey City with ninety two percent of the vote. In Solomon received twenty nine percent, while McGreevy got twenty five point four. They were the top two vote getters in yesterday's nonpartisan election, but needed to get to fifty percent a declare. Victory well the Democratic victories, Karen continued. In Virginia, Abigail Spanberger is the Commonwealth's next governor. We sent a message to the whole world that in twenty twenty five, Virginia chose pragmatism over partisanship. Abigail Spanberger defeated Republican Winsome Earl Sears fifty two and a half percent to forty two point three percent with nearly all the votes counted to become Virginia's first female governor. The former congresswoman and EXCIA officer ran on economic issues and argued that President Trump's tariffs and government cuts have added to uncertainty in the state. We get more from Bloomberg's Joe Matthew. You've got somebody here who's going to probably try to be a check on the Trump administration, but also has a real good messaging when it comes to not only federal workers but the huge concentration of members of the military in Virginia. In Bloomberg's Joe Matthew notes about six percent of Virginia's workforces in the federal government. In another closely watched race, Democrat Jay Jones beat Republican incumbent Jason Miarez to become Virginia's next attorney general. That was despite a texting scandal in which Jones threatened to put quote two bullets in the head of a political rival two years ago. Jones received fIF fifty three point one percent of the vote to forty six and a half percent for Mirs and Boston Nathan. Michelle Wu has won her second term as mayor. She ran unopposed after winning big in the preliminary election over Josh Craft, who then dropped out of the race in September. Wu spoke to supporters after the polls closed. Tonight and over the next four years, we will send the same message we've sent since the day that Boston was founded, that the fight for our freedom, for our families, our friends, and the future we know to be possible is always a fight worth fighting for. Boston Mayor Michelle Wu is sixty five percent of precinct supporting WU earned ninety two percent of the vote, eight percent went to write in candidates. And the other major race Karen that we were at tracking was in California. Voters there passed Proposition fifty to redraw the state's congressional map before the midterms. With seventy one percent of votes counted, nearly sixty four percent of California voters approved the ballot measure that could flip up to five Republican held House seats to Democrats next year. California Governor Gavin Newsom is calling on other states to follow his lead. We can de facto and Donald Trump's presidency as we know it. The minute Speaker Jeffries gets sworn in as Speaker of the House of Representatives, it is all on the line. California Governor Gavin Newsom pushed Prop fifty to counter a move in Texas to flip up to five of that state's House seats to the GOP. Well In Colorado, Nathan voters opted to keep a ban on flavored tobacco in place. Bloomberg Dan Schwartzman. Reports Denver voters overwhelmingly voted to pass Resolution three ten, which upheld the city's ban on selling flavored tobacco products. Just last year, the Denver City Council passed an ordinance to ban the products, but opponents filed the ballot initiative to challenge it. The resolution became a national story as the supporters of the band raise five point eight million dollars, making the referendum one of the most expensive races in the twenty twenty five election cycle. Dan Schwartzman, Bloomberg Radio. All right, Dan, thank you, and we should note nearly all the funding for the committee and support of the band, Denver Kids Versus Big Tobacco, came from Michael Bloomberg, the founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, the parent company at Bloomberg Television and Radio. Well careen. Another major story we're following this morning is that deadly plane crash in Kentucky. At least seven people were killed nearly a dozen injured after a UPS cargo plane crashed and exploded shortly after takeoff from Louisville. Craig Greenberg is Louisville's mayor. I'd like to send my prayers to the families. Of the victims of this tragic crash. The aircraft was at UPSMD eleven with three crew on board. It just had taken off on a flight to Honolulu when it crashed in an industrial area close to the airport. Let's turn to Washington, Nathan, the government shutdown has reached a new milestone. It is now the longest in US history at day thirty six, and the standoff with Democrats continues. For Senate Majority Leader John Thune, I. Still don't know exactly what it is they want. We have accommodated a lot of their questions and concerns. They want to have a discussion about healthcare. We offered that up a long time ago. And Senate Majority Leader John Thune says he hopes this will be the week they can negotiate an end to the impass, but even if they do, they'll face another funding fight. The stop gap spending bill the House passed in September expires in a little more than two weeks. Meanwhile, military pay and partially funded food eight are likely to run out before the end of the month. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the shutdown will cut fourth quarter GDP by up to two percent if it continues for eight weeks. In Washington as well, Karen the Supreme Court is set to hear arguments about whether President Trump can use the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose import taxes after lower courts ruled he exceeded his authority. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has more from Washington. Earlier this week, on his way back to Washington, President Trump, on board Air Force One, said he would not attend the hearing, but called it an important decision. I think it's the most important decision in the history of our country. Without our being able to use tariffs really would suffer tremendously from a national security standpoint. There are other ways the president can impose tariffs, but those come with more limits and procedural restrictions. And while Trump's Supreme Court appointees have generally backed the president, this case will be the first time the Court will directly consider Trump's assertions of sweeping presidential power. In Washington, Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio. All right, Amy, thank you. Let's turn to the markets now, where futures are mostly lower Following yesterday's sell off on Walls Street at Global Chip Route saw roughly five hundred billion dollars erased and combined market capitalization from the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and a Bloomberg gauge tracking Asia chip stocks. Well one chip stock under pressure this morning, Karen has Advanced micro Devices. Those shares are down more than four percent. The main contender to Nvidia in the artificial intelligence chip market, failed to impress investors with its revenue forecast. AMD stock had more than doubled this year heading into that earnings report. Shares of super micro Devices. They are down more than eight and a half percent this morning. The server maker missed reduced estimates for first quarter sales and profit, and also gave it disabrning earnings forecast to the current period, reinforcing concerns about its ability to capitalize on demand for AI equipment. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. For that, we're dooined by Bloomberg's Monica Ricks. Monica. Good morning, Well, good morning, Karen, and we watched a lot of other key races last night in several states. Let's start in New York. Voters weighed in on six proposals in New York City, but the big ones were three housing proposals Props two through four on the ballot The City Council had been very vocal about them leading up to election day, arguing that changes would weaken their control over neighborhood development, but advocates say the measures were crucial for building more housing quickly, and New Yorkers agreed, passing all three between fifty six point eight and fifty eight point three in favor. New Yorkers also voted in favor of Prop Five, which would replace borough controlled paper maps with a unified digital map of New York City. That one favor of seventy three to twenty seven percent, and Prop six was voted down. Voters did not want to hold local elections in years when presidential elections were held. The No votes took it with fifty three percent to forty seven. This would have moved local elections from odd number years to even numbered to increase voter turnout. New York State's ballot Proposal one still tight. Eighty nine percent of the votes are in so far, with fifty two percent of votes approving a measure that would amend the state constitution to authorize an expansion of the Olympic Sports Complex in Exus County that's located within the state's Protected Force preserve. The special election for New York's one hundred and fifteenth State Assembly district that's still too close to call, even though Democrat Michael Cashman has declared victory over Republican retired State Police major and Troop Commander Bret Davidson. This district covers all of Clinton County, Franklin County, and a few towns in Essex County. The winner would replace Democrat Billy Jones, who stepped down back in September after nearly a decade in office. So far, Cashman's leading with fifty two percent of the vote. Democrats also scored big in mayoral races around New York State. Democrat Dorsey Appler's want an overwhelming majority to become the first black mayor in Albany's history. Sharon Owens, also the first black mayor in Syracuse. Now Sean Ryan won the race for Buffalo's mayor, and Mayor Malik Evans won a second term in a landslide in Rochester's mayoral race. Over in New Jersey, all eighty seats in the state's General Assembly were up for grabs, and Democrats had held a fifty two to twenty eight majority in the Chamber. Heading into Tuesdays electtion. A few races still close to call this morning, but it looks like Democrats will hang on to that majority. The current total is forty nine to nineteen seats, and Pennsylvania voters retained three state Supreme Court justices. They preserve Democrats five to two majority. The incumbents they're surviving to keep their seats. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Monica Rix and this is Bloomberg. Thanks Monica. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Daron. At the NFL trade deadline, that Jets traded maybe their two best players, cornerback Sauce Gardner to Indianapolis for two first round picks and defensive linemen Quinn and Williams to Dallas for first and second round picks. The college basketball season begins with Perdue rank number one. The Boilermakers had an easy season opening win Duke be Texas seventy five to sixty Oklahoma City Thunder defending NBA chams and eight and oh. This year they meet the Clippers in LA. That's a Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius Exam, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. And good morning. I'm Karen Moscow alongside Nathan Hager. And Election night twenty twenty five is in the books and it was a Democratic clean sweep in the major races in New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and California. A great night for self described democratic socialist mayor elect Zorn. Mom Donnie, tonight you have delivered. For change, for a new kind of politics, for a. City wee can afford. And again that is Zorn, Mom, Donnie in New York. We're joined now by Bloomberg Daybreak editor Mark Perryer Mark, good morning. Let's start in New York. I can't get past this, two million people coming out to vote and us saying it's the highest turnout in more than half a century. So a lot of people came out to vote in this election. It was a big deal. What did it for, Mom, Donnie? Good morning? Definitely a resounding victory. New Yorkers waking up to a different political landscape in the city. I think the lore here was the cost of living. He definitely appealed to a younger electorate, really hitting on wanting to bring change to the city, and that definitely appealed to the wider electorate. In the city. Affordability and change. Though those are big undertakings. Can he do it? Lots of challenges ahead. His populist approach definitely will have a lot of challenges. He's got to find the funding to cover these bold plans of his and he cannot forget Wall Street. I mean that's a fact. I mean he's got to, in my opinion, reach out to Wall Street and make it work. So interesting last night, late last night that Bill Ackman reached out through Twitter through x saying, you know, I'm here for you if you need be very interesting. I think there's potential there to work. But again, very strong populist message, but there has to be coalition building here. Yeah. Well, there are also wins for the Democrats in New Jersey and Virginia. We also saw that redition ting vote in California that passed as well. Does this tell us anything about the midterms coming up. I think it does. I think we're seeing a platform strategy forming within the Democratic Party that will hit on the cost of living. That's certainly proved to be beneficial to the Democrats in Virginia and New Jersey. So I think we're going to see them hitting on that. But again, within the Democratic Party, you have fraction and debate between a younger, more progressive, you know, more progressive activists and a more moderate wing. They need to work on that. They need to be on the same page moving forward. But when you look at the bigger picture, when you talk about the same page moving forward, I mean, these were not major battleground states. Obviously, New York isn't, New Jersey isn't. California isn't. So is there really a bigger takeaway from this or is this mostly what we could have expected in terms of election victories. It's what we were expecting. But I think they needed to see The Democrats needed to see positive headlines this morning, hitting every major newspaper in the country, and that's what they've achieved. It's a good look for them this morning after you know, suffering a lot, you know, a major loss to Trump last year. So I think it's all about re energizing the party and then moving forward with bigger victories. All Right, Bloomberg Daybreak editor Mark Perrier joining us this morning. Mark, thank you, Nathan. All Right, Karen, thank you for more analysis on election night twenty twenty five. We are joined now by Terry Haynes, the founder of Pangaea Policy. Terry, as we've been saying, it was a democratic sweep in the states of New York, New Jersey, Virginia, California. Is this a democratic springboard into twenty twenty six? Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. Is it's a little bit of a moment of clarity for Democrats, that's for sure. To add on to a point that was just made earlier. Democrats winning races they should win, as the bare minimum test Democrats passed last night, but reviving Democrats nationally is going to take a lot more than doing the minimum. And you've got two approaches here, you know, you've got a kind of this jarring juxtaposition between New Jersey and Virginia centrists who focus on, as Governor elect Spenberger and Virginia said, pragmatism and problem solving, versus Mamdani, who has taken this sort of pie in the sky approach, emphasizing things that you know they by and large you really can't deliver. So you know, Democrats by and large have a choice here and on paths. But that path is going to have to involve actually solving problems rather than expressing solidarity with the problems themselves. To that point, Terry, there was a focus from Mumdani and the gubernatorial Are the governors elect now in New Jersey and Virginia on economic issues, whether they expressed it in different ways, does that point to a strategy for Democrats in red states next year? It does? Yeah, absolutely, But the Democrats are going to have to do more than than express solidarity with with the struggles of people. Uh, They're going to have to not only show how they're gonna how they're going to solve it, but you know, you can look at the kind of the Petri dishes of Virginia and New Jersey is offering the first tests and whether those Democrats can be successful. Uh, Mamdanie's got his own problem, and that problem, as I say, is in part that his reach exceeds his grasp and that he needs Albany to help. But he's also got a choice. Does he become a builder and a change agent to solve what he can and bring along with him by doing the hard work of negotiating and persuading with the rest of New York State Democrats, including the national leader Schumer and Jeffries. Or does he become kind of builde Blasio reducts and merely promise without delivering. And that's the thing to watch in New York because if that doesn't happen, with the kind of spotlight that mun Donnie now has on him, if that doesn't happen, his failures could actually redown to the benefits of Trump and Republicans in the midterms. Does Mayor Elect Mumdanni have a problem with President Trump as well? We saw the President on truth Social last night during Mumdanni's victory speech, saying, and so it begins, He's threatened to cut off federal funding, He's threatened to deport mayor like Mumdani. What's in store for New York City? Now, Mamdani should be careful what he wishes for, because, uh, in this particular time of politics, both parties have shown that they're entirely capable of using whatever levers are available to them. So I would take as as serious Trump's threat to limit or even eliminate, if possible, funding to New York City. And you know, just by the same token, you have a situation in Washington where National Democrats have decided that it's worth keeping the government shut down and UH and causing delays to all kinds of services, whether it be SNAP, whether it be UH air traffic, whether it even be the data that markets and the Fed need in order to keep going uh, for the sake of political gain. So there's a situation here where uh, you know, the kind of the bare knuckleness of politics is kind of reaching a new dimension here Ocarius. So whether the election results these victories for Democrats could lead to a shift in strategy from either of the parties on the government shutdown. Now, I told markets last night and I will tell you this morning. I think there are two negatives and a positive from from from the situation. The first negative is shut down. Shutdown just got a lot more difficult to solve at a time where it's effects you're finally starting to bite. Democrats just got emboldened and got more difficult convinced that they should compromise with the immovable object bad Orange Man, and you've got this, you know, more New York City centric. You've got these jitters about about Mondani and what and what he might do and how you might be able to work with him if you're Wall Street. The markets positive is that it increases even more Trump and Republicans urgency to put in places much as possible of their markets friendly, economic and geopolitical agendas in the next twelve months, so to the extent that markets like economically what Trump and Republicans are trying to do, which by and large they very much do. Expect more of that and more quickly. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two to nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg and News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay inform all day long. I'm Karen Moscow and I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day. Ray