Instant Reaction: House Passes Funding Bill

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

The House passed funding to keep the US government operating until mid-March just hours before a midnight shutdown deadline, capping off a tumultuous two days in which two earlier plans pursued by Speaker Mike Johnson collapsed. For instant reaction and analysis, host Kailey Leinz speaks with Lester Munson, Principal of the International Practice at BGR Group and Republican Strategist, Jeanne Sheehan Zaino, Senior Democracy Fellow with the Center for the Study of the Presidency & Congress and Bloomberg Politics Contributor and Megan Scully, Bloomberg Capitol Influence team leader.

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2024-12-20 8 min Transcript

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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 0:00:07.080 --> 0:00:09.920 We have just gotten the gavel. The House has officially 0:00:10.160 --> 0:00:13.080 passed this stopgap funding measure that will keep the government 0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:16.680 funded through March fourteenth of next year. The tally three 0:00:16.800 --> 0:00:20.160 hundred and sixty six votes for this measure, only thirty 0:00:20.160 --> 0:00:22.840 four against. Not a single one of those votes against 0:00:22.840 --> 0:00:26.160 came from a Democrat. Ultimately, it was the Democrats who 0:00:26.200 --> 0:00:28.720 provided more votes to get this over the finish line, 0:00:28.720 --> 0:00:32.000 one hundred and ninety six Democratic members voting yes compared 0:00:32.040 --> 0:00:34.919 to one hundred and seventy Republicans. I want to come 0:00:34.920 --> 0:00:38.000 back to our political panel, Janie Shanzeno and Lester months 0:00:38.000 --> 0:00:41.240 in here. Lester, there were thirty eight Republicans who last 0:00:41.320 --> 0:00:43.920 night voted down the measure inclusive of the debt ceiling. 0:00:44.400 --> 0:00:47.960 Thirty four Republicans voted down this today with the debt 0:00:48.000 --> 0:00:51.720 ceiling taken out, it only changed four minds on that front. 0:00:51.920 --> 0:00:53.160 What does that signal to you. 0:00:53.159 --> 0:00:55.280 Well, it also changed the minds of all the Democrats. 0:00:55.440 --> 0:00:57.680 Fair enough, Yes, right, And that's. 0:00:57.160 --> 0:01:01.360 Really the key here. And so Democrats are clearly take 0:01:01.600 --> 0:01:05.319 Genie's earlier points on this exact question to heart. Democrats 0:01:05.400 --> 0:01:07.840 want to kind of force the votes next year and 0:01:07.959 --> 0:01:11.399 maximize their leverage over these tax issues which they are 0:01:11.440 --> 0:01:13.959 clearly going to be targeting. So you're starting to see 0:01:14.240 --> 0:01:18.400 the Democrats marshal their forces behind an agenda, thinking coherently 0:01:18.400 --> 0:01:20.959 about what that means, being willing to take some tough 0:01:21.040 --> 0:01:23.520 votes to get that done. And you saw those I 0:01:23.560 --> 0:01:25.840 think there was one present vote among the Democrats that 0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:28.080 there's one one Democrat who didn't vote favor this thing. 0:01:28.280 --> 0:01:30.720 So they have near total unanimity. They've they've got some 0:01:30.760 --> 0:01:33.479 real leadership. The question is going to be I think 0:01:33.640 --> 0:01:37.720 next year, can Senator Thun and Speaker Johnson do the 0:01:37.760 --> 0:01:41.240 same thing that McConnell and Ryan did eight years ago 0:01:41.600 --> 0:01:45.640 when they really guided the president's domestic agenda through Congress. 0:01:45.640 --> 0:01:50.960 Can these new leadership members do something like that next year? 0:01:51.000 --> 0:01:52.400 It's going to be a real challenge for him. 0:01:52.520 --> 0:01:54.560 Well, So, Genie, this is an excellent point that Lester 0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:56.560 is making, this notion that by and large we do 0:01:56.600 --> 0:01:59.880 see the Democrats sticking together and ultimately whatever Hawking Jeffrey 0:02:00.040 --> 0:02:03.240 says is usually what goes. And I wonder if you 0:02:03.280 --> 0:02:05.160 think that is going to be as easy to maintain 0:02:05.240 --> 0:02:08.040 when they are being asked to take votes on things 0:02:08.080 --> 0:02:10.480 like securing the border, something that was a weak spot 0:02:10.520 --> 0:02:13.959 for Democrats, frontline Democrats especially, and the last election and 0:02:14.120 --> 0:02:15.760 likely will be again in twenty twenty six. 0:02:16.680 --> 0:02:20.040 Yeah, I think we've seen Hakim Jeffries emerge as a 0:02:20.160 --> 0:02:24.560 very strong leader, following you know, the suit of Nancy Pelosi, 0:02:24.639 --> 0:02:27.560 who's also you know, one of the best that we've had. 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:31.600 And you know, the reality is is that he does 0:02:31.800 --> 0:02:34.880 have the respect of his caucus, and we've seen over 0:02:34.960 --> 0:02:38.120 and over again, in almost lockstep to Lester's point, that 0:02:38.200 --> 0:02:41.320 they do listen to his advice and that votes very 0:02:41.320 --> 0:02:43.920 well for him. It's not going to be easy, but 0:02:44.000 --> 0:02:47.040 I will say it is easier obviously to be in 0:02:47.080 --> 0:02:49.960 the minority than it is to be in the majority. 0:02:50.080 --> 0:02:52.440 So you know, it may be a different story if 0:02:52.480 --> 0:02:55.960 they took over the majority, But because they're in the minority, 0:02:56.000 --> 0:02:58.560 I think they will stick together next year. And the 0:02:58.639 --> 0:03:01.000 reality is is that it is going to be so 0:03:01.160 --> 0:03:04.040 close next year that Mike Johnson is going to need 0:03:04.120 --> 0:03:07.640 them again and that's not going to sit well with 0:03:07.960 --> 0:03:11.359 people like Andy Biggs and Chip Roy and many others 0:03:11.400 --> 0:03:14.640 on the Republican side. And the question is how does 0:03:14.680 --> 0:03:18.919 Donald Trump handle this particularly? How does he handle it 0:03:19.120 --> 0:03:23.720 when somebody like Elon Musk is controlling the largest megaphone 0:03:24.080 --> 0:03:27.080 maybe we have out there in terms of the Republican media, 0:03:27.400 --> 0:03:30.840 and when he shouts, everybody listens. That's going to be 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:34.640 really fascinating to watch. Well. 0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:38.080 Elon Musk's counterpart and in leading this new government Department 0:03:38.120 --> 0:03:41.120 of Government Efficiency, has just posted his thoughts on x 0:03:41.280 --> 0:03:44.960 vik Ramaswami, saying, quote, the last seventy two hours highlighted 0:03:44.960 --> 0:03:47.880 the positive impact that DOGE can have, but it also 0:03:48.040 --> 0:03:52.560 laid bare the massive lift ahead next year. We're ready 0:03:52.600 --> 0:03:55.520 for it, Lester, Both of Ake and Elon Musk aren't 0:03:55.520 --> 0:03:58.600 exactly ultra familiar with Washington. Do you really think they 0:03:58.640 --> 0:03:59.760 are ready for it? 0:04:00.160 --> 0:04:00.240 No? 0:04:01.200 --> 0:04:03.280 But I do like the way everyone is kind of 0:04:03.320 --> 0:04:06.480 dumping their hopes and dreams into the DOGE. Right. Oh, 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:08.920 this problem will be fixed next year with DOGE. Oh, 0:04:09.000 --> 0:04:11.800 DOGE has a huge opportunity. DOGE has already affected things. 0:04:11.960 --> 0:04:15.040 DOSEH isn't really even a thing yet, it does certainly 0:04:15.040 --> 0:04:18.520 have some potential. Their real work won't be done for 0:04:18.560 --> 0:04:21.000 a year and a half. Will this still matter then? 0:04:21.240 --> 0:04:24.200 Will President Trump still have the same relationship with those two. 0:04:24.440 --> 0:04:28.080 That's a big question. So I think it's mostly hopes 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:30.560 and dreams right now, but it certainly could become reality 0:04:30.680 --> 0:04:33.440 if people actually sit down look at it. Interestingly, there 0:04:33.480 --> 0:04:35.359 was a Tom Cole article on the Wall Street Journal 0:04:35.360 --> 0:04:37.480 this morning talking about they're going to have to look 0:04:37.480 --> 0:04:39.880 at entitlements if they really want to get close to 0:04:39.880 --> 0:04:43.120 a balanced budget. There's real truth in that, and that's 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:45.080 not really something Republicans want to tackle yet. 0:04:45.120 --> 0:04:47.320 Well, when I was speaking with Congressman Beth Van Dyne 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:49.880 just a moment ago, she was talking about how they said, yes, 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:51.360 we're going to raise the debt ceiling, but we're going 0:04:51.400 --> 0:04:53.800 to cut two and a half trillion dollars in spending 0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:56.400 in order to offset that, and Megan schullly mathematically that 0:04:56.440 --> 0:04:58.479 probably doesn't work if you're going to not be touching 0:04:58.520 --> 0:05:01.479 Social Security and Medica, and as does not two point 0:05:01.480 --> 0:05:04.240 five trillion is more than the federal discussion your budget 0:05:04.279 --> 0:05:07.080 on an annual basis. So to put it in perspective, 0:05:07.600 --> 0:05:10.599 the Defense Department is, you know, creeping up to a 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:14.839 trillion when you factor in emergency spending, and everything else 0:05:15.080 --> 0:05:20.080 is dwarfed in comparison. So finding that means digging deep 0:05:20.160 --> 0:05:23.839 into entitlements. And that's when I think you're going to see, 0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:27.279 particularly House members and senators who are up for election 0:05:27.480 --> 0:05:32.200 in twenty six really getting nervous because that Social Security 0:05:32.640 --> 0:05:35.360 is the third rail, and there are a lot of 0:05:35.839 --> 0:05:38.960 weird rules about how we can legislate on Social Security 0:05:38.960 --> 0:05:40.680 and whether or not it can be part of this 0:05:41.040 --> 0:05:44.040 budget deal, whether it has to be dealt with separately, 0:05:44.920 --> 0:05:48.320 but it is. You know, when you're talking about entitlements, 0:05:48.320 --> 0:05:51.280 you're not just talking about Social Security, You're talking about Medicare, 0:05:51.520 --> 0:05:54.440 you're talking about Medicaid, and you're talking about veterans benefits, 0:05:54.480 --> 0:05:59.640 which is something that lawmakers are very loath to you know, 0:06:00.080 --> 0:06:03.440 send well. But that doesn't mean that Ramaswami and Musk 0:06:03.560 --> 0:06:05.640 might not recommend it. But at the end of the day, 0:06:05.640 --> 0:06:07.600 and Lester was alluding to this, they are not elected 0:06:07.640 --> 0:06:11.560 members of the US government. They can only do recommendations. Technically. 0:06:11.960 --> 0:06:14.039 Have we not learned this week though, that their words 0:06:14.120 --> 0:06:18.480 ultimately can matter to legislation even before they've made their 0:06:18.520 --> 0:06:19.680 doge recommendations. 0:06:20.160 --> 0:06:24.479 Yes and no. Right, so Musk has talted you know, 0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:27.839 look at the you know, fifteen hundred page bill. You know, 0:06:27.920 --> 0:06:30.479 versus this one hundred and forty or however many page 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:33.200 bill it is, and looking at the differences between the size, 0:06:33.400 --> 0:06:35.200 the fact of the matter is the majority of that 0:06:35.279 --> 0:06:37.479 spending is still in there. And if that is what 0:06:37.720 --> 0:06:40.480 DOGE is going after that one hundred and ten billion 0:06:40.560 --> 0:06:44.000 for farmers and for disaster aid, you know, tells you 0:06:44.040 --> 0:06:46.919 something that lawmakers were not going to cut that because 0:06:46.920 --> 0:06:50.400 that affects people's lives in their districts and in their states. 0:06:50.640 --> 0:06:53.960 Absolutely, And Genie, we just have about a minute or 0:06:54.000 --> 0:06:57.200 two left here, but considering this is our last evening 0:06:57.200 --> 0:06:59.520 addition of balance and power of the year twenty twenty four, 0:06:59.560 --> 0:07:01.560 and we are it like this with a down to 0:07:01.640 --> 0:07:04.719 the wire vote basically trying to avert a government shutdown 0:07:04.720 --> 0:07:07.680 that the Senate has to still act on. Given everything 0:07:07.720 --> 0:07:10.560 that has gone down in this year, does this surprise 0:07:10.640 --> 0:07:12.880 you in the slightest that we ended up in this 0:07:12.960 --> 0:07:14.000 moment at the very end. 0:07:14.000 --> 0:07:17.640 Of it, not at all, Although I am through that 0:07:17.720 --> 0:07:20.360 they did pass the government. It keeps it open. People 0:07:20.360 --> 0:07:22.880 can go home for the holidays, including you, Kaylee, who 0:07:22.880 --> 0:07:25.720 deserves a holiday and arrest. But you know, this is 0:07:25.760 --> 0:07:27.840 the one hundred and eighteenth That's how it's been from 0:07:27.840 --> 0:07:31.360 the very very start, and it has continued this way. 0:07:31.720 --> 0:07:33.680 I would say I want to be optimistic and say 0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:35.800 the one hundred and nineteenth is going to be different, 0:07:36.160 --> 0:07:38.960 but mathematically, and this is a game of numbers, can't 0:07:39.000 --> 0:07:41.480 imagine how it could be that much different. 0:07:43.000 --> 0:07:45.160 All right, final question to all three of you, Genie, 0:07:45.320 --> 0:07:48.880 will the Senate be able to pass this measure by midnight? Yes? 0:07:49.000 --> 0:07:51.200 They will. Meghan just explained it. 0:07:51.200 --> 0:07:54.360 Thank you Meghan, and Meghan your answer is still yes. 0:07:54.400 --> 0:07:57.640 I'm assuming I hope, so we all hope. 0:07:57.640 --> 0:07:57.720 So. 0:07:57.800 --> 0:07:58.480 Lester mumpson. 0:07:58.720 --> 0:08:01.080 Final word to you, also yes, but there's going to 0:08:01.120 --> 0:08:03.960 be some votes on Lee and or Ram Paul amendments. 0:08:04.120 --> 0:08:07.280 Megan predicted that one as well. Thank you so much 0:08:07.320 --> 0:08:09.320 to all three of you for joining me as we 0:08:09.400 --> 0:08:12.000 have worked through this breaking news in Congress as we 0:08:12.040 --> 0:08:14.360 work to avert a government shutdown. Megan Scully, who leads 0:08:14.360 --> 0:08:17.960 our capital influence team here in Washington, Genie Shanzeno, and 0:08:18.040 --> 0:08:20.280 Lester months in my political panel this evening, Thank you 0:08:20.360 --> 0:08:22.960 so much again. The stopgap funding measure to keep the 0:08:22.960 --> 0:08:26.880 government funded through March fourteenth of next year has passed 0:08:26.920 --> 0:08:29.960 the House by a wide bipartisan margin, more Democrats putting 0:08:30.000 --> 0:08:30.600 up votes for it,

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