US and Iran Talk in Doha; Trump's $1.4 Billion Crypto Haul
Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.
On today's podcast:
1) US negotiators Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff had positive discussions with regional leaders in Qatar and technical talks with Iran are moving ahead. The US and Iran are seeking to ease tensions and forge a longer-term peace deal after recent attacks imperiled an already fragile ceasefire. Progress is being made in separate technical talks, but major issues such as the release of Iranian assets and the future management of the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved.
2) Progressive insurgents took down establishment incumbents in Colorado midterm primary elections last night. In the 1st District, 29-year-old democratic-socialist Melat Kiros unseated nearly 30-year Congresswoman Diana DeGette. In the closely-watched 8th District, the more progressive Democrat in that race, Manny Rutinel, beat Shannon Bird in a landslide. In the state's Democratic governor's race, state Attorney General Phil Weiser defeated Senator Michael Bennet. However, in Colorado's Senate primary, incumbent John Hickenlooper held off a challenge from self-described insurgent progressive Julie Gonzales.
3) The US government removed foreign access restrictions on Anthropic PBC's Fable 5 artificial intelligence model, clearing it for wider distribution. Anthropic had disabled its models and been in discussions with officials to satisfy safety concerns after the Commerce Department imposed an export control rule. The company will enable Fable 5 access to users globally and allow usage on cloud services run by Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, and will work with Washington to expand access to Mythos 5.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest developments in the Middle East. A senior administration official says US negotiators have had positive discussions with regional leaders in Katar and technical talks where Ron are moving ahead. We get more from Bloomberg Middle East correspondent of Birabu Omar. What we've heard from our own sources is that the meeting between Jared Kushner and Steve Whitcoff, those are President Trump's two top negotiators with the Iranian side in Qatar, had went positively. We don't have a lot of details yet. What we have from the American side was that some concessions were reached. What we have from the Iranian side through the top negotiator in Iran and the speaker of the parliament there, Kladibav he said that twelve billion dollars in frozen assets are in the process of being relieved. We don't have American confirmation of. That, and then he said that the oil sanctions on Iran have been lifted. We also don't have confirmation on. That, Bloomberg Sabirabu Almar reports the indirect talks will continue today. Meanwhile, Iranian state television is reporting a foreign container vessel ran aground in the Strait of Horror Moves today. The report says the ship did not follow Iran's approved route through the waterway and shippers need to follow the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps instructions in the Strait. Now, let's get to domestic politics. Nathan Colorado held its mid term primary elections last night, and in several key races, progressive insurgents took down establishment incumbents in the Mile High state. In the first district, twenty nine year old Democratic socialist Maylack Heiros unseated nearly thirty year Congressoman Diane to get fifty one to forty two percent. Then for voters of all ages, of all races, of all. Religions, that's a clear message. Wait, well, not right. That was mail At Kiro sent her victory speech last night. She'll face Republican Christy Peterson in November. She ran unopposed. Well, it was a bit of a different story in Colorado Senate primary, Karen incumbent John Hickenlooper held off a challenge for him self described insurgent progressive Julie Gonzalez fifty five to forty five percent. Hicken Looper will face on opposed Republican Mark Baisley in the general election, but in the closely watched eighth District, the more progressive Democrat in that race, Manny Routinel, beat Shannon Byrd in a landslide sixty one and a half to thirty four percent. Rudnell will now try to unseat Republican Gabe Evans in a district that has changed hands since it was created five years ago. And in Colorado's Democratic governor's race, Nathan State Attorney General Phil Wiser defeated Senator Michael Bennett fifty six to forty four percent. And Colorado in the face of a lawless, bullying Trump administration trying to intimidate us whipperay w rip away our rights and freedoms, You made it clear that we need a leader will fight back. Never been the knee. Phil Weiser will face the winner of the Republican primary to replace term limited Governor Jared Polis. The race is still too close to call, with eighty eight percent of votes counted. State Senator Barb Kirkmeyer has forty percent, and pastor and Marine Corps veteran Victor Marx is at thirty nine point six percent. In Washington, Karen House Speaker Mike Johnson's latest attempt to advance the Save America Act as failed. That's caused a delay for a must pass defense bill. Bloomberg Zamy Morris reports from the nation's capital. Thirteen Republicans voted against the measure that would have set rules for debate, with GOP hardliners arguing it would make it too easy for the Senate to remove provisions of the Save America Act. Senate leaders have said they can't pass it as a standalone measure, so Johnson moved to attach it to the must pass Defense bill, but that failed. Now Republicans are weighing their options, including amending the Defense bill with provisions from the Elections bill or using a fast track process to bypass the filibuster. In Washington, Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio. All right, Amy, thank you. Let's turn now to the Supreme Court. The Justices use the final day of their term to reject a central plank of President Trump's immigration agenda, finding that his executive order to limit birthright citizenship to children with at least one US citizen parent does not square with the Fourteenth Amendment. Begin more from Bloomberg News senior reporter Miles Miller. It now throws the president's immigration agenda sort of into a flurry. What is left to figure out is what happens with USCIS. Is there further litigation risk. There's a lot of questions still unanswered, but a big win for people in the immigration community who were saying that this was fundamentally going to change the way that the US has operated for one hundred fifty years. And Bloomberg's Miles Miller reports the Supreme Court six conservative justices spend much of the term issuing decisions to expand presidential power, hands gun rights, eliminate campaign finance restrictions, and blunt the Voting Rights Act, But they took a more cautious tack on President Trump's tariffs, his bid to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, and a birthright citizenship. President Trump may try to get the Supreme Court on his side one more time. His lawyers say he may ask the High Court to reconsider its decision to turn away his appeal of e Gene Carroll's five million dollars sexual abuse lawsuit. Well, Karen, President Trump has issued his latest annual financial disclosures, and he reported a big return on some of his businesses. Bloomberg's John Tucker is here with the look John. Good morning, Yeah, good morning. Nathan. Trump reported earning at least one point four billion yeah, that's billion with a bee last year from crypto and meme coin related businesses. Now, this disclosure is reigniting concerns that Trump is using the presidency to churn out personal profit. Critics accused him of mixing his official duties with his financial interests. With a crypto Hall was by far the largest source of the present cident's income. The disclosure lists more than six hundred and eighty pages of transactions. Nvidia, Microsoft, Netflix, and Exon Mobile among the most frequently traded stocks in his portfolio. Trump's networth is now an estimated seven point six billion dollars, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires he Index. And with all that money, Trump isn't paying for his own tickets. The disclosure show he received about one hundred and twenty thousand dollars in tickets to high profile sporting events. Most recently watched the next during the NBA Finals at MSG in New York. Coom John Tucker Bloomberg Radio, all right. John, thank you. The US government has lifted foreign access restrictions on Anthropics Fable five AI model. The move comes after Bloomberg reported that Anthropic executives held private talk with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik about the model's safety parameters. The reversal comes three weeks after Washington blocked overseas access and what was its biggest intervention yet in the EI industry's. Talk about the weather, Now, Karen, because extreme heat is expected across much of the Northeast and mid Atlantic, we get the very latest from Bloomberg meteorologists Craig Allen. The sweltering heat begins today and it will last into the July fourth weekend. Alerts for the heat, mostly extreme heat warnings, are in effect, with temperatures reaching the upper nineties in DC today, middle nineties in New York City, Boston and nearby urban areas. The humidity will be stifling two so from DC up through Philly to New York City Boston, the heat index will make it feel like one hundred to one hundred ten degrees today, perhaps higher tomorrow, and knights may not drop a low eighty in the urban areas, and this is dangerous if there is no way to cool off the body. Please adhere to the protocols if you are feeling any type of heat illness. Right Bloomberg Meteorologists, Craig Allen, thank you, and of course we'll be checking in with Craig throughout the morning. The weather not the only thing that's red hot. The first half of twenty twenty six is in the books, and it was the best quarter for stocks in six years. Traders are now looking for the third quarter and beyond, and we get more with Bloomberg Stirlipellett. For the quarter of the S and P five hundred index was up fourteen point nine percent, fueled by optimism over AI spending. A rally in chip stock signs of economic resilience as well as the outlook for corporate earnings. Sima Shaw is chief Global Strategist at Principal Global Investors. So we're very clear that the direction of travel is still up with for markets, but you're unlikely to see the same kind. Of matitude of games. If we've had in the last three months. Chip stocks were the standout during the quarter, with the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index having its best quarter ever, up eighty eight percent. In New York. Charlie Pellet, Bloomberg Radio. All right, Charlie, thanks Today, investor attention turns to Portugal, where central bankers, including FED Shair Kevin Warrish, you're speaking at the European Central Bank Forum in CenTra. Paul Dobson is executive market seditor for Bloomberg. What they're hoping to hear, I think we can talk about what they're worried they're going to here, which is the idea that the new f ED chairman is going to double down on his sort of stance on inflation, which is the FED wants to get it back down to target to gain credibility. What that's been doing recently has been pushing up our short term interest rates in the US, and that in turn has been buoying the dollar and weighing on currencies all around the world. That's Bloomberg Executive Market Senator Paul Dobbs, and you can catch Kevin Warsh's remarks live starting at nine am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio and the Bloomberg Business app. Only then the dollar is edging higher ahead of the FED Chairman's speech. In fact, that yen remains sner a forty year low. And when then the chief economist at Bank of NASA says, the Bank of Japan needs to take action, They need. To hike rate. I think they're reluctant to you because the economy is sort of vulnerable with the Iran conflict. But I think when comes to shove, you'll have to intervene, and I think you'll have to higrates a little more aggressively. And back of downside. Chief economists Whin Thinn checking the yen right now, has said one sixty two point sixty eight against the dollar. We're watching shares of Nike in the pre market, Karen. They're down nearly four percent. The sportsware makers expecting a slow down in the coming quarter. Nike blames the timing of wholesale shipments in North America, among other factors, and says its customers are under pressure around the world. Nike stock is down thirty six percent this year. And Nathan Microsoft is reportedly planning job cuts. The Insider reports the cuts will impact thousands of roles, including sales and consulting. Microsoft is rating and costs as it ramps up spending on AI. The software giant raised about six hundred billion dollars in market value in June time. Now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's and Michael Barr and Michael, good morning. Good morning, Karen. The death troll from the earthquakes that struck Venezuela rose to nearly two thousand as authorities expanded recovery efforts. About twenty thousand people survived the disaster in the hardest hit coastal state of Laguira, and the earthquakes left more than ten thousand people injured in fifteen thousand displaced. But almost a week after the twin quakes, there are moments of hope and joy. Survivors are still being pulled from the brubble, and rescue squads from all over the world have not given up. Rescue squad officer Sean Butler says that is why he and his team from Los Angeles are staying. Butler says they were on the roof of a collapsed building and heard sounds. We believe there's somebody alive right now. When we use our listening devices, we can hear tapping on the concrete when we call to them. One rescue included a three year old boy discovered by searchers from Jordan, using cameras to monitor him until they could finally get him out. He is said to be in good shape. New Jersey Representative Tom Kane Junior revealed that he has been treated for depression as he returned to the US House to vote for the first time in nearly four months. Cain said he was diagnosed while undergoing testing for undisclosed health concerns and initially did not expect the treatment to involve such a long absence from Congress. Cain spoke on the House floor Tuesday. To my constituents. Thank you, thank you for your patience, thank you for your understanding, thank you for your prayers, and thank you for allowing me the honor of serving you. Cain's Democratic opponent, Rebecca Bennett, said she is relieved that Cain is well, but criticized him for making stock trades while missing votes and failing to serve the community. Cain and Bennett will face off against each other. In the fall. Thousands of demonstrators have gathered in South Africa to protest to illegal immigration. This marks the largest migration related protests since two thousand and eight. Activists blame migrants for unemployment and crime and gave the government a deadline that ended yesterday to remove all migrants in the country illegally. The government has rejected the deadline, stating only authorities can enforce immigration laws. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg Karen. Thanks Michael. A time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update, and for that we bring in John Stashauer. Thanks Darren. On the day that forty four year old Serena Williams came out of her retirement, forty one year old Lebron James gave word that he's not retiring. He'll come back for a twenty fourth NBA season, but it won't be with the Lakers. He'll be a free agent. The word is he could be hooking up with Steph Curry at Golden State or maybe returns to Miami or Cleveland. As for Serena, she lost her first round match at Wimbledon to twenty year old Maya Joint that came in three sets. It's the US against Bosnia Herzegovinia tonight in the World Cup. That's a Bloomberg Sports update. Cool. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. Positive Discussions is how a senior Trump administration officials describing the latest indirect talks with Iran for US envoys Steve Whitcoff and Jared Kushner. Discussions are expected to continue today in Qatar's capital. For the very latest and for more on the politics of the moment, we are joined by Terry Haynes, the founder of Pangaea Policy. Great to have you on with us this morning. Terry, positive tone coming out of Katar. What's your read on the discussions such as we've heard about them so far out of Doha? Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. A couple of things. One is that what we have here is a process of gradually kind of surrounding Iran and been kind of denying it, negotiating freedom of movement as much as anything else. Marked the will always prefer, as Churchill said, jaw jaw rather than a war war. So that's certainly a market positive. And more broadly, if Iran's endgame is straight of hor moves as controls as widely thought, I think there are four reasons why they don't get that. First, the UN law the Sea Treaty, which would deny them that any final deal has to be approved by the UN. UN is not going to blow up its own treaty over the straight of Horm moves. And I say Congress would not approve any deal. The Gulf States wouldn't agree to any deal. They're not interested in giving up sovereignty over what hereof has been international waters. Iran and Oman know all this. So the idea of maximum leverage over the straight of Horm moves I think is a little bit overblown. So, you know, after the press reports today, including Bloomberg's which I've read, the direction of travels positive, that's a good thing for markets. Report from Iranian state television this morning that a foreign container ship ran aground because it didn't follow Iran's approved route through the strait, saying that vessels need to follow IRGC instructions. Could Iron be reasserting its influence over the strait this morning. It could be reasserting its influence. It could also be reasserting its influence over its own airwaves and putting out a lot of reports that have questionable credibility. We don't know, obviously, you know, not only that the situation I think is best is confused, which is leading to shipping, you know, not just deciding everything's open and everything's okay. This is going to be a gradual process. And so where we are, I think is the gradualness of the straight reopening continues. But again I think the direction of travel is good. You got to get your take on the direction of travel for the Democratic Party after last night's Colorado primary. Is a long time incumbent in the first district lost to a twenty nine year old Democratic Socialist in the first congressional district. Is a progressive wave moving through the Democratic Party. I think the you know, there's been a lot of debate about whether or not the you know how, the progressive wing and the centrist wing or fighting with each other. My view has been for a few months now that that battle is over and the Centrists of largely lost the energy and the money, and the party, including you know, non elected people and fundraisers, has long been with the progressive wing. They frankly kind of outstripped their kick, their coverage in that regard. And you know what you're seeing here in primaries, we're only the kind of the hardcore come out. Uh is that they're good at turning out their people. Now will that turn into results in a general election. I'm very skeptical of that. I think. I think what ends up happening is that Trump and Republicans are going to brand the Democrats as the crazy party. I think so a lot of that sticks in places that aren't full blue states, and you're already seeing the air come out of the balloon a little bit in the generals where prominent candidates like Platner in Maine, tell Rico in Texas can't get the fifty percent of any polls. Polls aren't definitive, but generally speaking, if you're seeing a way of support, you're seeing one candidate go over fifty, they're not there. Not only that, at least one pole as Collins leading Platner in Maine. Right now, if the progressive progressives seem to prefer purism over electability, that trend seems to be continuing. It might even continue in Michigan, where LSI ed is leading Stevens and McMorrow. If that continues, Republicans continue to be sixty percent likely to take November. As I've said for about a plunk. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak And