Markets Poised for Seven-Month Low; Trump & Mamdani to Meet Friday
On today's podcast:
1) Global stocks are poised for their worst week in seven months as concerns over lofty valuations and whether massive investments in artificial intelligence will pay off prompt investors to retreat from riskier assets. The MSCI All Country World Index has slumped 3.1% this week, putting it on track for its sharpest weekly drop since April 4, when President Trump’s tariffs rattled markets. Bitcoin fell below $84,000, extending its drop from an all-time high less than seven weeks ago to more than 30%. European and Asian shares were also set for their biggest weekly decline since April after Wall Street’s Thursday selloff. Sentiment remained fragile for US assets, with S&P 500 futures fluctuating after the benchmark slipped to its weakest level since September.
2) Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said she’s approaching next month’s rate-setting meeting with caution, though she remains more concerned about weaknesses in the job market. “Each rate cut brings us closer to the level where policy flips from restraining activity a bit to the place where it is providing a boost. So, I am approaching the December FOMC cautiously,” Paulson said Thursday, referring to next month’s gathering of the Federal Open Market Committee. “Each rate cut raises the bar for the next cut.” Deep divisions have emerged among policymakers after they lowered rates at two consecutive meetings. Some remain concerned more by weakness in the labor market while others have expressed growing worry over inflation. The lack of official data during the long government shutdown has also blurred policymakers’ view of the economy.
3) President Trump and New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani are set to meet at the White House on Friday, the president said in a social media post. The meeting marks the first time the two leaders will come together to discuss how they can work with each other since the election earlier this month. Mamdani was elected as mayor of New York City after campaigning on a progressive platform that includes freezing the rent on more than 1 million stabilized apartments, providing universal child care, funding free buses and operating city-owned grocery stores. Mamdani, a democratic socialist, is seeking higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy to pay for his agenda.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Lisa Matteo. Here are the top stories we're following today. Lisa, we have some sobering facts for investors this morning. Global stocks, including the S and P five hundred or poised for their worst week in seven months. Concerns over lofty valuations and artificial intelligence related companies are continuing to weigh on market. Sloomberg's Valerie Titel has more on yesterday's big turnaround. We had a four percent slide in the Nasdaq in an hour and forty minutes. I mean, you don't see steep reversals like this very often. It was one of the biggest inter day swings we've seen in the Nasdaq since Covid, the second biggest since the price fluctuations we saw back in April twenty twenty. We even saw stocks, you know, obviously Nvidia, the reversal in video was eating that, but we also saw big reversals in some other chip names. Only twelve stocks in the NASDAC yesterday ended in the green. The remainder were in the red. Bloomberg's Valerie Titel says that huge reversal wiped away two point seven trillion dollars from the S and P five hundred. Well. It was also quite a reversal for Nvidia yesterday, Nathan. At one point, the chip giant was up five percent, only to close a date more than three percent lower, and one famed investor decided to scoop up shares. Kathy Wood bought in Video yesterday for the first time since August. Her Arc Innovation ETF bought more than ninety three thousand shares on Thursday. Right now, and Video shares they're down more than two and a half percent. Well. As dramatic as the selloff in stocks has been Lisa, it has not been nearly as eye popping as the plunge in crypto. Bitcoin has shed about twenty three percent of its value this month. At one point, the token slipped below the eighty two thousand level, and it's below that this morning, down six percent. Right now, just shy of eighty two institutions appear reluctant to buy the dip. A group of a dozen US listed BIT twenty exchange traded funds saw nine hundred and three million dollars in net outflows yesterday That was the second largest single day redemption since spot bitcoin ETF's debut in January of last year. Well adding to the market anks this morning, Nathan persistent uncertainty over whether the Fed will cut interest rates next month. Right now, traders pricing in a thirty percent chance. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson said the Fed should keep cutting. I think there are a lot of signals coming from the Fed, and some of them are very confusing. They said that they don't have data, and traditionally, if you don't have data, if you're flying blind. They've cut twice, and they said that their insurance cuts, so I would have thought that they would want to take out a third cut. We don't know where things are. We've been cutting, and we should finish the cutting cycle. Made the comments on Fox Business. Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson says she's taking a measured approach to the next policy gathering. I am approaching the December FMC meeting cautiously. On the margin. I'm sot a little more worried about the labor market than I am about inflation, but I expect to learn a lot between now and the December meeting. Philadelphia Fed President Anna pauls And made the remarks at the Reserve Bank's eightieth annual field meeting Capstone in Philadelphia, and Fed Governor Michael Barr says the Central Bank needs to proceed with caution in considering additional interest rate cuts due to inflation still around three percent. In Asia, Lisa Japan has approved its biggest round of extra spending since the pandemic. The total package is valued at more than one hundred and seventeen billion dollars. It has measures aimed at price relief, including cutting the gasoline tax and raising the tax free income threshold. While we now turn to politics, President Trump will host New York City Mayor elect Zorim Mumdani at the White House, even though the President incorrectly refers to him as a communist. Bloomberg's Amy Morris reports from Washington. Mom Donnie has an agenda for his long awaited meeting with President Trump. I have many disagreements with the President, and I believe that we should be relentless and pursue all avenues and all meetings that could make our city affordable for every single New York. New York Republican Congressman Andrew Garbarino tells balance of power. The President needs to flex his muscle. I hope the President makes clear to the mayor that his past anti police rnderick he can't act this way as mayor, and if he does anything that makes New York less safe, the President has my support in doing what he needs to do and making sure it stay safe. The meeting comes after the Trump administration reviewed canceling or suspending funds that benefit New York City. In Washington, Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio. Amy Thanks, turn to another political story getting attention in Washington. President Trump is calling for sedition trials for a group of Democratic lawmakers who posted this video online right now. The threats to our constitution aren't just coming from but from right here at home. Our laws are clear, you can refuse illegal orders. The video is organized by Michigan senator and former CIA analyst Alyssa Slotkin. The other Democrats are also former military and intelligence officers. In a series of social media posts, President Trump said the lawmakers should be arrested and put on trial. In one post, he called it seditious behavior punishable by death. That's drawing an angry reaction from House Minority leader Hakim jeffries. We had patriotic members of the House and the Senate have their lives threatened by Donald Trump in the most unhinged, unacceptable, unconscionable, and Unamerican way. Minority Leader Hakim Jeffrey says he's discussed lawmaker's security with the House Sergeant at Arms and Capitol Police after the President's posts. House Speaker Mike Johnson is defending the president. Sometimes he uses heated rhetoric. Okay, but do any of you agree that that's appropriate that they should be telling young members of the military to defy orders. You should think about the implications of that. The President's trying to make up. I think he made the point, and Speaker Mike Johnson says members of Congress should not be telling troops to disobey orders. Well now to the latest on efforts to end the war in Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski is under pressure to accept a peace plan floated by US and Russian Voice. The twenty eight point proposal would force Ukraine to surrender large portions of its east to Russia, cap the size of its military, lift sanctions on Moscow overtime, and give up any hopes of NATO membership. Zelensky says he'll discuss the plan with President Trump in coming days. Vusim Ukraine needs peace and Ukraine will do everything to ensure that no one in the world can say that we are undermining diplomacy. This is important, Zelenski. He spoke through an interpreter after meeting with Pentagon officials in Kiev. We get more from Bloomberg's Oliver Crook and Brussels. This is sort of Zelenzi's approach ever since that catastrophic meeting in the Oval Office back in February, when Trump says, Zelenski says, basically how high he has learned from that meeting in the most difficult possible way. That you never want to be perceived to be the impediment to piece or the impediment to an American plan. Bloomberg's Oliver Crook reports President Zelensky plans to discuss the peace proposal today with leaders of the European Union, Germany, France, and the UK. Back on Wall Street, Lisa, the stage is set for one of Hollywood's biggest companies to be sold. Sources tell Bloomberg that Netflix, Comcast, and Paramount sky Dance all submitted bids for Warner Brothers Discovery, the parent of HBO, CNN, and the Warner Brothers movie and TV studios. Comcast and Netflix are most interested in the film and TV library. Paramount is willing to buy the whole company. The Warners board is expected to make its final decision by Christmas. And changes in the c suite at City Group, Mark Mason is stepping down as chief financial officer as a bank revamps it's leadership ranks under a new structure. Mason will be replaced by Gonzala Lucetti, who will take over that role early next year. Now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Bark. Good morning, Michael, Good Morning, Lisa. A federal judge says she'll rule soon on whether to order the release of Kilmar Abrego Garcia from immigration custody. The Maryland man was mistakenly deported to l Salvador in March. Since he returned in June, the government has been trying to deport him to one of several African nations. Meanwhile, Costa Rica has given a Brego Garcia a guarantee of acceptance at Brego. Garcia's attorney Simon Sandeval Mosenberg. And so we're very, very hopeful that we will win a release from detention. And then what comes after that, I guess we'll all have to see. The Justice Department is examining the handling of the mortgage fraud investigation into Senator Adam Schiff, including potential involvement of people claiming to be acting at the behest of two Trump administration officials. Federal authorities interviewed a Republican congressional candidate who promoted mortgage fraud allegations against the California Democrat. They are said to have questioned her about communications with DOJ official Ed Martin and Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulty. Senate Republicans rejected a Democratic attempt to pass bill that allows senators to sue the government if their phone records are obtained without being notified. The repeal passed unanimously in the House. The issue stems from Special Consul Jack Smith's investigation into any efforts to overturn the twenty twenty election. Democratic Senator Martin Hunrich said the provision means senators can pocket millions of dollars while Americans are struggling. Even how Speaker Mike Johnson agrees with me. And when Speaker Johnson and I agree, something is bad, you know it's really really bad. But Senator Lindsey Graham says, it's about making sure no one can access personal phone records of senators without notice. Ever, again, this was coordinated with people in the Senate in This wasn't an intempt to enrich anybody who was intempt to deter what was wrong. In my viewe never happened. Again, Senator Graham says he intends to sue Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you wanted with Bloomberg News. Now, Michael barn, this is Bloomberg, Lisa. Thanks Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Week twelve underway with an AFC battle in Houston. In a big performance by the Texans defense, they intercepted Buffalo KB Josh Allen twice, including one of the final minute. They sacked him eight times. Houston beat the Bills twenty three to nineteen NBA and Milwaukee Philadelphia won in overtime for the Sixers Tyrese Maxia career high fifty four points NHL in Montreal, Washington won eight to four, the thirty third career hat trick for Alex Ovechkin. That's a Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after. This to coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Worries about AI valuations maybe taking hold for markets. Even after Nvidia's earnings kept them at bay for a few hours, global stocks are now on track for their worst week since April. Salmon Achmed is global head of Strategic Asset Allocation at Fidelity International. AI is a powerful technology. This team is not going anywhere, so I think at this stage we are taking it as a model positioning. You know, change and our month US remains the same. Do I survive? It was Fidelity strategist Salmon Akmed joining us now as Bloomberg Markets reporter Valerie Titel. A bit of a calming message, Valerie, But calm seems to be anything but what this market feels like right now? Good morning, Hey, Good morning, Nathan. Yes, NASAC futures have erased their earlier gains from the European session. We're now trading at session lows, and we're keeping an eye on Bitcoin. We've just broken through eighty two thousand as we speak, down six percent on the cryptocurrency. It was really crypto and the move in Nvidia yesterday which drove the biggest, one of the biggest swings in the NASDAC I have seen in my career. We dropped nearly four percent in yesterday session in an hour and forty minutes, Nathan. A kind of interday swing like that doesn't come around often and it probably puts some hair on some trader's chest. Yesterday, huge u turn. In the market, sparked by what we are unsure, and that is what is unerving investors on this Friday. Might I add to all. Of this that this is a head of the Thanksgiving week, which is known historically to be quite in a liquid week of trading. Perhaps those investors who were maybe sitting on the sidelines or might be choosing this Friday afternoon. To de risk ahead of the holiday. But we are seeing shares of Nvidia drop two and a half percent in pre market trade micro Strategy one of those Bitcoin holders down five percent and shares of Bitcoin dropping six percent below eighty two thousand as we speak. Is this just a concern around AI valuations or our concerns about what the FED could do next month feeding into this as well? You know, I mean I like to as someone who comes from a fixed income background, I do believe the FED is always instrumental in moves like this. We have had a hawkish round of FED speak in the last three weeks, and essentially what we got from that employment report yesterday didn't necessarily help. Yes, it was delayed, it was September's data, but again it plays into the hands of the hawks that might want to argue that the labor market has found some ground. There was a big beat over the headline number coming at one hundred and nineteen k versus estimates of fifty one. And we did have some hawkish fedspeak yesterday as well, heard from Goulesby saying he's essentially uneasy, uneasy about cutting in December bar focusing on inflation concerns. So perhaps the weight of tilt when it comes to Federal Reserve is to stay on hold in December, and that is essentially not something that the equity market can hang its hat on on this Friday evening, our Friday session where we did look like we were trying to bounce, but now NAZAC futures are down eight tens of one percent. In our last thirty seconds. You mentioned the sellof in bitcoin eighty two thousand. Is there a further support level for bitcoin? Look, eighty thousand was one talked about, but look, it is really hard to nail down the technical factors here a bitcoin. One superlative I do have for you, Nathan is we've had eleven straight days of lower lows for the cryptocurrency and that is something we have not seen in its history. So momentum is on a back foot. These retail traders are underwater on their ETF holdings. Who knows how far bitcoin can go. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the story's making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washingtonloomberg ninety two to nine in Boston, and nationwide on Sirius XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Auto Winterfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Lisa Matteo. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak