US Retaliates Against Iran Strikes; Investors Spooked by Warsh Hold
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1) The US retaliated against Iranian strikes on American forces with a fresh wave of attacks, escalating a conflict that is spreading wider across the Middle East. The US hit dozens of targets in a two-hour operation aimed at degrading Tehran’s ability to threaten American forces, its Arab allies and commercial shipping in the region. Two liquefied-natural-gas vessels were hit by projectiles on Egypt’s Mediterranean coast and caught fire, with a security firm saying the vessels had been struck by drones.
2) Investors dumped 30-year Treasury bonds, sending the yield up as much as 14 basis points to nearly 5.23%, after the Fed kept interest rates unchanged for a seventh consecutive month. Market measures of inflation expectations rose, the dollar slid, and stocks tumbled as investors wagered Chairman Kevin Warsh was only delaying an inevitable rate hike.
3) Meta gave a disappointing quarterly revenue forecast, stepping up pressure on Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg to allay investor concerns that the company isn’t swiftly benefiting from its massive outlay on artificial intelligence. The social media giant reported the lowest free cash flow in years, a sign of ballooning expenses for AI bets, including data centers and smart glasses, which could amount to $145 billion this year. Meanwhile, Microsoft's Azure cloud revenue rose 43% during the fiscal fourth quarter, the fastest quarterly growth since early 2022. CFO Amy Hood said she expected growth in the cloud unit to accelerate further in the current quarter, to about 45%, and that demand continues to exceed available supply.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with retaliation in the Middle East. The US has hit dozens of Iranian targets in a two hour operation following Iron's surprise ballistic missile attack on a US basin Jordan this week. President Trump had warned the US would be hitting Iran quote very hard. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyah, who says he stands behind the president. We're partners, we're allies. He's the senior partner. It's the United States of America. Let's not forget. And I'm a junior partner. But I'm the Prime Minister of Israel, and when I have to stand up for the interests of my country and the security of my country, I do so. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyah, who's spoke in an interview with ABC News. We get the very latest from Bloomberg Middle East correspondent to Birabu Omar in Dubai. The US military did strike military targets, it stopped short of targeting bridges, civilian infrastructure. So for the time being, we're still seeing measured attacks on both fronts by Iran and by the United States, but definitely not a positive sign because we're seeing an escalation. That ceasefire that was signed with a temporary ceasefire that was signed in Switzerland seems to be a think of the past now. Sein Bloomberg Sabier Albert Omar reports two liquefied natural gas tankers were hit with drones off Egypt's Mediterranean coast around the same time as the US attacks. There has been no claim of responsibility well, Nathan. As the war takes a toll on the US weapons stockpile, the Defense Department announced two massive contracts worth about one hundred and thirty five billion dollars to major US defense companies. The Army reported a fifty nine billion dollar agreement with Lockheed Martin to bolster production of Patriot interceptors. At the same time, the Pentagon on veil contracts worth as much as seventy six billion dollars for General Dynamics and Hunting Engel's industries to expand construction of the US's top nuclear submarines. It'sjern of the economy now Karen Bond investors are sending a message following the Federal Reserves decision to keep interest rates unchanged and the news conference from. FED share Kevin Walsh. We get the latest from Bloomberg's John Tucker, John and Nate. It's not a good message. The market's questioning Worsh's credibility. Investors sent the long bond yield to a nineteen year high, stocks tumbled, the Dow falling over one thousand points. It's because the worst FED didn't move even as Worsh acknowledged an inflation problem. Inflation remains elevated relative to the committee's two percent goal. The committee remains resolute. You've heard this before, but we will deliver price stability. If there is an inflation problem. Towards the slocket Apollel management is like a lot of investors asking this question. Well, what are we waiting for? We didn't get the answer for what executed are we waiting for? Which was, of course, was a certain way to try to get some forward guidance. Doesn't help Ors's credibility that three members of the Fed's Open Market Committee dissented. If Worsh can take away any solace, maybe it's from the fact that he hasn't been skewered yet by President Trump. Inflation, by the way, has been running above the FEDS target for five straight years. In the New York Home John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. Let's turn two the equity markets now, Futures are higher following a pair of big tech earnings start With Microsoft, those shares are up more than seven percent in early trading. The company's cloud unit grew forty three percent, its fastest clip in four years, and that pace is accelerating. Analysts say that suggests Microsoft's AI and computing services are making inroads with customers. On the earnings call, Ceosachia Nadella told analysts the company. Is quickly increasing its data center capacity. But also bringing capacity online faster than ever. Over the last fiscal year, we've reduced doctor lifetimes for new GPUs in our largest regions by nearly fifty percent. All up, we add in a none of the gigawatt of capacity this quota and remain on track to roughly double our overall capacity in just two years. And Ceosatynadela also indicated Microsoft would hold the line on new capital spending this year well. On the flip side Nathan shares a Meta They're down almost nine percent. The Facebook and Instagram owner gave a disappointing quarterly revenue forecast, and that's stepping up pressure on CEO Mark Zuckerberg to ease investor concerns that the company is not swiftly benefiting from its massive outlay on artificial intelligence. Zuckerberg spoke on the company conference call. Our investments at AI are accelerating every major part of our core business. They're improving the experience for people using our apps, driving better performance for advertisers, and helping our teams build new experiences and ship faster. Second, we are developing new personal agents that will be the foundation for our next wave of products and revenue lines in the months and years ahead. Mark Zuckerberg and Meta reported its lowest free cash flow in years, assign a ballooning expenses for AI bets, which could amount to one hundred and forty five billion dollars this year. We also got some earnings in Asia Karen, including a blowout quarter for Samsung Electronics. South Korea's largest company posted a two hundred and fiftyfold surge in chip profits. Samsung now expects memory shortages to worsen next year, reflecting the relentless pace of the global AI infrastructure build out. We get more from Bloomberg's Soul Bureau chief Cat Barton. It was an absolutely historic quarter for them, record profits for their semiconductive division. Obviously, their mobile phones and their other electronics didn't. Do quite so well. They actually tipped into a loss, but the semiconductors are doing so outlandishly well that it's carrying the whole company at this stage. That's Bloomberg's Cat Barton. And despite the blowout, Samsung shares fell almost three percent. Nathan, the big tank earnings continue today. Both Apple and Amazon report after the closing bill, and we get a preview with Bloomberg's Tom Busby. Apple is expected to order another blowout quarter for sales of iPhones and other gadgets, despite raising prices because of a memory chip shortage. Services like Apple Music and iCloud also expected to see gains. At Amazon, the big focus is the Amazon Web Services cloud computing unit, but investors will want an update on the billions being spent on artificial intelligence and how it's AI development compares with Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and others. At Apple, Bloomberg consensus calls for revenue of one hundred eight point eighty five billion dollars on Ernix per share of a dollar eighty nine. At Amazon, Bloomberg consensus calls for revenue of just over one hundred and ninety seven billion dollars on Ernix per share of a dollar eighty three. Tom Busby, Bloomberg Radio. Okay, Tom, thanks, Let's turn to what's happening in Washington, DC now on Capitol Hill. The Senate committee that's considering Todd Blanche to be the next Attorney General abruptly called off its confirmation vote last night. Two Republican senators are still holding out support. One of them is Tom Tillis of North Carolina. He says he wants Blanche to meet with Jeffrey Epstein's victims. For mister Blanche was willing to say that he would meet with them and counsel. I understand the restriction of the council has to be president. I expect that meeting to occur before I'm willing to vote out of this committee, and I'm trying to get to yes. But this is a very important part of getting to yes. Senator Tom Tillis spoke during last night's hearing on Blanche's nomination. The other hold out, Republican John Cornyn, says he wants changes to President Trump's settlement with the IRS over the twenty nineteen league of his tax returns. Cornan wants to ensure any bans on investigations into the President or his businesses only apply to the Tax Agency and not the Justice Department. Well elsewhere on Capitol Hill, Nathan doctor Anthony Fauci declined to testify in a Senate hearing on his role in the US response to COVID nineteen and booking his Fifth Amendment rights and Bloomer's. Amy Morris has details on the volatile hearing from Washington. I said said quietly, you are not recognized. Another word and you're gone. Republican Senator Rand Paul threatning to have Fauti's attorney removed, which he eventually did, for trying to speak during the hearing when he was not recognized. Fauci, in his opening remarks, said the hearing was designed to push him into saying something incriminating. The only conclusion I can reach is that the sole reason he is calling me before this committee is to get me to say something anything that could vindicate his repeated public pledges that I end up in his words behind bars. Senator Paul denied Fauci's assertion of privilege and said there would be repercussions for not answering the questions. In Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. Amy, thanks and this programming no Bloomberg Radio is introducing a new feature exclusively for subscribers at Bloomberg dot com and our terminal clients. You can help shape our conversations by submitting questions for our analysts and experts to answer live on air. Subscribers can go to Bloomberg dot com slash Ask Radio to send in those questions, and you may just hear the mask on air. That's Bloomberg dot Com slash Ask Radio. Time now for look at some of their stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that were joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, Good Morning, Good Morning Karen. In Massachusetts, Patrick Clancy took the witness stand to testify in the murdered trial of his former wife, Lindsay. She is accused of killing the couple's three young children in their Duxbury home. In twenty twenty three, Patrick Clancy admitted his wife struggled with depression before the murders. Lindsay's mental health started to deteriorate. And when you say that, sir, what is it that you, as her husband, observed. Just increased stress and anxiety. Lindsay Clancy's lawyer says that she had killed her children because she was suffering from severe postpartumental illness. Prosecutors say she planned the killings. Hope is dwindling for any rescue in southwestern Japan after Tuesday seven point one magnitude earthquake. Reports say the death toll for now is New York Governor Kathy Hockel says she's committed to getting it right when it comes to the future of data centers in the state and the nation. Hockel held a roundtable event in Monroe County, joined by business and local leaders and residents voicing concerns over protecting the environment and the energy grid. Every part of the state is a different perspective. In the capital region, we heard from business leaders and local officials, environmental advocates, and. Organized labor Long Island. The focus was on water. Water is a more limited resource around Long Island, New. York, wants to block building large data centers for up to a one year. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now Now Michael barn this is Bloomberg, Karen. Thanks Michael, all time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Karin. The baseball trade deadline comes on Monday, and then they may keep hearing about is Detroit Tigers ace pitcher Tarrek Scouobell, two time winner of the Cy Young Award. He started yesterday in a Tiger game against Baltimore got a standing ovation from Detroit fans because he may well get traded before the deadline. San Jose Sharks have locked up their twenty year old star Maclin Celebrini with a five year extension with ninety four million dollars. That's your Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. It is a tale of two markets this morning. After a couple big tech names reported earnings. Microsoft is soaring, Meta platforms sinking, and long bonds are near their highest levels in nineteen years after the Fed decided to keep interest rates on hold. Here to help us make sense of what's happening in this market this morning is Bloomberg Managing Editor Dan Curtis. Dan, let's start off with Microsoft. Is it all about the spending reining in? Apparently the spending for Microsoft? Good morning, Good morning, that's right, So it's not. It's the shares are up eight percent in the pre market, and the company is raining and spending. But on a very important note, is also monetizing on the spending that it's putting out. So, just to put some numbers into context, Microsoft's operating expenditures rose ten percent for a year on year for the last quarter, and its free cash flow was still twenty billion dollars. So the companies spent forty one billion dollars in capex and Wall Street was expecting a bit more than that. So again Microsoft spending a bit less than Wall Street was estimating, but still beating on the revenue. A Zora growth, which is key to reading. In on its AI performance, was up forty three percent on the quarter, while of the best quarters in years, and the annual revenue for that segment topped one hundred billion dollars for the first time ever. The unit is seeing efficiency gains, capacity delivery with demand still exceeding supply, so a very strong story from the AIS side. There also Copilot, another AI tool, paid seats for that more than doubled sequentially to over thirty million, and user satisfaction scores also doubled, so it's starting to see its AI. It's AI strategy paying off here with capital expenditures that are coming in lower than expected, and for the full year, it's seeing capex of one hundred and seventy five billion dollars. That's less than one hundred and ninety billion dollars of the previous forecast. So again, this company is starting to see revenue, starting to see monetization, and it's not spending as much as Wall Street was expecting. Is it an opposite side of the coin then, and when it comes to what we got from Meta. Yeah, basically, I mean those shares are down nine percent in the pre market. The company reported its lowest free cash flow in years, just around two billion dollars on the ballooning expenses of its AI bets. Third quarter revenue is seen coming in at sixty one to sixty four billion dollars. The midpoint of that is softer than estimate, raising the capex outlook and the revenue is not quite what Wall Street was looking for. The twenty twenty six full year expenses were raised to one hundred and sixty five billion to one hundred and sixty nine billion dollar range, not just capex but also higher costs due to legal proceedings. Now, zu Zuckerberg is looking towards the future where AI agents carry out tasks twenty four to seven for customers. The build is expensive and the revenue isn't supporting the company yet. He's also been exploring a new cloud business to run out compute. He said, quote there's just nowhere near enough compute for all of the demand. That said, it looks like Meta doesn't need all that demand, So that could also be a little bit of pressure for investors saying, well, if there's a demand for compute, why aren't you using it and why are you renting it out? Just thirty seconds left here, Dan, But after the Fed decided to keep interest rates on hold, it seems like bond investors are disagreeing this morning. That's right. So we have the thirty year yield at the highest level in decades, and a large portion of that's coming from the tips rate. So the premi over kind of the inflation outlook. So there's a lot of question marks as to how much conviction Warsh has to fighting inflation. As you said, the Fed has held three members assented in favor of a hike, and Warsh said that the bond market had done some of the Fed's work with the tightening there. So markets walked away with that one, you know, on the FED decision itself, Markets and moved much during the conference was what really sparked move. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington. Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak