Iran Deal Gives $300 Billion Relief; First Fed Decision for Kevin Warsh
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On today's podcast:
1) Iran would be allowed to start oil exports immediately under an interim deal with the US and gain access to a $300 billion economic development program. The US Treasury Department will issue waivers for exports of Iranian crude oil and petrochemical products immediately after the memorandum is signed, and the US will end its naval blockade of Iranian ports. The US and its regional partners would create a plan to rehabilitate Iran and allow for its economic development, with financing of at least $300 billion, according to the draft document.
2) Voters headed to the polls in four states and the District of Columbia. The biggest races to watch were two runoff elections in Georgia, where President Trump's endorsement led to mixed results. In the Republican Senate race, Trump-backed Congressman Mike Collins defeated former University of Tennessee football coach Derek Dooley by an 11 point margin - 55.5% to 44.5%. Meanwhile, in the governor's race, President Trump's favored candidate, Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones, lost to billionaire Rick Jackson, 52.7% to 47.4%. It was also a historic primary night in Washington DC. For the first time in 36 years, Democrats have picked a nominee for delegate to Congress who is not Eleanor Holmes Norton. Councilmember Robert White ran away with the nomination with 63.2% of the vote.
3) Federal Reserve policymakers are expected to hold interest rates steady, posing a test for new chairman Kevin Warsh as inflation erodes households' purchasing power. Several officials have outlined scenarios that could warrant rate hikes and want to eliminate language suggesting their next move is likely to be a cut. Investors will be listening for how strongly Warsh expresses support for the central bank's commitment to returning inflation to the Fed's 2% goal.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Here in details are still emerging as the US and Iran prepared to formally sign their innim peace deal on Friday. A near final draft of the Memorandum of Understanding shows Iran is set to receive sanctions waivers that will allow it to sell oil immediately, with other financial incentives deferred. Bloomberg Middle East correspondent Amir abu Omar has the key takeaways from the fourteen point draft. First of all, an end to the war on all fronts. The US will take back its troops from around the region over the next thirty days and remove the naval blockade on the Strait of Her moves. Iran has agreed to do the same. But then, perhaps some of the most sticking contention points in this MoU include what the US says would be the unblocking of frozen assets for Iran and didn't give a specified time period for that. The lifting of the oil sanctions as well. That's another point that the United States has made in this MoU. Bloomberg suppier Abo Omar reporting there from Dubai. President Trump says, there's one key takeaway from the agreement. AARAN will never have a Nuglio wepen. That's where it says it won't have one Dubai to develop. They will not have a Nuclio wepment. And I would say that's about ninety nine point nine percent of what I wanted. My President Trump made those comments. Has heard right here on Bloomberg Radio. At the G seven meetings in France. Nathan Democratic Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is blasting President Trump's decision to go to war in the first place, and Warren spoke on Bloomberg's Balance of Power. America has spent literally tens of billions of dollars halfway around the world. Fourteen American service members have died, uncounted numbers of people in the Middle East have died, and Donald Trump still can't explain how one family in America is any better off. And you can catch the entire interview with Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren on our new video hub, available on the Bloomberg Business App and always on Bloomberg dot Com. All right, Karen, let's get now to the latest primary results across the country. Voters headed the polls in four states and the District of Columbia. The biggest races to watch were two runoffs in Georgia, where President Trump's endorsement led to mixed results. In the Republican Senate race, Trump backed to Congressman Mike Collins defeated former University of Tennessee football coach Derek Dooley by an eleven point margin, fifty five and a half to forty four and a half percent. Collins says he's ready for the fight ahead in November. Y'all know what the mission is is to put a Republican in that seat and get rid of that John oss Off. In November, return this seat to the people of Georgia. And Mike Collins will go on to face Democrat John Ossoff in a race that could decide control of the Senate in November. Meanwhile, Nathan and the Governor's race, President Trump's favored candidate, Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones to billionaire Rick Jackson fifty two points seven to forty seven point four percent. Tonight, you made your voice heard loud and clear. Tonight. We did more than win or runoff tonight, we proved that people or Georgia are in charge. And Rick Jackson spend more than one hundred million dollars of his own money and one of the most expensive primary races for governor in US history. He'll face former Atlanta mayor Kisha Lance Bottoms in the general election. Georgia Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock joined Bloomberg's David Gura and gave his thoughts on the upcoming peach state election. It's a purple state, so you got to convince, you know, all kinds of people to vote for you. I did it five times in Georgia in less than three years. Is doable? Of course. I'm rooting for my brother John Ossoff, and I think he will do well against whomever they put up. I think Keisha Lance Bottoms will do well. In the selection. Georgia Senator Rafael or well Karen. It was also a historic primary night in Washington, DC. For the first time in thirty six years, Democrats picked a nominee for Delegate to Congress who's not Eleanor Holmes. Norton Council member Robert White ran away with that nomination with sixty three point two percent of the vote. The eighty nine year old Norton decided not to run again after eighteen terms, and they're still counting the votes in the DC mayor's race. With sixty four percent of ballots count of Denie Lewis George Leeds Kenyon McDuffie fifty two point eight to thirty six point six percent. The race will move to additional rounds of counting if no one wins more than fifty percent of that vote. Lewis George is a self described Democratic socialist and President Trump's threatened a new federal takeover of the district if she wins the mayor's race. Well and some other key races to watch Nathan Trump back. Congressman Barry Moore won the Republican runoff for Alabama's open Senate seed with fifty five point eight percent of the vote. He defeated former Navy Seal Jared Hudson MLFACE Democrat Everett West. He won the Democratic primary with fifty four point six percent. In California, demoocredit state Senator Aisha Wahabb has advanced to a runoff in the special election for a former Congressman Eric Swalwell's open House seat. With eighty two percent of votes counted, wahab as forty two point four percent. The runoff to fill the remainder of Swalwell's term will be held on August eighteenth. And in Oklahoma, Karen Trump backed Republican Kevin Hearn ran away with the nomination for the Senate's seat left open by Homeland Security Secretary Mark Wayne Mullen with sixty nine point eight percent of the vote. Hearn will face whoever wins a Democratic runoff between Nikayla Jasmine Thomas and Jim Priest. Meanwhile, the Republican governor's race in Oklahoma is headed for a runoff of its own. Gettner Drummond has twenty six point three percent of the vote, while President Trump's favored candidate Mike Mazy has twenty six percent. The winner will face State House minoriti leader Cindy Munson in November. Let's turn to the economy, now, Nathan, The Federal Reserve makes its first policy decision under new chairman Kevin Worsh. No change in policy is expected, and Bloomberg's Michael McKee has a preview. Investors know the plot today, they're waiting to see how the new leading man performs. Do we see Kevin Walsh's influence in today's communications and how does he handle the news conference? The central bankers aren't going to change interest rates, and they'll make minor tweaks to their economic forecasts. Expect the statements easing biased to disappear, although a number of other Fed officials were already pushing for that. Look to the dot plot, though it's forecast to show no rate cuts in twenty twenty six anymore. But even more interesting will be whether Warsh, a dot plot critic, submits a dot and then how he explains not only that, but what he wants to do in terms of communications and FED operations. Above all, Global Wall Street wants to know what he'll have to say about President Trump's influence on him and his policy views. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio. Well once again a stock to watch in the pre market, Karen Is SpaceX. Those shares are on the rise once again right now, up three and a half percent in early trading. Elon Musk's company has now overtaken Amazon to become the fifth largest in the world. The story from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. SpaceX was up for a third day with its post IPO rally reaching forty nine percent. Walter Todd is president of Greenwood Capital. SpaceX to me, with the IPO on Friday is kind of the culmination of this just massive market rally that we've had, particularly in technology in the semiconductors and now SpaceX over a three day period, adding roughly another trillion dollars to the market cap. SpaceX now has a market value of two point six y five trillion dollars, roughly eight billion higher than Amazon. In New York, Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Radio. Time Now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's John Tucker. John, Good Morning, Good morning, Karen. Authority say the FBI I disrupted a plant targeting the UFC event at the White House this past weekend. Five people are now in custody. Here Secret Serch Deputy Director Matt Quinn. I'd say it was unique due to the numbers involved, the level of planning involved. Thankfully, our Advanced Threat Interdiction Unit got on top of it very early. Officials and multiple suspects in multiple states were involved. The US is empty the immigration detention camp and the Florida Everglades known as Alligator Alcatraz. The state of Florida spent hundreds of millions of dollars on a high profile facility to support President Trump's mass deportation agenda. In Albedia, demonstrators continue their third week of the Flamingo Revolution protests. It was initially a protest against a planned luxury development on an environmentally sensitive stretch of coastline tied to President Trump's son in law, Jared Kushner, has now expanded to include calls for the country's prime minister to resign. And finally, the ratings are in the garden I can't pull later. The NIXT victory over the Spurs drew a massive audience of twenty point six million viewers per game for the finals. It was the most watched NBA finals since nineteen ninety eight, viewership more than doubles compared to last year. Golden News twenty four hours a day, whenever you wanted with Bloomberg News Now, I'm John Tucker. This is Bloomberg Karen. Thanks Sean Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour, Thanks Karen. The day after all four World Cup games ended in ties. All four were rather one sided, with the Stars leading the way. France the three one win over Senegal with Killian Imboppi scoring twice. Norway a four to one rout of Iraq. The Norwegian Stars Erlyn Howlin he scored twice. Lionel Messi had the hat trick in Argentina's three zer win over Algeria. John Tortorella coached the Vegas Golden Knights to the Stanley Cup final, but the team announced he won't return next season. That to Bloomberg Sports Update Boom. Stay with us. More from Blue on Burg day Break coming up after. This Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. As the US and Iran get closer to signing their interim peace deal at the end of this week, more details are emerging about the financial incentives Tehran could be in line for to reopen the Strait of Horror moves President Trump says it won't include US money. We are not investing any money. We have no obligation to invest any money in Iran. Well, that was President Trump alongside katarz Emir at the G seven summit in France yesterday, joining us from the gathering this morning in Evion is Bloomberg Washington correspondent Tyler Kendall. And of course, Tyler, we've obtained a draft copy of the fourteen point plan to get the straight reopened. Tell us more about the financial incentives and how significant they could be. Good morning, Hey Nathan, good morning. Well, under this draft deal theme by Bloomberg News, which isn't final yet but is believed to be in the final stages, Iran would basically be able to immediately sell its oil to market after the deal is signed, and outlines that the Treasury Department will issue waivers for those sanctions on Iranian crud that have been in place now. The US has been saying that any such financial relief would be conditioned that benefits would accrue over time based off of Iran's performance related to this deal, if it takes those steps to reopen the street, if it takes steps to curb its nuclear program, but this does appear to be an immediate financial benefit that Iran can reap. The other financial benefit, as you heard and mentioned earlier, was that we're expecting this deal will include a three hundred billion dollar what's being called a development fund, with the financing being provided by the US and Gulf allies in a bid to help Iran rebuild. We're still waiting for some more clarity on that, but some significant financial benefits, but this is being viewed as perhaps a carrot more than a stick to try to get Iran to make some significance concessions when it comes to its nuclear program and what is expected to be a second phase of negotiations. Tyler, do we have a sense of how G seven allies could take this agreement, and I know how you talked to lawmakers in Washington on a daily basis. How is it likely to be received in the nation's capital as well. That's a good question. It's going to depend on which lawmakers were talking about at this point. Many Republicans by and large say that they're in favor of the President reaching a diplomatic solution because they can get this so that they can get the strait of hermoves opened, and they're banking on the US being able to get some pretty significant concessions related to Iran's nuclear program. The US has repeatedly said that any finalized deal must include the retrieval of Iran's highly enriched uran, a moratorium on future enrichment, and also a stringent inspections regime. They're all very much in favor of that, but I think you'll start to hear some skepticism from some of those more hawkish members. President Drunk yesterday alluded to one of them, saying that he has to talk to Senator Lindsay Graham, who has been very outspoken and pushing the President to perhaps take even more military action because he feels perhaps that could help get more concessions out of Iran. Here on the ground at the G seven, there's been a lot of questions, I think it's fair to say from leaders on exactly how this deal is going to work, in particular when it comes to the Strait of Hermos. I caught up yesterday with the spokesperson for for Instances Foreign Ministry, a very high ranking official here at the summit, as for instance, leading this summit, and he told me that until our allies see the finalized text. They get the information from the US on exactly how this is going to be implemented. They're not going to be willing to deploy some really critical military assets, including my mind ye sweepers that are going to be essential to reopening the strait of her moves. Really appreciate this, Tyler, as always Bloomberg Washington correspondent Tyler Kendall part of our team covering the G seven Leader summit in Evyon, France. Karen nathan Less repeat some of our top stories Trump Factory Public and Myke Collins defeated Derek Dooley and the runoff election for a Senate in Georgia. Collins will face Democrat John Also in November, President Trump's favored candidate for Governor, Burt Jones, lost to billionaire Rick Jackson. The Fed is expected to hold rates steady and his first policy decision under new chair Kevin worsh It'll be an early test as rising inflation e roades Americans purchasing power, while President Trump pushes for lower borrowing costs, and SpaceX headed for a fourth day of gains after passing. Amazon is the fifth and largest publicly traded company in the world. Eloud Muss Rocket AI company is now about one hundred and fifty billion dollars away from overtaking Microsoft's market value. More on those stories coming up. This is Bloomberg. Daybreak Warning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now in your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg day break