US-Iran Strikes Extend to 10th Day; Trump Vows 50% Tariff on Canadian Goods
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On today's podcast:
1) The US and Iran exchanged strikes for a 10th consecutive day as mediators sought to revive a truce, with the US targeting military command centers and Iran attacking US military sites in Kuwait and Jordan. The Houthi militant group in Yemen threatened shipping in the Red Sea, and the Saudi-led coalition said it is taking steps to protect ships sailing in the area. Oil prices have surged and US retail gasoline prices have climbed back over $4 a gallon, potentially hurting Trump and his Republican Party before midterm elections.
2) The Trump administration vowed to impose a fresh 50% tariff on some Canadian goods over what it said was unfair treatment of American alcohol, cars and dairy. The items subject to the new tariff include milk, hockey equipment, beer and plywood — but not major resource imports such as energy, potash and critical minerals. The tariffs are being applied under Section 338 of the 1930 Tariff Act, which gives the president the power to impose duties of as much as 50% on countries deemed to discriminate against US commerce.
3) President Trump said he had a “very good conversation” with new UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham and that they would be meeting in the “not too distant future." Trump and Burnham discussed many subjects, including the outstanding relationship between the US and the UK, North Sea oil, trade, and demining the Strait of Hormuz. Burnham's office said the prime minister congratulated Trump on the World Cup tournament and invited the president to visit Manchester in one of his first calls as UK leader.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Good morning, I'm Karen Moscow and I'm Alexis christopherus. Here are the stories we're following today. Alexis, we begin with the latest developments in the Middle East. The US and Iran have exchanged strikes for a tenth consecutive day. The escalation comes as mediators try to revive a truce. Bloomberg's Zanda Wood said, the straight up ramous is the focal point of the latest fighting. Basically, the current situation that we've had since the signing of the memorandum understanding in June is that both countries are trying to control Hormus. Iman realizes that Hermus is his main leverage and needs to keep control of it, and the US is trying to weaken, event in control over the Strait of Hormus and prevent or maybe even get ready for future closures. And that's where we are now. Bloombergsanda Wood said. The Iran backed who these say they would impose a maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia, putting at risk the flow of millions of barrels that the kingdom exports via the Red Sea. And Karen Oil has surged about twenty percent since the June seventeenth, the cord between the US and Iran unraveled, and it could go even higher. Goldman sacks as Brent could rally to more than one hundred and twenty dollars a barrel by the fourth quarter if disruptions to the Strait of Rimouz persist. Checking oil right now, we've got Brent crude at about eighty eight to eighty a barrel, down four tenths of a percent, WTI crewed down half a percent at eighty two eighty one a barrel Alexis. We're also keeping an eye on global trade. The Trump administration is threatening to impose new tariffs on Canada. Bloombergh. John Tucker joins us with more John, good morning. Good morning Karen. It is a big escalation, fifty percent terras on things like milk, plywood, and some very Canadian the items like hockey equipment and beer. There will be no exemptions for exporters shipping under the rules of the existing North American trade pack, but the Trumpet dedllustration says this is the result of Canada's unfair treatment of certain US goods. It was said to take a fact in thirty days, and this further strained relations with America's second largest trading partner. Well last week, President Trump, you recall threatened hire tariff to punish Canada for wildfire smoke, with tarifs being applied under section three point thirty eight of the nineteen thirty Tariff Act. That provision has never been used before. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, thanks John, and US UK relations are also when the spotlight. This morning, President Trump has reached out to new UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham. Let's go to London now and get the very latest from Bloomberg's un Potts ew in. Good Morning, Alexis and Karen. Andy Burnham began his first full day in Number ten Downing Street with an announcements on the cost of living at tax cuts on energy bills. We're still awaiting details of any changes to foreign policy, but the new UKPM has already spoken to the leader of the country's most important ally. We're told that Burnham rereshaw President Trump the defense and secure he is at the top of his agenda. The US President also backed himself an invitation for another visit to the UK, this time for the g twenty summit set to be held in Manchester, where Burnham was mayor in London. I'm ewing pots Bloomberg. Radio, Right you and thanks. Back here in the US, Arizona Republicans are heading to the polls today to choose a nominated challenge Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs in November. Bloomberg's Amy Morris supports from Washington. Two Arizona congressmen are vying for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. Five term US Representative Andy Biggs is a former chair of the House Freedom Caucus and has President Trump's backing. Eight term US Representative David Schweikert is giving up his competitive swing district seat after narrowly winning against strong Democratic challenges in the past three elections. Now, voters across the state will set the general election matchups for House seats and state and local offices, but Arizona's governorship is a top takeover opportunity for Republicans in Washington. Amy Morris Bloomber Radio. Thanks Amy. Let's turn to the markets now, where tech stocks are leading futures higher. Nasdaq futures are up about one and a third percent. Yesterday was another volatile session after rising as much as three quarters of a percent. The S and P five hundred finished the day lower. Lori Calvasina is the head of US equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Look, we have an eighty one fifty target over the next twelve months. I'm so sort of a mid twenty twenty seven number at this point, but we have never said that it was going to get there in a straight line, and so we have been looking for pullbacks that would be frankly no worse than five to ten percent. RBC Capital Markets. Lori Calvasena's S and P five hundred price target is about ten percent above current levels. Karen Alexis Taiwan Semiconductor is raising prices Nikeyasias reporting TSMC will boost prices for advanced and mature chip production services by up to ten percent and twenty twenty seven. TSMC and of their chip makers are grappling with the soaring cost of items employed in production, including materials, equipment and power, and. The London Stock Exchange will introduce non stop trading next year. The els SE will open a new venue outside of its regular market hours, and a move to offer near continuous trading in the working week. The new offering, which will be called LSEE twenty four, will operate from five pm until seven fifty am in London. It's expected to be ready for client testing by the end of the year. In company news, ALECSU say federal judge has granted a request to pause the Paramount skuid danced takeover of Warner Brothers Discovery for two weeks, saying it likely violates antitrust law. California and eleven other states opposing the transaction won a trial in April next year. Chris Paul Mary is covering the story for Bloomberg. This deal's already been improved by the Justice Department. It's widely expected to get the blessing of regulators in Europe this week. This puts all of that on hold, and just to really further up the pressure, if this deal doesn't close by the end of September, Paramount has to pay Warner Brothers shareholders potentially hundreds of millions of dollars a quarter in centrally late fees. Bloomberg's Chris Paul Mary says Paramount argues the deal as a head win for Hollywood and will provide much needed competition against tech. Giants and Karen. Visits to Taco Bell locations have plummeted following a parasite outbreak that authorities linked to Lettuce sold by one of the company's suppliers, Plaster AI says foot traffic on Friday was about nineteen percent below the daily average. The outbreak is also having a broader impact on the restaurant industry, with chains like Chop, Chipotle, and Panera Bread experiencing declines in traffic as well. Five oh seven on Wall Street Time Now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Good Morning, Michael. Good morning, and Lexis. In New York City, a former US Army soldier has been arrested after igniting a fire in front of a Manhattan federal building. Authorities say the suspect, Andrew Arabaca, allegedly shot a pellet gun and set off fireworks. The FBI says Arabaca made several anti government and anti ice statements during the incident, and was described as an anti American, anti government extremist. FBI New York Assistant Director James barnicle. He had two axes, a hammer, a machete, and three knives. Three people suffered minor injuries. A fourth person has died. As New York City deals with recent outbreak of Legionaire's disease on Manhattan's Upper east Side, the Health Department says seventy six people have been diagnosed with the disease, seven remain hospitalized. Tropical Storm Berthup is slowly beginning to grow around one hundred miles south of the Florida Coast. City officials and New Orleans are beginning their preparations ahead of a possible landfall Wednesday. The Orlean Sewage and Waterboard Executive director Randy Hayman, we will continue to monitor conditions around the clock and do everything we can to remain transparent and provide information to you so that you can protect yourself and your families. Officials throughout the region urging people to stay out of the water as the storm could produce high surf and dangerous rip currents. Intense heat across eastern Texas is challenging the state grids all time power demand record. Preliminary estimates from the Electric Reliability Console of Texas show demand late Monday afternoon near the more than eighty five point fifty gigawatts record set in August of twenty twenty three. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now. I'm Michae Labarr and this is Bloomberg. Thanks Michael all time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. The Red Sox have been foundering all season. They fired their one time World Series winning manager, Alex Cora. They had not had a winning streak of more than three games all season, and now suddenly the Red Sox have won fourteen games in a row. They pulled out a six to five win over Baltimore. If they win again tonight, it ties the club record for longest winning street. There'll be a new athletic director at Michigan, Ward Manual the job for ten years and now he's leaving at the end of the year. There have been off field issues at Michigan. That's a Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Day Break coming up after. This Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide, on Sirius Exam and around the World on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Thank good morning. I'm Karen Moscow alongside Alexis Christopherish and the US and Iran exchange strikes for a tenth consecutive day. It comes as mediators work to revive at truce and as the hoothy militant group in Yemen threatened shipping in the Red Sea. Meanwhile, and the US Democratic Senators planned to once again force a vote on an around war powers resolution this week. And here's Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. On Thursday, Trump insisted to the nation that we're winning the big, winning big in Iran and you'll see the fruits of that labor very very shortly. But instead and said, we saw three more brave American service members tragically lose their will lives over the weekend because of Trump's reckless war in Iran. And that's an a Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. We want to get the very latest now on the fighting with Bloomberg Middle Aged Breaking News editor Dana Creage and Dana, good morning. So we did say a tenth straight day of strikes on Iran, what do we know about these latest attacks from the US. Good morning. Yes, So the US and Iran have continued these attacks and tit for tad if you want the US to strike in Iran, and Tehran is retaliating against what it says are US interests US basis and places like Kuwait, Badin, and Jordan, which has been the case for the past several days, especially these strict countries. Baden sounded alarm saying they intercepted aerial tacks. Jordan said it intercepted drones and missiles, And of course we saw what happened over the weekend in Kuwait saying a energy facility was targeted there as well as a power desalination plant, and that was of course in response to what Iran said was US attacks all the same things, so they're kind of keeping in in similar attacks. So whatever the US attacks, then Aroun would attack in these different countries. And yesterday, as you mentioned, we saw the mediators trying to de escalate and bring the two back to perhaps the status quote that existed even before the MU was signed. US official that we have on background said that you know, Trump is currently focused on punishing Iran for attacking ships in the Strait and that the strikes will continue until the president chooses a different course of action. But again that US official said, the diplomatic efforts to end that were continuing around s interior ministries in Pakistan today in a Pakistan Kota out of course the two interior mediators who are helping to de escalate, and they're the ones who secured that MoU a few weeks ago. So still not clear what the mediators have come to and whether there is as we've seen reports of some ten days ceasefire. This is very early to see and perhaps the two the US and Iran are not you eager to immediately cease fire right now, but to do this tit for tat kind of like a managed conflict. So it's not an all out war, but it's it's a managed conflict, especially in Hormos well. Also an issue, as we know, is the straight of horror news horror moves. The UK Navy also reporting some strikes on two vessels in the Strait, so that still remains an active area as well, doesn't it exactly? And you know we're seeing more tankers coming under attacks, oil tankers even and consequently means traffic has declined significantly there So in the week ending July nineteen, Hormos crossings average seven tankers each day, and that's compared with sixteen per day a week earlier. That's according to SMP Global enter So we're seeing this, you know, Hormos is being deserted even even further, and tankers are probably going to look for some sort of assurance that they can pass through and not come under attack from Iran. So if the Hoothies imposed this maritime blockage on Saudi Arabia which we heard about as well yesterday, and we're having all of this going on still in the straight of horror MOUs, what kind of impact could this have on the oil market. Of course, that will compound whatever we are in right now and send oil prices soaring if they do disrupt and if they do carry out the so called maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia, that would translate to disrupting Saudi shipping via Red Sea through Bab and Mendeb. They can do that, as we've seen the Healthies do right in since October seven, twenty twenty three, in support of you know, the Milton Group Hamas So they did that and were able to do that, and if that happens today or this week, then you know, oil vis are going to shoot up. They're going to soar, and that means Saudi Arabia's main export route will be disrupted, and that's about you know, four a million barrels a day will also be caught out of the market. Saudi Arabit did say that they will protect their own ships and condemn the hopees for you know, those allegations and of course the maritime blockade. But it remains to be seen how this will play out. But of course the market is definitely watching this very closely. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen Host to coast on the Bloomberg Business app Now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news, whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Alexis Christophers. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day, right here on Bloomberg Daybreak