Mamdani Stuns in NYC Mayoral Primary; Trump Disputes Iran Damage Report
On today's podcast:
1) Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo conceded to his upstart rival Zohran Mamdani in the Democratic primary in the race to become mayor of New York City after the 33-year-old Queens lawmaker racked up commanding leads across Brooklyn, Queens and Manhattan.
2) US President Donald Trump disputed an intelligence report that found the airstrikes he ordered on Iran had only a limited impact on its nuclear program, even though the assessment came from the Pentagon.
3) NATO leaders sought to project confidence that the US will defend allies after President Donald Trump fueled doubts about his administration’s continued commitment to crucial collective obligations.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we'll have details on the latest intelligence reports around the weekend US air strikes in Iran in a moment, but we begin this morning with the race for New York City mayor. Zorin Mumdani has declared victory in the Democratic mayoral primary. Let's get the very latest with Bloomberg's Lisa Matteo in Manhattan. Good morning, Lisa, Good morning Nathan. Yeah, it was an incredible showing for the thirty three year old Queen's lawmaker, who was virtually an unknown before rising in the polls against a crowded eleven candidate field. Last night, former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who pitched himself as a season moderate, conceded to his upstart rival. Tonight was not our night. Tonight was Assemblyman Mondanie's. Night, and he put together a great care pain. According to preliminary results from the City Board of Elections, in the first round of rank choice voting, Mandami he garnered forty three point five percent of the vote and Couamo thirty six point four percent, now coming in third place with City comptroll Or Brad Lander at eleven point three percent. Lander and Mandami had cross endorsed each other. Mandami, who has vowed to freeze rent, seek tax hikes on corporations the wealthiest New Yorkers. He addressed a crowd of supporters early this morning in Long Island City, Queens. Together, we have shown the power of the politics of the future, one of partnership and of sincerity. But the results are not official. Under the city's rank choice system, a Canada is declared the winner after receiving more than fifty percent of the votes. The final result, well, that will not be determined until July first, that's when voters backup choices are scheduled to be tabulated, and Couamo isn't out of the race just yet, telling The New York Times that he was still considering whether to run in the November election on an independent line. Mandami would also face Mayor Eric Adams, who was running this time as an independent, as well as Republican Curtis Sliwa and independent Jim Walden. Michael Bloomberg, the founder majority owner of Bloomberg LP, the parent company of Bloomberg Radio has endorsed Andrew Cuomo. Now, if elected, Mandami would be New York's youngest mayor in a century, its first Muslim mayor, and the first person of South Asian descent to lead the city. Lisa Matteo, Bloomberg Radio. All right, let's turn down to geopolitics and the latest from the Middle East. A classified report from the Pentagon's intelligence arm is raising questions about the extent of the damage from last weekend's US bunker buster bombing of her Runs nuclear enrichment facilities. We get the details from Bloomberg's Jumana Borsecci in Dubai. President Trump had claimed that they had totally obliterated some of those nuclear sites that they hit at over the weekends, But this latest report put out by the Penzagon itself, the Defense Intelligence Agency, suggesting that the blows didn't actually manage to administer the fatal blow that Trump had characterized, instead saying that at most it had set back the nuclear program by as much as six months. They didn't actually manage to severely cripple some of the core components of the program, especially those Center Viusia's that are embedded. Underground it Spoomberg's Umana Brissetti reporting from Dubaiano this morning. President Trump is disputing that report. I believe it was total obliteration. I believe they didn't have a chance to get anything out because we acted fast. If it would have taken two weeks, maybe, but it's very hard to remove that kind of material, very hard and very dangerous for them. They movement. President Trump spoke this morning at the NATO leader's summit in the Hague, and comments heard live on Bloomberg Radio. Meanwhile, the truce between Iran and Israel appears to be holding. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyah, who says the immediate threat from Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missiles has been eliminated. The Netanyahu's military chief is warning the campaign against Iran is not over well, Nathan. The latest developments in the Middle East come as world leaders gather in the Hague for the NATO leaders Summit. Allies are trying to agree on a new defense spending target of five percent of gross domestic product, and they're trying to project confidence after President Trump fueled doubts about his administration's continued commitment to crucial collective obligations. NATO's Secretary General Mark Rudo was asked if the US was still committed to the alliance. For me, there's absolute clarity that the United States has totally committed to NATO, totally committed to Article five. And yes, there's also an expectation which will be fulfilled today that the Canadians and Europeans will speed up their spending, making sure that we not only are able to defend ourselves against the Russians and others, but also to equalize. And this is fair that we spend the same as the US are spending. And yesterday President Trump posted a private message from Mark Ruda in which the NATO general praised Trump's actions in a run and for making Europe pay in a big way on defense. Right now, Spain remains the only European holdout, an issue Secretary of State Marco Rubio said, is a quote big problem. According to Politico, turned back to politics here in the US, Karen, there is a possible breakthrough in salt talks. Of course, that's the state and local tax deduction. When it comes to the big tax cut bill on Capitol Hill. Let's get the details now from Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessont said House and Senate Republicans can cut a deal on the state and local tax deduction within the next two days, resolving one of the key issues that is stymied President Trump's economic legislation. Both sides are working through and we'll have a solution in that next twenty four to forty eight hours. Besn't met with Senate Republicans to urge them to unite to pass Trump's tax package by a self imposed July fourth deadline. He thinks Senators can begin voting on the bill this Friday. In Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. All right, Amy, thank you from Washington to space. This launch of a SpaceX Falcon nine. Rocket three two. One and. An Axiom space and a crew of astronauts from four nations to the International Space Station, marking Axiom's fourth crewed mission into low Earth orbit. It's also the first time asternats from India, Poland and Hungary We'll go to the ISS. The long awaited launch lifted off from NASA's Kennedy Space Center in Florida. After NASA, Axiom, and SpaceX delayed the launch several times due to various issues. All right, coming back from space, right back down to Washington. Karen FED chair J. Powell is getting ready to resume testimony on Capitol Hill later this morning. He will appear before the Senate Banking Committee yesterday at House Financial Services, Chairman Powell said he is still in no rush to cut interest rates while the Central Bank waits to see how tariffs affect the economy. Increases in tariffs this year are likely to push up price prices in way on economic activity. The effects on inflation could be short lived, reflecting a one time shift in the price level. And remarks her live on Bloomberg, fed Shair jpal suggested if inflation pressures remain contained, the FED could cut rates sooner rather than later, but Palell would not point to a particular meeting. Nathan Chres at FedEx, they're down about six percent this morning. The delivery package company forecast a worse than expected profit for the current quarter. Although it typically provides a full year forecast, Fedek said it would only share its outlook for the current quarter due to the uncertain global demand environment. It's time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good morning, Good morning, Carrion. There's a bit of relief ahead today from the extreme heat gripping much of the country. Parts of the Midwest will see cooler temperatures, but it will be another brutally hot day in the Northeast. Bloomberg Meeting religious Rob Carolyn has the latest. Michael. High pressure will continue to produce hot weather today, just not the excesses that we saw yesterday. We had temperatures exceeding one hundred degrees in the New York City area, in Washington, in the Boston area. In fact, Boston set their all time record high yesterday for June at one hundred and two, fourth warmest day there in southern New England looks like the highest beginning to weekend. So temperatures are hot today, but not as hot as yesterday. We have heat advisors in effect from parts of southern New England through the New York City area all the way down into the mid Atlantic States. Good news is the Northeast will be much cooler tomorrow. Michael, Thank you very much. Rob Court resumes today in the sex trafficking case against music mogul Sean Diddy Combs. When as attorneys have a sit down with a judge on jury instructions, Both the defense and the prosecution arrested their cases. After closing arguments, deliberations could begin as soon as Friday. The NTSB criticizing Boeing, it's subcontractors, Spirit Aerosystems, and the FAA for that terrifying Alaska Airline's flight when a door plug flew off in mid flight. Miraculously, all one hundred and seventy seven people on board survived. The NTSB preliminary report revealing Boeing employees felt pressure to have worked too fast, making it difficult to avoid mistakes. NTSB chair Jennifer Hammedy credits the fast acting crew of Alaska Flight twelve eighty two. An accident like this only happens when there are multiple system failures, and yet the crew shouldn't have had to be heroes because this accident never should have happened. NTSB Chair Jennifer Hammedy says the finalized report will be available in several weeks. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg news now Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Karen. All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the Bloombergy sports update. Here's John stash Hour, John, good morning. Good morning here and the Yankees in Cincinnati. The red started twenty two year old Chase Burns a year ago. They took him with the second overall pick of the draft, and all Burns did in his major league debut was strikeout the first five batters he faced. The Yanks did get to him in the fourth inning, ben Rice Homward Anthony Bolpia two on triple. The Yanks led. Three to nothing in the seventh when Cincinnati loaded the beastly track calm the look, feel live. It's a trip bat. HiT's gonna go into the quarter. One on scores, two on score and they're sending home Triggo and he scores. It's a Basis Claren double for n Carlos. The Anks trand and the Cave has tied at three. Yes, Network to call. The game went to the eleventh inning. Yanks scored one in the top Reds came back with two in the botto on one five to four. Yanks have now lost nine to their last twelve. They're one and six in extra inning games. The Mets in their last eleven games one in ten, half those losses to Atlanta, all in the last eight days. Mets also had a three to nothing lead. The Braves scored five runs off three met relievers in the sixth inning went on to win seven to four. Red Sox lost to the Angels three two ten innings. The Nationals lost in San Diego four to three tonight and Brooklyn. That's the first round of the NBA Draft. Dallas has the first pick. We'll clearly take the eighteen year old duke Phenom Cooper flag. The Nets already had four first rounders and then just made a trade to add a fifth, part of a three team trade with the Celtics and Hawks. Christoff Perzingis is headed to Atlanta. Wizards and Pelicans swam the Dale. CJ. Mccoums going to Washington, Jordan Pool to New Orleans. The Knicks do not have a first round pick or a coach. Their interview in Minnesota assistant Nika Norri, John stash. Ellen Bloomberg Sports. Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and. Around the World on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg day Break. Good morning, I'm Mathon Hager. Primary election day is in the books in New York City, and when it comes to the mayor's race, it appears to be a generational shift. I will be your Democratic nominee for the mayor of New York City. Thirty three year old State Assemblyman Zorn Mumdani declaring victory last night in the Democratic race for mayor, being sixty seven year old former governor Andrew Cuomo by more than seven percentage points in the first round of ranked choice voting. Joining us this morning after Bloomberg Television Managing editor Miles Miller. Miles, good morning. We had spoken just yesterday thinking we might not get a declared winner for days, but apparently this plurality of votes for Mumdanni was too much for Cuomo in the rest. Good morning, Hey, good morning to you. Yeah, you know, I think this was the real strategy behind mum Donnie, linking arms with other candidates and making sure that people cross endorsed, and making sure that other people ranked him on their ballot say he wasn't their first choice. Maybe he was their second and this really worked. Y Mom. Donnie is a thirty three year old Democratic Socialist assembly member from Queen's and he's not one track to become the Democratic nominee for mayor. He win. He won forty three point five five percent of the first choice votes to Andrew Cuomo's thirty six point three percent, And while we're still rating for the final ranked choice results, which will be released on July first, you know, Cuomo conceded last night to this primary, which tells you everything you need to know about how this is really going to end. Mamdannie pulled this off with a combination of message, movement, and method. He ran on affordability, freezing rents, free buses, city owned grocery stores, and connected with young voters, immigrant communities, and the city's growing progressive base. His campaign had fifty thousand volunteers. Nathan, I'll tell you this. You know, there was a day that I went with my wife and son and my brother in law and his kids to you know, a local bar in Brooklyn, and there were people there doing outreach for Mandani. And this was months before the primary. And that told me what I needed to know, which was that he had already created this big coalition. But I mean, you got to talk about just how a few weeks ago Mamdatti was essentially an unknown in this really crowded field. How do you explain this surge for him. Yeah, at one point he was polling at one percent. But the surge was helped by the support he had from top Democrats, specifically top progressive Democrats. You're talking about him being endorsed by AOC Bernie Sanders, and then him also getting some support from Democratic establishment candidates that cross endorsement with the Working Families Party, where Tiss James stood on that stage with the person she primarily endorsed and said rank this slate. That played a big role. But there is also a push in New York City for folks to have affordability. They did not feel that Andrew Cuomo's comeback would get them to that place. Cuomo had money twenty five million dollars in super pac money, but he was extremely negative in his ads. There were some ads that really at fears of New Yorkers. There was a push to call Mamdani an anti Semite, when he's always said you know, for years and for the months of this campaign, that you know, he is not an anti Semite. He just is pro Palestine, and he does want to work with with Jewish New Yorkers and have a New York that makes them feel safe. But he offered something different, urgency, optimism and a break from the old guard. And Cuomo still carried the weight of unresolved scandals, his resignation, the nursing home death's, allegations of sexual harassment, and questions about transparency during COVID. And it's clear that voters didn't forget. They said, let's go with this new guy, even though he's only passed three bills in the legislature, even only only has a staff of five. Let's see if this is a guy who'd get us forward. But of course it's not over yet. To that point, Miles, we had heard Cuomo during the campaign even saying that if he were to lose last night that he would consider running as an independent. Last night we heard him say that he's going to reassess the rank choice voting, and he's given an interview to the New York Times that's raising some doubts as well. Where does this leave Governor Cuomo heading into November. Yeah, so you know, I've been covering this story with Laura Namius, who's our senior reporter covering New York, and we talked about this a couple of days ago. You know, is Cuomo too embarrassed to have you know, on July first, if he's truly lost a Democratic primary, is he too embarrassed to run on that independent line because he didn't get the support of Democrats. And this is a guy who's been an establishment Democrats over the last thirty years. He's on the independent line, but last night he signaled that he might not use it. He told reporters last night tonight was not our night. Does that mean that it's not our night? Is it a firm No, We don't know. It's a big shift from the assumption that he was going to keep going no matter what. But this now tells me that this is going to be a race between Eric Adams, who is still mayor, and Zoram Mamdanni. Adams, of course skipped a Democratic primary entirely planning to run on that ant stop anti semitism line. It gives him a second shot and he's politically vulnerable, but Kenny have the ground swell of support in the black community, that Cuomo took away. Kenny have the ground swell of support from Republicans who seem to like what he's done, and so this could be a two way race. I think what will happen is that they'll find a way to push Curtis Lewa off the ballot and give Adams that Republican line, and then will those center write Democrats, Caribbean folks of people I grew up with who may not know Mom Donnie, go for the name they know, which is Eric Adams. So that is where I think this will go. Thanks for this, Miles comprehensive coverage this morning after Bloomberg Television Managing editor Miles Miller with us Now, we want to turn to the latest from the Middle East and an initial report on the damage from last weekend's bunker buster attack in Iran from the Pentagon's intelligence arms, suggesting that the US air strikes may have set Iran's nuclear program back by just a few months. President Trump, though, is disputing that the last thing. They want to do is enrich anything. Right now, they want to recover, and we won't let that happen. Number One, militarily. We wont. President Trump spoke at the NATO leaders summit in the Hague, as heard live on Bloomberg Radio, repeating his assertion that Iran's nuclear program was totally obliterated last weekend. For more, we're joined by Bloomberg News Senior editor Bill Ferries. Bill, Good morning, What do we know about what this initial Pentagon assessment actually says? Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. So, yes, there's this initial assessment out from the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency, and it basically says that that surprise bombing attack by those B two's over the weekend likely did not cripple Iran's the core components of Iron's nuclear program that were buried deep underground. Now it's clear the entrances have been completely destroyed and covered up, but their initial assessment is that deep down those centrifuges may still be there. Iran be able to dig through the rubble and get back down into those areas. So obviously that would be a very disappointing outcome for the US. President Trump authorized this extremely risky mission with these stealth bombers flying thirty seven hours around the world to make this to bomb those sites. And there's still a lot more information that will probably come out a lot more intelligence assessments that need to be done. But the President and his aides pushing back already on this defense this Pentagon Intelligence Agency report, saying that that it's clear to them that the sites were destroyed and that Iron's nuclear program is stopped. Yeah, And to that point, Defense Secretary Pete Heggs also at the NATO summit saying that the report was preliminary and low confidence, saying that the leak of this assessment is going to be investigated. How is the effort going to get UN nuclear inspectors back in the region now that the ceasefires in effect. Well, that's the priority for the International Atomic Energy Agency. They have said that they think the atomic program has been set back significantly, but they wouldn't say whether that means months or years. They want to get in as soon as possible to see what is the status of that enriched uranium. Is it still at one of those sites that got bombed, or can they figure out whether it got moved in the days or weeks before the attack. The IAE is priorities just to get boots on the ground basically and start seeing what they can learn about the status of that program. Yeah, and I guess it can't really be disputed that it run is on a back foot following all these developments. What can we expect when it comes to the possibility of further talks around the nuclear program between Iran and the US. Well, it does seem that, you know, both Iran and Israel were ready to de escalate at some level. They did both agree to that at least that temporary cease fire. It was had a rough start, but it seems to be holding. Uh. That may bode well for Iran's willingness to sit down again with the US in oman, you know, maybe through mediators, but start talking about, you know, what they can do to scale back their nuclear program. You know, those are still going to be difficult negotiations, but it does seem the fact that the ceasefire is holding probably is good news for the negotiating teams. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or manywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning start at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Bray