Instant Reaction: Intel and Apple Earnings Results

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Intel shares surged after the company gave a fourth-quarter revenue forecast slightly above estimates, sparking optimism that it’s capable of reclaiming some lost market share. Apple reported weaker sales in China than anticipated last quarter, raising fresh concerns about one of its most important regions. For instant reaction and analysis to the latest big tech earnings drop, hosts Tim Stenovec and Emily Graffeo speak with Bloomberg Technology co-host Ed Ludlow. 

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2024-10-31 21 min Transcript

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Bloomberg Audio, studios, podcasts, radio news. 0:00:07.160 --> 0:00:11.160 Shares of Intel are just surging as we speak right now. 0:00:11.200 --> 0:00:13.200 Taking a look at shares in the after hours, they 0:00:13.200 --> 0:00:16.079 were up as much as fifteen percent. This after the 0:00:16.160 --> 0:00:19.439 company gave a fourth quarter revenue forecast slightly above estimates. 0:00:19.480 --> 0:00:23.160 It sparked optimism that it's capable of reclaiming some lost 0:00:23.600 --> 0:00:27.560 market share. Shares are just absolutely surging right now. Remember 0:00:27.640 --> 0:00:30.960 shares down going into this print, close to sixty percent. 0:00:31.600 --> 0:00:35.120 We got with us Ed Ludlow joining us from our 0:00:35.200 --> 0:00:38.479 San Francisco bureau. I know he's looking closely at these 0:00:38.520 --> 0:00:40.720 results because he's got a chat with Pat Gelsinger coming 0:00:40.800 --> 0:00:43.800 up at six pm Wall Street Time, a special edition 0:00:43.800 --> 0:00:47.280 of Bloomberg Technology on Bloomberg TV, Bloomberg Radio, YouTube, and 0:00:47.440 --> 0:00:51.720 Bloomberg Originals. We'll get to that in just a minute. First, though, 0:00:52.240 --> 0:00:55.280 Ed expectations were pretty low going into this print. 0:00:56.040 --> 0:00:57.800 Yeah, and there's a lot to unpick here. 0:00:57.840 --> 0:01:01.280 It's not straightforward because in the core to gone, Intel, 0:01:01.600 --> 0:01:04.960 which was previously like one of the world's leading chip makers, 0:01:05.280 --> 0:01:09.040 has given us a mixed bag. Its data centerships business 0:01:09.040 --> 0:01:12.120 did better than expected, but it's PC business where it 0:01:12.160 --> 0:01:15.640 has historically been the leader did worse. The answer to 0:01:15.680 --> 0:01:20.200 that is customers had inventories and they worked through backlogs. 0:01:20.520 --> 0:01:22.360 And when we speak to Pat later, I think there's 0:01:22.360 --> 0:01:24.560 a discussion to be had about the future of Intel 0:01:24.560 --> 0:01:27.399 and the PC market. But the most important thing to 0:01:27.480 --> 0:01:30.240 note is the stock is up significantly and after hours, 0:01:30.480 --> 0:01:33.480 and that is in spite of almost three billion dollars 0:01:33.480 --> 0:01:38.160 of impairment charges that Intel took relating to headcount reduction 0:01:38.560 --> 0:01:41.600 canceled projects. And what's so interesting about that is if 0:01:41.640 --> 0:01:44.880 you look at the estimates going into this quarter, and 0:01:45.040 --> 0:01:47.280 lists on Wall Street had not factored that in. 0:01:47.640 --> 0:01:49.880 So it's a surprise, a negative surprise. 0:01:50.240 --> 0:01:53.400 And even so the stock is up significantly because, as 0:01:53.400 --> 0:01:55.280 you point out, the top line of the story is 0:01:55.600 --> 0:01:57.200 maybe there's some hope here for Intel. 0:01:57.440 --> 0:01:59.600 It is there. There's also a headline ed and I'm 0:01:59.640 --> 0:02:01.920 just getting caught up. I know you've made some time 0:02:01.920 --> 0:02:03.840 to look at this, but there's the news is coming 0:02:04.320 --> 0:02:08.519 fast and furious. They're reducing headcount by sixteen five hundred employees. 0:02:08.560 --> 0:02:11.720 Is that on top of the other headcount productions this year. 0:02:12.400 --> 0:02:16.160 This is a confirmation of the previously stated plan for 0:02:16.240 --> 0:02:21.160 headcount reduction, and that the literal update is that the 0:02:21.200 --> 0:02:25.799 Audit Committee of Intel, a section of its board, has 0:02:25.840 --> 0:02:29.160 approved that plan. So the number is final sixteen thy 0:02:29.280 --> 0:02:32.800 five hundred staff to be cut. And again I go 0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:34.960 back to the impairment charges. If you look at the 0:02:35.000 --> 0:02:38.400 adjusted loss per share in the quarter gone much much 0:02:38.440 --> 0:02:42.080 wider than anyone on the Wall Street had anticipated. And 0:02:42.120 --> 0:02:44.600 a part of that was that the impairment charges it 0:02:44.680 --> 0:02:49.480 disclosed relative to headcount reduction, but there's other things in there. 0:02:49.720 --> 0:02:52.800 They just hadn't factored that in for this quarter. Intel 0:02:52.880 --> 0:02:55.480 wasn't able to guide for it into this quarter. So 0:02:55.520 --> 0:02:58.080 it's a timing and an accounting issue, which you know 0:02:58.120 --> 0:02:59.360 sometimes can be a bit dry. 0:03:00.000 --> 0:03:01.440 There's much more to discuss. 0:03:01.240 --> 0:03:04.519 Okay, well' speina, much more to discuss. The Intel CEO 0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:06.320 Pat Gelsinger, who you're going to speak with a little 0:03:06.360 --> 0:03:09.320 later today, saying in a statement that he intends to 0:03:09.440 --> 0:03:13.880 keep the company together. Yeah, he says that distinct, but 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:17.839 better together is the strategy. The context for this is 0:03:17.840 --> 0:03:20.240 is reporting from earlier this year that said they were 0:03:20.560 --> 0:03:23.240 exploring a separation of parts of the company. 0:03:23.960 --> 0:03:25.280 So it's complicated. 0:03:25.320 --> 0:03:28.519 And first off, the headlines from Pat Gelsinger were a 0:03:28.560 --> 0:03:31.160 part of a brief conversation that our colleague and King 0:03:31.200 --> 0:03:36.240 had with him on the phone. And the context is, yes, 0:03:36.720 --> 0:03:41.240 Intel is a chip company. It offers chip products processes 0:03:41.320 --> 0:03:45.120 that go into computers and data centers and other business areas. 0:03:45.480 --> 0:03:48.880 But it also has a manufacturing business, which historically the 0:03:48.920 --> 0:03:51.440 reason that Intel was so good at chips is it 0:03:51.480 --> 0:03:55.200 built them or manufactured them for itself. As many of 0:03:55.240 --> 0:03:57.480 your listeners have learned in the last two or three years, 0:03:57.760 --> 0:04:01.280 there's a company in Taiwan called TSMC that has basically 0:04:01.320 --> 0:04:05.360 taken over the vast majority of cutting edge chip manufacturing 0:04:05.640 --> 0:04:09.000 on a contract basis for everyone else, and Intel had 0:04:09.000 --> 0:04:12.120 really fallen behind. But Intel's ambition is to have a 0:04:12.160 --> 0:04:15.360 company where it has its own products, it manufactures its 0:04:15.400 --> 0:04:18.520 own products, but it also wants to manufacture chips with others, 0:04:18.560 --> 0:04:21.560 just like TSMC does. And that's a long answer, but 0:04:21.640 --> 0:04:24.760 the short of it is, this is Pat Gelsinger saying, yes, 0:04:25.080 --> 0:04:28.039 we're going to run the company that way to separate divisions, 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:30.440 but no, we're not going to sell off one part 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:33.640 to a third party or be acquired by a third party. 0:04:33.880 --> 0:04:35.960 That's kind of reading between the lines because he was 0:04:36.000 --> 0:04:37.240 not explicit. 0:04:38.279 --> 0:04:42.360 Ed. You have to wonder how much patience investors have 0:04:42.680 --> 0:04:47.640 right now to see this turnaround play out, because, like 0:04:47.720 --> 0:04:51.320 Tim had mentioned, Intel stock is down almost sixty percent 0:04:51.560 --> 0:04:54.080 year to date. So what do we know right now 0:04:54.120 --> 0:04:58.479 about just how urgent the need for the turnaround is. 0:04:58.839 --> 0:05:01.200 When you think about the share price. 0:05:01.760 --> 0:05:04.400 I mean, do we have to wait for those listening 0:05:04.480 --> 0:05:06.679 on radio. I'm looking at a chart and the line 0:05:06.720 --> 0:05:08.920 goes straight up in the air with a thirteen percent 0:05:09.000 --> 0:05:11.839 next to it, And if you're watching on YouTube, maybe 0:05:11.880 --> 0:05:14.000 we can put the chart up. And it's an astonishing 0:05:14.040 --> 0:05:17.640 market reaction because of the pain of the quarter gone 0:05:17.640 --> 0:05:20.479 that I just told you, and what Intel told us 0:05:20.520 --> 0:05:22.440 for the final three months of this year is here's 0:05:22.480 --> 0:05:24.480 a range of revenues we think we're going to have. 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:27.159 At the midpoint of that range, it was just slightly 0:05:27.200 --> 0:05:30.640 ahead of consensus estimates. But the market is you know, 0:05:30.680 --> 0:05:33.640 what's the saying, you guys that the investors vote with 0:05:33.640 --> 0:05:37.680 their feet, right, And you know, I think that's the 0:05:37.760 --> 0:05:40.760 read here. They look at the commentary from Intel and say, 0:05:40.760 --> 0:05:42.960 you've done some really painful things in the quarters gone. 0:05:42.960 --> 0:05:45.159 You've let go of a lot of people canceled a 0:05:45.200 --> 0:05:47.760 lot of projects. You had a pretty rough quarter in 0:05:47.800 --> 0:05:49.919 your PC business where you were once a leader and 0:05:49.920 --> 0:05:52.120 you've fallen behind. But as we look to the next 0:05:52.200 --> 0:05:54.640 three months and beyond that, there are signs that you 0:05:54.720 --> 0:05:57.720 might be turning a corner here. And that's great because 0:05:57.720 --> 0:05:59.839 that gives us a lot to ask Pat Gelsinger about 0:06:00.080 --> 0:06:00.480 to today. 0:06:01.200 --> 0:06:03.520 Don't give away the questions, ed, I would never ask 0:06:03.560 --> 0:06:06.159 you to do that, but what is top of mind 0:06:06.160 --> 0:06:08.960 for you ahead of this conversation, especially given that you 0:06:09.040 --> 0:06:12.080 got to read a little bit of what Ian's conversation 0:06:12.160 --> 0:06:14.680 went with him earlier, and then also you get the 0:06:14.680 --> 0:06:16.640 most recent numbers that we're talking about right now. 0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:18.800 Yeah, because of the analyst call as well, and you 0:06:18.839 --> 0:06:20.760 never know what's going to come up in an analyst call. 0:06:21.160 --> 0:06:24.479 There's definitely a technology to discussion to have here. You know, 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:27.840 one of the interesting parts of Qualcomm, or the report 0:06:28.360 --> 0:06:32.280 that Qualcomm was Qualcom was interested in buying some all 0:06:32.320 --> 0:06:36.000 of Intel, is that they had made inroads themselves into 0:06:36.000 --> 0:06:40.240 the PC market where Intel had once been dominant. And 0:06:41.160 --> 0:06:43.800 you know, a theoretical idea that came out of that is, 0:06:43.839 --> 0:06:45.800 why would Qualcom want to buy Intel if they're doing 0:06:45.880 --> 0:06:48.159 so well on their own, But you could flip that 0:06:48.200 --> 0:06:50.839 on its head and say, the story of twenty twenty 0:06:50.880 --> 0:06:55.039 four has been about the AIPC PC laptops that have 0:06:55.200 --> 0:06:57.480 new chips in them that are not made by Intel. 0:06:57.760 --> 0:06:59.880 So when's Intel going to come to the races on that? 0:07:00.320 --> 0:07:02.680 And in fact, a number of our audience, but also 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:04.640 like executives in the world of tech, have asked me 0:07:04.800 --> 0:07:07.599 to ask Pat about that issue, because if Intel's so 0:07:07.640 --> 0:07:10.120 good at PC chips, why is it not doing the 0:07:10.200 --> 0:07:13.640 latest thing? These are technology questions, but I think we 0:07:13.640 --> 0:07:17.680 should probably be explicit. Was Intel or was Intel not 0:07:17.760 --> 0:07:20.480 approached by some of its peers about an acquisition? 0:07:20.840 --> 0:07:21.920 Simple stuff. 0:07:23.320 --> 0:07:27.240 Ed In just three minutes, we should be getting Apple's 0:07:27.560 --> 0:07:28.360 earnings reports. 0:07:28.640 --> 0:07:29.200 What goodness? 0:07:29.840 --> 0:07:33.560 What should people be watching hump for for the iPhone? 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:39.120 Yeah, iPhone sixteen and China very simple, leading product, most 0:07:39.120 --> 0:07:42.240 important market, and that's probably what it will come down to. 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:45.600 Will those iPhone sixteen's are they flying off the shelves? 0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:49.920 So we've learned in the newsroom a really painful lesson 0:07:49.960 --> 0:07:54.160 this year, which is treat the third party data with caution. 0:07:54.720 --> 0:07:56.320 You guys will probably have done it on the show 0:07:56.400 --> 0:07:59.760 right these stories about some of the market researchers, who 0:07:59.840 --> 0:08:02.560 is you report saying the first six weeks of iPhone 0:08:02.600 --> 0:08:05.240 sixteen sales are down relative to the first six weeks 0:08:05.240 --> 0:08:09.240 of iPhone fifteen according to xyz data set Counterpoint research 0:08:09.360 --> 0:08:09.680 is one. 0:08:10.360 --> 0:08:12.400 But there's also evidence that in recent. 0:08:12.200 --> 0:08:15.720 Quarters, Apple's actual data has proven the third party data 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:18.840 to be off the mark a little bit. And there's 0:08:18.880 --> 0:08:23.480 a very interesting phenomena happening in China. Apple won't make 0:08:23.520 --> 0:08:27.040 its latest generf generative AI tech available in China for 0:08:27.080 --> 0:08:30.120 some time until the regulator says it's okay. But there 0:08:30.160 --> 0:08:32.720 is evidence that the consumer in China is buying the 0:08:32.760 --> 0:08:36.440 iPhone anyway in anticipation they might have access at some 0:08:36.559 --> 0:08:39.520 point to like the latest and greatest software, which I 0:08:39.520 --> 0:08:42.679 think is so interesting. Right, You're buying something without having 0:08:42.800 --> 0:08:44.960 been able to experience it and like look at it 0:08:45.080 --> 0:08:46.640 because it's not available in that market. 0:08:47.440 --> 0:08:50.000 Yeah, okay, So okay, let's talk a little bit about China. 0:08:50.120 --> 0:08:52.040 Just thirty seconds here, ed because these numbers are coming 0:08:52.040 --> 0:08:55.280 out in thirty seconds. Sure, what are the numbers we 0:08:55.360 --> 0:08:57.560 need to see in China indicate that that Apple is 0:08:57.559 --> 0:09:01.000 not losing market share to Samsung show me and the. 0:09:01.120 --> 0:09:04.199 Like numbers or commentary, so they'll report something for Gray 0:09:04.320 --> 0:09:06.960 to China. They won't be as sort of candid about 0:09:07.320 --> 0:09:10.000 category specific stuff, but on the call they would tell 0:09:10.080 --> 0:09:13.520 us how they think they do or rank in that market. 0:09:14.400 --> 0:09:16.640 Okay, we're going to get numbers from Apple in just 0:09:16.720 --> 0:09:21.280 about fifteen seconds. Going into today, shares for the year 0:09:21.800 --> 0:09:25.440 up seventeen percent, so underperforming the S and P five 0:09:25.520 --> 0:09:29.600 hundred shares today down one point eight percent. We are 0:09:29.600 --> 0:09:33.079 getting a slew of earnings continuing and now we're getting 0:09:33.080 --> 0:09:36.719 Apple results. Bear with me while I bring these up. 0:09:36.920 --> 0:09:40.320 Fourth quarter revenue meets estimates coming in at ninety four 0:09:40.320 --> 0:09:43.240 point nine three billion dollars. Estimates were for ninety four 0:09:43.240 --> 0:09:46.280 point three six billion dollars. As we look at the 0:09:46.440 --> 0:09:49.400 different parts of the reportable categories, services revenue for the 0:09:49.400 --> 0:09:52.360 fourth quarter coming in below estimates, twenty four point nine 0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:55.320 to seven billion. Estimates for twenty five point two seven 0:09:55.600 --> 0:09:59.559 billion fourth quarter earnings per share coming in way below 0:09:59.679 --> 0:10:02.040 estimate and are not excuse me, not below estimates below 0:10:02.040 --> 0:10:04.319 what they were last year ninety seven cents versus one 0:10:04.360 --> 0:10:07.880 dollar and forty six year over year fourth quarter revenue 0:10:07.920 --> 0:10:10.280 once again beating estimates, coming in at ninety four point 0:10:10.360 --> 0:10:13.480 nine three billion dollars. Estimates were for ninety four point 0:10:13.480 --> 0:10:16.960 three six billion dollars. Apple also declaring a cash dividend 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:18.960 of twenty five cents per share. 0:10:19.400 --> 0:10:21.600 That's I'm not done that much. 0:10:21.679 --> 0:10:25.719 Okay. Let's look at fourth quarter iPhone revenue coming in 0:10:25.880 --> 0:10:28.160 above estimates at forty six point twenty two billion. 0:10:28.240 --> 0:10:28.560 Estimate. 0:10:28.559 --> 0:10:31.520 Weres for forty five billion dollars, fourth quarter Greater China 0:10:31.559 --> 0:10:34.760 revenue coming in just shy of estimates fifteen point zero 0:10:34.760 --> 0:10:38.560 three billion dollars. Estimates are for fifteen point eight billion. 0:10:38.240 --> 0:10:42.760 Dollars, and their fourth quarter Wearables, Home and Accessories slightly 0:10:42.800 --> 0:10:46.640 missing estimates nine billion dollars. The MAC revenue seven point 0:10:46.640 --> 0:10:49.880 seventy four billion, right in line with estimates, and iPad 0:10:49.920 --> 0:10:53.080 revenue slightly below estimates six point ninety five billion versus 0:10:53.200 --> 0:10:57.880 estimates of seven billion. The red headline crossing the Bloomberg 0:10:57.960 --> 0:11:01.600 terminal is that the Apple fourth quarter Greater China revenue 0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:05.920 missed estimates. It's fifteen point oh three billion versus estimates 0:11:06.120 --> 0:11:07.360 of fifteen point eight billion. 0:11:07.520 --> 0:11:11.040 Yeah, that was a that's a pretty significant miss right there. 0:11:11.480 --> 0:11:13.559 Seeing shares bounce around a little. They were higher when 0:11:13.559 --> 0:11:16.400 these numbers came out. Now they're down about one point 0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:19.640 three percent. Some of these certainly worth repeating. Fourth quarter 0:11:19.679 --> 0:11:22.880 iPhone revenue coming in above estimates at forty six point 0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:25.600 two to two billion dollars, fourth quarter revenue coming in 0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:29.080 at ninety four billion, ninety four point ninety three billion 0:11:29.120 --> 0:11:32.640 dollars above estimates, but fourth quarter Greater China revenue coming 0:11:32.640 --> 0:11:34.240 in below estimates. I do want to go back to 0:11:34.400 --> 0:11:37.200 Ed Ludlow, who's standing by in San Francisco. He's only 0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:40.320 had two minutes to look at these numbers China. That 0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:41.640 certainly seems like a story here. 0:11:41.800 --> 0:11:44.920 Ed, Yeah, I mean you want wonderful summary. I mean, all, 0:11:45.040 --> 0:11:47.360 how do you follow that? But I think that that's 0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:51.439 the simple calculus. Overall iPhone revenue beat right, Greater China 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:54.640 slightly missed. It's not until the analyst call that you 0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:58.679 get the commentary. It's usually from the CFO rather than 0:11:58.679 --> 0:12:03.040 Tim Kirk that says, actually, by category or products are 0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:06.079 be it iPhone, mac wearables, here's how we did, and 0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:09.920 in that explanation we will find out did iPhone grow 0:12:09.960 --> 0:12:14.360 in China or not? It's interesting, you know the miss 0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:19.120 is it's a miss, you know, it's slight. The only 0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:21.120 other thing that I point out is that you have 0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:23.520 to read between the lines a bit. And the Apple 0:12:23.559 --> 0:12:26.640 once again has a new record high of number of 0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:29.160 installed devices around the world. That's the number of people 0:12:29.400 --> 0:12:33.680 with an Apple hardware product or device somewhere in the world. 0:12:34.080 --> 0:12:37.439 It's growing. But where in particular, which product line. That's 0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:38.559 kind of the question next. 0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:41.600 But that's an important number because increasingly, as people hold 0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:43.760 onto these devices for longer, the more of them that 0:12:43.800 --> 0:12:46.319 are out there, the more people are spending on services 0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:50.640 like Apple TV plus, Apple Music, iCloud and the like. 0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:53.199 I know, I'm certainly not buying new devices right now, 0:12:53.200 --> 0:12:55.280 but I'm still spending each month quite a bit on 0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:57.960 Apple and Apple loves that it's a high margin business. 0:12:58.520 --> 0:13:00.680 Yeah, the timing of this very interesting. 0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:02.880 So in the release they talk about the rollout of 0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:07.040 Apple Intelligence, which is staggered. As Mark German has reported 0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:11.520 here at Bloomberg News. Apple Intelligence is the company's proprietary 0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:15.760 AI or generative AI offering. It's a suite of software 0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:20.200 tools in iOS that can do various things. This past week, 0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:23.000 I was offered to upgrade MYOS to eighteen point one. 0:13:23.320 --> 0:13:26.120 Then I was put on a wait list for Apple Intelligence. 0:13:26.440 --> 0:13:29.160 That's all lot preamble to say, we don't know anything 0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:32.640 from this release. And you noted that services missed right, 0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:35.080 that all this work they put in AI and all 0:13:35.120 --> 0:13:38.760 of the delay translates to consumers spending more money within 0:13:38.800 --> 0:13:41.520 the iOS or Apple ecosystem. And I know that many 0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:44.840 analysts investors are going to be listening carefully for that. 0:13:45.559 --> 0:13:47.160 Let's go through some of these numbers again. If you're 0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:50.120 just joining us. Apple shares down about one point seven 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:53.440 percent in the after hours. They reported just about four 0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:56.640 minutes ago, five minutes ago, our fourth quarter revenue came 0:13:56.679 --> 0:14:00.000 in above estimates at ninety four point ninety three billion dollars. 0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:03.320 Quarter iPhone revenue came in above estimates at forty six 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.880 point two two billion dollars. That's a billion dollars more 0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:09.400 than what analysts were expecting. Fourth quarter greater China revenue, 0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:12.160 though coming in below estimates, Does that mean the iPhone 0:14:12.160 --> 0:14:14.000 sixteen is a huge success ad. 0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:17.760 You have to read between the lines again until an 0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:21.080 executive says it definitively on the call, you don't know. 0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:23.280 But there were other areas that were a bit of 0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:27.760 a surprise, right. iPad was a surprising miss despite having 0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:29.040 released new generations. 0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:29.760 So take that. 0:14:30.200 --> 0:14:32.560 MAC revenue came in at one hundred million more than 0:14:32.640 --> 0:14:36.800 the same period a year ago, or maybe sequentially in 0:14:36.840 --> 0:14:40.000 line with expectations, so that's not giving a surprise contribution. 0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:44.000 What's left we know revenue services revenue missed, maybe iPhone. 0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:46.760 Piecing it together, well, how much of the iPhone sixteen 0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:50.680 was sold in this most recent quarter? Like, do we that? No, 0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:52.320 we do in terms of availability. 0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:55.960 So in terms of availability, I'm trying to go through 0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:57.480 the tank, you and the thing to look at the 0:14:57.520 --> 0:15:00.280 inventory number because that's the next place that I can. 0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:02.800 I can't find it yet because to me with another one, 0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:03.640 and I'll try catch. 0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:04.840 Out, Okay, So I'll give you some time to look 0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:07.120 for that. The reason I always am interested in that 0:15:07.240 --> 0:15:09.840 is because they announced this thing in September, goes on 0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:13.320 sale a few weeks later. The quarter ends after only 0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:16.840 a couple weeks after that, iPhone goes on sale. In 0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:19.480 some years Emily, they haven't even been able to put 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:22.400 the new phone on sale before the quarter of learning. 0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:25.680 So it's just a question of okay, how many people 0:15:25.720 --> 0:15:28.480 were buying the old iPhone versus the new iPhone right 0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:31.360 here as an indication of how well is that new 0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:32.040 model selling. 0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:35.240 I'll also add Tim that we are seeing Apple stock 0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:39.960 extending some losses. You know, nothing huge here, and it is. 0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.520 It has only been six minutes since Arnais came out, 0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:45.000 but we do now see shares of Apple down about 0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:49.000 one point seven percent, despite the fact that fourth quarter 0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:53.560 revenue met estimates and was still up six percent year 0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:57.080 over year, and also that service revenue up twelve percent 0:15:57.160 --> 0:15:59.960 year over year but did slightly miss estimates. 0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:02.520 Taking a look now at our live blog. If you 0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:05.040 have access to this on the Bloomberg terminal, do check 0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:09.080 it out our own. Mark German, adding to what Ed 0:16:09.160 --> 0:16:11.760 said that iprad is a surprising miss, coming out just 0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:13.680 shy of seven billion, despite the release of that new 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.840 iPad Pro and iPad Air models earlier this year. That 0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:19.560 new iPad Mini released this month unlikely to help materially. 0:16:20.000 --> 0:16:22.560 Mark Kerman also writing that the Mac came in with 0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:25.800 about one hundred million dollars annual revenue increase, meeting Wall 0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:28.320 Street estimates of seven point seven billion dollars. New Max 0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:30.760 released this week should help that product segment in the 0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:32.920 current quarter, and I want to go back to you. 0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:36.200 I know you've been diving into that ten Q speed 0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:38.720 reading it. What sticks out to you from there. 0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:42.120 Well, not the inventries. They're basically very similar to the 0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:44.440 same period a year ago. So I'm going to spend 0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:48.120 a bit more time pondering that. You know, a story 0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:51.440 of the megacaps so far in twenty twenty four has 0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:56.000 been sweetness for shareholders and this is more dry stuff. 0:16:56.400 --> 0:16:59.280 But you know that your audience on this show, whether 0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:02.080 they're listening or watching, there are so many different types 0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.520 of Apple investors out there where the role of a 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:08.640 dividend or shareholder returns is really important. And so whatever's 0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:12.560 happening with any given products line or category, Remember this 0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:16.040 Apple is a cash machine twenty seven billion dollars of 0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:20.080 operating cash flow generated in the quarter. Hence they're able 0:17:20.119 --> 0:17:23.320 to return relatively the same twenty nine billion dollars back 0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:27.000 to investors. The differences is that in prior quarters, when 0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:29.920 we've seen a sweetener like a divvy or a boost 0:17:30.280 --> 0:17:34.119 into a buyback program, that's been a great thing for investors, 0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:38.119 they've responded positively. On EM's note, just then, the stock 0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:41.120 isn't really responding to that, right, there isn't some sort 0:17:41.160 --> 0:17:43.960 of relief in that sense, knowing that the bar too 0:17:44.040 --> 0:17:44.520 is high. 0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:46.720 Yeah, and you bring up a really good point that 0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:48.879 I know you said it's dry, but it's not as 0:17:48.960 --> 0:17:50.679 dry to me. I interview a lot of I know, 0:17:51.040 --> 0:17:52.159 full managers. 0:17:52.480 --> 0:17:53.960 This is a nice little mix for you. 0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:58.440 You know, people always talk about cash rich companies and 0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:01.679 how those kinds of companies are despite what the macro 0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:06.160 economic environment is doing. If you buy a large company 0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:09.480 that has a big, strong balance sheet, no matter what 0:18:09.560 --> 0:18:12.720 the FED does, no matter what other earnings do, you'll 0:18:12.760 --> 0:18:15.560 be safe. And I think that sentiment has really carried 0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:18.359 these mega tex stocks this year, all the volatility. 0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:22.399 It's important because again there's a badge of honor for 0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:24.480 many that comes with holding Apple stock, whether you're the 0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:26.800 smallest retail investor or the giant on Wall Street. 0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:28.280 That's been the case for so long. 0:18:29.320 --> 0:18:32.119 But at the end of the day, you have in 0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:35.680 the world of technology, two main operating systems for smartphones 0:18:35.760 --> 0:18:38.879 iOS and the iPhone, and then Android, where a number 0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:42.399 of handset makers are involved. And it comes back to 0:18:42.440 --> 0:18:44.480 what's happened to Apple, and the cores are just gone. 0:18:44.760 --> 0:18:47.360 It grew in every market around the world apart from 0:18:47.359 --> 0:18:50.800 one greater China. Tim's question is did the iPhone do 0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:54.920 great well? The question outstanding is as important as the 0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:57.360 data that we've related to the audiences we don't know. 0:18:57.880 --> 0:18:59.600 Let us answer the question on the call. 0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:02.720 The iPhone grow in China and all of these things 0:19:02.760 --> 0:19:05.240 investors take into account just as much as they do 0:19:05.560 --> 0:19:07.200 the sweeteners that have put before them. 0:19:07.320 --> 0:19:10.639 All Right, We're going to hear from Apple executives on 0:19:10.680 --> 0:19:11.560 the call a little later. 0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:11.840 ED. 0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:17.879 It's notable because it is I believe Luka Maistri's last 0:19:17.880 --> 0:19:21.399 earnings call at Apple. He's going to be passing the 0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:25.840 torch to his top deputy when the calendar turns to 0:19:25.960 --> 0:19:30.480 twenty twenty five. Is that something that is meaningful to 0:19:30.560 --> 0:19:32.439 you in terms of how this There's not a lot 0:19:32.480 --> 0:19:35.239 of executive turnover at this company. These people have been 0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:38.000 there for years. Can text you like that for us? 0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:41.280 On the one hand, Kevan Perek, who's you're like right, 0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:43.600 his deputy and steps up to being CFO, is a 0:19:43.640 --> 0:19:47.640 known quantity because he's been there and this was telegraphed. 0:19:47.960 --> 0:19:50.640 But I've often posted in the Bloomberg Top Life blog 0:19:50.680 --> 0:19:53.600 it's the blog we run during these big moments that 0:19:54.080 --> 0:19:57.439 it's often my Strey rather than cook that gives you 0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:00.800 the information that we'd consider news. It is some more 0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:04.760 granular detail about performance of a specific product in a 0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:09.720 specific market, like iPhone in China. He is widely seen 0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:12.360 as being a master of the margin, right you think 0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:15.320 about it, talked about cash generation but the bottom line 0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:18.439 in general and Apple being a highly profitable company with 0:20:18.600 --> 0:20:21.439 just insane amounts of cash on the balance sheet. You know, 0:20:21.520 --> 0:20:24.280 Luke and Maistreet has been a big part of that story. 0:20:24.920 --> 0:20:28.359 Does can Correct have the same prowess in that field? 0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:31.879 It takes some quarters to find out, but you know, 0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:34.480 when you're a journalists and an investor, you become familiar 0:20:34.480 --> 0:20:37.240 with these names and you listen closely when they say 0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:40.760 things because you know that they choose their words with purpose. 0:20:41.200 --> 0:20:41.280 Ed. 0:20:41.560 --> 0:20:43.159 We're going to give you a break in just a minute. 0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:46.000 But last question to you is just give us the 0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:50.720 high level view of Apple for people who are just 0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:51.680 joining us right now. 0:20:52.440 --> 0:20:56.320 Yeah, in the quarter, Apple posted sales that were about 0:20:56.320 --> 0:20:59.560 what everyone expected. They grew their sales in every geography 0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:02.760 around world world apart from China. An iPhone which is 0:21:02.840 --> 0:21:06.800 basically everything still for anyone that cares about Apple beat 0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:10.000 estimates overall, but there's a lingering question about how it's 0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:13.639 doing in China because it's such an important market. The 0:21:13.680 --> 0:21:17.359 next phase, or the forward looking bit, is the work 0:21:17.400 --> 0:21:20.600 they've done in AI. Working for them is a business 0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:23.040 because services revenue came in a bit light. 0:21:23.160 --> 0:21:23.480 Now. 0:21:23.640 --> 0:21:27.480 Apple Intelligence is only just this week, last couple of 0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:30.720 days been rolling out in markets like North America. It 0:21:30.840 --> 0:21:33.480 is not available in the EU. It is not available 0:21:33.480 --> 0:21:36.600 in China. But some explanation because we don't have it 0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:39.480 in the release of how this amazing AI tech is 0:21:39.520 --> 0:21:41.800 going to drive growth for them in terms of sales 0:21:41.840 --> 0:21:44.880 and profit is probably the next logical thing to look at. 0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:47.919 D Love though, is the cohost of Bloomberg Technology on 0:21:47.960 --> 0:21:48.680 Bloomberg TV.

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