US at Odds With Allies Over Hormuz, G7 Summit in France Begins
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1) US President Donald Trump keeps repeating that the Strait of Hormuz — through which one fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas supplies normally flow — will reopen by Friday.But on the sidelines of the Group of Seven summit, where Iran likely dominated Monday’s dinner conversation, it’s clear that his European allies don’t share his optimism. They disagree that trade can resume by week’s end, like Trump promised, and have practical questions about what exactly was agreed before they can commit to de-mining missions and patrols.
2) The UK announced new sanctions on what it said was a Russian intelligence network that has been acquiring Western technology for its military to use in Ukraine, as well as a further clampdown on its shadow fleet and illicit finance programs. Britain’s Foreign Office said it was exposing a front company called LLC Neptune Co Ltd, which it said was controlled by Russia’s military intelligence agency, the GRU, and was involved in covertly procuring Western technology for the country’s military.
3) SpaceX shares surged in premarket trading, putting the stock on track to extend a rally following its blockbuster debut last week. The shares rose 11% in New York, poised to build on the more than 40% gain across SpaceX’s first two sessions as a public company. The gains have lifted the market value of the rocket and AI company founded by Elon Musk above $2.5 trillion as of Monday’s close, bringing it within striking distance of Amazon.com Inc.’s nearly $2.7 trillion valuation.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest from the G seven Leader summit in Evion, France. President Trump has arrived at the gathering touting an interim deal with Iran to reopen the Strait of horror moves. The President says, the agreement is already having an impact the neils. O side, and these trainers already partially opened. As you know, they're doing a little hunting for a couple of minds they've already found. But it's essentially ships are starting to go out. Now. On Friday, it'll be completely opened. President Trump spoke alongside French President Emanuel Mcrowe at the G seven. Vice President JD. Vance made the rounds on television to defend the deal. The Iranians don't get a dime unless they behave and change their behavior. And this means that a rain will never have a nuclear weapons. That's what we did this at a dime. Did they ever get an American dime, a taxpayer dollar? No? So, number one, first of all, they never get a dime of America taxpayer money, ever, full stop, not even close. Vice President JD. Van spoke with Fox News host Sean Hannity. He's expected to represent the US when both sides signed the deal on Friday. Well, Nathan. Despite those assurances from President Trump and Vice President Vance, European leaders are sounding less optimistic about this Straight of Horror Moves reopening by Friday. Bloomberg Chief Europe correspondent Oliver Crook is covering the G seven in Evyon. There's also this effort by European leaders and their militaries to potentially have this d mining mission that would go to the Straight of Horror Moves, but they say they can really only do that once they understand this peace deal and once there is, you know, an actually durable peace deal. There's also a real question about whether or not some of these leaders, like Georgia Maloney, has suggested that she doesn't really want to participate in anything until there's a full deal that also includes Lebanon. So these are some of the concerns I think that G seven leaders will be having today. And Bloomberg's Oliver Krook reports senior Administration officials are saying it could take up to two weeks for shipping to increase through this strait and even longer to return to pre war levels. Today there will be a focus on Ukraine along with Iran. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski has arrived in Evyon for a morning session focused on his country's war with Russia. And carent At least one key Gulf oil producers already making plans for horror moves to reopen. Bloomberg News has learned Katar plans to rapidly boost production of liquefied natural gas once shipping through the waterway is restored. Katar Energy is told buyers it plans to raise output to about fifty percent capacity in the first month, then about eighty percent a month later. The energy provider says full capacity will take years to restore due to damage from Iranian missile strikes. Nathan, the side of oil continues this morning. Right now, Brent is at eighty one dollars thirty nine cents a barrel, Nimex Screwede oil at seventy eight dollars eighty seven cents. Oil is now headed for its longest losing streak of the year. It's down four days in a row. Both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have cut price outlooks for the coming quarters. In fact, Golman predicts Persian Gulf experts will reach pre war levels by the end of July. Meanwhile, the US emergency supply of crude oil KAREN has fallen to its lowest level since nineteen eighty three, and we get details from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. It comes as the Trump administration moves toward completing its plan to release one hundred and seventy two million barrels to ease surging fuel prices spurred by the war in Iran. The SPR the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, was created after the Arab oil embargo of the early nineteen seventies. In March, the US Energy Department announced the plan to release oil from the Strategic Reserve as part of a coordinated effort by nations around the world, less than two weeks after the US and Israel launched attacks on Iran. In New York. Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Radio. Right, Charlie, thank you. Another news this morning. Eight people have died after a B fifty two b crash shortly after takeoff from a US Air Force base in southern California. The aircraft was on a routine test mission when the incident occurred. Deputy Commander Colonel James Hayes says they aren't sure yet what led to the crash. At this point, we don't have any indication as to what the cause was of this. We won't be able to release that information and we don't have an ability to get that anytime soon. And Colonel James Hayes says the investigation could take up to six months to complete. Turn Back to markets now, Karen stocks are coming off a major rally on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial average closed at an all time high, the S and P five hundred rows one point seven percent, while the tech heavy Nasdaq one hundred added three point one percent. Nathan's also shaping up to be another good day for SpaceX investors. The stock is up ten point nine percent in pre market trading, and that's building out it nearly forty percent gain across its first two sessions a public company. The Elon muss led company is now worth more than two and a half trillion dollars. David Bauer is co head of ECM America's at JP Morgan Chase. It's all systems go to make a pun intended for SpaceX. But I think if there's any hesitancy of you know, should I continue to buy up twenty percent? I think the answer is yes. And if you look long enough, there's a you know, this is a business that could be generationally transformational. JP Morgan's David Bauer. SpaceX is now one of the six biggest companies in. The world, and that rally Karen has vaulted SpaceX CEO Elon Musk to even loftier wealth levels. The world's first trillionaires net worth throws more than ten percent to one point two seven trillion dollars, and Musk wasn't the only one to benefit. The five hundred richest people on the globe added three hundred and thirty six billion dollars to their collective fortunes. That is the biggest haul ever recorded in a single day on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. And Asia Nathan, the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates to a thirty one year high of one percent. The BOJ hike borrowing caused by twenty five basis points to a level na scene since nineteen ninety five. Cherry On is Bloomberg's editor at large in Tokyo. The BOG wants a pace of hikes to depend on the Middle East to impact the economic outlook. Of course, we'll be watching what the inflationary impact will be from a piece seal if in fact that agreement sticks. So far, we know that of course, Japan before the conflict imported more than ninety percent of oil from the Middle East, so this will be very consequential. Bloomberg. Cary On also reports the BOJ plans to keep raising rates in response to developments in the economy and prices, and. Karen more central banks than ever expect to increase their gold reserves, and a survey of seventy four central banks, forty five percent said they planned to buy in the coming year. Gold prices more than doubled over the past three years, but some of those gains have been erased after the Middle East War. Fuel bets that interest rates will need to stay higher for longer, and checking gold prices right now in the COMEX, they're four tenths of one percent. Gold's trading at forty three hundred and sixty seven dollars ninety cents per rounds. Well. Speaking of gold, Nathan, let's talk about merchandise for the New York Knicks. They are now the top selling championship team on online sportsseller Fanatics. Bloomberry's Tom Busby has the numbers. That's over. Nick fans, this is not a dream. Your long long wait is ended. Just after New York's victory on Saturday night, Fanatics released more than three hundred Nick branded championship hats, hoodies, t shirts, and other products. At one point, the company said it was taking in eight thousand orders per minute added up, and the Knicks are now the top selling championship team ever on the site, topping the NFL's Philadelphia Eagles for the record for sales in the twenty four hour period after winning a title. Tom Busby Bloomberg Radio. Time Now for look at some of the other story or he's making news in New York and around the world, and for that were joined by Bloomberg, John Tucker, John good morning. Yeah, Good morning. Carry in New Jersey and investigation under way after an ICE agent fired a weapon Monday morning in Ocean County. A person fled the scene in a vehicle, striking the agent during the encounter. Local residents aren't too happy. All different kinds of police that you could imagine that we've never seen in our lives. Like they're all parking in our parking lot, and we're like, what is going on here? According to local police, an Ice agent was attempting to apprehend somebody in a vehicle in Manahawken. It's unknown if the driver was struck. No official response from the Trump Justice Department after California Governor Gaba Newsom claimed he and his wife are under federal investigation because of his vocal opposition to President Trump. He's coming after me because I'm considering running for president. The Newsom says. Federal agents have knocked in the doors of his family, friends, and former employees. The source tells Bloomberg Justice Department probing whether Newsom had any knowledge or took part in the alleged corruption of his former chief of staff. Republicans are sent to finalize their picks and marquee races for US Senate and governor in a state primary runoff election today in Georgia, Representative Mike Collins and former University of Tennessee football coach Derek Dooley are the finalists for the Republican nomination to challenge Senator John Also in November, President Trump endorsed Collins at a runoff. Louisiana and Texas faced several days of heavy rain, bringing a risk of flaunts as a potential tropical store arm tries to organize in the western growth of Mexico, a broad area stretching from Texas to Jackson, Mississippi. Forecaster receive four to five days of heavy rain. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm John Tucker, and this is Bloomberg. Karen Hey sean time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Garny. Twist in the Brendan Sorsby Sagey. He's the Texas Tech quarterback ruled ineligible by the NCAA after he admitted the heavy betting on games. Judge then ruled in his favor to allow him to play. That ruling was heavily criticized, and now Soresby is going pro. He can be taken in an NFL supplemental draft. Four World Cup games were played and they all ended a tie. Including stunning scoreless game between Spain, ranked second in the world, and Cape Verde, who had never before played a World Cup game. That to Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us more from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. President Trump is using the G seven Leader Summit in France to tout his interim deal with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and Vice President jd Vance has been making the TV rounds to boost the agreement as well. Their conventional military is destroyed, their nuclear weapons program is destroyed. The Strait of horror moves is now open. Now we have two pathways on good to It is open toll free, and that's very explicit in the agreement. Now. Was Vice President Jadvan speaking with Sean Hannity on Fox News last night for more on how the deal is being received at the G seven. We're joined by Bloomberg Chief Europe Correspondent Oliver Krook, who's covering this year's gathering in Evyon, France. Oliver is the deal being well received among g seven lies. Good morning, I mean good morning. I mean the initial reaction, obviously by European leaders and probably the rest of the world, was that sigh of relief that there was sort of an end to the most kinetic part of this war, that we can transition from something from a ceasefire to something a little bit more durable. But shortly after that we really have the questions flowing in, right, what is this actual deal, what is the timeline for it, what are the milestones, and critically, what is Iran actually agreed to? You know, the Europeans from the very beginning, as we've heard from a menu and my col and they said this, And they're also willing to help sort of militarily on the day after once you have a more sort of established peace proposal to help, for example, d mind the straight of Horror moves to sort of, you know, make the sort of security arrangement on her moves a little bit stronger. But they're really only willing to do that if they can get their heads around what is exactly. In this deal. There's also the question of the toll We heard from the Iranians that it's only going to be toll free for about sixty days. So these are a lot of the questions for the leaders here. Speaking with Donald Trump, we should say they're sitting around the table with him right now. An additional complication, for example, the Italians have said Georgia Maloney that they're only going to get in on this and help the United States with that arrangement if there's a deal not just with Iran but also for Lebanon. So there are a ton of questions here for the leaders. We should say that the Europeans are also relevant here because they have a number of economic sansions on Iran. If the US wants to have the sort of sanctioned relief be part of that proposal, the Europeans really need to understand the deal, and I think it's fair to say at the moment a they don't particularly understand it, and there's a bit of skepticism about sort of how robust it is. So what are the challenges ahead of the signing ceremony on Friday? Are we expecting our European leaders expecting any answers on some of those questions before that? Signing, well, they're hoping to get some leader. I saw my answers from the president himself. As I mentioned, they're having their Ukraine session right now, so we have the G seven leaders are around the table right now with Vlodimir Zelenski having that conversation. We should say that at noon here, so in about forty five minutes time you have the main Middle Eastern session. I think that that's where you're going to get a lot of the discussion about what the picture looks like going forward in the Gulf and the straight of horror moves in the future. We should say they're also joined not just by the G seven, but also the leaders of Katar, the UAE and Egypt. So these guys are going to be people who are very active in the sort of architecture for the next day. There's also been a report doing the rounds from the Financial Times that the US is thinking potentially about this reconstruction fund that could be you know, three hundred billion dollars. It could involve the golf countries, and that would really set the kind of carrot side of this equation. The Americas have been dealing really with the stick with the military intervention in Iran to try to motivate them to do what the United States would like. This would be a way to kind of sweeten it and create a sort of carrot. Whether or not that will be effective for the Iranians is entirely a different question. But again, Nathan, we're just trying to make sense of all this information as it's coming through and look at what the sort of power dynamic is going to look like in a couple of days. Unfortunately, Alli, we have just thirty seconds left. But you mentioned Ukraine's president is there, what's on the agenda as far as Ukraine. Goes, Yeah, I think for Zelenski, really the main issue here is the President of the United States is Donald Trump. Yesterday said that basically now that we're all done and dusted with Iran, he's ready to re engage with Ukraine with Russia. For the Ukrainians, of course, they want him to re engage in a way that is positive. So it's really a moment for him right now literally as we speak, to convince the President of the United States to sort of craft with the next chapter of American involvement would look like in Ukraine. And we should say that since the Americans checked out of that process. The Ukrainians are in a much more dominant position. We could point to just the strikes overnight with the Ukrainians striking and oil refinery right near the Russian Federation's capital in Moscow. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can so listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray