Trump Teases End to Iran War; 'Historic' Israel-Lebanon Talks
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1) President Trump indicated he may be preparing to wind down the war with Iran, boosting market optimism and restoring some stability to global energy prices. Peace talks with the Islamic Republic might restart “over the next two days,” the New York Post cited the president as saying. In a separate interview with ABC News, he said extending a two-week ceasefire that was clinched last week after nearly six weeks of fighting may not be necessary, hinting at significant near-term progress without elaborating. There are signs Tehran is also trying to avoid escalation, with authorities considering a pause in shipments through the strategic Strait of Hormuz to avoid testing a US blockade and jeopardizing fresh negotiations. The shift in the narrative from Washington — from announcing a total blockade of Hormuz to expectations of a possible breakthrough — has left many questions unanswered, including the fate of Iran’s enriched uranium.
2) Former Treasury Secretary and ex-Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said she still sees prospects for a US interest-rate cut later this year, though the unfolding oil shock caused by the war in Iran clouds the outlook. “This is really a broad supply shock,” spreading from pump prices to LNG, fertilizers, food, shipping costs, and semiconductors, Yellen said at the HSBC Global Investment Summit in Hong Kong on Wednesday. While the need to raise rates can’t be ruled out, stable long-run inflation expectations suggest that scenario remains unlikely for now, Yellen said. Minutes of the Fed’s March 17-18 meeting, released last Wednesday in Washington, showed a growing number of officials worried the Iran war could further stoke inflation and wanted to make clear that the central bank may have to consider raising interest rates. In projections released after that meeting, policymakers had signaled an expectation for one interest-rate cut in 2026, unchanged from their December forecasts.
3) President Trump’s tariffs may be restored by July to the levels in place before the Supreme Court struck down many of his levies, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said. The Treasury secretary said because the Section 301 tariff authority has already been tested in the courts, business leaders are able to start planning and making decisions around capital expenditures. Trump is seeking to restore his tariff wall using different authorities after the high court ruled that his use of emergency powers to impose those earlier duties was unconstitutional. After the Supreme Court struck down many of his global tariffs, Trump imposed a temporary 10% tariff that covers many imports. That levy is set to expire on July 24.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen hopes are building that the US could be close to winding down its war with Iran. Both sides are looking to arrange a second round of peace talks before the two weeks ceasefire ends next week. President Trump told The New York Post it could happen in the next two days. He had this to say about the conflict in an interview with Fox Business. I view it as very close to over. You know what, if I pulled up stakes right now, it would take them twenty years to rebuild that country. And in another interview with ABC News, President Trump predicted the next two days will be amazing. We get more from Bloomberg's Jumana Borsecci in Dubai. This is just. President Trump himself. And I will also remind everybody that the Iranian side haven't actually confirmed anything. They haven't said anything new updates since the Iranian President of Pasesh Khan yesterday said that they were inclined to continue with negotiations so long as it's done within quote unquote the International Framework of Law. Bloomberg's Jomana Barsecci reports. In the meantime, the US is enforcing a blockade of the Strait of Hormos with a dozen ships samed to curbing Iran's oil exports. Iran's semi official Fars News agency reports as sanctioned Irani and Supertanker broke through the blockade this morning, and an Iraq bound Supertanker sailed into the Gulf through the strait on its second attempt this morning, making it the first crude carrier to make the passage since the blockade went into effect Nathan. While the US and Iran are seeking another round of talks, Israel and Lebanon met for the first time in more than thirty years for high level talks in Washington. Paul Wallace is Bloomberg's managing editor for the Middle East. These were the first direct talks between Israel and Lebanon since nineteen ninety three, in more than three decades, So that itself is important. These two countries don't formally erect recognize each other. Rubio called it historic. That's probably a bit too strong at least at this stage. But you know, although not much came out of the talks. There wasn't too much that was negative. They didn't sort of break down. He didn't have the Israelis or the Lebanese saying they were waste of time or anything like that. So in that sense, it's a baby step. And Bloomberg's Paul Wallace says Hezbollah, a key player in the conflict, was and has not been invited to the discussions. Well kerr In. European Central Bank President Christine Laguard says the economic crisis brought on by the Iran war means an early exit from her role is not an option. Laguard spoke with Bloomberg's Frans Laqua in Washington, where she's attending the IMF Spring meetings. When there is big clouds on the horizon, the captain does not leave the ship, and this captain is not going to leave the ship because I see clouds. European Central bankrupt President Christine Laguard spoke to Bloomberg as traders bet on two full quarter point rate hikes by the ECB this year. Catch the full conversation on our new video experience on the Bloomberg Business app. Meanwhile, Nathan former Treasury Secretary and ex FED chair Jenny Yellen says she still sees prospects for a rate cut here in the US later this year. Speaking at the HSBC Global Investment Summit in Hong Kong, Yellen did warrant that the oil show caused by the war and iron clouds the outlook. Yellen express concerns over the FED independence under President Trump, saying his calls for lower rates risk undermining the credibility of the nation. Karin The current Treasury Secretary, Scott Besson, says President Trump's tariffs could be restored by July. Speaking at a Wall Street Journal event, best and indicated levies could return to levels that were in place before the Supreme Court struck down many of them. We just setback at the Supreme Court in terms of the tariff policy, but we will be implementing or conducting Section three oh one studies so that the tariffs could be back in place at the previous level by beginning. Of I was a Treasury Secretary, Scott Besson speaking yesterday. After the Supreme Court struck down many of his global tariffs, President Trump imposed a temporary ten percent levy that covers many imports That tariff is due to expire in July well Nathan. Vice President jd Vance is adding to President Trump's criticism of Pope Leo the fourteenth over his opposition to the war with Iran. The American born pontiff posted on social media last weekend that anyone who follows Christ is quote, never on the side of those who once wielded the sword and today drop bombs. Van says he doesn't think those comments are based on theological truth. I think that it's important in the same way that it's important for the Vice President of the United States to be careful when I talk about matters of public policy, I think it's very very important for the Pope to be careful when he talks about matters of theology. Vice President jd Vance is one of the most prominent Catholics in the US. He spoke at a Turning Point USA event in Athens, Georgia. Certain of markets now Karen futures are little change following another day of gains on Wall Street. In fact, the S and P five hundreds now trading near all time highs and the tech heavy Nasdaq one hundred rows one point eight percent for a tenth straight gate day of gains. That's its longest such streak since twenty twenty one. Well, in Europe, Nathan Aermez shares they're following the most on record. The luxury goods firm reported first quarter sales that missed analyst estimates. It blamed the Middle East War for disrupting sales. Currently, shares of air Mez are down nine percent. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good Morning, Good morning, Karen. California billionaires are stepping up their efforts to boost San Jose Mayor Matt Mayon in the race for state governor. They're rushing to fill the vacuum left mind Democrat Eric Swalwell's abrupt exit. It comes as the sudden resignations of Swalwell and Texas Republican Tony Gonzalez from Congress received bipartisan support on Capitol Hill. The two congressmen are accused of sexual misconduct and we're expected to face expulsion votes. House Democrat Alexandria Ocassio Cortes of New. York I think the most important thing right now is to center these women and their bravery in coming forward. I'm glad that Eric Swallall is leaving. Meanwhile, another woman has come forward with allegations against Walwell. Former model Lana Drews says she believes he drugged her drink in twenty eighteen and raped her while she was unconscious. Drew's explained in a news conference why she didn't speak up sooner. My delay in taking action against Eric was driven by fear, not doubt, fear of his political power. Swalwell has denied, but he calls serious false allegations made against him. New York Mayor Zorin Mamdani unveiled more about his plan to open a city run grocery store in each of the five boroughs. Mayer says the stores would sell discounted food to New Yorkers. Between twenty thirteen and twenty twenty three, grocery prices increased in New York City by nearly sixty six percent, significantly higher than the national average. Ma'm donnie says the first location, in East Harlem, is scheduled to open in twenty twenty nine. New York Governor Kathy Hokel is backing a new tax on second homes in New York City worth at least five million dollars to raise cash for the city's struggling budget. The goal is to raise five hundred million dollars a year to help New York City's deficit. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Carrot. Thanks Michael. All time now for our Bloomberg Sports updating. For that, we bring in John stash. Hour Nice her wild start for the NBA way in a game between Miami and Charlotte when the Hornets Kobe White had a turnaround three with eleven seconds left. The game went to overtime and the Hornets got a five point lead in the final minute. Then my Miami went up by one with eight seconds to go. LaMelo Ball hit a layup with four seconds remaining, Charlotte one by one. Portland won in Phoenix to advanced to the first round. The Washington Capitals finished their season with the win at Columbus. The question now is was this the last game of alex Obestin's career. He may retire. That's a Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after. This Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business Appum. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning on Nathan Hager. The war is close to over. That's what President Donald Trump is indicating. In a series of interviews ahead of the expiration of the two weeks ceasefire with Iran early next week. Vice President Jady Vance says the President's holding out for the Grand Bargain. He really wants a deal where Ran doesn't have a nuclear weapon, Iran is not state sponsoring terrorism, but also the people of Iran can thrive and prosper and join the world economy. Vice President jd Vance spoken Athens, Georgia, last night, and joining us this morning from Dubai is Bloomberg Middle East correspondent Jumana Bursecci, the anchor of Bloomberg Horizons. Jumana, it's great to speak with you once again. What is the prospect for another round of talks. It does sound as though the President is pretty optimistic. Good morning, Yeah, good morning, and you're right it's almost as though the president, President Trump is willing this to happen, and he's had several interviews the last twenty four hours indicating that he does think another round of talks is going to take place. He suggested to a New York Post journalist that it could happen in Islamabad. I will just tell you some detail here. The Pakistani Foreign Ministry put out a statement this morning saying that they're Prime minister and their foreign minister actually embarking on a trip around the region in the next couple of days. So they'll be visiting Turkey, Cutar in Saudi Arabia. That's going to take place between April fifteen and April eighteen. You've got to assume that if the talks are going to go ahead in Islamabad, it's unlikely that it's going to happen that they're going to happen before April the eighteenth. Now there is of course another option, which is that another country mediates and hosts these talks. I know Switzerlands have put their hat into the ring. And then the final point to consider is the Iranians have been very quiet. We have not had any confirmation yet from their side that they are signing on or subscribing to another round of talks. All we have is comments from the President yesterday suggesting that they are open to further negotiations as long as they're conducted within the framework quote of international law. In the meantime, Jumana, we just had this report crossing from the Washington Post that the Pentagon is sending thousands more troops to the Middle East in coming days. What impact could that have? You will recall, I think the last time we spoke about this about a week ago, that the US were looking to beef up their military presence in the region. We reported that another aircraft carrier, the USS George HW Bush, had departed from the US was making its way to the region. From what we understand, it's days away from arriving to the region, but Washington Posts are saying that alongside that aircraft carrier, there will also be about six thousand troops aboard. And remember there's another aircraftft carrier also making its way, the Boxer, which is estimated to have more than four thousand troops on board as well. That is in addition to the estimated fifty thousand personnel that are already being deployed in the region, and so you have to think of this as perhaps a two pronged approach that the US are applying to Iran right now. They've got the economic approach, which is the blockade of the blockade, so to speak, on the street, they're trying to cut off Iran's oil lifeline. And then you've got the military pressure coming through with this extra deployment and the real threat once more, of a further military intensification if Iran doesn't come back to then table. Is there a sense then that on top of this blockaded the Strait of Hormus and these reports that more troops could be coming in, that that could pressure Iran back to the table. We have just about a minute left. Yeah, Well, so far, as I said, Iranians have been pretty quiet. Typically they would be quite defiant, and we reported our colleagues at Bloomberg reported that they were actually considering pausing any shipments going through the Strait of Hormas in anticipation of those next round discussions. From what we understand and from various experts we've spoken to, I think Iran's consideration now is how can they get the best deal possible. So not just on the nuclear enrichment, but also in terms of lifting sanctions. At the end of the day, what this regime has cared about the most is their survival. It has been an existential war for them. They've sustained and absorbed the cost, but as long as they come out the other sides having survived, they will paint that as a victory. Visious Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on a story making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day. Ray