Biden Vows to Stay in Race Despite Gaffes; Bank Earnings

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

On today's podcast:

1) Biden Vows to Stay in 2024 Race Even as Gaffes Threaten Campaign

2) Wall Street Awaits Bank Earnings

3) Boeing Warns Customers of Further Delays on 737 Max Amid Crisis

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

2024-07-12 17 min Transcript

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Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Good morning, I'm Amy 0:00:10.840 --> 0:00:13.720 Morris and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're 0:00:13.760 --> 0:00:15.080 following today, Karen. 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:18.319 President Biden continues to insist he will remain in the 0:00:18.360 --> 0:00:22.159 twenty twenty four presidential race, but two critical mistakes in 0:00:22.160 --> 0:00:26.200 the span of two hours deepened concerns about his mental acuity, 0:00:26.239 --> 0:00:30.040 threatening his campaign. Biden mistook two of his biggest allies 0:00:30.200 --> 0:00:33.040 for his greatest enemies. At the opening of the press conference, 0:00:33.080 --> 0:00:36.400 Biden fumbled a question about Vice President Kamala Harris. 0:00:37.200 --> 0:00:40.239 I wouldn't have picked Vice President Trump to be vice president, 0:00:40.800 --> 0:00:42.879 so I think she's not qualified to be president. 0:00:43.479 --> 0:00:46.319 And before the news conference, at a NATO event, the 0:00:46.320 --> 0:00:50.320 President stunned the audience when he mistakenly introduced Ukrainian President 0:00:50.440 --> 0:00:53.760 Vladimir Zelensky as Russian President Vladimir Putin. 0:00:54.120 --> 0:00:55.640 And now I want to hand it over to the 0:00:55.680 --> 0:00:59.360 President of Ukraine, who has as much courage as he 0:00:59.400 --> 0:01:06.119 has determination, ladies and gentlemen, President Putin, President Putin. We've 0:01:06.120 --> 0:01:08.560 got big President Pruser, President Lensky. 0:01:09.120 --> 0:01:12.240 Well. Almost immediately after the press conference ended, at least 0:01:12.319 --> 0:01:15.559 three more House Democrats joined the growing list of lawmakers 0:01:15.600 --> 0:01:19.240 calling on Biden to step aside. Biden continues to resist 0:01:19.240 --> 0:01:21.920 those calls, saying he's the best person for the job 0:01:22.200 --> 0:01:25.000 and that he has support from NATO leaders. 0:01:25.280 --> 0:01:30.280 I'm not handing any my European allies CONFI to say, Joe, 0:01:30.319 --> 0:01:33.520 don't run. What I hear them say is you've got 0:01:33.520 --> 0:01:36.680 to win. I can't lets the sky come forward. He'd 0:01:36.680 --> 0:01:37.320 be a disaster. 0:01:38.040 --> 0:01:41.119 Now at least sixteen congressional Democrats are calling on Biden 0:01:41.200 --> 0:01:43.440 to bow out of the presidential race. 0:01:43.680 --> 0:01:46.040 And one of those now calling for Biden to leave 0:01:46.080 --> 0:01:49.320 the race is Democratic Representative Jim Hins of Connecticut, the 0:01:49.440 --> 0:01:52.880 ranking member on the House Intelligence Committee. He explained his 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:56.120 decision on MSNBC, and I'm far from. 0:01:55.920 --> 0:01:59.640 The only Democrat who believes this, that the numbers, the 0:01:59.720 --> 0:02:03.960 Tree projectory, what Americans feel in their bones right now 0:02:04.440 --> 0:02:07.440 suggest not only that Joe Biden would lose this race, 0:02:07.560 --> 0:02:10.920 but that he or we would lose the Senate and 0:02:11.040 --> 0:02:11.560 the House. 0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:15.480 Congressman Jim Hmes of Connecticut, former President Obama and Nancy 0:02:15.480 --> 0:02:19.040 Pelosi have reportedly held some private meetings about the future 0:02:19.080 --> 0:02:22.240 of Biden's campaigns. He and n reports both Obama and 0:02:22.320 --> 0:02:26.160 the ex House speaker expressed worries about Biden's mental fitness 0:02:26.400 --> 0:02:28.480 and how difficult it will be for him to beat 0:02:28.520 --> 0:02:31.520 Donald Trump and later President Biden said he was not 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:35.440 opposed to taking a neurological exam if his doctors recommend it, 0:02:35.840 --> 0:02:36.840 if they think there's. 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:40.200 A problem, I promise you word that they don't think 0:02:40.240 --> 0:02:42.600 it's a problem. I think I should have a neurological exam. 0:02:42.600 --> 0:02:44.040 Again, I'll do it. 0:02:44.800 --> 0:02:47.359 No one's suggested that to me now, and I'll ask 0:02:47.360 --> 0:02:50.720 you another question. No matter what I did, no one's 0:02:50.760 --> 0:02:51.800 going to be satisfied. 0:02:52.560 --> 0:02:54.799 Biden did admit that there are other people who can 0:02:54.840 --> 0:02:57.799 beat Trump too, but quote, it's awful hard to start 0:02:57.840 --> 0:02:58.519 from scratch. 0:02:59.080 --> 0:03:02.120 Well. Meanwhile, lemy T. Trump met with Hungarian Prime Minister 0:03:02.240 --> 0:03:06.600 Victor Orbon yesterday in Florida. The Hungarian leader posted a 0:03:06.639 --> 0:03:10.040 photo with the Republican nominee at is Mari Lango Resort, 0:03:10.120 --> 0:03:13.160 showing the pair giving a thumbs up. Hraman is the 0:03:13.200 --> 0:03:17.320 European Union with the closest contact with the Russias Vladimir 0:03:17.360 --> 0:03:21.279 Putin and has worked to stall Western aid to Ukraine. 0:03:21.880 --> 0:03:24.680 We'll have much more analysis on the race for president 0:03:24.720 --> 0:03:26.359 in just a few minutes. But we want to turn 0:03:26.400 --> 0:03:28.359 back to the markets now, when we haven't said this 0:03:28.480 --> 0:03:31.639 in more than a week, no record closed for stocks. 0:03:31.680 --> 0:03:33.360 In fact, the tech led sell off led to a 0:03:33.360 --> 0:03:35.560 two percent drop in the NASDAK and a nearly one 0:03:35.600 --> 0:03:38.080 percent drop for the S and P. Kate Moore is 0:03:38.080 --> 0:03:41.680 head of Thematic Strategy at Blackrock Global Allocation and says 0:03:41.760 --> 0:03:43.840 the market has a good base to move forward. 0:03:44.200 --> 0:03:47.520 Most people were skeptical about the sustainability of the equity 0:03:47.560 --> 0:03:50.120 market going into the second half of the year. There 0:03:50.120 --> 0:03:53.160 are little anxious that we can't repeat returns. 0:03:53.520 --> 0:03:55.560 I think this message. 0:03:55.080 --> 0:03:56.760 That we're getting now that the FED is going to 0:03:56.800 --> 0:03:58.680 be in a place where they can continue to or 0:03:58.720 --> 0:04:00.360 they can start to ease policy. 0:04:00.080 --> 0:04:01.080 And continue to guide us. 0:04:01.240 --> 0:04:03.800 That is the path into the beginning of twenty twenty 0:04:03.840 --> 0:04:06.960 five is going to be quite supportive for equity markets. 0:04:07.480 --> 0:04:10.720 Black Rocks Cape bora Bloomberg index of the magnificent seven 0:04:10.760 --> 0:04:14.000 megacaps yesterday slid the most since twenty twenty two. 0:04:14.520 --> 0:04:16.280 Well, let me the big focus today is going to 0:04:16.320 --> 0:04:18.360 be the start of earning season from the big bank 0:04:18.480 --> 0:04:21.719 City Group, JP, Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo all report 0:04:21.800 --> 0:04:25.680 this morning. Rebecca Patterson is a former chief investment strategist 0:04:25.680 --> 0:04:27.160 at Bridgewater Associates. 0:04:27.520 --> 0:04:30.480 I think the banking system is really the heartbeat of 0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:33.880 our economy. It keeps the blood pumping, if you will, 0:04:33.920 --> 0:04:37.080 in terms of capital and liquidity getting to businesses and 0:04:37.160 --> 0:04:40.760 households so they can spend and invest and grow. So 0:04:40.800 --> 0:04:43.040 how the banks are doing is fundamental, not just for 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:45.240 my view on the equity market, but for on the 0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:47.200 broader macro landscape as well. 0:04:47.600 --> 0:04:52.000 Former Bridgewater Associates chief investment strategist Rebecca Patterson note shares 0:04:52.040 --> 0:04:54.520 of the largest lenders have done far better than the 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:58.240 stocks of their smaller rivals. JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs 0:04:58.279 --> 0:05:00.760 are trading near records. Well Wells, far Go and others 0:05:01.080 --> 0:05:02.880 are around multi year highs. 0:05:03.480 --> 0:05:06.440 And today, after inflation cooled in June to the slowest 0:05:06.520 --> 0:05:10.120 pace since twenty twenty one, investors get another key reading 0:05:10.279 --> 0:05:13.400 this morning. For more, We're joined by Bloomberg's John Tucker, 0:05:13.480 --> 0:05:14.599 John and Amy. 0:05:14.640 --> 0:05:17.960 The producer Price Indecks out at eight thirty Wall Street Time, 0:05:18.320 --> 0:05:21.720 may confirm that inflation is looking really good. It comes 0:05:21.760 --> 0:05:24.120 a day at the Consumer Price Indeck show to inflation 0:05:24.160 --> 0:05:26.839 at the slowest pace in more than three years. Economist 0:05:26.880 --> 0:05:31.320 Claudia Sama New Sensory Advisors reacted to the latest figures, this. 0:05:31.400 --> 0:05:34.200 Is the disinflation story. It's here, and it has been here. 0:05:34.240 --> 0:05:36.719 We've just it's been under the hood and been hidden. 0:05:36.920 --> 0:05:40.480 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austin Goolsby described their 0:05:40.520 --> 0:05:44.400 latest inflation data as excellent, adding the figures provide the 0:05:44.520 --> 0:05:46.640 evidence the central Bank is on a path to its 0:05:46.680 --> 0:05:50.560 two percent goal. Goolsby declined to offer guidance on the 0:05:50.680 --> 0:05:53.640 timing of the first indust rate cut, but markets are 0:05:53.720 --> 0:05:57.279 clearly pricing. In September, I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 0:05:57.520 --> 0:05:59.919 All right, John, thank you. In company news, Boeing is 0:06:00.080 --> 0:06:03.320 notified some seven thirty seven Max customers in recent weeks 0:06:03.320 --> 0:06:06.000 that aircraft do for delivery in twenty twenty five and 0:06:06.040 --> 0:06:10.080 twenty twenty six face additional delays. Sources say the planemaker 0:06:10.080 --> 0:06:13.240 has cautioned that delivery timelines continue to slip by three 0:06:13.279 --> 0:06:20.480 to six months on top of already late handovers. And 0:06:20.560 --> 0:06:21.760 it's time now for a look at some of the 0:06:21.800 --> 0:06:24.120 other stories making news in New York and around the world. 0:06:24.120 --> 0:06:26.799 And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, 0:06:26.800 --> 0:06:27.560 good morning. 0:06:27.480 --> 0:06:30.600 Good morning Karen. Today, the fate of New Jersey Senator 0:06:30.640 --> 0:06:32.600 Bob Menendez is now in the hands of a New 0:06:32.680 --> 0:06:36.719 York City jury. The judge delivered instruction yesterday afternoon to 0:06:36.760 --> 0:06:40.560 the jury in the Menendez bribery trial. Prosecutors say the 0:06:40.600 --> 0:06:44.520 Democrat accepted gold bars and cash from three New Jersey 0:06:44.560 --> 0:06:48.800 businessmen in exchange for favors. More than a million electrical 0:06:48.839 --> 0:06:52.960 customers in Houston are still without power after Hurricane Beryl 0:06:52.960 --> 0:06:57.000 made landfall Monday with sweltering heat. Most customers have been 0:06:57.040 --> 0:07:00.520 notified they won't have their power restored until the end 0:07:00.600 --> 0:07:04.000 of the weekend. This woman criticized utility companies. 0:07:04.560 --> 0:07:06.640 A lot of businesses are suffering. But when you see 0:07:06.640 --> 0:07:11.560 the lights downtown with empty complexes, and then you see 0:07:11.760 --> 0:07:15.680 mom and pop shop that's closed, that affects a lot 0:07:15.680 --> 0:07:16.120 of people. 0:07:16.920 --> 0:07:20.720 Meanwhile, the current heat wave across the Southwest is especially brutal. 0:07:20.800 --> 0:07:23.400 In Las Vegas, the temperature has hit one hundred and 0:07:23.440 --> 0:07:27.680 fifteen degrees or more for six consecutive days. Actor Alec 0:07:27.760 --> 0:07:32.560 Baldwin's trial continues. In New Mexico, Hanegutierras reed who served 0:07:32.640 --> 0:07:35.920 as the set's armorer and has already been sentenced to 0:07:36.000 --> 0:07:39.040 eighteen months in prison, is expected to be called to 0:07:39.120 --> 0:07:43.840 the stand later today. Meanwhile, a crime scene technician testified 0:07:44.160 --> 0:07:47.200 that live bullets were discovered mixed in with the dummy 0:07:47.280 --> 0:07:51.480 rounds in several places on the set of Rust. New 0:07:51.560 --> 0:07:55.200 Yorkers have paid fifty eight percent more in food delivery 0:07:55.240 --> 0:07:58.440 fees since a minimum wage law went into effect in 0:07:58.560 --> 0:08:01.520 late twenty twenty three. The report by the New York 0:08:01.560 --> 0:08:05.440 City Department of Consumer and Worker Protection suggests that restaurant 0:08:05.440 --> 0:08:08.880 delivery services have passed on the bulk of these rising 0:08:08.920 --> 0:08:12.520 costs to customers. Meanwhile, in California, some fast food to 0:08:12.600 --> 0:08:17.000 restaurant owners are scrambling to absorb a jump in labor costs. 0:08:17.480 --> 0:08:20.640 A new California law boosted the hourly wage from fast 0:08:20.640 --> 0:08:23.760 food workers from sixteen dollars to twenty dollars an hour. 0:08:24.240 --> 0:08:27.520 Many major fast food chain operators say they're cutting hours 0:08:27.720 --> 0:08:30.960 and raising prices to stay in business. This man owns 0:08:31.240 --> 0:08:33.559 nine Jersey Mikes in Los Angeles. 0:08:33.720 --> 0:08:35.280 We've had to cut back in their hours, We've had 0:08:35.280 --> 0:08:38.520 to cut back on staff, and we're trying to accommodate 0:08:38.559 --> 0:08:39.520 as much as possible. 0:08:39.600 --> 0:08:43.000 But when the people aren't the customers aren't coming in. 0:08:43.360 --> 0:08:45.600 It's very difficult to pay for to pay for the 0:08:45.640 --> 0:08:46.400 staff to be here. 0:08:46.679 --> 0:08:49.440 Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you 0:08:49.520 --> 0:08:52.560 want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and 0:08:52.640 --> 0:08:54.120 this is Bloomberg Karen. 0:08:54.280 --> 0:09:00.920 All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the 0:09:00.960 --> 0:09:03.400 Bloomberg Sports Update with John Stashaur. 0:09:03.520 --> 0:09:05.880 John, good morning, Good morning kiaraon Yankee, he said, Tampa 0:09:05.880 --> 0:09:08.200 Bay trying to accomplish a couple of things not done 0:09:08.240 --> 0:09:10.800 in a month. Win, a series, win, a second game 0:09:10.840 --> 0:09:13.760 in a row. Didn't happen. The rais Randy and Rose 0:09:13.800 --> 0:09:16.160 Arena two run holder first inning, Yanks tied the game 0:09:16.240 --> 0:09:18.560 solo shots by Austin Wells and won soto with the 0:09:18.640 --> 0:09:21.559 Rays with three in the third off Nester Cortez, who 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:24.080 continues to struggle on the road, Tampa Bay won five 0:09:24.120 --> 0:09:27.680 to four. Aaron Judge has cooled off last eight games, 0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:30.840 no extra base hits, no RBIs that despite coming up 0:09:30.880 --> 0:09:33.400 in the first inning with runners at second and third, 0:09:33.440 --> 0:09:35.959 nobody out. He also had two on with one out 0:09:36.240 --> 0:09:38.319 in the ninth after. 0:09:38.440 --> 0:09:40.560 Six hundred at bets you know, things like that happen. 0:09:40.640 --> 0:09:42.320 You know, you never want that to happen. You're trying 0:09:42.320 --> 0:09:44.600 to come through and yeah, I just missed a couple 0:09:44.600 --> 0:09:46.000 of pitches. But when it comes down to it, I 0:09:46.000 --> 0:09:47.760 got to get the job done there, you know, especially 0:09:47.760 --> 0:09:49.840 in that situation, you know, down a couple of runs, 0:09:50.040 --> 0:09:52.480 Guy's working somewhere at bats in front of me. You know, 0:09:52.480 --> 0:09:54.280 I got to keep the line moving there, and you know, 0:09:54.320 --> 0:09:56.240 either get on base or get the guys over in 0:09:56.240 --> 0:09:58.360 the scoring position a little bit more for Minny Rice. 0:09:58.640 --> 0:10:01.160 Yanks left ten minut on base, one for nine with 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:03.760 runners in scoring position. What have saved them during this slump? 0:10:03.840 --> 0:10:05.959 The Orioles have lately been losing. They get swept a 0:10:06.040 --> 0:10:08.440 home by the Cubs by a combined twenty one to 0:10:08.520 --> 0:10:11.319 twos of Baltimore only two games ahead. Yanks and Orioles 0:10:11.640 --> 0:10:14.120 started a big weekend series tonight at Camden Yards break 0:10:14.200 --> 0:10:16.160 up the Mets. They had that stretch where they went 0:10:16.240 --> 0:10:18.760 ten and twenty five. They are now on one where 0:10:18.800 --> 0:10:22.080 they've gone twenty three and ten. Cityfield sweep at Washington, 0:10:22.320 --> 0:10:25.160 winning seven nothing behind David Peterson Mets home tonight for 0:10:25.240 --> 0:10:28.400 Colorado today will be the forty ninth Grand Slam semifinal 0:10:28.440 --> 0:10:31.840 match for Novak Djokovic's thirteenth at Wimbledon. He'll face Italy's 0:10:31.840 --> 0:10:36.200 Lorenzo Mussetti. Carlos Alcaraz meets daneil Medvedev, who Alcarez beat 0:10:36.200 --> 0:10:38.880 in the semis last year before he upset Djokovic in 0:10:38.920 --> 0:10:42.480 the final. Women's final Tomorrow Jazz Bin Palini and Barbora 0:10:42.559 --> 0:10:45.520 craged Dakova, seated only thirty first before next week's Open 0:10:45.600 --> 0:10:49.320 Championship hits the Scottish Open. Justin Thomas eight under sixty 0:10:49.320 --> 0:10:51.920 two for his first opening round lead in three years 0:10:51.920 --> 0:10:54.439 of sixty five for Rory McElroy back for the first 0:10:54.480 --> 0:10:56.640 time since those miss futs at the end of the 0:10:56.720 --> 0:11:00.000 US Open last month. John Stashanwer Bloomberg Sports. 0:11:02.559 --> 0:11:06.680 Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 0:11:06.760 --> 0:11:09.679 and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 0:11:09.679 --> 0:11:13.080 Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 0:11:14.960 --> 0:11:17.760 President Biden made some gaffes while speaking at the NATO 0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:21.160 summit in Washington. He mistakenly referred to Vice President Kamala 0:11:21.240 --> 0:11:25.360 Harris as Donald Trump. He also incorrectly called Ukrainian President 0:11:25.440 --> 0:11:30.520 Vladimir Zelensky, Russian President Vladimir Putin. Still President Biden consists 0:11:30.920 --> 0:11:33.240 or rather continues to insist that he is the man 0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:33.960 for the job. 0:11:34.520 --> 0:11:37.480 I'm determined on running, but I think it's important that 0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:41.319 I really lay fears I see, let them see me 0:11:41.440 --> 0:11:41.920 out there. 0:11:42.880 --> 0:11:45.720 Now we're joined now by Bloomberg's Kevin Whitelof with some 0:11:45.800 --> 0:11:48.640 analysis of this. Kevin, how much damage did that news 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:50.120 conference due to the Biden campaign? 0:11:51.400 --> 0:11:54.079 I mean, at this point, every little bit hurts. I mean, 0:11:54.080 --> 0:11:56.280 I think the biggest problem is that, you know, he 0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:58.480 can go out as he did, have a pretty good 0:11:58.480 --> 0:12:01.720 press conference, sound pretty wrong, make some good arguments, make 0:12:01.760 --> 0:12:04.280 a couple some forceful remarks, and then one or two 0:12:05.559 --> 0:12:07.920 gaffs are the things that I'm going to be getting 0:12:07.960 --> 0:12:10.959 everybody's attention. So I think that if this press conference 0:12:10.960 --> 0:12:13.280 had happened, I don't know, say a month ago, it 0:12:13.280 --> 0:12:15.600 probably would have gone, you know, without a huge amount 0:12:15.600 --> 0:12:18.640 of attention. But in the wake of that debate performance 0:12:18.679 --> 0:12:23.040 and everybody trying to focus on every single moment, it's 0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:26.640 almost impossible for him to truly rewrite the narrative at 0:12:26.640 --> 0:12:29.000 this point, or at the very least is going to take, 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:32.880 you know, weeks and weeks and weeks, and the Democrats 0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:34.800 really don't have that kind of time if they are 0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:39.040 going to think at all about the option of replacing 0:12:39.120 --> 0:12:40.280 him at the top of the ticket. 0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:43.000 Is that why we're seeing more Democrats come out now 0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:46.160 and openly call for Biden to step aside because of 0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:47.120 that time factor. 0:12:48.080 --> 0:12:50.079 Well, I mean, they really have to do something before 0:12:50.120 --> 0:12:52.640 the convention or at the convention. If it's going to happen, 0:12:52.960 --> 0:12:56.760 it's it's it's nearly I mean, look, it's almost entirely unprecedented, 0:12:57.040 --> 0:12:59.480 unprecedented for it to even happen that way, it's almost 0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:02.160 impossible for it to happen later. There has to be 0:13:02.200 --> 0:13:04.320 some semblance of a process if they're going to choose 0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:07.240 somebody else. But it's ultimately up to pretty much one man, 0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:11.120 Joe Biden, to make that decision. Essentially nobody else can 0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:13.959 make it for him. But every single Democrat that comes 0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:16.480 out and then calls for him to do it makes 0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:19.640 it that much harder for Biden because you know that 0:13:19.760 --> 0:13:22.600 the Trump campaign is going to bring up every single 0:13:22.640 --> 0:13:27.440 one of those and recycle those calls, and those remarks 0:13:27.120 --> 0:13:29.400 come as we get closer in November. 0:13:29.840 --> 0:13:32.440 Now, not only are we hearing from congressional Democrats, but 0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:35.880 CNN is reporting Obama, Former President Obama, and former Health 0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:39.240 Speaker Nancy Pelosi have reportedly met about this are also 0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.880 reportedly quite concerned. Is any of this going to have 0:13:41.920 --> 0:13:42.400 an effect? 0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:48.240 I mean, we'll see. Biden was convinced in twenty twenty 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:51.040 he was the best positioned, maybe the only person who 0:13:51.080 --> 0:13:53.040 could beat Donald Trump, and he did win. It was 0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:56.640 very narrow, but he won, and he's obviously still convinced 0:13:56.640 --> 0:14:00.120 that he's still the best person to do it now, 0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:02.880 and the polls are a little bit hard to read 0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:06.280 on this one. You know, the obvious replacement would be 0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:09.760 Kamala Harris, and you know her polling and recognition, and 0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:13.960 you know, isn't that much stronger. So I do think 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.360 that it's going to be ultimately up to Biden, probably 0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:20.280 the family around him, his wife in maybe a couple 0:14:20.320 --> 0:14:22.400 of close ages, but you know, almost all of them 0:14:22.440 --> 0:14:25.120 have pretty strong incentives to want him to stay in 0:14:25.160 --> 0:14:27.760 the race. So it's a little hard to imagine who 0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:30.320 exactly is going to be able to come through and 0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:34.040 change his mind. It's going to be a tough thing 0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:37.680 again never been done before. Huge risk involved at this 0:14:37.720 --> 0:14:39.040 point really either way. 0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:44.680 And behind the scenes, Dems reportedly some are angry that 0:14:44.720 --> 0:14:47.560 Biden won't leave the race. Is this causing a split 0:14:47.840 --> 0:14:48.480 in the party. 0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:52.400 Well, you know, you can only imagine how many private 0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:57.080 conversations are being ahead and calls and emails and texts 0:14:57.120 --> 0:15:00.360 flying around over this. There's obviously this enormous amount of 0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:04.040 concern that not only will if Biden stays in the race, 0:15:04.080 --> 0:15:06.280 will will he lose, but that the Democrats could lose 0:15:06.280 --> 0:15:09.440 both chambers of Congress, and that sort of puts them 0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:13.160 in a really bad, really weak position and gives Donald 0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:17.120 Trump a potentially very free hand to take the country 0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:21.280 in a very different direction. That has everybody very panicked. 0:15:22.120 --> 0:15:24.720 I think the problem they all have is a it's 0:15:24.760 --> 0:15:27.640 not clear if Joe Biden's going to change his mind, 0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:30.760 but be it's really not clear that if you replace 0:15:30.840 --> 0:15:33.680 Biden with someone else at this very late stage, that 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:35.080 the result is going to be any different. 0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:37.960 We got about a minute here, Kevin the president has 0:15:38.000 --> 0:15:40.680 said he's willing to take a neurological exam. Are we 0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:41.120 past that? 0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:44.880 I mean, you know, at this point, I suppose anything 0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:47.200 could help, but then the question is still going to 0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:49.840 be you know, who believes it. No one really believed 0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:54.600 Donald Trump's supposed a cognitive test either, right, So you know, 0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:57.440 I think that some of these things really get baked 0:15:57.480 --> 0:15:59.800 in the repetition of some of these clips and moments 0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:04.200 on social media are super, super damaging to Biden and 0:16:05.160 --> 0:16:08.040 trying to build it back, trying to show trying to 0:16:08.080 --> 0:16:10.840 make the case that he's able to do it and 0:16:10.880 --> 0:16:15.280 show that he can be nimble on his feet. You know, 0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:17.520 you can do it a couple of times, but it 0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:21.240 just doesn't take much to undo weeks and maybe months 0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:22.040 of that kind of work. 0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:25.520 You're listening to Bloomberg Daybreak today, your morning brief on 0:16:25.560 --> 0:16:29.520 the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:32.360 Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:36.120 Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 0:16:36.160 --> 0:16:37.359 get your podcasts. 0:16:37.520 --> 0:16:40.760 You can also listen live each morning starting at five 0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:43.960 am Wall Street time, on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:47.200 in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:51.640 Bloomberg one sixty one in Boston, and Bloomberg nine sixty 0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:52.800 in San Francisco. 0:16:53.160 --> 0:16:56.320 Our flagship New York station is also available on your 0:16:56.360 --> 0:17:00.320 Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Blue bom Berg 0:17:00.360 --> 0:17:01.640 eleven thirty plus. 0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:05.320 Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, serious 0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:09.919 XM Channel one nineteen, the iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg 0:17:09.960 --> 0:17:12.119 dot Com. I'm Amy Morris. 0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:15.159 And I'm Karen Moscow. Join us again tomorrow morning for 0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:17.800 all the news you need to start your day, right 0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:19.400 here on Bloomberg Daybreak

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