Trump to Make Call on China Truce; Fed Decision and Mag 7 Earnings Coming
On today's podcast:
1) President Donald Trump is set to make the final call on maintaining a tariff truce with China before it expires in two weeks, an extension that would mark a con
2) Stocks struggled in the hours before Wednesday’s Federal Reserve interest-rate decision as traders tackled a heavy load of major company earnings.
3) Four-foot (1.2-meter) tsunami waves were recorded in Hawaii, while remote parts of California also braced for impact after a powerful earthquake in Russia’s Far East triggered tsunami alerts across the Pacific.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest on the trade front. This morning, the US and China have wrapped up two days of talks in Stockholm, Sweden. The Chinese trade negotiator says they agreed to extend their ninety day tariff truce, but the US side says China may have jumped the gun on that. Here's Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant. The Chinese deputy minister did say that we had agreed on a pause. We have not. Nothing is agreed until we speak with President Trump. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says extending the pause another ninety days could be an option, and that could clear the way for President Trump to visit China in late October and meet with President Shijinping. Meanwhile, Nathan, the US and India are racing to negotiate a trade before this Friday's deadline. President Trump says he may settle on a twenty to twenty five percent tariff rate on India, though that isn't final. India has been a good friend, but India has charged basically more tariffs and almost any other country. President Trump spoke with reporters on board Air Force One on his way back from Scotland. Even if the President follows through on higher tariffs, sources tell Bloomberg News, India plans to keep negotiating on a bilateral trade deal by the fall. Karen, We're monitoring a dangerous situation out west. A massive earthquake off rush as far east as sparked tsunami warnings across the Pacific. Hawaii has already seen four foot waves. Parts of California and Washington State have started to record tsunami waves as well. Honolulu Mayor Rick Blenngiardi's warning residents to stay alert. Pay attention. This is real and it's most serious. They happen to be watching. We don't have these events very often, but when we do, they are they're real in this area. So we're just asking you to pay attention and do what you've been asked to do, and we're all going to hope for the best. Funnololu Mayor Rick Landiardi's telling people to stay off the beaches and head for higher ground. This quake was a magnitude eight point eight off the Russian coast. That's the strongest since twenty eleven, when a magnitude nine earthquake off Japan's east coast sparked the tsunami that led to the Fukushima nuclear disaster. To Manhattan now, Nathan and tighter security and grief are still gripping the financial industry following that deadly shooting in midtown. Bloomberg's John Tucker joins us with more. John, Good morning, Good morning Karen. At three forty five Park Avenue, a shattered plate glass window, now boarded up and bouquets of flowers marked the spot of the worst mass shooting in New York City in a quarter of a century. Mayor Eric Adams surveyed the carnage since. This act of violence as the police commissioner and I walked through the building and saw the blood trails in the videos and the level of violence that I have not witnessed at. That level before. Many employees praised how their bosses handled the initial report of a gunman. Kathleen Bennati is one of them. Our fire and safety director for the building immediately came on and said to shelter in place. Well sawbware two petrified to leave their hiding spots at first. Others would only leave the building at ten pm as police continue to sweep each floor. Blackstone's offices will remain closed this week. It's unclear whin they'll reopen. Authorities still trying to find out how the shooter obtained the gun used in the attack and m for style rifle. They say as coworker at a Las Vegas casino purchased the lower receiver. A note from the gunman found in Las Vegas reportedly includes an apology to his parents. According to ABC, the gunman's father is a retired Los Angeles police officer in New York. I'm John Tucker Bloomberg Radio. Okay, John, thank you. Let's turn out to markets and the economy. Federal Reserve policymakers are not likely to change their benchmark interest rate today as they wait for more details on how President Trump's tariffs will affect the economy. Bloomberg's Michael McKee has a preview. The outlook for you US inflation and growth is murky at best, But just days before the Trump import tax increase goes into effect, companies are offering support for the idea of no FED rate cut. Today, UPS is offering no earnings guidance, and Procter and Gamble says they will be raising prices to account for tariffs. So the question today is what will Jay say we may see the first double descent by FED governor since nineteen ninety three. Will that suggest or will the Fed chair offer support for a September cut or explain what the central bankers would have to see to entertain the possibility. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio. Okay, Mike, thank you, and join us for our complete coverage of the FED decision and Jay Powell's news conference on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. It all begins at one thirty pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio and the Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube. Nathan, it's another big day for earning. So with more than fifty combination the S and P five hundred reporting, MAGS seven will once again lead the With both Microsoft and Meta on the docket, we get a Microsoft preview now with Bloomberg's tom busby. Microsoft expected to post a fourteen percent rise in sales thanks to its cash cow Azure cloud computing unit, which is expected to show a thirty four percent spike in revenue in just the last three months. Also helping earnings it's partnership with chat GPT maker open Ai, which is helping Microsoft emerge as a leader in commercializing artificial intelligence. Investors also eager for an update on his planned capex, estimated to be a record twenty three billion last quarter. To keep up with rivals, Bloomberg consensus calls for total revenue of seventy three point eighty nine billion and earnings per share of three dollars ninety seven cents. Tom Busby Bloomberg Radio, All. Right, Tom, thank you all big text in the spotlight here in the US, banks have center stage in Europe when it comes to earnings. Let's go to London get the latest of Bloomberg's Ewen Potts Ewen. Nathan and Karen. Let's kick off with Europe's most valuable bank, HSBC disappointing investors today as pre tax profit missed estimates, London based lender flagging rising expenses and a two billion dollar charge linked to a stake in a Chinese bank. Over in Switzerland's UBS posting a higher than expected profit in the second quarter. Speaking to Bloomberg. The company's CEO said that he won't make the bank smaller to mitigate the impact of future Swiss capital requirements, and shares in Spain's biggest bank lower today after Santander reported an unexpected charge at its Brazilian business that's overshadowing record profits and a new share buyback in London. I'm you in pots Bloomberg Radio. A R you and thanks for a couple of European carmakers are feeling the pinch of tariffs, both Mercedes Benz and Porsche scaling back their profit expectations for the year. The two German manufacturers flagged the twin pressures of new US tariffs and intensifying competition in China. Back here in the US, Karen Shares of Visa are down almost two percent in early training, the world's biggest payments network left its earnings outlook for the rest of the fiscal year unchanged. Meanwhile, shares of Starbucks are up four and a half percent. The coffee chain registered its first sales gain in China since the end of twenty twenty three. Time now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, good Morning. Good Morning, Karin. One hundred and seventy million Americans are on alert for life threatening heat. Some of New York subways are overcome by the one hundred degree heat index, with passengers faltering on platforms. Unrelenting heat is straining the power grid. Yesterday, the New York City Subway was hit with massive delays from the power outage. In Pennsylvania, Near Birth Ambulance Deputy Chief Patrick Glenn says his EMTs are seeing an increase in calls for heat related illnesses. I'm just really kind of knowing yourself, making sure you feel right. If you start to feel busy, week tired, right, get in a cool place, get some fluids, and relax. EMT Patrick Glenn. President Trump says Jeffrey Epstein stole young women who worked at Maer Lago, including Virginia at Juprey, one of the disgraced financier's most well known accusers. President Trump claims he banned Epstein from Mara Lago after the incidents. The White House initially said Epstein was banned for acting like a creep, and the. Same thing, you know, sort of a little bit of the same thing, but no, he took people that worked for me, and I told him, don't do it. Anymore, and he did it. Said I said, stay the hell out of here. Glenne Maxwell Epstein's former girlfriend is willing to answer more questions from Congress if granted immunity. She is serving a twenty year sentence in a federal prison. New York City's Public Transportation agency will delay a planned fare and toll increase to January, just as the bus, train and subway operator terminates its long standing Metro card for a tap and go payment system. The MTA board is set to vote today on postponing the fair and toll hike. The move comes as some writers recently reported snags where they believe they've been overcharged when using a phone, credit card or omni card to enter Return Style Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you wanted, with Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Careen. All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Flushing Bank. And here's John Stashauer. John, Good morning, NORNA kared Yankees off Mondays lost to Tampa Bay at the Stadium, fell behind three to nothing, came back. Cody Bellinger tied the game of the three run homer, and the Yanks went on to win seven to five. A mixed result night for Anthony Volpe. A first inning error led to two Tampa Bay runs, and when Volpi struck out in his first at bat, he heard booze from Yankee fans, but his base hit fourth inning snapped to three off Tigh and in the eighth Volpi beult at a long four hundred and fifty foot home run, then with two outs of the ninth inning, another Volpi air. He leads all of baseball with fifteen. His manager Zaron. Boone, There's there's been some plays where he's probably felt it a little bit, you know, believe it or not. A lot of us have been in those defensive slump places, and you know, you kind of got to get through it, especially when you're when you're as capable and talented as he is out there. You know. He's going to grow from this, learn from it, and come out on the other side. And we got to get him, help him get it there. Now, the Yankee win coupled with two losses by Toronto. The Blue Jays were so hot they had won nineteen of twenty three, but that fourth straight losses swept in a doubleheader in Baltimore, and the Yanks are now four games behind and the Red Sox trailed by five. Boston won at Minnesota eight to five. The Mets in San Diego lost seven to one, had only four hits. The five Drains pulled away with a five or on seventh I ain't cap by a manny matchadow three run homers, So back to back Met losses since that seven game win streak, and the Phillies beat the White Sox styles Schwarber in his thirty seventh homer in the Phils half game behind the Mets. Trey Dricksson does not avenue contract he's looking for, but last year's NFL sack leader did end his holdout. Reported to Bengals training camp of Breescarett Giants camp, top white em Lak neighbors left practice with an injured shoulder. But it's not considered serious. Johns Da actually were Bloomberg Sports. Karen Nathan Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Two days to go till President Trump's tariff deadline. The US and China are on a different track than the rest of the world, but the President says it's up to him whether it stays on track. After Treasury Secretary Scott Besson's meetings this week with Chinese officials in Sweden that. A very good meeting with China, and Steep said, I mean, they're going to brief me tomorrow will either approve it or not. But he felt very good about the meeting. That was President Trump on his way back to Washington from Scotland to board Air Force one for more. We're joined by Bloomberg News Senior editor Bill Ferries. So, Bill, we heard the President say it was a good meeting. Do we have a sense of what came out of that meeting other than some disagreement over whether the tariff pause is going to be extended? Good morning, Yeah, good morning. I mean it seems like the main agreement is to keep talking. This was the third round of talks between the US and China, and you're right, there was a little bit of confusion. As the meeting wrapped up, the Chinese officials came out and said that the truce that's been in place since basically about April or May would be extended, and then Scott Bessant in his news conference afterwards, said that the Chinese may have gotten ahead of themselves, that there was no decision on the truce until they got a chance to brief the president expected on Wednesday, but the mood was overall fairly positive. Scott bessen even said it was a productive meeting. So the signals seemed to be that there's not going to be a snap back to higher tariffs and that the two sides will keep talking. So no decisions final till Trump announces it, but it did seem like that's where things were headed. Do we have a sense of whether the President would agree to extend the truce just to secure a meeting with Chinese President Shi Jinping. He's said that he's not seeking it, but it seems like he wants to go there. Yeah, that was an interesting post from the president. He said he's not seeking it, but that he would go if invited, and in fact, he already had been invited. That's certainly playing into the calculus here. I think we've also seen, alongside the trade talks, we've seen the US basically block Taiwan's president from routing through the United States on his way to Central America. That Taiwanese president typically does a stopover. This time it was scheduled for New York and the White House or the State Department blocked, So the trip is now That trip is now off. But there is a lot of speculation that President Trump and President Chigi and Ping of China will try to meet before the end of the year, perhaps October November time period. And of course with two days to go for the rest of the world, there's a lot of focus now on India, whether they can reach a trade deal. Very interesting to hear the President say that India could face higher tariff rates than he's agreed to with much of the rest of the world in the frameworks we've seen so far. Yeah, on his way back from Scotland on Air Force one, he said, you know, India has been a good friend, but they charge more tariffs than almost any other country, and throughout figures of twenty percent to twenty five percent as potential final tariffs for India. It did just a day ago, where the US trade representative Jamison Greer was saying that both sides needed more time to work on this. India seems to be targeting some sort of an agreement later in the fall. It's clear from what we've seen in the recent weeks that those talks have been very complicated and very in depth. But twenty to twenty five percent maybe more than what India is looking for, So I think they're still going to be pushing for a lower figure that other countries have gotten. In our last minute bill, I know you're monitoring the earthquake situation after what happened in Russia overnight. What's the latest on that. Well, just in the last couple hours, some of the tsunami waves, the multiple waves have started rolling in to the west coast of the United States overnight. That's going to continue. This was a huge earthquake eight point eight off the coast of the Champcot champ Katka Peninsula, and that's the biggest earthquake recorded since twenty eleven. So far, no major damage being reported in places like Hawaii and Alaska. Officials have been warning people to get away from the coastline and stay there until it's a there's an all clear signal sent out. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Applecarplay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray