US-Iran Strikes Escalate; Lindsey Graham's Legacy
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1) The US and Iran exchanged fresh strikes overnight into Monday as they continued their tit-for-tat attacks while issuing conflicting declarations over whether the Strait of Hormuz was open to shipping. US Central Command said American forces carried out a new round of attacks to degrade Iran’s ability to threaten shipping in the narrow waterway, hitting dozens of targets including Iranian air-defense systems and missile capabilities. Tehran retaliated with attacks on US allies in the Persian Gulf and beyond, targeting US bases in Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan, and oil prices rose on fears that renewed clashes could further disrupt flows through Hormuz.
2) The death of Senator Lindsey Graham leaves key US allies like Ukraine without one of their most effective conduits to the White House. Graham had spent much of President Trump’s second term trying to sustain US support for Ukraine’s defense against a Russian invasion, despite the US president’s testy relationship with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Ukraine and other US allies will have to find other advocates, which won’t be easy, as Graham had honed a unique skill set, combining a close relationship to Trump, the ability to work with Senate Democrats and deep ties with foreign leaders.
3) South Korea’s AI-fueled stock rally came under renewed pressure Monday as SK Hynix Inc. tumbled by a record 15%, underscoring growing investor concerns that the boom had become overstretched. The selloff sent the benchmark Kospi index down 9% and triggered a market-wide trading suspension, with peer Samsung Electronics Co. dropping nearly 11% and foreign investors offloading 1.7 trillion won worth of Kospi shares. SK Hynix’s market cap closed the day at $875 billion, with the company’s shares down at least 30% from peaks last month, as the excitement that powered the rally gives way to a much harsher reset in expectations.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin with the latest developments in the Middle East. The US and Ron have exchanged fresh strikes over the weekend and into this morning. We get more from Bloomberg Middle East correspondent aber abu Omar. Into the weekend, we saw yet again another escalation in the rhetoric between the US and Iran, with the US targeting over one hundred targets early in the weekend and then dozens of targets in Iran. This include some attacks in the eastern provinces of Southern Provinces Bouscheher was attacked in Iran, and so Iran not backing down. We see similar patterns of attacks by the IRGC. It does feel like a little bit of an escalation in the narrative. We're not seeing back to kinetic warfare similar to what we've seen in March. The whole region is dragged into it, but no signs of comfort. This morning, man Bloomberg's a biabo Omar says, shipping through the strait of horror moves is at the heart of the latest escalation. A handful of ships have passed through the Strait in secret in recent days than. The escalation in the Middle East is on the forefront. During the European Foreign ministers meeting in Brussels this morning, Ben Sills is bloomberg Managing editor for European Economics and Government Coverage, they. Are obviously pretty on edge. There's not an awful lot they can do about this. If the US Iranian deal starts to unravel, as it seems to be the case. They're particularly vulnerable to energy prices. Callas has been. Saying that they have offered the eused nucleleet expertise to contribute to any potential negotiations, but seems like they're a way off getting to that sort of technical detail at this point when they're still shooing at each other. Bloomberg's Ben Sills adds that EU officials say there can be no tolls or fees in the Strait of horror moves. Karen reactionally can and used to pour in following the sudden passing of Republican Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina. Graham died Saturday, a day after returning to Washington from his tenth trip to Kiev since Russia's full scale invasion of Ukraine. He'd been scheduled to appear on NBC's Meet the Press yesterday. Instead, President Trump phoned in to pay tribute to a man he called like a member of the family. To me. He was such an advocate. He was, you know, if he wanted to get something, and you know, he had a unique ability. He was able to deal with Democrats and reply if I had a problem, a real problem, I wouldn't often ask, but if I had a problem with a Democrat, he could work it out. He was a great He was a great politician. Actually, President Trump has ordered flags lowered to half staff through Saturday night in honor of Senator Graham. His office says he died of aortic dissection or a hardened artery. The tour Republican Senator Lindsay Graham was seventy one years old. Nathan. Senator Graham is being remembered as a staunch interval ist on the world stage and a strong backer of Israel. Begin More on that from Bloomberg News congressional reporter Eric Wawson. He was very much in favor of the bombing of Iran, of trying to replace the regime. There just a very assertive foreign policy voice that's going to leave that faction of the party without a very, very clear champion right now. And Bloomberg's Eric Wawson appeared on Bloomberg This Weekend, heard every Saturday and Sunday morning on Bloomberg Radio and television. Graham was also a strong advocate for Ukraine's defense, and his death could leave Kiev and other US allies looking for new advocates. Several Democratic senators are calling for passing a new Russia sanctions bill as a tribute to Senator. Graham, and Is Washington morns Senator Graham Karen another senior Republican senators looking at clear up speculation. About his health. Former Senate Leader Mitch McConnell has released a statement saying he had a fall last month that landed him in the hospital and during his recovery he developed a mild case of pneumonia. He says he has moved from the hospital to a rehab center, but still is not healthy enough to return to the Senate. McConnell has not been seen in public since June fourteenth, He had faced pressure in recent weeks to provide more details on his health, including from Democratic Kentucky Governor Andy Basheer. Let's turn to the markets now, Nathan, where the latest escalation in the Middle East is weighing on equities and the oil markets. Checking crude right now, West Texas Intermediate up two percent of a dollar forty nine and seventy two dollars ninety cents a barrel. Brent at more than two percent. It's seventy seven dollars seventy cents in Tech leading the way lower this morning. Right now Nasdaq futures, they're down one percent or three hundred five points. In Asia, CAAR and South Korea's AI fueled stock rally has come under pressure once again. Sk Heinex tumbled by a record fifteen percent, underscoring growing investor concerns that the boom and AI had become overstretched. The sell off sent to benchmark COSPI Index down nine percent. Sk heinez has newly listed American depository receipts may be under pressure today after this. They surged thirteen percent in their debut on Friday. Well. Nathan Erninge will also be in focus on Wall Street this week. Five of the sixth largest banks are set to announce quarterly results tomorrow, and we get a preview with Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. We'll be hearing from JP Morgan, Chase City Group, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, and Goldman Sachs. Ifan deviit is chief global market strategist at Minetta Group. Plating volumes, I expect them to continue to. Be high, but I would like to hear the outlook given this reversal of interest rate expectations to interest rate stay stable or rise? What does that mean to the pianks. For analysts covering banks, it will be an interesting Tuesday morning. While many of the conference calls are staggered, the ones being held by JP Morgan and Bank of America are scheduled to overlap in New York. Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio. All right, Charlie, thank you. It's also a busy week on the economic front. Kevin Walsh makes his first congressional appearance as Chair of the Federal Reserve, and that comes as Wall Street gets a fresh read on inflation. We get more from Bloomberg's Tom Busby. On Tuesday Warsh will testify about monetary policy and interest rates before the House Financial Services Committee and on Wednesday before a Senate committee. Just ahead of that Tuesday hearing, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases it's June Consumer Price Index ahead of Wednesday's hearing, the June Producer Price Index. Now both reads are expected to show declines thanks to recent drops and gas prices, but CPI is still forecast to come in at three point eight percent, well above the fed's long term target of two percent. The goal for Warsh to convince Congress he's able to reach a consensus with other central bankers on rates ahead of the fed's next policy meeting two weeks from now. Tom Busby Bloomberg Radio. Time Now for look at somebody of their stories making newsday New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr or Michael good Morning, Good morning Karen. A legionnaire's outbreak on the Upper East Side of New York City's Manhattan has dozens of confirmed cases. As of last night, the city health officials announced that the number of cases is now at fifty nine, with fifteen patients still hospitalized. Health Commissioner doctor Alistair Martin, and. When you catch a case early of Legionnaire's disease, you can actually treat this fairly straightforwardly, and we're seeing that folks, when caught early, are making it through. Doctor Martin noted that people at most risk for contracting the potentially deadly illness are the elderly, immune, compromised, and smokers. Approximately one hundred and eighty building cooling towers where the legionnaire bacteria usually clusters are being tested. Tonight, officials in New York City planned to hold a virtual town hall on the latest outbreak. Venezuela's official death toll from last month's twin earthquakes rose to four hundred and ninety on Sunday. National Assembly President Jorge Brodigas says that is up from more than forty three hundred a day earlier. New legislation in New York State could temporarily put the brakes on new datus your construction. A new omnibus package of legislation is awaiting New York Governor Cofyehlkcalds signature, which would temporarily limit the construction of large data centers known as hyperscalers. State Senator at Kirsten Gonzalez co authored the bills. It acknowledges that we are not in a place where we can build a number of hyper scale data centers across the state and not see negative impacts on our environmental resources, on our energy bills, on our water bills, and more. And so the bill, for some and foremost, implements a one year moratorium on any state permits being issued for the biggest of the biggest data centers. Senator Gonzalez says the bills would also force data center firms who convert ninety percent of their power intake to renewable sources by twenty forty. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Heren. Thanks Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Darren. The Wimbledon Men's final had only two service breaks over four sets, both by Jonnick, Senator. He lost the first set to Alex everybody won the next three. It's Center's fifth Grand Slam title is second straight at Wimbledon. They'll play the Baseball All Star Game tomorrow night in Philadelphia and the Phillies. Christopher Sanchez will be the starting pitcher for the National League. Toronto's Dylan Cease for the America League. The Home Run Derby is tonight. The hottest team going to the All Star Break the Red Sox. They beat the Mets. They finished their first nine to zero road tip since nineteen seventy seven. So Bloomberg Sports Update, stay with us. More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, m Nathan Hager. Crude oil is back on the rise this morning as the US and Iran continue to trade attacks along with conflicting accounts about the status of the Strait of horm moves. US Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz says Iran has repeatedly broken the Innim peace deal. This was a performance based MoU Iran is not living up to it, and all options are on the table. We saw that from our great US military overnight. It was you an ambassador Mike Waltz on ABC's This Week Heard every Sunday on Bloomberg Radio. And joining us this morning is Terry Haines, the founder of Pangaea Policy. Terry, we've seen US Central Command go after a number of targets aimed at degrading Iran's ability to threaten the Strait of Horror moves in Iran responding with attacks on US assets around the Gulf. What's your read on what's happening in the Middle East since the weekend? Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. I would say that the markets are following the through line a lot more than they are the competing explosions, and the through line here is that there's probably positive direction of travel on opening the Strait of Horror moves. You see the United States kind of say enough already on Iran's gaming, and you see Iran being back into a corner which is increasing IRGC desperation. There's been all you know, there's the tensions between conventional civil government and the IRGC have been much in the headlines over the past week, and I think what you see is ultimately kind of the concert of the United States, the Gulf nations, Israel, even China to some extent, all working together to bring Iran back to the table. So there are jitters this morning, justifiably so overall, though I think we're trending in the proper direction. We have to wonder how Senator Graham might have reacted to what's been happening. Of course, he was a strong advocate for going after Iran's nuclear program, carrying out the attacks that were launched on February twenty eight. Give us your thoughts, Terry, on the whole left by Senator Graham and Washington. Two things really, One is you know the and I agree with you that I think Senator Graham would have would have applauded and did applaud the most most recent actions in the streets. You know. The thing is Washington is, you know, always has workhorses and show horses, and the the the relation of of show horses, I think to workhorses is higher than ever and you see, you see that every day and it's been both parties. But Lindsay Graham was a was a workhorse who understood was a serious guy. Understood a lot of things, uh, including how to project power out of the Senate, and uh you know, the peer respect is the respect that matters in Washington, and Graham had that in spades, whether a Republican Democrat or anybody else. Uh. So, you know, this is a serious man who achieved a lot, and it's deservedly mourned. The other thing I would say, though, is that people who think that that hole is not going to be filled, I think are incorrect. Republicans do have a deep and strong foreign policy bench, from Senator Haggerty of Tennessee to Dave McCormick, who's kind of the rising star there, Tom Cotton of Arkansas the stalwart, and a number of veterans including Roger Wicker and Jim Rish. So Graham did not do this all by himself, and I think you will see a remarkable consistency in how the post Graham Republican Party continues to deal with foreign policy matter. Do you think, Terry, any of those potential advocates will have the ear of President Trump in the same way that Senator Graham did. We only have about thirty seconds left. Not exactly in the same way, but they do. Bill Haggerty certainly, former diplomat, among many other things, Dave McCormick, who has a unique background from West Point to military service, to Treasury senior to major financial services posts, and Tom Cotton always has So you know, I think you'll see a variety of people not really vying, but providing complimentary advice to the president in building trust there. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app Now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg Your News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray