Trump Praises Zelenskiy After Mar-a-Lago Talks; Trump and Netanyahu to Meet Today
On today's podcast:
1) President Trump said he made “a lot of progress” in talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy over a possible peace deal, but that it might take a few weeks to get it done and there’s no set timeline. The pair met at the US president’s Mar-a-Lago resort Sunday, where they had lunch and later spoke on the phone with a group of European leaders to brief them on their progress. Among the major sticking points left to be resolved: the future of Ukraine’s Donbas region, which is partially occupied by Russian forces. Trump told reporters the issue was still unresolved, but “getting a lot closer.”
2) President Trump has another high profile meeting on the docket at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. He is scheduled to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu this afternoon. The two aim to boost a U.S.-brokered ceasefire in Gaza, which faces challenges as it looks to move into a more complicated second phase. That phase involves rebuilding Gaza under international supervision, creating an international security force and normalizing relations between Israel and the Arab world.
3) China kicked off military maneuvers around Taiwan that will include live-fire drills, a move that comes after the US announced one of its biggest arms packages ever for the self-run democracy. The exercises starting Monday would involve the army, navy, air force and Rocket Force, the Chinese military said in a statement. The exercises named “Justice Mission-2025” would “test the actual combat capability of theater troops in joint operations.” The People’s Liberation Army said in a separate statement that from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. Tuesday it would hold live-fire exercises in five blocks around Taiwan, saying “any irrelevant vessel or aircraft is advised not to enter” the area.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm John Tucker and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. And Karen, let's start with the latest developments to end the war in Ukraine. President Trump says Ukraine and Russia are quote closer than ever before to a peace deal, but he acknowledges that negotiations could still break down and leave the war dragging out for years. Trump spoke yesterday as he hosted Ukrainian President Florid Marzelenski at his Florida resort. I really believe we're probably missed a president closer than by far closer than ever before with both parties. We had sometimes when he was close and President Putin wasn't. Then when that President Putin was close and he wasn't. You saw that in the White House. But I think they both want to see it happen. Well, let's get more in the meeting From Bloomberg's Ronsalin. Matheson, Ezelensky and Trump had a what would seem to be a pretty productive conversation from Donald Trump's point of view, at least warm words afterward. So progress on those areas, perhaps on the role in size of the Ukrainian military after a war, and some understandings around the Ukraine economy, including the trade arrangements with the US, but not a lot of progress on the really biggest issues, the stickiest ones, And there it seems still we're quite away from getting a full agreement and one that certainly Ukraine and Russia would sign. Off on, Bloombergs, Russell and Mathieson, says v Lotivarzelenski. So see as President Trump to consider the possibility providing his country with security guarantees that would last thirty to fifty years. Well, John President Trump has another high profile meeting on the docket as Mara Lago Resort in Florida. He's scheduled to meet with Israeli Prime Minister of Benjamin Attiniahou this afternoon. The two aimed a booster US broker and cease fire in Gaza, which faces challenges as it looks to move into a more complicated second phase. That phase involves rebuilding Gaza under international supervision, creating an international security force, and normalizing relations between Israel and the Arab world. And China kicked off military maneuvers around Taiwan that it said included live fire drills to say had dramatic show force. After the US announced one of its biggest arms packages ever for the self run democracy, China has found to quote take effective and strong measures to safeguard national sovereignty. On Friday, it unveiled largely symbolic sanctions against twenty US defense companies and ten executives. John A powerful winter storm is sweeping east across the United States, bringing a dangerous mix of snow, ice, rain, and high winds, and we get more with Bloomberg Meteorologist Craig Allen. More than a dozen states with some kind of alert or warning for a winter storm that is near the Great Lakes and very powerful in moving towards the Saint Lawrence River Valley. Have blizzards across the Upper Midwest, very heavy snowfall in portions of the Great Lakes. There is snow falling around Chicago, strong winds, damaging winds all the way down through the Central Plains and the Tennessee, Ohio Valleys into southern sections of the US and in the East big lake effects snow just downwind of the lakes. In New York State, there will be snow in portions of New England. In fact, ice storm mornings for some sections of New York, Vermont as well as New Hampshire from Boston on down to New York City and Philadelphia and Washington. There will be some heavy rain showers during the day today and then followed by some very cold, gusty winds. And that's Bloomberg meteorologists Craig Allen are reporting. We will be checking him with Craig throughout the morning. And Carol, let's turn to the markets. Where futures right now, I call it mixed. As we begin the last trading week of twenty twenty five, still the stock averages hovering near all time highs. And Robert Teeters, the chief investment strategist at Silvercrust Asset Management. The base case for next year is that we do see very solid earnings growth, so kind of low teens earnings growth, maybe a little bit of multiple compression now, and part of that's just going to be a factor of some of this rotation. Maybe you get a little bit of pressure release valve out of the megacaps that have been so strong, and I think strong for good reasons. But as you get some of that rotation, multiples might come down a little bit, So we're looking for high single digit gains from equities next year, powered by double digit earnings gains. Silver Cresset Asset Management's Robert Teeter. So far this year, the S and P five hundred up almost eighteen percent. The Nasdaq is up twenty two percent. John it's a volatile session and the commodities market. Silver and gold are now lower after rising to records earlier, and we get more with the Bloomberg Markets reporter Valerie Titel. Today we're seeing some of the air come out of Friday's blistering rally. Silver was up ten percent on Friday, the biggest one day move since two thousand and eight. If you look about the month of December, it's had the biggest one month change since nineteen seventy nine, if to go all the way back to the inflation days of the seventy to see a similar rise in silver in one month's time, up near forty percent just in this month. This morning was quite a pronounced volatile session. Essentially, silver moved eleven percent in an hour. It opened up higher around six percent, breaking through eighty four dollars an ounce for the first time ever. We've now come off of that trading around seventy six dollars an ounce. And that's one of our Marcus reporter Valerie Tyitel, who again says gold is lower this morning after earlier rising to a record, so is platinum, and. Bank of America's CEO Brian moynihan says that maintaining the banking system's independence is important. This comes as President Trump is searching for a new chair for the Federal Reserve. Here's moynihan speaking on CBS's Face the Nation. Where a country's driven by the private sector, by what people do, and in the businesses and the company, small companies and large companies, medium sized companies and entrepreneurs and doctors or always people drive our economy. The idea that we are like hanging on a thread by the Fed moving rates twenty five basis points seems to me we've gotten out of whack. Well. Bank of America CEO Brian Mooinihan speaking on CBS's Face to the Nation, and you can catch the program Sunday afternoons on Bloomberg Radio. Moin Hands also says he expects the Trump administration to de escalate trade tensions in twenty twenty six, after the tariffs and shockwaves through the US economy in twenty twenty five. And we have an entertainment note this morning, John, Americans are watching fewer new TV shows and more free TV. In fact, free streaming services are growing more quickly than paid ones, with YouTube being the fastest growing network on TV and the Roku channel and two B also growing rapidly. Netflix accounts are about two thirds of streaming hits, but its lead is slipping. Its share of streaming viewership is going down over time, and other major streaming services or landing shows in the top ten on a regular basis. YouTube, the Alphabet owned streaming service Eclipse Netflix is the most popular streaming service on TVs a couple of years ago, and it's never looked back. It is now larger than Netflix and Amazon combined. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, Good morning, Good morning Karen. Two helicopters crashed mid air in New Jersey, killing one person and critically injuring another. The Federal Aviation Administration says The crash happened over Hamilton Municipal Airport, about thirty five miles southeast of Philadelphia. It happened in Caitlin Collins's backyard, who came out of her house and tried to comfort the surviving pilot. Colin says they could hear sirens as first responders raced to the scene. They said, they got here so fast, four minutes. I don't know. All I know is I was sitting down there just holding his hand, just holding his hand, maybe trying to crack a joke, saying, I. Guess this isn't the way you thought you were to start your day. But we're here, like you're safe. We got you. The NTSB is investigating, with a preluminary report expected as soon as today. The man accused of place in two pipe bombs in Washington on the eve of the January sixth, twenty twenty one riot at the US Capitol told investigators after his arrest that he believed someone needed to speak up for people who believe the twenty twenty election was stolen. Brian Cole Junior also said he wanted to target the country's political parties because they were in charge. That's according to a memo filed by the Justice Department on Sunday arguing that Cole should remain jailed as the case moves forward. Cole was arrested earlier this month on charges of placing pipe bombs outside the headquarters of the Democratic and Republican national Committees. A big change at the nation's largest public transit system, New York City, officially ends its metro card era at the end of the year. Jody Shapiro of the New York Transit Museum says the swipeable plastic cart replaced the subway token coin back in nineteen ninety four. As a native New Yorker, I feel all the fuels like people do. I don't want something that works to go away. The system switches fully to tap and go fares. Bridget Barde, the French actress who became a global icon in the fifties, died on Sunday. In nineteen seventy three, she quit the movie industry to focus on animal rights. Bridget Bardea was ninety one global news, twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg. Heret thanks Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in Dan Schwartzman. Huge Week seventeen in the NFL, as the Patriots locked up their first AFC East Division title since twenty nineteen with a dominating forty two to ten went over the Jets, while the Bills fought home to the Eagles thirteen to twelve. The Brown stun the Steelers thirteen to six to night Pittsburgh winning THEFC North and the battle of eleven win teams, the Niners getting past the Bear forty two to thirty eight. The Giants destroyed the Raiders thirty four to ten to snap their nine game losing streak, while the Seahawks improved to thirteen and three as a twenty seven to ten win over the Panthers. Elsewhere, the Jaguars beat the Colts twenty three to seventeen, Dolphins out last of the Buccaneers twenty to seventeen, while the Saints capacit Titans thirty four to twenty six. On Monday Night Football, the Rams will battle the Falcons in Atlanta. That's your Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Day Break coming up after. This coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning up, John Tucker, who President Trump said, he may quote, a lot of progress in the talks with the Ukrainian president Vladimir Selenski was over the possible peace deal in Rush's war against Ukraine. Let's find out more this morning. We're joined by Bloomberg's Russia Economics Senator Greg Sullivan. Greg, good morning to you, thanks for being with us. What exactly have they agreed. To so far? Well, yes, President Trump did characterize those talks with Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski as having made progress, but it is a little difficult to see where exactly the progress was made. President Zelenski did say that there was one hundred percent agreement on the issue of US Ukraine security guarantees, which was somewhat important given that this has been an important issue for Kia throughout the negotiating process and they had a little difficulty bringing the US on board. Of course, though he said they have one hundred percent agreement, we don't have the actual agreement or no, exactly the contours of those security agreements. And he also said that on the issue of Europe, Ukraine and the US security agreements, they were only at ninety percent, so it's an important issue. It's also hard to see what Ukraine and the US can agree to that Russia would accept. Russia has long thrown a spanner in the works on this issue, so that's still tough to see. Those security guarantees. How long would they last or what does Zelenski want. Well. President's Lensky spoke with reporters today and he said that he actually asked President Trump for a thirty to fifty year commitment on the security guarantees. Obviously, Ukraine has sought joining NATO as the primary security guarantee, but that the US has tamped that down since the Trump administration started, and that has been a non starter for Russia. But it is really hard to see what Russia would accept in terms of say, European troops on Ukrainian soil. They've ruled that out in the past, but Ukraine wants a security guarantee that's strong enough to dissuade Russia from simply restarting hostilities down the road. Now, what about territorial concessions of the part of Ukraine. Well, this is a major sticking point and perhaps potentially the biggest one that has been left mostly unresolved. President Trump said that they had made some progress toward that, but there was no additional details, and it's unclear where they stand on that. Moscow has been seeking this territory in eastern Ukraine, in an area known as the dun Boss. Ukraine is concerned because part of it is heavily fortified and if they seed it that could leave them vulnerable to future Russian attacks. But it's also a politically charged issue. Zelenski. It would not be popular among Ukrainian people to simply see territory that Kiv still controls, and also legally hard they probably have to be a referendum. So it doesn't seem like much progress has been made. Russia has shown no signs of backing down on this, and even over the weekend, President Putin said that he's willing to continue pursuing his goals militarily. So the two sides still seem rather far apart on that issue. In like the forty five seconds we have left, where does NATO where's NATO and Europe in all of this? Right now? Well throughout the negotiating process since President Trump came to power, Europe has really struggled to maintain a seat at the table. Russia does not want them at the table. The US seems to consider it not that important. But for Europe this is very important. They see this as part of their own security architecture. So NATO has been trying to be involved in terms of security guarantees. It's obviously going to be tough. Ukraine does not seem poise to be able to join NATO anytime soon, but they are seeking security. Natoake guarantees for their own security, and Europe could play a role in those down the road, and even Trump acknowledged that Europe would probably have to play a role in the security for Ukraine. This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Low Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. I'm John Tucker. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg day Break