Gaza Hostage Exchange; Trump & Vance Open Door to China Deal
On today's podcast:
1) Hamas freed seven living Israeli hostages from the Gaza Strip on Monday morning, following a US-led deal reached late last week. The Palestinian militant group released them to the International Committee of the Red Cross and they were then passed over to the Israeli military. The rest of the living hostages, 13 in total, are expected to be freed later in the day. Around 10 a.m. Israel time, the Israeli military said the Red Cross is on its way to an additional meeting point in the southern Gaza Strip, where several more hostages will be handed over. The release of the first hostages came just before President Trump’s arrival in Israel for a Middle East trip to celebrate the ceasefire deal clinched last week, also with Egyptian, Qatari, Turkish mediation. Trump has said the agreement should end the devastating two-year conflict in Gaza.
2) President Trump’s administration signaled openness Sunday to a deal with China to quell fresh trade tensions while also warning that recent export controls announced by Beijing were a major barrier to talks. Vice President JD Vance called on Beijing to “choose the path of reason” in the latest spiraling trade fight between the world’s two leading economies, claiming that Trump has more leverage if the fight drags on. Trump later posted a statement that hinted at a possible off-ramp for Chinese President Xi Jinping while issuing a veiled threat that a full trade war would wound China.
3) President Trump said he is directing the Defense Department to use funds his administration has identified to deliver paychecks to US troops on Oct. 15 despite the ongoing government shutdown. More than a quarter of a million federal employees missed scheduled paychecks this week, with another 2 million expected to go without pay by next week, which would be the third week of the shutdown. Under current law, US troops aren’t guaranteed backpay during a shutdown, unlike civilian employees. The Pentagon’s next military payday, Oct. 15, was shaping up as a key pressure point in the ongoing standoff between Republicans and Democrats over a stopgap spending measure.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, we begin in the Middle East, where Hamas has released all twenty living Israeli hostages from the Gaza Strip after two years of war. The release comes as President Donald Trump has arrived in Israel on a Middle East trip to celebrate the ceasefire deal. Now from Bloomberg Middle East correspondent Jumana Borsecci, President. Trump has been saying that this is the end of the war and this is the beginning of peace, and so the expectation is that that is the message that he would like to hammer home, the fact that this really is a turning point for the region, and that he has been the only US president He's likely to say that that has been able to bring about this development. The war has been going on for two years now, multiple failed attempts at negotiations at diplomacy shuttle diplomacy, and things were looking at Little Harry a month ago after that Doha attack when Israel went after the senior Hamas official senior negotiators operating in Doha. But since then there's really been a renewed optimism, renewed push out of the Trump administration to bring about this breakthrough, and all of that came to fruition just in the last couple of. Days, bloombergs Jamanibar said. She says under the terms of the agreement, once the hostages are freed, Israel is obliged to release almost two thousand Palestinian prisoners and has also agreed to allow much more aid into the devastated Mediterranean territory. Al Jazeera is reporting a group of Palestinian prisoners is now on buses on their way to the West Bank as part of that exchange. Well, Nathan, there are new developments on the trade front, and that has stock futures rallying following Friday shell off on walls straight right now, S and P futures are up one point four percent. The wine House is signaling it's open to doing a deal, which Shina to calm fresh trade tensions days after announcing new one hundred percent tariffs affective November first. The relationship soured last week when China announced new export controls on rare earths. Speaking to reporters on board Air Force one, the President expressed some optimism. I think we're going to be fine with John. Look, I have a great relationship with Presidencie. He's a very tough man, he's a very smart man. He's a great leader for their country. He's a great leader, and I have a great relationship with him. I think we'll get it. Said, I know what happened. I really understand what happened, and I'm not even saying he's wrong. But then we met him with something much tougher than what he did to us. And President Trump also posted on social media quote, don't worry about China. It will all be fine. Well, Karen, there's no end of the spending standoff in Washington. This is day thirteen of the federal government shutdown, and both sides are hardening their positions after the White House order the first round of permanent layoffs on Friday. Visit in Jade Vance is penning the blame on Democrats. We're trying to do everything that we can to ensure that low income women and children get. The food services that they need. We're trying to make sure that we pay our troops because that matters for national security. We also want our people to get their paychecks. That's where we've been focused. And unfortunately, what that does mean, Margaret, is that some federal bureaucrats are going to have to get laid off. Vice President Jadvance discussed the shutdown with Margaret Brennan on CBS's Face the Nation, as heard on Bloomberg Radio. But Democrats are sticking to their demand that Republicans negotiate an extension of healthcare subsidies before they'll agree to a stopgap spending bill. Housmanardi Leader Hakim Jeffries addressed that on Fox New Sunday, also heard on Bloomberg Radio. Open enrollment starts on November first. Tens of millions of Americans are receiving notices right now that their premiums, copes, and deductibles are about to explode, which is why we need to address it. Even Marjorie Taylor Green agrees that we have to address this health insurance crisis right now. House Democratic Leader Hakim Jeffrey. And as the shutdown continues, military service members are said to miss their first paychecks on Wednesday. President Trump says his administration has found the funds to pay them, but it's not clear if they'll receive full paychecks or whether the president has the legal authority to deliver them. Let's go to Europe now, Nathan and President mccron has announced a new French cabinet, including his last Prime Minister, Sebastian Lecorneu. The announcement comes amids growing pressure to prevent a political crisis and pass a budget. In Bloomberg's Caroline Conan has more from Paris. I don't know if you know the movie Grand hog Day, but it feels like this in fans at the moment. Kenn of leaving the same day again and again. So after he resigned last Monday, Lucone was appointed again on Friday night round ten pm French time, saying you accepted the mission as of duty, that his only mission would be to pass a budget. And Bloomber's Caroline Conan says it all leaves Lecornew tasked with getting a budget approved before the end of the year, as well as fending off an ill confidence vote later this week. I'm back here in the US, Karen and nor'easter is churning up the East Coast, prompting declarations of a state of emergency in New Jersey and parts of New York State. Let's get the very latest from Bloomberg meteorologists Rob Carrol and good morning, Rob. Good morning Nathan. We have an area of low pressure this morning, which is east of Atlantic City. It's producing rain from southern New England across the New York City area down the coast all the way to Washington. The storm system is going to be moving very very slowly, so it looks like more rain and wind throughout the day from the Boston area through New York City and on into Washington. We'll see coastal areas seeing winds at times over thirty miles an hour. The New York City area is under a wind advisory through six pm. Eastern Long Island it's a high wind warning through two pm this afternoon. Well, Rob, when do you expect all this to end? Then, Well, it looks like the rain will come to an end as showers tonight, Nathan in the district and also in the New York City area. But rain is likely to linger across Boston right on and through Tuesday evening. I'm Rob Carolyn Bloomberg Radio. All right, Rob, thank you, while we turned back to the markets. Now we're earnings our front and center this week We get a preview with Bloomberg's Charlie pelling. Big banks lead off, but we'll also hear from United Airlines CSX and Johnson and Johnson. The reports come amid heightened trade tensions and questions about a bubble in AI shares. Cam Dawson is chief investment staergist at New Edge Wealth. The big question is will we see the same kind of big beats and raises that we saw in the second quarter. Which certainly propelled stocks much higher over the course. Of the summer. Financials very much though, the big story this week with the likes of JP, Morgan, Chase, City Group, Wells Fargo, Bank of New York, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley, all reporting in New York. Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Radio. Thank you, Charlie. Economists for marking up their estimates for US economic growth this year and next. We get the details on that from Bloomberg's John Tucker. John Good morning, Hey. Good morning, Nathan. Yeah, this is the survey from the National Association for Business Economics. They see inflation adjusted GDP rising one point eight percent this year. That's up half a percent from the forecast made in June. The survey respondence expects similar growth next year, but the economists also see job growth slowing to an average of only sixty thousand this year. The job growth has slowed markedly in recent months, and that's a trend that prompted the FED to lower interustrates in September. The NABE sees the Fed cutting rates once more this year before reducing borrowing costs by three quarters of a point next year. In New York, I'm John Tucker Bloomberg Radio. Time Now for a look at some of the o their stories making news in New York and around the world, and for now we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, Good Morning, Good morning Karen. President Trump says he is looking into giving Ukraine more weapons after a recent conversation with President Volodimir Zelenski. The President spoke to reporters on board Air Force One as he was traveling to Israel. We talked about the weapons they need, what kind of weapons they need, Patriots very badly. They'd like to have. Tomahawks, a step up. They'd like to have tomahawks. We talked about that. President Trump added that he might tell Russia. The US could send the missiles if the conflict isn't resolved. Several people were killed and injured when gunfire erupted early Sunday morning in a crowded bar in Saint Helena, South Carolina. At least four people were pronounced dead at the scene. The owner of the bar, Willie Terrell, was wiping away tears. I'm thankful, thankful for everybody who walked away. You know, I'll thank for everybody who alive, who is safe. Officials say hundreds of people were inside at the time of the shooting. The search for the cause of a deadly blast an explosives factory in Tennessee continues. At least sixteen people died when the plan exploded Friday. The factory near Nanelli mate supplies and explosives for the military. Families of the victims and neighbors tried to comfort each other during church services Sunday. This man was at a church service. It's going to take time, and it's going to take all of us banding together. But I know with this church family here and the other church families around, we'll come together. We'll and we'll help each other through it. To identify the victims. Authorities have had to rely on DNA technology taking DNA samples from family members, and then they're comparing that to dnaight samples found at the scene. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you wanted with Bloomberg News Now, Michael Byron, this is Bloomberg. Karen, Thanks Michael. A time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Karth. The alcs underway in Toronto and Seattle's first pitch of the series was a home run hit by Toronto's George Springer, with the Blue Jays only had one hit the rest of the way and the Mariners one game one, three to one. Sunday football in Kansas City, the Chiefs beat the Lions thirty to seventy. Patrick mahonmes through three touchdown passes, ran for another big college football news. James Franklin fire at midway through his twelfth season as the coach at Penn State, who began the season rank number two. They've lost their last three games. That's your Bloomberg Sports update. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Day Break coming up after this. Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Serious Exam and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. A great and beautiful day, a new beginning. That was the message from President Trump as he arrived in Israel to celebrate the ceasefire in Gaza, which he says he is confident will hold. Everybody is happy, whether it's Jewish or bus Lim or the Arab of countries. Every country is dancing in the streets, and it's a point in time. I don't think you'd ever see it again. I was President Trump aboard Air Force One on his way to Israel, where he is now due to address the kanesse. Joining us this morning from Tel Aviv is Bloomberg News Israel Bureau Chief Ethan Bronner and Ethan as we await those comments from President Trump, get us up to speed on where we are in the ceasefire in the implementation. What is the latest? Good morning morning, Nathan. So yes, the ceasefire has been holding for several days, twenty Israeli hostages, that all of those who were alive still are out of the captivity. And the seven that have already arrived in Israel. The thirteen others are on their way. Look, I think healthier than many had feared. They're on their feet, they're speaking, and Israel is beginning the process of freeing some two thousand, just under two thousand Palestinian prisoners. At the same time, President Trump is here, He's about to address the parliament, the Kanesset in Jerusalem. He's just met with Prime Minister Nitanyah. And the announcement is now that in addition to all of these Western and Arab countries and President Trump going to Egypt, that in fact Prime Minister in Utenya is also going to go to that ceremony. It was not originally planned, and is that there's also going to be a Palestinian leader there, Mahabas. So what's going to come of this we shall have to see. While we wait to see, what are you watching for in terms of whether this ceasefire continues to hold well? The first thing to know is that the goal of Israel, and in theory, both of the United States and all of those who declared who signed on to the so called New York Declaration at the you In General Assembly, is to remove Hamas from power in Gaza. But within minutes of the ceasefire beginning in Gaza, Hamas operatives, well armed with clashnar koffs, took over the streets of Gaza City and a much of Gaza and so and they are also now in the process of clashing with some of the clients that had said they were opposed to Haramas. So it feels like the ability to remove Hamas from power is not going to be simple, and that's going to be a major issue going forward. On his way to Israel, the Bord Air Force one, we heard President Trump. Say, the war is over. What will you be watching for in terms of whether we get to that point where we can actually say this is more than just an open ended ceasefire. Look, I think that either they're going to have to adjust their goals of what the war end means. That is to say, leave Hamas in some position relating to the Palestinian authority or some multinational thing. We don't know, but from Israel's perspective until now, this has not been acceptable. Now will it be possible that Israel will be told just hold off for a while while we internationalize this, and we're going to rebuild the Gaza Strip and so on. Possibly. I mean, you know, one of the reasons Prime Minision of the time now did not want to go to Egypt. He did not want to take part in this kind of ceremonies. Always opposed internationalizing the conflict. But now that is changing, with perhaps the help of President Trump, maybe he's going to maybe the Israel's going to change its mind. I don't know. The goal, of course for Israel and the United States is to expand Israel's relations with its Arab neighbors to include one day of Saudi Arabia. So all of those things are being balanced against what's going to happen in Gaza, And there's just so many unknown s day that it's impossible for me to tell you where we're headed. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg. Ninety nine to one in Washington. Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Ray