Iran Peace Deal in Limbo; Redistricting Passes in Virginia
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On today's podcast:
1) President Trump indefinitely extended a ceasefire with Iran as peace talks remain on hold, walking back threats to resume fighting. The US-Israel alliance and Iran won’t immediately return to fighting, but there’s still no sign the vital Hormuz waterway will be reopened to oil and gas shipments soon. Iran says it will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz or restart peace talks until the US naval operation ends, and the US president blamed divisions among the Islamic Republic’s leaders for the need to extend the truce.
2) Virginia voters backed a Democratic plan to redraw the state's congressional districts, with the Yes vote leading 51.5% to 48.6%. The vote could net Democrats as many as four more US House seats in November's midterm elections, according to multiple projections. The outcome shifts Virginia's congressional delegation from being one of the most balanced to packing Republican voters together, favoring Democrats in most districts.
3) Kevin Warsh pledged to act independently if confirmed as the next Federal Reserve chair, rejecting concerns he would be a "sock puppet" for President Trump. Warsh called for changes to the way the US central bank makes its decisions, including a new framework for dealing with persistent inflation and a new way of communicating with the public.
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Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen, a long term deal to end the US war, where Iran appears to be in limbo. President Trump has extended the ceasefire with Tehran indefinitely while keeping the naval blockade on the Strait of Hormos. After planned peace talks in Pakistan this week fell apart. The President announced his decision in a truth social post hours after saying he was not inclined to extend the truths. Well, I expect to be bombing because I think that's a better attitude to go in with. But we're ready to go. I mean, the military is rare and to go. They are absolutely. Incredible, President Trump spoke in an interviewed yesterday with CNBC. Bloomberg's Jumana Bursetti has more from Dubai. We spent the whole day pretty much ascertaining whether j d Vance was going to make the trip to Islamabad four second round of tolks. Clearly that is not going to happen, and we found out in the middle of the night yesterday. President Sean putting up this true social post saying that the ceasefire has now been extended, but again with a big question mark because this ambiguity really over the timing or the new eventual deadline for the seasfire. He says it will continue until Iran submits a new proposal and discussions are concluded one way or another. Bloombergs Jumana Burssetti reports Iran did not ask for the ceasefire extension and won't reopen the Strait of Hormuz as long as the US blockade continues. That's according to the semi official Coznim news agency. This morning, the UK Navy says two ships were fired at near the strait, including a container vessel approached by an Iranian gunboat, and satellite data show at least two fully loaded Iranian oil tankers have sailed past the US blockade into the Persian Gulf this week. Nathan, we have new developments this morning involving another war over shes. Ukraine is asked Turkey to help arrange a summit meeting between President Vladimir Zelenski and Russian leader Vladimir Putin. Ukraine is seeking alternative ways to revive the diplomatic track as US broker negotiations have stalled because of the Middle East conflict. Ukraine sees Turkish President Recip tayep Erdawan as a mediator able to engage with Putin. In the UK Karen, a political scandal has left Prime Minister Kir Starmer's future in question. Let's go to London and get the latest with Bloomberg's un. Parts, Nathan and Karen. It's been another bruising forty eight hours for the UK's Prime Minister Kirs Starmer. Yesterday, the former top official at the Foreign Office, whose Starmer recently fired, testified in Parliament that he was pressured by Starmer's office to approve Peter Manlson's appointments as US ambassador. The official said that Starmer's office was quote dismissive in its approach to the security vetting process that ultimately raised red flags about Manlson's background. Starmer says he's angry he wasn't directly told about the security vesting failure in London. I'm ewing pots Bloomberg Radio. All right you and thank you. Turning to US politics. A vote that could shift the balance of power on Capitol Hill, is in the books. In Virginia, voters there have approved a Democratic plan to redraw the state's congressional map in a way that could add up to four House seats for the party. In November, when ninety seven percent of votes counted, the Yes vote is leading the Nos fifty one and a half to forty eight point six percent. Larry Sabado, as director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics. There were enough Democrats in urban, suburban and ex urban areas to outvote all the rural areas, and the rural areas were overwhelmingly opposed to this referendum because they're Republican and they were going to lose their Republican representatives except for one. University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabado says this is one of the final acts in a redistricting battle that began last year when Republicans in Texas moved to withdraw their congressional lives. The GOP will get one more chance to play its hand next week in a special election in Florida. If that passes, it'll make me back and forth between the parties, essentially. A draw back. In Washington, Karen President Trump's nominee to chair the Federal Reserve is pledging central Bank independence. He did so during his Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing. Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh said he never promised the White House he would cut interest rates, even as the President renewed his calls for the Central Bank to do so. The President never asked me to predetermine, commit fix, decide on any interest grate decision in any of our discussions, nor would I ever agree. To do so. And Senator Elizabeth Warren says Worsh's testimony shows a lack of independence. And here's the Massachusetts Democrats exchange with Worsh. Mister Walsh, did Donald Trump lose the twenty twenty election? We try to keep politics if I'm confirmed out of the Federal. I'm just asking you a factual question. I need to know. I need to measure dependance and your courage. Senator, I believe that this body certified that election many years ago. That's not the question I'm asking. I'm asking did Donald Trump lose in twenty twenty? Man, I'm suggesting you in twenty FED. So that after the hearing, we cut up with Warren on Bloomberg's balance of power. What I want to see, what Democrats want to see as an independent fab that's still making decisions based on the numbers. What Donald Trump has said quite openly is he wants to make the political decisions that aren't good for the American economy but are good for Donald Trump. Today's hearing was all about that issue. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren speaking on Bloomberg's Balance of Power heard on Bloomberg Radio at noon Eastern And Kevin worsh is nominated to succeed j. Powell when his term as chair ends next month. Well today, Karen earnings are front and center once again for investors. Thirty companies in the S and P five hundred report, including Tesla. Bloomberg's Tom Busby has a preview. After previously posting disappointing first quarter vehicle deliveries just three hundred and fifty eight thousand autos. The focus for investors is what's in Tesla's pipeline, including the latest on the release of the cybercab, Robotaxi It's humanoid robot, and any plans for a very low cost ev Also of note Tesla's cash burn that's after announcing capex of at least twenty billion dollars this year. Bloomberg consensus calls for revenue of twenty two point twenty seven billion dollars on ad justin ernings per share of thirty five cents. Tom buzby Bloomberg. Radio, All right, Tom, thank you. Another one of Elon Musk's companies is in the spotlight this morning. SpaceX says it has an agreement giving it the right to acquire artificial intelligence startup Cursor for sixty billion dollars later this year, or to pay ten billion for the companies to work together. The DL is part of SpaceX's efforts to catch up with rivals in AI coding tools. Well now Bloomberg exclusive in the AI space. Karen sources say a small group of unauthorized users has accessed anthropics new Mythos AI model. It's a technology the company says is so powerful it can enable dangerous cyber attacks. We're told the users gained access to Mythos through a mix of tactics, including one of them acting as a worker to third party contractor and Thropics investigating this report. The company says it currently has no evidence the access is impacting any of its systems. Time now for look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, good morning, Good morning, Karen. Congresswoman Sheila Scheerflest McCormick has resigned, doing so just moments before the start of a hearing that could have led to a recommendation that she be expelled from Congress. According to an investigative panel, Sherefulest, McCormick committed twenty five violations of House rules and ethical standards. Cheerfulest McCormick also faces federal criminal charges accusing her of stealing five million dollars in coronavirus disaster relief funds. House leaders are weighing in Speaker Mike Johnson, it's a sad day for the institution anytime a member gets into trouble like that and resigns. But I think that was certainly the right result. I think a lot of people breathe the cigh of relief. House Minority Leader Hakim Jeffries, she did the. Right thing for the people that she has previously represented. Democrat Cheerfulest McCormick denies any wrongdoing. The FDNY thought what turned out to be a fatal five alarm fire in New York City Tuesday afternoon. Two people were killed and four seriously injured in the Belmont section of Bronx. Five firefighters were also injured. Every floor of the five story building was fully engulfed as smoke filled the streets. FDN Y Chief of Fire Operations Kevin Woods. The roof has collapsed in a large portion of that building. A lot of the stalewell has collapsed as well, so we had to pull our firefighters out of the building go to xt area Operations. Chief Woods says the blaze began on the first floor, which housed a barbershop and a Delhi. There were several apartments above. Authorities are investigating what led to a near miss over New York's JFK Airport, officials saying American Airlines Regional jet deviated off course, putting it directly in the path of an Air Canada plane that was cleared to land on a parallel runway. The two planes came within about a half a mile of each other before aborting their landings. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now now Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg herey. Well, thanks Michael. All time now for our Bloomberg Sports Update, and for that we bring in John Stashauer. Hi Kerrey Kepler wins by road teams in the NBA Playoffs. Philadelphia lost Game one in Boston by thirty one, but the Sixers took Game two one eleven ninety seven. The rookie vj Edgecombe scored thirty points in the win. Jalen Brown had thirty six of the loss. Portland won Game two at San Antonio one of six to one oh three. The Spurs lost their star Victor wembin By his face hit the floor in a hard hit and he got treated for a concussion. One home team to win, the Lakers they beat Houston. Chicago Bulls coach Billy Donovan resigned. That's for Bloomberg Sports Update. Stay with us more from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Prospects for a long term piece between the US and Iran appear to be on hold. President Trump has extended the ceasefire with Tehran indefinitely, hours after sounding confident the second round of talks could lead to a deal. I think we're in a very strong negotiating position to do what other presidents should have done during a forty seven year period. It was President Trump on CNBC hours before he put those negotiations on hold, joining US from Dubai this morning is Bloomberg Middle East Course, sponded Jumana Borsecci, anchor of Bloomberg Horizons. Jumana, what happened in just the last twenty four hours. Yeah, well, what we didn't get were Islam a bad talks. That was the speculation yesterday, and we spent a good chunk of the day monitoring JD. Evans's movements to see if he was going to depart for these talks. But it became apparent that there had been no confirmation from the Iranian delegation that they were set to attend, and indeed, by late evening over here in the region, it became pretty clear that these talks were not going to happen at all, which prompted President Trump a couple of hours later to put up this post on true Social announcing a ceasefire. He said he was extending the seasfire at the request of Pakistani mediators until Iran submits a new proposal and discussions are concluded one way or another. Now, the Iranian side came back to say that they themselves did not request an extension of the ceasefire, but Trump blamed the collapse of the negotiations on what he described does a seriously fractured leadership structure in Iran. Now one other important point, because this has become a key sticking point in terms of the sequencing from here. President Trump also reiterated that the US naval blockade is going to stay in place, and from the Iranian standpoint, that has been a deal breaker for them to progress onto the second round of discussions. Overnight, the Iranian Farm Minister putting up a post saying blockading Iranian ports is an act of war and thus a violation of the seasfire. The Iranian ambassador to Pakistan once again reiterating that they would need to see a lifting of the US naval blockade before they can go to another round of discussions. Well, what is the status of that blockade right now, Jumana and the security around the strait. We've heard a number of reports of action on the high seas. Yeah, that's right. So I think the last post that President Trump put up before he went to sleep last night, he was talking about the success of the US naval blockade and that it's costing Iran five hundred million dollars a day. But in reality, if you look at some of the satellite imagery that has come through over the last couple of days, and this is data intelligence firm Vortexa, they've said that over the course of the blockade, over thirty four Iranian linked vessels have managed to make it through the lines that have been set by the US. So there is still some Ranan vessels that are managing to slip through. That's the first point. The second point is it is still dangerous and this morning the UK Navy reported gunfire that was emanating from some of these IRGC affiliated boats. They were firing at an MSc vessel that had essensibly picked up oil from Saudi Arabia was on its way to Singapore, and just as another incident underscoring the danger for vessels wanting to pass through the straits, and not just because of the effective you know, I ran in control, but also the fact that there are two blockades in existence right now. There's a lot of obscurity about, you know, which path is safe for vessels to use if they want to transit, either going into the streets or out of the streets. And it's estimated that there are over eight hundred vessels still just sitting in the Persian Gulf now awaiting direction. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious XM Channel one twenty one. Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app Now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces, and. Don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg and New Now. It's the latest news, whenever you want it in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now and your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Day Bray